Polls analyzed | 454 |
Races called correctly | 79% |
Most recent cycle | 2020 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Public Policy Polling?
2020
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 1-2 | 871V | Senate (IA) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Greenfield (D) +1.0 | Actual Ernst (R) +6.6 | Difference 7.6 |
Nov 1-2 | 871V | President (IA) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +1.0 | Actual Trump (R) +8.2 | Difference 9.2 |
Oct 29-30 | 770V | Senate (MN) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Smith (D) +9.0 | Actual Smith (D) +5.2 | Difference 3.8 |
Oct 29-30 | 745V | Senate (MI) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Peters (D) +10.0 | Actual Peters (D) +1.7 | Difference 8.3 |
Oct 29-30 | 745V | President (MI) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +10.0 | Actual Biden (D) +2.8 | Difference 7.2 |
Oct 29-30 | 770V | President (MN) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +11.0 | Actual Biden (D) +7.1 | Difference 3.9 |
Oct 28-29 | 750V | House (NC-9) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Bishop (R) +2.0 | Actual Bishop (R) +11.2 | Difference 9.2 |
Oct 28-29 | 775V | President (TX) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +2.0 | Actual Trump (R) +5.6 | Difference 7.6 |
Oct 28-29 | 941V | President (FL) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +7.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.4 | Difference 10.4 |
Oct 28-29 | 1,012V | President (PA) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +7.0 | Actual Biden (D) +1.2 | Difference 5.8 |
Oct 27-28 | 661V | Senate (GA) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Ossoff (D) +3.0 | Actual Perdue (R) +1.8 | Difference 4.8 |
Oct 27-28 | 661V | President (GA) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +2.0 | Actual Biden (D) +0.2 | Difference 1.8 |
Oct 27-28 | 661V | Senate (GA) Special jungle primary | IVR/Text | Poll Warnock (D) +19.0 | Actual Warnock (D) +7.0 | Difference 12.0 |
Oct 26-27 | 886V | Senate (MT) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Bullock (D) +1.0 | Actual Daines (R) +10.0 | Difference 11.0 |
Oct 26-27 | 937V | President (NC) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +4.0 | Actual Trump (R) +1.3 | Difference 5.3 |
Oct 26-27 | 886V | President (MT) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Trump (R) +2.0 | Actual Trump (R) +16.4 | Difference 14.4 |
Oct 26-27 | 582V | House (AZ-6) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Tipirneni (D) +4.0 | Actual Schweikert (R) +4.3 | Difference 8.3 |
Oct 26-27 | 937V | Senate (NC) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Cunningham (D) +3.0 | Actual Tillis (R) +1.7 | Difference 4.7 |
Oct 21-22 | 890V | President (PA) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +5.0 | Actual Biden (D) +1.2 | Difference 3.8 |
Oct 21-22 | 804V | Senate (MI) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Peters (D) +9.0 | Actual Peters (D) +1.7 | Difference 7.3 |
Oct 21-22 | 910V | House (VA-5) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Webb (D) +3.0 | Actual Good (R) +5.1 | Difference 8.1 |
Oct 21-22 | 804V | President (MI) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +7.0 | Actual Biden (D) +2.8 | Difference 4.2 |
Oct 19-20 | 897V | Senate (KS) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Even | Actual Marshall (R) +11.4 | Difference 11.4 |
Oct 19-20 | 897V | President (KS) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Trump (R) +12.0 | Actual Trump (R) +14.7 | Difference 2.7 |
Oct 19-20 | 800V | President (AK) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Trump (R) +5.0 | Actual Trump (R) +10.1 | Difference 5.1 |
Oct 19-20 | 800V | Senate (AK) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Sullivan (R) +3.0 | Actual Sullivan (R) +12.7 | Difference 9.7 |
Oct 14-15 | 610LV | Governor (WA) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Inslee (D) +16.0 | Actual Inslee (D) +13.4 | Difference 2.6 |
Oct 14-15 | 818RV | House (OH-12) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Balderson (R) +4.0 | Actual Balderson (R) +13.5 | Difference 9.5 |
Oct 14-15 | 712V | Senate (TX) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Cornyn (R) +3.0 | Actual Cornyn (R) +9.6 | Difference 6.6 |
Oct 14-15 | 610LV | President (WA) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +23.0 | Actual Biden (D) +19.2 | Difference 3.8 |
Oct 13-14 | 789RV | House (NY-24) General election | IVR/Text | Poll Balter (D) +2.0 | Actual Katko (R) +10.2 | Difference 12.2 |
Feb 24-25 | 1,045LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +6.0 | Actual Biden (D) +4.7 | Difference 1.3 |
Feb 24-25 | 1,045LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | IVR/Text | Poll Even | Actual Biden (D) +4.7 | Difference 4.7 |
Feb 23-24 | 866LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +15.0 | Actual Biden (D) +28.9 | Difference 13.9 |
Feb 23-24 | 852LV | President (NC) Democratic primary | IVR/Text | Poll Biden (D) +3.0 | Actual Biden (D) +18.7 | Difference 15.7 |
2018
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 19-20 | 698V | Governor (KS) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Kelly (D) +5.1 | Difference 5.1 |
Oct 15-16 | 648V | Senate (NV) General election | IVR | Poll Rosen (D) +2.0 | Actual Rosen (D) +5.0 | Difference 3.0 |
Oct 15-16 | 681V | House (GA-3) General election | IVR | Poll Ferguson (R) +30.0 | Actual Ferguson (R) +31.1 | Difference 1.1 |
Jul 27-29 | 617V | House (OH-12) Special election | IVR | Poll Balderson (R) +4.0 | Actual Balderson (R) +0.8 | Difference 3.2 |
2016
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 3-4 | 704LV | President (CO) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +5.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +4.9 | Difference 0.1 |
Nov 3-4 | 1,238LV | President (VA) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +5.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +5.3 | Difference 0.3 |
Nov 3-4 | 1,238LV | President (VA) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +6.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +5.3 | Difference 0.7 |
Nov 3-4 | 957LV | President (MI) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +5.0 | Actual Trump (R) +0.2 | Difference 5.2 |
Nov 3-4 | 957LV | President (MI) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +6.0 | Actual Trump (R) +0.2 | Difference 6.2 |
Nov 3-4 | 704LV | Senate (CO) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Bennet (D) +10.0 | Actual Bennet (D) +5.7 | Difference 4.3 |
Nov 1-2 | 871LV | Governor (MO) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Koster (D) +3.0 | Actual Greitens (R) +5.6 | Difference 8.6 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 891LV | President (WI) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +7.0 | Actual Trump (R) +0.8 | Difference 7.8 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 1,050LV | President (PA) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +4.0 | Actual Trump (R) +0.7 | Difference 4.7 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 688LV | President (NV) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +2.4 | Difference 0.6 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 781LV | President (NH) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +5.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +0.4 | Difference 4.6 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 1,169LV | President (NC) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +2.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.7 | Difference 5.7 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 1,083LV | President (MO) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Trump (R) +13.0 | Actual Trump (R) +18.6 | Difference 5.6 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 1,083LV | President (MO) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Trump (R) +11.0 | Actual Trump (R) +18.6 | Difference 7.6 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 781LV | Senate (NH) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Hassan (D) +3.0 | Actual Hassan (D) +0.1 | Difference 2.9 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 891LV | Senate (WI) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Feingold (D) +5.0 | Actual Johnson (R) +3.4 | Difference 8.4 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 1,083LV | Senate (MO) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Blunt (R) +2.0 | Actual Blunt (R) +2.8 | Difference 0.8 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 688LV | Senate (NV) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Cortez Masto (D) +3.0 | Actual Cortez Masto (D) +2.4 | Difference 0.6 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 1,169LV | Senate (NC) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Burr (R) +3.0 | Actual Burr (R) +5.7 | Difference 2.7 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 781LV | Governor (NH) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Van Ostern (D) +3.0 | Actual Sununu (R) +2.3 | Difference 5.3 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 1,050LV | Senate (PA) General election | IVR/Online | Poll McGinty (D) +2.0 | Actual Toomey (R) +1.4 | Difference 3.4 |
