Polls analyzed | 45 |
Races called correctly | 67% |
Most recent cycle | 2006 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | Yes |
How accurate are the polls from RT Strategies?
2006
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 26-29 | 600LV | House (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Candidate (D) +23.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +7.5 | Difference 15.5 |
Oct 26-29 | 807LV | House (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Candidate (D) +26.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +7.5 | Difference 18.5 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,008LV | House (PA-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hart (R) +4.0 | Actual Altmire (D) +3.9 | Difference 7.9 |
Oct 24-26 | 984LV | House (WI-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kagen (D) +6.0 | Actual Kagen (D) +2.1 | Difference 3.9 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,004LV | House (WA-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Burner (D) +2.0 | Actual Reichert (R) +2.9 | Difference 4.9 |
Oct 24-26 | 991LV | House (WA-5) General election | Live Phone | Poll McMorris Rodgers (R) +5.0 | Actual McMorris Rodgers (R) +12.8 | Difference 7.8 |
Oct 24-26 | 989LV | House (VA-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kellam (D) +5.0 | Actual Drake (R) +2.8 | Difference 7.8 |
Oct 24-26 | 600LV | House (PA-10) General election | Live Phone | Poll Carney (D) +7.0 | Actual Carney (D) +5.9 | Difference 1.1 |
Oct 24-26 | 994LV | House (PA-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Murphy (D) +3.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +0.6 | Difference 2.4 |
Oct 24-26 | 600LV | House (PA-7) General election | Live Phone | Poll Sestak (D) +7.0 | Actual Sestak (D) +12.8 | Difference 5.8 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,006LV | House (PA-6) General election | Live Phone | Poll Murphy (D) +5.0 | Actual Gerlach (R) +1.3 | Difference 6.3 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,002LV | House (OH-12) General election | Live Phone | Poll Tiberi (R) +5.0 | Actual Tiberi (R) +14.6 | Difference 9.6 |
Oct 24-26 | 972LV | House (OH-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Schmidt (R) +5.0 | Actual Schmidt (R) +1.1 | Difference 3.9 |
Oct 24-26 | 999LV | House (OH-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Cranley (D) +2.0 | Actual Chabot (R) +4.5 | Difference 6.5 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,002LV | House (NC-11) General election | Live Phone | Poll Shuler (D) +9.0 | Actual Shuler (D) +7.6 | Difference 1.4 |
Oct 24-26 | 999LV | House (NC-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kissell (D) +4.0 | Actual Hayes (R) +0.3 | Difference 4.3 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,004LV | House (NY-29) General election | Live Phone | Poll Massa (D) +11.0 | Actual Kuhl (R) +2.9 | Difference 13.9 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,020LV | House (NY-25) General election | Live Phone | Poll Maffei (D) +9.0 | Actual Walsh (R) +1.6 | Difference 10.6 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,040LV | House (NY-20) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gillibrand (D) +11.0 | Actual Gillibrand (D) +6.2 | Difference 4.8 |
Oct 24-26 | 944LV | House (NY-19) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hall (D) +2.0 | Actual Hall (D) +2.4 | Difference 0.4 |
Oct 24-26 | 982LV | House (NY-3) General election | Live Phone | Poll King (R) +7.0 | Actual King (R) +12.1 | Difference 5.1 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,013LV | House (NJ-7) General election | Live Phone | Poll Ferguson (R) +3.0 | Actual Ferguson (R) +1.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Oct 24-26 | 988LV | House (NH-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hodes (D) +3.0 | Actual Hodes (D) +7.1 | Difference 4.1 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,031LV | House (NV-3) General election | Live Phone | Poll Porter (R) +7.0 | Actual Porter (R) +1.9 | Difference 5.1 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,056LV | House (MN-6) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bachmann (R) +1.0 | Actual Bachmann (R) +8.0 | Difference 7.0 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,042LV | House (MN-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gutknecht (R) +3.0 | Actual Walz (D) +5.6 | Difference 8.6 |
Oct 24-26 | 996LV | House (KY-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Lucas (D) +4.0 | Actual Davis (R) +8.3 | Difference 12.3 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,010LV | House (KY-3) General election | Live Phone | Poll Yarmuth (D) +6.0 | Actual Yarmuth (D) +2.4 | Difference 3.6 |
Oct 24-26 | 600LV | House (IA-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Leach (R) +2.0 | Actual Loebsack (D) +2.9 | Difference 4.9 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,023LV | House (IN-9) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hill (D) +8.0 | Actual Hill (D) +4.5 | Difference 3.5 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,065LV | House (IN-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Ellsworth (D) +10.0 | Actual Ellsworth (D) +22.0 | Difference 12.0 |
Oct 24-26 | 977LV | House (IN-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Donnelly (D) +3.0 | Actual Donnelly (D) +8.0 | Difference 5.0 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,008LV | House (IL-10) General election | Live Phone | Poll Seals (D) +2.0 | Actual Kirk (R) +6.8 | Difference 8.8 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,013LV | House (IL-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bean (D) +5.0 | Actual Bean (D) +6.9 | Difference 1.9 |
Oct 24-26 | 990LV | House (IL-6) General election | Live Phone | Poll Duckworth (D) +1.0 | Actual Roskam (R) +2.7 | Difference 3.7 |
Oct 24-26 | 961LV | House (FL-22) General election | Live Phone | Poll Klein (D) +2.0 | Actual Klein (D) +3.8 | Difference 1.8 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,005LV | House (FL-13) General election | Live Phone | Poll Jennings (D) +2.0 | Actual Buchanan (R) +0.2 | Difference 2.2 |
Oct 24-26 | 994LV | House (CT-5) General election | Live Phone | Poll Murphy (D) +8.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +12.9 | Difference 4.9 |
Oct 24-26 | 976LV | House (CT-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Shays (R) +9.0 | Actual Shays (R) +3.4 | Difference 5.6 |
Oct 24-26 | 947LV | House (CT-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Courtney (D) +6.0 | Actual Courtney (D) +0.0 | Difference 6.0 |
Oct 24-26 | 983LV | House (CO-7) General election | Live Phone | Poll Perlmutter (D) +5.0 | Actual Perlmutter (D) +12.9 | Difference 7.9 |
Oct 24-26 | 991LV | House (CO-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Paccione (D) +3.0 | Actual Musgrave (R) +2.5 | Difference 5.5 |
Oct 24-26 | 983LV | House (CA-11) General election | Live Phone | Poll McNerney (D) +2.0 | Actual McNerney (D) +6.5 | Difference 4.5 |
Oct 24-26 | 954LV | House (CA-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Doolittle (R) +3.0 | Actual Doolittle (R) +3.2 | Difference 0.2 |
Oct 24-26 | 1,037LV | House (AZ-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Renzi (R) +2.0 | Actual Renzi (R) +8.3 | Difference 6.3 |
Oct 19-22 | 600LV | House (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Candidate (D) +22.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +7.5 | Difference 14.5 |
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