| Polls analyzed | 12 |
| Races called correctly | 83% |
| Most recent cycle | 2018 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from SEA Polling & Strategic Design?
2018
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17-20 | 600LV | Governor (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gillum (D) +6.0 | Actual DeSantis (R) +0.4 | Difference 6.4 |
| Oct 17-20 | 600LV | Senate (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Scott (R) +2.0 | Actual Scott (R) +0.1 | Difference 1.9 |
2014
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30-31 | 1,800LV | Governor (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Scott (R) +3.0 | Actual Scott (R) +1.1 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 28-29 | 800LV | Governor (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Scott (R) +2.0 | Actual Scott (R) +1.1 | Difference 0.9 |
2008
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20-22 | 800LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +7.0 | Actual Obama (D) +2.8 | Difference 4.2 |
| Jan 20-22 | 600LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +2.0 | Actual McCain (R) +5.0 | Difference 3.0 |
| Jan 20-22 | 800LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain (R) +2.0 | Actual McCain (R) +5.0 | Difference 3.0 |
| Jan 20-22 | 350LV | President (FL) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +19.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +16.8 | Difference 2.2 |
| Jan 20-22 | 600LV | President (FL) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +19.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +16.8 | Difference 2.2 |
2006
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22-25 | 800LV | Senate (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Nelson (D) +26.0 | Actual Nelson (D) +22.2 | Difference 3.8 |
| Oct 22-25 | 800LV | Governor (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Crist (R) +6.0 | Actual Crist (R) +7.1 | Difference 1.1 |
2004
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19-21 | 800LV | Senate (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Martinez (R) +1.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 19-21 | 600LV | Senate (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Martinez (R) +1.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 19-21 | 800LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Bush (R) +5.0 | Difference 5.0 |
2002
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23-25 | 800LV | Governor (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +8.0 | Actual Bush (R) +12.8 | Difference 4.8 |
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