Oct 25-26 | 742LV | President (FL) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +4.0 | Actual Trump (R) +1.2 | Difference 5.2 |
Oct 25-26 | 742LV | Senate (FL) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Even | Actual Rubio (R) +7.7 | Difference 7.7 |
Oct 23-24 | 1,218V | House (NY-19) General election | IVR | Poll Teachout (D) +3.0 | Actual Faso (R) +8.1 | Difference 11.1 |
Oct 21-22 | 875LV | President (NC) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +3.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.7 | Difference 6.7 |
Oct 21-22 | 875LV | Senate (NC) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Burr (R) +1.0 | Actual Burr (R) +5.7 | Difference 4.7 |
Oct 21-22 | 875LV | Governor (NC) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Cooper (D) +2.0 | Actual Cooper (D) +0.2 | Difference 1.8 |
Oct 21-22 | 982RV | House (NJ-7) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Even | Actual Lance (R) +11.0 | Difference 11.0 |
Oct 20-21 | 990LV | President (National) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +6.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +2.1 | Difference 3.9 |
Oct 18-19 | 804LV | Senate (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Feingold (D) +6.0 | Actual Johnson (R) +3.4 | Difference 9.4 |
Oct 18-19 | 804LV | President (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +12.0 | Actual Trump (R) +0.8 | Difference 12.8 |
Apr 29-May 1 | 637LV | President (WV) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Sanders (D) +8.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +15.6 | Difference 7.6 |
Apr 22-24 | 668LV | President (RI) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Sanders (D) +4.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +11.6 | Difference 7.6 |
Apr 22-24 | 826LV | President (PA) Republican primary | IVR/Online | Poll Trump (R) +26.0 | Actual Trump (R) +34.8 | Difference 8.8 |
Apr 22-24 | 728LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +10.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +11.9 | Difference 1.9 |
Apr 22-24 | 512LV | President (CT) Republican primary | IVR/Online | Poll Trump (R) +34.0 | Actual Trump (R) +29.5 | Difference 4.5 |
Apr 22-24 | 709LV | President (CT) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +2.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +5.4 | Difference 3.4 |
Apr 22-24 | 511LV | President (RI) Republican primary | IVR/Online | Poll Trump (R) +38.0 | Actual Trump (R) +39.4 | Difference 1.4 |
Apr 15-17 | 310LV | President (MD) Republican primary | IVR/Online | Poll Trump (R) +14.0 | Actual Trump (R) +30.9 | Difference 16.9 |
Apr 15-17 | 492LV | President (MD) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +25.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +28.7 | Difference 3.7 |
Apr 7-10 | 663LV | President (NY) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +11.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +16.1 | Difference 5.1 |
Apr 7-10 | 483LV | President (NY) Republican primary | IVR/Online | Poll Trump (R) +26.0 | Actual Trump (R) +35.1 | Difference 9.1 |
Mar 28-29 | 720LV | President (WI) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Sanders (D) +6.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +13.5 | Difference 7.5 |
Mar 28-29 | 768LV | President (WI) Republican primary | IVR/Online | Poll Cruz (R) +1.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +13.2 | Difference 12.2 |
Mar 11-13 | 749LV | President (NC) Republican primary | IVR/Online | Poll Trump (R) +11.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.5 | Difference 7.5 |
Mar 11-13 | 747LV | President (NC) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +19.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +13.6 | Difference 5.4 |
Mar 11-12 | 839LV | President (MO) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Sanders (D) +1.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +0.3 | Difference 1.3 |
Mar 11-12 | 597V | President (IL) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +1.9 | Difference 1.1 |
Mar 11-12 | 627LV | President (FL) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +25.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +31.2 | Difference 6.2 |
Mar 11-12 | 502LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +5.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +13.0 | Difference 8.0 |
Mar 7-8 | 904LV | President (FL) Republican primary | IVR/Online | Poll Trump (R) +10.0 | Actual Trump (R) +18.7 | Difference 8.7 |
Mar 4-6 | 638LV | President (OH) Republican primary | IVR/Online | Poll Trump (R) +3.0 | Actual Kasich (R) +11.1 | Difference 14.1 |
Mar 4-6 | 508LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +21.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +13.0 | Difference 8.0 |
Feb 24-25 | 464LV | President (FL) Republican primary | IVR/Online | Poll Trump (R) +20.0 | Actual Trump (R) +18.7 | Difference 1.3 |
Feb 24-25 | 388LV | President (FL) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +25.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +31.2 | Difference 6.2 |
Feb 14-16 | 500LV | President (GA) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +34.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +43.1 | Difference 9.1 |
Feb 14-16 | 525LV | President (AR) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +25.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +36.1 | Difference 11.1 |
Feb 14-16 | 500LV | President (AL) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +28.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +58.7 | Difference 30.7 |
Feb 14-16 | 500LV | President (TN) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +26.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +33.6 | Difference 7.6 |
Feb 14-16 | 548LV | President (LA) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +31.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +47.9 | Difference 16.9 |
Feb 14-16 | 500LV | President (VA) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +22.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +29.1 | Difference 7.1 |
Feb 14-16 | 693LV | President (VT) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Sanders (D) +76.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +72.4 | Difference 3.6 |
Feb 14-16 | 514LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +23.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +32.0 | Difference 9.0 |
Feb 14-16 | 542LV | President (OK) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +2.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +10.4 | Difference 12.4 |
Feb 14-16 | 538LV | President (MA) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Sanders (D) +7.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +1.4 | Difference 8.4 |
Feb 14-15 | 897LV | President (SC) Republican primary | IVR/Online | Poll Trump (R) +17.0 | Actual Trump (R) +10.0 | Difference 7.0 |
Feb 14-15 | 525LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +21.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +47.4 | Difference 26.4 |
Jan 26-27 | 780LV | President (IA) Republican primary | IVR/Online | Poll Trump (R) +8.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +3.3 | Difference 11.3 |
Jan 26-27 | 851LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | IVR/Online | Poll Clinton (D) +8.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +0.3 | Difference 7.7 |
2014
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 1-3 | 975LV | Governor (GA) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Deal (R) +4.0 | Actual Deal (R) +7.9 | Difference 3.9 |
Nov 1-3 | 963LV | Governor (KS) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Davis (D) +2.0 | Actual Brownback (R) +3.7 | Difference 5.7 |
Nov 1-3 | 963LV | Governor (KS) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Davis (D) +1.0 | Actual Brownback (R) +3.7 | Difference 4.7 |
