B/C
| Polls analyzed | 11 |
| Races called correctly | 100% |
| Most recent cycle | 2006 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Richard Day Research?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2006
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19-24 | 500LV | House (IL-6) General election | Live Phone | Poll Roskam (R) +4.0 | Actual Roskam (R) +2.7 | Difference 1.3 |
| Oct 18-24 | 500LV | House (IL-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bean (D) +3.0 | Actual Bean (D) +6.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 16-22 | 603LV | Governor (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Blagojevich (D) +16.0 | Actual Blagojevich (D) +10.5 | Difference 5.5 |
2004
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15-20 | 828RV | Senate (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +50.0 | Actual Obama (D) +42.9 | Difference 7.1 |
| Oct 15-20 | 828RV | President (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +10.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +10.3 | Difference 0.3 |
2002
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18-23 | 800LV | Governor (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Blagojevich (D) +9.0 | Actual Blagojevich (D) +7.1 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 18-23 | 800LV | Senate (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Durbin (D) +21.0 | Actual Durbin (D) +22.3 | Difference 1.3 |
2000
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19-26 | 801LV | President (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +5.0 | Actual Gore (D) +12.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 22-24 | 305LV | House (IL-10) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kirk (R) +10.0 | Actual Kirk (R) +2.4 | Difference 7.6 |
1998
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26-27 | 712LV | Governor (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Ryan (R) +21.0 | Actual Ryan (R) +3.6 | Difference 17.4 |
| Oct 26-27 | 712LV | Senate (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Fitzgerald (R) +10.0 | Actual Fitzgerald (R) +2.9 | Difference 7.1 |
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