Polls analyzed | 11 |
Races called correctly | 100% |
Most recent cycle | 2006 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Richard Day Research?
2006
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 19-24 | 500LV | House (IL-6) General election | Live Phone | Poll Roskam (R) +4.0 | Actual Roskam (R) +2.7 | Difference 1.3 |
Oct 18-24 | 500LV | House (IL-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bean (D) +3.0 | Actual Bean (D) +6.9 | Difference 3.9 |
Oct 16-22 | 603LV | Governor (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Blagojevich (D) +16.0 | Actual Blagojevich (D) +10.5 | Difference 5.5 |
2004
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 15-20 | 828RV | Senate (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +50.0 | Actual Obama (D) +42.9 | Difference 7.1 |
Oct 15-20 | 828RV | President (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +10.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +10.3 | Difference 0.3 |
2002
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 18-23 | 800LV | Governor (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Blagojevich (D) +9.0 | Actual Blagojevich (D) +7.1 | Difference 1.9 |
Oct 18-23 | 800LV | Senate (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Durbin (D) +21.0 | Actual Durbin (D) +22.3 | Difference 1.3 |
2000
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 19-26 | 801LV | President (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +5.0 | Actual Gore (D) +12.0 | Difference 7.0 |
Oct 22-24 | 305LV | House (IL-10) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kirk (R) +10.0 | Actual Kirk (R) +2.4 | Difference 7.6 |
1998
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 26-27 | 712LV | Governor (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Ryan (R) +21.0 | Actual Ryan (R) +3.6 | Difference 17.4 |
Oct 26-27 | 712LV | Senate (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Fitzgerald (R) +10.0 | Actual Fitzgerald (R) +2.9 | Difference 7.1 |
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