Nov 1-3 | 1,265LV | Governor (IA) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Branstad (R) +11.0 | Actual Branstad (R) +21.7 | Difference 10.7 |
Nov 1-3 | 1,265LV | Senate (IA) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Ernst (R) +3.0 | Actual Ernst (R) +8.3 | Difference 5.3 |
Nov 1-3 | 963LV | Senate (KS) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Orman (I) +1.0 | Actual Roberts (R) +10.6 | Difference 11.6 |
Nov 1-3 | 963LV | Senate (KS) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Orman (I) +2.0 | Actual Roberts (R) +10.6 | Difference 12.6 |
Nov 1-3 | 975LV | Senate (GA) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Even | Actual Perdue (R) +7.7 | Difference 7.7 |
Nov 1-3 | 975LV | Senate (GA) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Perdue (R) +1.0 | Actual Perdue (R) +7.7 | Difference 6.7 |
Nov 1-3 | 1,333LV | Senate (NC) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Hagan (D) +2.0 | Actual Tillis (R) +1.6 | Difference 3.6 |
Nov 1-3 | 1,690LV | Senate (NH) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Shaheen (D) +2.0 | Actual Shaheen (D) +3.2 | Difference 1.2 |
Nov 1-3 | 1,690LV | Governor (NH) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Hassan (D) +5.0 | Actual Hassan (D) +4.9 | Difference 0.1 |
Nov 1-2 | 914LV | Senate (MI) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Peters (D) +13.0 | Actual Peters (D) +13.3 | Difference 0.3 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,052LV | Governor (AK) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Walker (I) +1.0 | Actual Walker (I) +2.2 | Difference 1.2 |
Nov 1-2 | 739LV | Governor (CO) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Even | Actual Hickenlooper (D) +3.3 | Difference 3.3 |
Nov 1-2 | 739LV | Governor (CO) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Beauprez (R) +1.0 | Actual Hickenlooper (D) +3.3 | Difference 4.3 |
Nov 1-2 | 739LV | Senate (CO) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Gardner (R) +3.0 | Actual Gardner (R) +1.9 | Difference 1.1 |
Nov 1-2 | 914LV | Governor (MI) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Even | Actual Snyder (R) +4.1 | Difference 4.1 |
Nov 1-2 | 914LV | Governor (MI) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Snyder (R) +1.0 | Actual Snyder (R) +4.1 | Difference 3.1 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,064LV | Governor (IL) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Quinn (D) +2.0 | Actual Rauner (R) +3.9 | Difference 5.9 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,064LV | Governor (IL) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Even | Actual Rauner (R) +3.9 | Difference 3.9 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,198LV | Governor (FL) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Crist (D) +1.0 | Actual Scott (R) +1.1 | Difference 2.1 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,198LV | Governor (FL) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Even | Actual Scott (R) +1.1 | Difference 1.1 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,052LV | Senate (AK) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Sullivan (R) +1.0 | Actual Sullivan (R) +2.1 | Difference 1.1 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,052LV | House (AK-1) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Young (R) +6.0 | Actual Young (R) +10.0 | Difference 4.0 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,064LV | Senate (IL) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Durbin (D) +10.0 | Actual Durbin (D) +10.9 | Difference 0.9 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,064LV | Senate (IL) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Durbin (D) +8.0 | Actual Durbin (D) +10.9 | Difference 2.9 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 887LV | Governor (MA) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Baker (R) +1.0 | Actual Baker (R) +1.9 | Difference 0.9 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,092LV | Governor (AR) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Hutchinson (R) +9.0 | Actual Hutchinson (R) +13.9 | Difference 4.9 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,092LV | Governor (AR) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Hutchinson (R) +10.0 | Actual Hutchinson (R) +13.9 | Difference 3.9 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 931LV | Governor (CT) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Malloy (D) +3.0 | Actual Malloy (D) +2.6 | Difference 0.4 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,001LV | Governor (ID) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Otter (R) +12.0 | Actual Otter (R) +15.0 | Difference 3.0 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,092LV | Senate (AR) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Cotton (R) +8.0 | Actual Cotton (R) +17.1 | Difference 9.1 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,092LV | Senate (AR) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Cotton (R) +6.0 | Actual Cotton (R) +17.1 | Difference 11.1 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 887LV | Senate (MA) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Markey (D) +14.0 | Actual Markey (D) +23.9 | Difference 9.9 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,003LV | Senate (LA) Jungle primary | IVR/Online | Poll Landrieu (D) +8.0 | Actual Landrieu (D) +1.1 | Difference 6.9 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,003LV | Senate (LA) Jungle primary | IVR/Online | Poll Cassidy (R) +1.0 | Actual Landrieu (D) +1.1 | Difference 2.1 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,503LV | Senate (KY) General election | IVR/Online | Poll McConnell (R) +9.0 | Actual McConnell (R) +15.5 | Difference 6.5 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,503LV | Senate (KY) General election | IVR/Online | Poll McConnell (R) +8.0 | Actual McConnell (R) +15.5 | Difference 7.5 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 887LV | Governor (MA) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Baker (R) +4.0 | Actual Baker (R) +1.9 | Difference 2.1 |
Oct 30-31 | 679LV | Senate (NH) General election | IVR | Poll Shaheen (D) +2.0 | Actual Shaheen (D) +3.2 | Difference 1.2 |
Oct 30-31 | 752LV | Governor (KS) General election | IVR | Poll Davis (D) +4.0 | Actual Brownback (R) +3.7 | Difference 7.7 |
Oct 31 | 533LV | Senate (GA) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Perdue (R) +7.7 | Difference 7.7 |
Oct 31 | 617LV | Senate (IA) General election | IVR | Poll Ernst (R) +1.0 | Actual Ernst (R) +8.3 | Difference 7.3 |
Oct 30-31 | 752LV | Senate (KS) General election | IVR | Poll Roberts (R) +1.0 | Actual Roberts (R) +10.6 | Difference 9.6 |
Oct 31 | 738LV | Senate (NC) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Hagan (D) +1.0 | Actual Tillis (R) +1.6 | Difference 2.6 |
Oct 28-30 | 1,814LV | Governor (WI) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Walker (R) +1.0 | Actual Walker (R) +5.7 | Difference 4.7 |
Oct 29-30 | 937LV | Senate (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Warner (D) +9.0 | Actual Warner (D) +0.8 | Difference 8.2 |
Oct 28-29 | 573LV | Governor (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Hickenlooper (D) +3.3 | Difference 3.3 |
Oct 28-29 | 573LV | Senate (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Gardner (R) +1.9 | Difference 1.9 |
Oct 28-29 | 657LV | Senate (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Hagan (D) +1.0 | Actual Tillis (R) +1.6 | Difference 2.6 |
Oct 23-24 | 771LV | Governor (GA) General election | IVR | Poll Deal (R) +3.0 | Actual Deal (R) +7.9 | Difference 4.9 |
Oct 23-24 | 771LV | Senate (GA) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Perdue (R) +7.7 | Difference 7.7 |
Oct 22-23 | 660LV | Governor (ME) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual LePage (R) +4.8 | Difference 4.8 |
Oct 20-21 | 764LV | Senate (NH) General election | IVR | Poll Shaheen (D) +4.0 | Actual Shaheen (D) +3.2 | Difference 0.8 |
Oct 20-21 | 723LV | Senate (MI) General election | IVR | Poll Peters (D) +14.0 | Actual Peters (D) +13.3 | Difference 0.7 |
Oct 20-21 | 723LV | Governor (MI) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Snyder (R) +4.1 | Difference 4.1 |
Oct 20-21 | 764LV | Governor (NH) General election | IVR | Poll Hassan (D) +10.0 | Actual Hassan (D) +4.9 | Difference 5.1 |
Oct 16-19 | 778LV | Governor (CO) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Even | Actual Hickenlooper (D) +3.3 | Difference 3.3 |
