B+
| Polls analyzed | 45 |
| Races called correctly | 67% |
| Most recent cycle | 2006 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | Yes |
How accurate are the polls from RT Strategies?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2006
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26-29 | 600LV | House (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Candidate (D) +23.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +7.5 | Difference 15.5 |
| Oct 26-29 | 807LV | House (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Candidate (D) +26.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +7.5 | Difference 18.5 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,008LV | House (PA-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hart (R) +4.0 | Actual Altmire (D) +3.9 | Difference 7.9 |
| Oct 24-26 | 984LV | House (WI-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kagen (D) +6.0 | Actual Kagen (D) +2.1 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,004LV | House (WA-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Burner (D) +2.0 | Actual Reichert (R) +2.9 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 24-26 | 991LV | House (WA-5) General election | Live Phone | Poll McMorris Rodgers (R) +5.0 | Actual McMorris Rodgers (R) +12.8 | Difference 7.8 |
| Oct 24-26 | 989LV | House (VA-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kellam (D) +5.0 | Actual Drake (R) +2.8 | Difference 7.8 |
| Oct 24-26 | 600LV | House (PA-10) General election | Live Phone | Poll Carney (D) +7.0 | Actual Carney (D) +5.9 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 24-26 | 994LV | House (PA-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Murphy (D) +3.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +0.6 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 24-26 | 600LV | House (PA-7) General election | Live Phone | Poll Sestak (D) +7.0 | Actual Sestak (D) +12.8 | Difference 5.8 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,006LV | House (PA-6) General election | Live Phone | Poll Murphy (D) +5.0 | Actual Gerlach (R) +1.3 | Difference 6.3 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,002LV | House (OH-12) General election | Live Phone | Poll Tiberi (R) +5.0 | Actual Tiberi (R) +14.6 | Difference 9.6 |
| Oct 24-26 | 972LV | House (OH-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Schmidt (R) +5.0 | Actual Schmidt (R) +1.1 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 24-26 | 999LV | House (OH-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Cranley (D) +2.0 | Actual Chabot (R) +4.5 | Difference 6.5 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,002LV | House (NC-11) General election | Live Phone | Poll Shuler (D) +9.0 | Actual Shuler (D) +7.6 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 24-26 | 999LV | House (NC-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kissell (D) +4.0 | Actual Hayes (R) +0.3 | Difference 4.3 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,004LV | House (NY-29) General election | Live Phone | Poll Massa (D) +11.0 | Actual Kuhl (R) +2.9 | Difference 13.9 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,020LV | House (NY-25) General election | Live Phone | Poll Maffei (D) +9.0 | Actual Walsh (R) +1.6 | Difference 10.6 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,040LV | House (NY-20) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gillibrand (D) +11.0 | Actual Gillibrand (D) +6.2 | Difference 4.8 |
| Oct 24-26 | 944LV | House (NY-19) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hall (D) +2.0 | Actual Hall (D) +2.4 | Difference 0.4 |
| Oct 24-26 | 982LV | House (NY-3) General election | Live Phone | Poll King (R) +7.0 | Actual King (R) +12.1 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,013LV | House (NJ-7) General election | Live Phone | Poll Ferguson (R) +3.0 | Actual Ferguson (R) +1.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 24-26 | 988LV | House (NH-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hodes (D) +3.0 | Actual Hodes (D) +7.1 | Difference 4.1 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,031LV | House (NV-3) General election | Live Phone | Poll Porter (R) +7.0 | Actual Porter (R) +1.9 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,056LV | House (MN-6) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bachmann (R) +1.0 | Actual Bachmann (R) +8.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,042LV | House (MN-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gutknecht (R) +3.0 | Actual Walz (D) +5.6 | Difference 8.6 |
| Oct 24-26 | 996LV | House (KY-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Lucas (D) +4.0 | Actual Davis (R) +8.3 | Difference 12.3 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,010LV | House (KY-3) General election | Live Phone | Poll Yarmuth (D) +6.0 | Actual Yarmuth (D) +2.4 | Difference 3.6 |
| Oct 24-26 | 600LV | House (IA-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Leach (R) +2.0 | Actual Loebsack (D) +2.9 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,023LV | House (IN-9) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hill (D) +8.0 | Actual Hill (D) +4.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,065LV | House (IN-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Ellsworth (D) +10.0 | Actual Ellsworth (D) +22.0 | Difference 12.0 |
| Oct 24-26 | 977LV | House (IN-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Donnelly (D) +3.0 | Actual Donnelly (D) +8.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,008LV | House (IL-10) General election | Live Phone | Poll Seals (D) +2.0 | Actual Kirk (R) +6.8 | Difference 8.8 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,013LV | House (IL-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bean (D) +5.0 | Actual Bean (D) +6.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 24-26 | 990LV | House (IL-6) General election | Live Phone | Poll Duckworth (D) +1.0 | Actual Roskam (R) +2.7 | Difference 3.7 |
| Oct 24-26 | 961LV | House (FL-22) General election | Live Phone | Poll Klein (D) +2.0 | Actual Klein (D) +3.8 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,005LV | House (FL-13) General election | Live Phone | Poll Jennings (D) +2.0 | Actual Buchanan (R) +0.2 | Difference 2.2 |
| Oct 24-26 | 994LV | House (CT-5) General election | Live Phone | Poll Murphy (D) +8.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +12.9 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 24-26 | 976LV | House (CT-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Shays (R) +9.0 | Actual Shays (R) +3.4 | Difference 5.6 |
| Oct 24-26 | 947LV | House (CT-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Courtney (D) +6.0 | Actual Courtney (D) +0.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Oct 24-26 | 983LV | House (CO-7) General election | Live Phone | Poll Perlmutter (D) +5.0 | Actual Perlmutter (D) +12.9 | Difference 7.9 |
| Oct 24-26 | 991LV | House (CO-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Paccione (D) +3.0 | Actual Musgrave (R) +2.5 | Difference 5.5 |
| Oct 24-26 | 983LV | House (CA-11) General election | Live Phone | Poll McNerney (D) +2.0 | Actual McNerney (D) +6.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Oct 24-26 | 954LV | House (CA-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Doolittle (R) +3.0 | Actual Doolittle (R) +3.2 | Difference 0.2 |
| Oct 24-26 | 1,037LV | House (AZ-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Renzi (R) +2.0 | Actual Renzi (R) +8.3 | Difference 6.3 |
| Oct 19-22 | 600LV | House (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Candidate (D) +22.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +7.5 | Difference 14.5 |
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