Oct 16-19 | 778LV | Senate (CO) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Gardner (R) +3.0 | Actual Gardner (R) +1.9 | Difference 1.1 |
Oct 16-19 | 778LV | Governor (CO) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Hickenlooper (D) +1.0 | Actual Hickenlooper (D) +3.3 | Difference 2.3 |
Oct 18-19 | 595V | Senate (TN) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Alexander (R) +13.0 | Actual Alexander (R) +30.0 | Difference 17.0 |
Oct 17-18 | 860LV | Governor (WI) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Walker (R) +1.0 | Actual Walker (R) +5.7 | Difference 4.7 |
Oct 16-18 | 780LV | Senate (NC) General election | IVR/Online | Poll Hagan (D) +3.0 | Actual Tillis (R) +1.6 | Difference 4.6 |
Oct 15-16 | 714LV | Senate (IA) General election | IVR | Poll Braley (D) +1.0 | Actual Ernst (R) +8.3 | Difference 9.3 |
Mar 7-9 | 702LV | House (FL-13) Special election | IVR | Poll Sink (D) +3.0 | Actual Jolly (R) +1.9 | Difference 4.9 |
2013
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 2-3 | 870LV | Governor (VA) General election | IVR | Poll McAuliffe (D) +7.0 | Actual McAuliffe (D) +2.5 | Difference 4.5 |
Jun 3-4 | 560LV | Senate (MA) Special election | IVR | Poll Markey (D) +8.0 | Actual Markey (D) +10.2 | Difference 2.2 |
May 4-5 | 1,239LV | House (SC-1) Special election | IVR | Poll Sanford (R) +1.0 | Actual Sanford (R) +8.8 | Difference 7.8 |
Apr 19-21 | 796LV | House (SC-1) Special election | IVR | Poll Busch (D) +9.0 | Actual Sanford (R) +8.8 | Difference 17.8 |
2012
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 3-4 | 975LV | Senate (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Kaine (D) +6.0 | Actual Kaine (D) +5.9 | Difference 0.1 |
Nov 3-4 | 1,000LV | Senate (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Brown (D) +10.0 | Actual Brown (D) +6.0 | Difference 4.0 |
Nov 3-4 | 750LV | Senate (NV) General election | IVR | Poll Heller (R) +2.0 | Actual Heller (R) +1.2 | Difference 0.8 |
Nov 3-4 | 955LV | Senate (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Nelson (D) +5.0 | Actual Nelson (D) +13.0 | Difference 8.0 |
Nov 3-4 | 926LV | Governor (NC) General election | IVR | Poll McCrory (R) +7.0 | Actual McCrory (R) +11.4 | Difference 4.4 |
Nov 3-4 | 1,550LV | Governor (NH) General election | IVR | Poll Hassan (D) +4.0 | Actual Hassan (D) +12.1 | Difference 8.1 |
Nov 3-4 | 975LV | President (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.9 | Difference 0.1 |
Nov 3-4 | 1,000LV | President (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +5.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.0 | Difference 2.0 |
Nov 3-4 | 750LV | President (NV) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.7 | Difference 2.7 |
Nov 3-4 | 1,550LV | President (NH) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.6 | Difference 3.6 |
Nov 3-4 | 926LV | President (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +0.2 | Actual Romney (R) +2.0 | Difference 1.8 |
Nov 3-4 | 1,122LV | President (IA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.8 | Difference 3.8 |
Nov 3-4 | 955LV | President (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +0.9 | Difference 0.1 |
Nov 3-4 | 1,096LV | President (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +6.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.4 | Difference 0.6 |
Nov 1-4 | 1,300LV | House (National) General election | IVR | Poll Candidate (D) +1.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +1.0 | Difference 0.0 |
Nov 2-4 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.8 | Difference 1.8 |
Nov 2-3 | 836LV | House (MT-1) General election | IVR | Poll Daines (R) +4.0 | Actual Daines (R) +10.5 | Difference 6.5 |
Nov 2-3 | 790LV | Senate (PA) General election | IVR | Poll Casey (D) +8.0 | Actual Casey (D) +9.1 | Difference 1.1 |
Nov 2-3 | 836LV | Senate (MT) General election | IVR | Poll Tester (D) +2.0 | Actual Tester (D) +3.7 | Difference 1.7 |
Nov 2-3 | 835LV | Senate (MO) General election | IVR | Poll McCaskill (D) +4.0 | Actual McCaskill (D) +15.7 | Difference 11.7 |
Nov 2-3 | 1,164LV | Senate (MN) General election | IVR | Poll Klobuchar (D) +30.0 | Actual Klobuchar (D) +34.7 | Difference 4.7 |
Nov 2-3 | 1,080LV | Senate (AZ) General election | IVR | Poll Flake (R) +5.0 | Actual Flake (R) +3.0 | Difference 2.0 |
Nov 2-3 | 835LV | Governor (MO) General election | IVR | Poll Nixon (D) +8.0 | Actual Nixon (D) +12.2 | Difference 4.2 |
Nov 2-3 | 836LV | Governor (MT) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Bullock (D) +1.6 | Difference 1.6 |
Nov 2-3 | 1,256LV | President (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +3.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.8 | Difference 3.8 |
Nov 2-3 | 790LV | President (PA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +6.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.4 | Difference 0.6 |
Nov 2-3 | 836LV | President (MT) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +7.0 | Actual Romney (R) +13.7 | Difference 6.7 |
Nov 2-3 | 835LV | President (MO) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +8.0 | Actual Romney (R) +9.4 | Difference 1.4 |
Nov 2-3 | 1,080LV | President (AZ) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +7.0 | Actual Romney (R) +9.1 | Difference 2.1 |
Nov 1-3 | 932V | Senate (WA) General election | IVR | Poll Cantwell (D) +18.0 | Actual Cantwell (D) +20.9 | Difference 2.9 |
Nov 1-3 | 700LV | Senate (MI) General election | IVR | Poll Stabenow (D) +13.0 | Actual Stabenow (D) +20.8 | Difference 7.8 |
Nov 1-3 | 932V | Governor (WA) General election | IVR | Poll Inslee (D) +2.0 | Actual Inslee (D) +3.1 | Difference 1.1 |
Nov 1-3 | 932V | President (WA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +7.0 | Actual Obama (D) +14.9 | Difference 7.9 |
Nov 1-3 | 700LV | President (MI) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +6.0 | Actual Obama (D) +9.5 | Difference 3.5 |
Nov 2-3 | 1,256LV | Senate (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Baldwin (D) +3.0 | Actual Baldwin (D) +5.5 | Difference 2.5 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,089LV | Senate (MA) General election | IVR | Poll Warren (D) +6.0 | Actual Warren (D) +7.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,220LV | Senate (CT) General election | IVR | Poll Murphy (D) +9.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +11.8 | Difference 2.8 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,089LV | President (MA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +15.0 | Actual Obama (D) +23.1 | Difference 8.1 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,633LV | President (ME) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +13.0 | Actual Obama (D) +15.3 | Difference 2.3 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,220LV | President (CT) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +13.0 | Actual Obama (D) +17.3 | Difference 4.3 |
Nov 1-2 | 768LV | President (ME-2) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +5.0 | Actual Obama (D) +8.6 | Difference 3.6 |
Nov 1-2 | 865LV | President (ME-1) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +20.0 | Actual Obama (D) +21.4 | Difference 1.4 |
Nov 1-2 | 1,633LV | Senate (ME) General election | IVR | Poll King (I) +14.0 | Actual King (I) +22.1 | Difference 8.1 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 825LV | President (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.4 | Difference 1.4 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.8 | Difference 2.8 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 772LV | President (MN) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +9.0 | Actual Obama (D) +7.7 | Difference 1.3 |
Oct 30-31 | 500LV | President (MI) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +8.0 | Actual Obama (D) +9.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Oct 30-31 | 600LV | President (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +3.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.9 | Difference 0.9 |
Oct 29-31 | 730LV | Governor (NC) General election | IVR | Poll McCrory (R) +11.0 | Actual McCrory (R) +11.4 | Difference 0.4 |
Oct 29-31 | 730LV | President (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Romney (R) +2.0 | Difference 2.0 |
Oct 29-30 | 676LV | President (IA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +5.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.8 | Difference 0.8 |
Oct 29-30 | 600LV | President (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +5.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.0 | Difference 2.0 |
Oct 29-30 | 825LV | President (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +5.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.8 | Difference 1.8 |
Oct 25-28 | 1,400LV | House (National) General election | IVR | Poll Candidate (D) +1.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +1.0 | Difference 0.0 |
Oct 26-28 | 687LV | Senate (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Nelson (D) +8.0 | Actual Nelson (D) +13.0 | Difference 5.0 |
Oct 26-28 | 874LV | Governor (NH) General election | IVR | Poll Hassan (D) +4.0 | Actual Hassan (D) +12.1 | Difference 8.1 |
Oct 26-28 | 718LV | President (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.0 | Difference 1.0 |
Oct 26-28 | 874LV | President (NH) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.6 | Difference 3.6 |
Oct 26-28 | 687LV | President (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +0.9 | Difference 0.1 |
Oct 25-28 | 1,400LV | President (National) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Obama (D) +3.8 | Difference 3.8 |
Oct 26-28 | 718LV | Senate (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Brown (D) +11.0 | Actual Brown (D) +6.0 | Difference 5.0 |
Oct 25-26 | 654LV | House (NH-1) General election | IVR | Poll Guinta (R) +1.0 | Actual Shea-Porter (D) +3.8 | Difference 4.8 |
Oct 25-26 | 1,020LV | House (MN-8) General election | IVR | Poll Nolan (D) +4.0 | Actual Nolan (D) +8.9 | Difference 4.9 |
Oct 25-26 | 500LV | House (IL-8) General election | IVR | Poll Duckworth (D) +14.0 | Actual Duckworth (D) +9.5 | Difference 4.5 |
Oct 25-26 | 631LV | House (FL-18) General election | IVR | Poll Murphy (D) +1.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +0.6 | Difference 0.4 |
Oct 25-26 | 792LV | House (CA-7) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Bera (D) +3.4 | Difference 3.4 |
Oct 23-25 | 880LV | Governor (NC) General election | IVR | Poll McCrory (R) +13.0 | Actual McCrory (R) +11.4 | Difference 1.6 |
Oct 23-25 | 880LV | President (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Romney (R) +2.0 | Difference 2.0 |
Oct 23-25 | 904LV | President (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +3.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.4 | Difference 2.4 |
Oct 23-25 | 904LV | President (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.4 | Difference 1.4 |
Oct 23-24 | 722LV | President (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +5.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.9 | Difference 1.1 |
Oct 23-24 | 690LV | President (IA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.8 | Difference 3.8 |
Oct 22-24 | 636LV | Senate (NV) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Heller (R) +1.2 | Difference 1.2 |
Oct 22-24 | 636LV | President (NV) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.7 | Difference 2.7 |
Oct 22-24 | 636LV | President (NV) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.7 | Difference 4.7 |
Oct 23-24 | 727LV | Senate (NM) General election | IVR | Poll Heinrich (D) +8.0 | Actual Heinrich (D) +5.7 | Difference 2.3 |
Oct 23-24 | 827LV | President (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +6.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.8 | Difference 0.8 |
Oct 23-24 | 727LV | President (NM) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +9.0 | Actual Obama (D) +10.1 | Difference 1.1 |
Oct 21-23 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Obama (D) +3.8 | Difference 3.8 |
Oct 22 | 955LV | House (NY-23) General election | IVR | Poll Reed (R) +5.0 | Actual Reed (R) +3.8 | Difference 1.2 |
Oct 19-21 | 582LV | Senate (MO) General election | IVR | Poll McCaskill (D) +6.0 | Actual McCaskill (D) +15.7 | Difference 9.7 |
Oct 19-21 | 582LV | Governor (MO) General election | IVR | Poll Nixon (D) +11.0 | Actual Nixon (D) +12.2 | Difference 1.2 |
Oct 19-21 | 582LV | President (MO) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +6.0 | Actual Romney (R) +9.4 | Difference 3.4 |
Oct 18-21 | 1,300LV | House (National) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Candidate (D) +1.0 | Difference 1.0 |
Oct 19-20 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Obama (D) +3.8 | Difference 3.8 |
Oct 18-20 | 532LV | Senate (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Brown (D) +5.0 | Actual Brown (D) +6.0 | Difference 1.0 |
Oct 18-20 | 532LV | President (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.0 | Difference 2.0 |
Oct 18-19 | 500LV | President (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.9 | Difference 1.9 |
Oct 17-19 | 1,036LV | Governor (NH) General election | IVR | Poll Hassan (D) +2.0 | Actual Hassan (D) +12.1 | Difference 10.1 |
Oct 17-19 | 1,036LV | President (NH) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.6 | Difference 6.6 |
Oct 17-19 | 869LV | President (IA) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.8 | Difference 6.8 |
Oct 18-19 | 660LV | President (IA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.8 | Difference 4.8 |
Oct 17-18 | 800LV | Senate (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Nelson (D) +4.0 | Actual Nelson (D) +13.0 | Difference 9.0 |
Oct 17-18 | 800LV | President (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +0.9 | Difference 1.9 |
Oct 16-18 | 1,000LV | President (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +5.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.4 | Difference 0.4 |
Oct 16-18 | 1,000LV | President (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +3.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.4 | Difference 2.4 |
Oct 16-18 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.8 | Difference 2.8 |
Oct 15-16 | 733LV | President (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.9 | Difference 2.9 |
Oct 15-16 | 806LV | President (MT) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +10.0 | Actual Romney (R) +13.7 | Difference 3.7 |
Oct 15-16 | 709LV | President (MA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +18.0 | Actual Obama (D) +23.1 | Difference 5.1 |
Oct 15-16 | 1,015LV | President (CT) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +9.0 | Actual Obama (D) +17.3 | Difference 8.3 |
Oct 15-16 | 1,015LV | Senate (CT) General election | IVR | Poll Murphy (D) +4.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +11.8 | Difference 7.8 |
Oct 15-16 | 500LV | House (FL-22) General election | IVR | Poll Frankel (D) +3.0 | Actual Frankel (D) +9.3 | Difference 6.3 |
Oct 15-16 | 500LV | House (FL-18) General election | IVR | Poll West (R) +9.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +0.6 | Difference 9.6 |
Oct 15-16 | 733LV | Senate (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Kaine (D) +5.0 | Actual Kaine (D) +5.9 | Difference 0.9 |
Oct 15-16 | 806LV | Senate (MT) General election | IVR | Poll Tester (D) +2.0 | Actual Tester (D) +3.7 | Difference 1.7 |
Oct 15-16 | 709LV | Senate (MA) General election | IVR | Poll Warren (D) +9.0 | Actual Warren (D) +7.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Oct 15-16 | 574LV | Governor (WA) General election | IVR | Poll Inslee (D) +6.0 | Actual Inslee (D) +3.1 | Difference 2.9 |
Oct 15-16 | 574LV | President (WA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +5.0 | Actual Obama (D) +14.9 | Difference 9.9 |
Jun 9-10 | 2,012LV | House (AZ-8) Special election | IVR | Poll Barber (D) +12.0 | Actual Barber (D) +6.9 | Difference 5.1 |
Jun 2-3 | 1,226LV | Governor (WI) Special election | IVR | Poll Walker (R) +3.0 | Actual Walker (R) +6.8 | Difference 3.8 |
Mar 31-Apr 1 | 609LV | President (WI) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +7.0 | Actual Romney (R) +7.2 | Difference 0.2 |
Mar 31-Apr 1 | 500LV | President (MD) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +25.0 | Actual Romney (R) +20.5 | Difference 4.5 |
Mar 21-22 | 650LV | President (LA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Santorum (R) +14.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +22.3 | Difference 8.3 |
Mar 17-18 | 506LV | President (IL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +15.0 | Actual Romney (R) +11.7 | Difference 3.3 |
Mar 10-11 | 656LV | President (MS) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Gingrich (R) +6.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +1.6 | Difference 7.6 |
Mar 10-11 | 600LV | President (AL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Gingrich (R) +1.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +5.2 | Difference 6.2 |
Mar 3-4 | 525LV | President (TN) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Santorum (R) +5.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +9.0 | Difference 4.0 |
Mar 3-4 | 728LV | President (GA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Gingrich (R) +23.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +21.3 | Difference 1.7 |
Mar 3-4 | 666LV | President (OH) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +1.0 | Actual Romney (R) +1.0 | Difference 0.0 |
Feb 29-Mar 1 | 447LV | President (WA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +21.0 | Actual Romney (R) +12.8 | Difference 8.2 |
Feb 26-27 | 992LV | President (MI) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Santorum (R) +1.0 | Actual Romney (R) +3.2 | Difference 4.2 |
Feb 26 | 515LV | President (AZ) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +17.0 | Actual Romney (R) +19.8 | Difference 2.8 |
Feb 16-19 | 400LV | President (WA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +12.0 | Actual Romney (R) +12.8 | Difference 0.8 |
Feb 17-19 | 602LV | President (MI) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Santorum (R) +4.0 | Actual Romney (R) +3.2 | Difference 7.2 |
Feb 17-19 | 412V | President (AZ) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +3.0 | Actual Romney (R) +19.8 | Difference 16.8 |
Feb 10-12 | 404V | President (MI) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Santorum (R) +15.0 | Actual Romney (R) +3.2 | Difference 18.2 |
Feb 4-6 | 864LV | President (MN) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Santorum (R) +13.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +17.8 | Difference 4.8 |
Feb 4-6 | 938LV | President (CO) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +10.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +5.5 | Difference 15.5 |
Feb 4 | 410LV | President (MN) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Santorum (R) +10.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +17.8 | Difference 7.8 |
Feb 4 | 527LV | President (CO) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +14.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +5.5 | Difference 19.5 |
Feb 1-2 | 937LV | President (NV) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +25.0 | Actual Romney (R) +28.9 | Difference 3.9 |
Jan 30 | 354LV | President (FL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +7.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 7.5 |
Jan 29 | 346LV | President (FL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +9.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 5.5 |
Jan 28 | 387LV | President (FL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +8.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 6.5 |
Jan 22-23 | 921LV | President (FL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Gingrich (R) +5.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 19.5 |
Jan 21-22 | 303LV | President (MN) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Santorum (R) +4.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +17.8 | Difference 13.8 |
Jan 20 | 704LV | President (SC) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Gingrich (R) +14.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +12.6 | Difference 1.4 |
Jan 19 | 457LV | President (SC) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Gingrich (R) +6.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +12.6 | Difference 6.6 |
Jan 18 | 379LV | President (SC) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Gingrich (R) +4.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +12.6 | Difference 8.6 |
Jan 14-16 | 572LV | President (FL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +15.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 0.5 |
Jan 11-13 | 803LV | President (SC) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +5.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +12.6 | Difference 17.6 |
Jan 7-8 | 1,771LV | President (NH) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +17.0 | Actual Romney (R) +16.4 | Difference 0.6 |
Jan 1 | 670LV | President (IA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Santorum (R) +0.0 | Difference 0.0 |
Dec 31 | 670LV | President (IA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +3.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +0.0 | Difference 3.0 |
Dec 26-27 | 565LV | President (IA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +10.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +0.0 | Difference 10.0 |
Dec 16-18 | 597LV | President (IA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +10.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +0.0 | Difference 10.0 |
2011
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 4-6 | 796LV | Governor (MS) General election | IVR | Poll Bryant (R) +14.0 | Actual Bryant (R) +22.0 | Difference 8.0 |
Sep 30-Oct 2 | 932LV | Governor (WV) Special election | IVR | Poll Tomblin (D) +1.0 | Actual Tomblin (D) +2.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Sep 9-11 | 629LV | House (NV-2) Special election | IVR | Poll Amodei (R) +13.0 | Actual Amodei (R) +21.9 | Difference 8.9 |
Sep 8-11 | 664LV | House (NY-9) Special election | IVR | Poll Turner (R) +6.0 | Actual Turner (R) +5.2 | Difference 0.8 |
Jul 8-10 | 619LV | House (CA-36) Special election | IVR | Poll Hahn (D) +8.0 | Actual Hahn (D) +9.8 | Difference 1.8 |
May 21-22 | 1,106LV | House (NY-26) Special election | IVR | Poll Hochul (D) +6.0 | Actual Hochul (D) +5.0 | Difference 1.0 |
May 5-8 | 1,048LV | House (NY-26) Special election | IVR | Poll Hochul (D) +4.0 | Actual Hochul (D) +5.0 | Difference 1.0 |
2010
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 30-31 | 1,676LV | Senate (WV) Special election | IVR | Poll Manchin (D) +5.0 | Actual Manchin (D) +10.1 | Difference 5.1 |
Oct 30-31 | 772LV | Senate (PA) General election | IVR | Poll Toomey (R) +5.0 | Actual Toomey (R) +2.0 | Difference 3.0 |
Oct 30-31 | 682LV | Senate (NV) General election | IVR | Poll Angle (R) +1.0 | Actual Reid (D) +5.7 | Difference 6.7 |
Oct 30-31 | 814LV | Senate (IL) General election | IVR | Poll Kirk (R) +4.0 | Actual Kirk (R) +1.6 | Difference 2.4 |
Oct 30-31 | 814LV | Senate (IL) General election | IVR | Poll Kirk (R) +1.0 | Actual Kirk (R) +1.6 | Difference 0.6 |
Oct 30-31 | 773LV | Senate (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Rubio (R) +17.0 | Actual Rubio (R) +19.2 | Difference 2.2 |
Oct 30-31 | 1,059LV | Senate (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Buck (R) +1.0 | Actual Bennet (D) +1.6 | Difference 2.6 |
Oct 30-31 | 1,539LV | Senate (AK) General election | IVR | Poll Miller (R) +7.0 | Actual Murkowski (W) +4.0 | Difference 11.0 |
Oct 30-31 | 772LV | Governor (PA) General election | IVR | Poll Corbett (R) +7.0 | Actual Corbett (R) +9.0 | Difference 2.0 |
Oct 30-31 | 682LV | Governor (NV) General election | IVR | Poll Sandoval (R) +11.0 | Actual Sandoval (R) +11.7 | Difference 0.7 |
Oct 30-31 | 814LV | Governor (IL) General election | IVR | Poll Brady (R) +5.0 | Actual Quinn (D) +0.9 | Difference 5.9 |
Oct 30-31 | 773LV | Governor (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Sink (D) +1.0 | Actual Scott (R) +1.1 | Difference 2.1 |
Oct 30-31 | 1,059LV | Governor (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Hickenlooper (D) +5.0 | Actual Hickenlooper (D) +14.7 | Difference 9.7 |
Oct 30-31 | 1,539LV | Governor (AK) General election | IVR | Poll Parnell (R) +11.0 | Actual Parnell (R) +21.4 | Difference 10.4 |
Oct 29-31 | 2,055LV | Senate (WA) General election | IVR | Poll Rossi (R) +2.0 | Actual Murray (D) +4.7 | Difference 6.7 |
Oct 29-31 | 847LV | Senate (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Burr (R) +12.0 | Actual Burr (R) +11.8 | Difference 0.2 |
Oct 29-31 | 882LV | Senate (CA) General election | IVR | Poll Boxer (D) +4.0 | Actual Boxer (D) +10.0 | Difference 6.0 |
Oct 29-31 | 882LV | Governor (CA) General election | IVR | Poll Brown (D) +5.0 | Actual Brown (D) +12.9 | Difference 7.9 |
Oct 28-30 | 1,356LV | Senate (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Portman (R) +18.0 | Actual Portman (R) +17.4 | Difference 0.6 |
Oct 28-30 | 1,356LV | Governor (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Kasich (R) +1.0 | Actual Kasich (R) +2.0 | Difference 1.0 |
Oct 28-30 | 1,021LV | Senate (KY) General election | IVR | Poll Paul (R) +15.0 | Actual Paul (R) +11.5 | Difference 3.5 |
Oct 27-29 | 1,308LV | Senate (NH) General election | IVR | Poll Ayotte (R) +15.0 | Actual Ayotte (R) +23.2 | Difference 8.2 |
Oct 27-29 | 759LV | Senate (CT) General election | IVR | Poll Blumenthal (D) +11.0 | Actual Blumenthal (D) +11.9 | Difference 0.9 |
Oct 27-29 | 2,058LV | Governor (MN) General election | IVR | Poll Dayton (D) +3.0 | Actual Dayton (D) +0.4 | Difference 2.6 |
Oct 27-29 | 1,308LV | Governor (NH) General election | IVR | Poll Lynch (D) +9.0 | Actual Lynch (D) +7.6 | Difference 1.4 |
Oct 27-29 | 759LV | Governor (CT) General election | IVR | Poll Foley (R) +2.0 | Actual Malloy (D) +0.6 | Difference 2.6 |
Oct 26-28 | 1,372LV | Senate (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Johnson (R) +9.0 | Actual Johnson (R) +4.8 | Difference 4.2 |
Oct 26-28 | 1,372LV | Governor (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Walker (R) +9.0 | Actual Walker (R) +5.8 | Difference 3.2 |
Oct 26-28 | 568LV | Governor (TX) General election | IVR | Poll Perry (R) +9.0 | Actual Perry (R) +12.7 | Difference 3.7 |
Oct 26-28 | 1,812LV | Governor (ME) General election | IVR | Poll LePage (R) +12.0 | Actual LePage (R) +11.2 | Difference 0.8 |
Oct 23-24 | 600LV | House (WI-8) General election | IVR | Poll Ribble (R) +3.0 | Actual Ribble (R) +9.6 | Difference 6.6 |
Oct 23-24 | 1,246LV | Senate (WV) Special election | IVR | Poll Manchin (D) +6.0 | Actual Manchin (D) +10.1 | Difference 4.1 |
Oct 23-24 | 664LV | Senate (AZ) General election | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +18.0 | Actual McCain (R) +24.2 | Difference 6.2 |
Oct 23-24 | 664LV | Governor (AZ) General election | IVR | Poll Brewer (R) +8.0 | Actual Brewer (R) +11.9 | Difference 3.9 |
Oct 21-24 | 900LV | Senate (KY) General election | IVR | Poll Paul (R) +13.0 | Actual Paul (R) +11.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Oct 21-23 | 818LV | Senate (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Bennet (D) +1.6 | Difference 1.6 |
Oct 21-23 | 622LV | Senate (CA) General election | IVR | Poll Boxer (D) +9.0 | Actual Boxer (D) +10.0 | Difference 1.0 |
Oct 21-23 | 818LV | Governor (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Hickenlooper (D) +3.0 | Actual Hickenlooper (D) +14.7 | Difference 11.7 |
Oct 21-23 | 622LV | Governor (CA) General election | IVR | Poll Brown (D) +11.0 | Actual Brown (D) +12.9 | Difference 1.9 |
Oct 17-18 | 718LV | Senate (PA) General election | IVR | Poll Sestak (D) +1.0 | Actual Toomey (R) +2.0 | Difference 3.0 |
Oct 17-18 | 646LV | Senate (MO) General election | IVR | Poll Blunt (R) +5.0 | Actual Blunt (R) +13.6 | Difference 8.6 |
Oct 17-18 | 718LV | Governor (PA) General election | IVR | Poll Corbett (R) +2.0 | Actual Corbett (R) +9.0 | Difference 7.0 |
Oct 16-17 | 655LV | House (AZ-3) General election | IVR | Poll Hulburd (D) +2.0 | Actual Quayle (R) +11.1 | Difference 13.1 |
Oct 16-17 | 1,229LV | Senate (OR) General election | IVR | Poll Wyden (D) +16.0 | Actual Wyden (D) +18.0 | Difference 2.0 |
Oct 16-17 | 1,229LV | Governor (OR) General election | IVR | Poll Kitzhaber (D) +1.0 | Actual Kitzhaber (D) +1.5 | Difference 0.5 |
Oct 15-17 | 597LV | Senate (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Burr (R) +8.0 | Actual Burr (R) +11.8 | Difference 3.8 |
Oct 14-16 | 1,873LV | Senate (WA) General election | IVR | Poll Murray (D) +2.0 | Actual Murray (D) +4.7 | Difference 2.7 |
Oct 14-16 | 557LV | Senate (IL) General election | IVR | Poll Kirk (R) +1.0 | Actual Kirk (R) +1.6 | Difference 0.6 |
Oct 14-16 | 557LV | Senate (IL) General election | IVR | Poll Kirk (R) +2.0 | Actual Kirk (R) +1.6 | Difference 0.4 |
Oct 14-16 | 557LV | Governor (IL) General election | IVR | Poll Brady (R) +1.0 | Actual Quinn (D) +0.9 | Difference 1.9 |
Oct 14-16 | 557LV | Governor (IL) General election | IVR | Poll Brady (R) +5.0 | Actual Quinn (D) +0.9 | Difference 5.9 |
May 15-16 | 831LV | House (PA-12) Special election | IVR | Poll Burns (R) +1.0 | Actual Critz (D) +7.7 | Difference 8.7 |
Jan 16-17 | 1,231LV | Senate (MA) Special election | IVR | Poll Brown (R) +5.0 | Actual Brown (R) +4.8 | Difference 0.2 |
Jan 7-9 | 774LV | Senate (MA) Special election | IVR | Poll Brown (R) +1.0 | Actual Brown (R) +4.8 | Difference 3.8 |
2009
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 1,754LV | House (NY-23) Special election | IVR | Poll Hoffman (C) +17.0 | Actual Owens (D) +2.4 | Difference 19.4 |
Oct 31-Nov 1 | 994LV | Governor (NJ) General election | IVR | Poll Christie (R) +6.0 | Actual Christie (R) +3.6 | Difference 2.4 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,457LV | Governor (VA) General election | IVR | Poll McDonnell (R) +14.0 | Actual McDonnell (R) +17.4 | Difference 3.4 |
Oct 23-26 | 729LV | Governor (VA) General election | IVR | Poll McDonnell (R) +15.0 | Actual McDonnell (R) +17.4 | Difference 2.4 |
Oct 23-26 | 630LV | Governor (NJ) General election | IVR | Poll Christie (R) +4.0 | Actual Christie (R) +3.6 | Difference 0.4 |
Oct 16-19 | 666LV | Governor (VA) General election | IVR | Poll McDonnell (R) +12.0 | Actual McDonnell (R) +17.4 | Difference 5.4 |
2008
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 2,734LV | House (MT-1) General election | IVR | Poll Rehberg (R) +25.0 | Actual Rehberg (R) +31.7 | Difference 6.7 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 1,557LV | Senate (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Warner (D) +26.0 | Actual Warner (D) +31.3 | Difference 5.3 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 2,100LV | Senate (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Hagan (D) +7.0 | Actual Hagan (D) +8.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 2,734LV | Senate (MT) General election | IVR | Poll Baucus (D) +45.0 | Actual Baucus (D) +45.8 | Difference 0.8 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 1,253LV | Senate (GA) General election | IVR | Poll Chambliss (R) +2.0 | Actual Chambliss (R) +2.9 | Difference 0.9 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 2,100LV | Governor (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Perdue (D) +1.0 | Actual Perdue (D) +3.4 | Difference 2.4 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 2,734LV | Governor (MT) General election | IVR | Poll Schweitzer (D) +26.0 | Actual Schweitzer (D) +33.0 | Difference 7.0 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 1,343LV | Governor (MO) General election | IVR | Poll Nixon (D) +19.5 | Actual Nixon (D) +18.9 | Difference 0.6 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 2,634LV | Governor (IN) General election | IVR | Poll Daniels (R) +23.0 | Actual Daniels (R) +17.8 | Difference 5.2 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 1,557LV | President (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +6.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.3 | Difference 0.3 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 1,529LV | President (PA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +8.0 | Actual Obama (D) +10.3 | Difference 2.3 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 1,208V | President (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +4.6 | Difference 2.6 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 1,243LV | President (NV) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +12.5 | Difference 8.5 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 2,100LV | President (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +0.3 | Difference 0.7 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 2,734LV | President (MT) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual McCain (R) +2.3 | Difference 3.3 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 1,343LV | President (MO) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual McCain (R) +0.1 | Difference 0.1 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 2,634LV | President (IN) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +1.0 | Difference 0.0 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 1,253LV | President (GA) General election | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +2.0 | Actual McCain (R) +5.2 | Difference 3.2 |
Oct 31-Nov 2 | 1,717LV | President (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +2.8 | Difference 0.8 |
Oct 29-30 | 2,128LV | Senate (WV) General election | IVR | Poll Rockefeller (D) +18.0 | Actual Rockefeller (D) +27.5 | Difference 9.5 |
Oct 29-30 | 2,128LV | Governor (WV) General election | IVR | Poll Manchin (D) +42.0 | Actual Manchin (D) +44.1 | Difference 2.1 |
Oct 29-30 | 2,128LV | President (WV) General election | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +13.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.1 | Difference 0.1 |
Oct 28-30 | 1,424LV | Senate (OR) General election | IVR | Poll Merkley (D) +8.0 | Actual Merkley (D) +3.4 | Difference 4.6 |
Oct 28-30 | 1,537LV | Senate (NM) General election | IVR | Poll Udall (D) +19.0 | Actual Udall (D) +22.7 | Difference 3.7 |
Oct 28-30 | 1,050LV | Senate (MN) General election | IVR | Poll Franken (D) +5.0 | Actual Franken (D) +0.0 | Difference 5.0 |
Oct 28-30 | 2,023LV | Senate (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Udall (D) +15.0 | Actual Udall (D) +10.3 | Difference 4.7 |
Oct 28-30 | 1,424LV | President (OR) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +15.0 | Actual Obama (D) +16.3 | Difference 1.3 |
Oct 28-30 | 1,537LV | President (NM) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +17.0 | Actual Obama (D) +15.1 | Difference 1.9 |
Oct 28-30 | 1,050LV | President (MN) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +16.0 | Actual Obama (D) +10.2 | Difference 5.8 |
Oct 28-30 | 1,532LV | President (MI) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +13.0 | Actual Obama (D) +16.5 | Difference 3.5 |
Oct 28-30 | 2,023LV | President (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +10.0 | Actual Obama (D) +9.0 | Difference 1.0 |
Oct 28-30 | 1,532LV | Senate (MI) General election | IVR | Poll Levin (D) +22.0 | Actual Levin (D) +28.8 | Difference 6.8 |
Oct 25-27 | 1,589LV | House (NC-8) General election | IVR | Poll Kissell (D) +5.0 | Actual Kissell (D) +10.8 | Difference 5.8 |
Oct 25-26 | 1,038LV | Senate (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Hagan (D) +3.0 | Actual Hagan (D) +8.5 | Difference 5.5 |
Oct 25-26 | 1,038LV | Governor (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Perdue (D) +3.0 | Actual Perdue (D) +3.4 | Difference 0.4 |
Oct 25-26 | 1,038LV | President (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +0.3 | Difference 0.7 |
Oct 22-23 | 993LV | President (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +7.0 | Actual Obama (D) +4.6 | Difference 2.4 |
Oct 21-23 | 1,231LV | Senate (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Warner (D) +28.0 | Actual Warner (D) +31.3 | Difference 3.3 |
Oct 21-23 | 1,231LV | President (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +9.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.3 | Difference 2.7 |
Oct 18-19 | 1,200LV | Senate (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Hagan (D) +7.0 | Actual Hagan (D) +8.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Oct 18-19 | 1,200LV | Governor (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Perdue (D) +4.0 | Actual Perdue (D) +3.4 | Difference 0.6 |
Oct 18-19 | 1,411LV | Governor (IN) General election | IVR | Poll Daniels (R) +21.0 | Actual Daniels (R) +17.8 | Difference 3.2 |
Oct 18-19 | 1,200LV | President (NC) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +7.0 | Actual Obama (D) +0.3 | Difference 6.7 |
Oct 18-19 | 1,411LV | President (IN) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +1.0 | Difference 1.0 |
Oct 16-19 | 1,158LV | President (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +2.8 | Difference 1.8 |
Oct 16-17 | 1,223LV | President (WV) General election | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +8.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.1 | Difference 5.1 |
May 17-18 | 1,296LV | President (OR) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +19.0 | Actual Obama (D) +18.0 | Difference 1.0 |
May 10-11 | 949LV | President (OR) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +14.0 | Actual Obama (D) +18.0 | Difference 4.0 |
May 3-4 | 870LV | President (NC) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +10.0 | Actual Obama (D) +14.5 | Difference 4.5 |
May 3-4 | 851LV | President (IN) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +5.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +1.1 | Difference 3.9 |
Apr 26-27 | 1,388LV | President (IN) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +8.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +1.1 | Difference 6.9 |
Apr 26-27 | 1,121LV | President (NC) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +12.0 | Actual Obama (D) +14.5 | Difference 2.5 |
Apr 19-20 | 962LV | President (NC) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +25.0 | Actual Obama (D) +14.5 | Difference 10.5 |
Apr 19-20 | 2,338LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +9.1 | Difference 12.1 |
Apr 14-15 | 1,095LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +9.1 | Difference 12.1 |
Apr 7-8 | 1,124LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +9.1 | Difference 6.1 |
Mar 31-Apr 1 | 1,224LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +9.1 | Difference 11.1 |
Mar 1-2 | 643LV | President (TX) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +12.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.2 | Difference 1.2 |
Mar 1-2 | 612LV | President (OH) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +17.0 | Actual McCain (R) +22.2 | Difference 5.2 |
Mar 1-2 | 1,112LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +9.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +8.7 | Difference 0.3 |
Mar 1-2 | 755LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +6.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +3.5 | Difference 2.5 |
Feb 23-24 | 423LV | President (TX) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +16.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.2 | Difference 2.8 |
Feb 23-24 | 434LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Clinton (D) +3.5 | Difference 3.5 |
Feb 23-24 | 430LV | President (OH) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +25.0 | Actual McCain (R) +22.2 | Difference 2.8 |
Feb 23-24 | 600LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +4.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +8.7 | Difference 4.7 |
Feb 16-17 | 654LV | President (WI) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +11.0 | Actual McCain (R) +17.8 | Difference 6.8 |
Feb 16-17 | 822LV | President (WI) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +13.0 | Actual Obama (D) +17.3 | Difference 4.3 |
Feb 11 | 700LV | President (WI) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +21.0 | Actual McCain (R) +17.8 | Difference 3.2 |
Feb 11 | 642LV | President (WI) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +11.0 | Actual Obama (D) +17.3 | Difference 6.3 |
Feb 3 | 780LV | President (NY) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +25.0 | Actual McCain (R) +24.1 | Difference 0.9 |
Feb 3 | 747LV | President (NY) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +19.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +17.0 | Difference 2.0 |
Feb 2-3 | 1,263LV | President (GA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +4.0 | Actual Huckabee (R) +2.3 | Difference 6.3 |
Feb 2-3 | 1,017LV | President (GA) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +16.0 | Actual Obama (D) +35.3 | Difference 19.3 |
Feb 2 | 1,251LV | President (TN) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +22.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +13.3 | Difference 8.7 |
Feb 2 | 1,116LV | President (TN) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +6.0 | Actual Huckabee (R) +2.7 | Difference 8.7 |
Jan 30 | 862LV | President (GA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +7.0 | Actual Huckabee (R) +2.3 | Difference 9.3 |
Jan 30 | 457LV | President (GA) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +10.0 | Actual Obama (D) +35.3 | Difference 25.3 |
Jan 29 | 837LV | President (NY) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +12.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +17.0 | Difference 5.0 |
Jan 28 | 1,093LV | President (TN) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Huckabee (R) +4.0 | Actual Huckabee (R) +2.7 | Difference 1.3 |
Jan 27 | 680LV | President (FL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +7.0 | Actual McCain (R) +5.0 | Difference 12.0 |
Jan 24 | 595LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +20.0 | Actual Obama (D) +28.9 | Difference 8.9 |
Jan 22 | 807LV | President (FL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +3.0 | Actual McCain (R) +5.0 | Difference 8.0 |
Jan 21 | 580LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +16.0 | Actual Obama (D) +28.9 | Difference 12.9 |
Jan 16 | 772LV | President (SC) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +8.0 | Actual McCain (R) +3.3 | Difference 4.7 |
Jan 11-12 | 510LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +13.0 | Actual Obama (D) +28.9 | Difference 15.9 |
Jan 11-12 | 1,272LV | President (SC) Republican primary | IVR | Poll McCain (R) +7.0 | Actual McCain (R) +3.3 | Difference 3.7 |
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