B/C
| Polls analyzed | 12 |
| Races called correctly | 88% |
| Most recent cycle | 2014 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from St. Norbert College?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2014
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18-21 | 525LV | Governor (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Walker (R) +1.0 | Actual Walker (R) +5.7 | Difference 4.7 |
2012
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25-29 | 402LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Thompson (R) +3.0 | Actual Baldwin (D) +5.5 | Difference 8.5 |
| Oct 25-29 | 402LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +9.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.8 | Difference 2.2 |
| May 17-22 | 406LV | Governor (WI) Special election | Live Phone | Poll Walker (R) +5.0 | Actual Walker (R) +6.8 | Difference 1.8 |
| Mar 24-28 | 403LV | President (WI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +5.0 | Actual Romney (R) +7.2 | Difference 2.2 |
2010
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12-15 | 402LV | Governor (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Walker (R) +9.0 | Actual Walker (R) +5.8 | Difference 3.2 |
| Oct 12-15 | 402LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Johnson (R) +2.0 | Actual Johnson (R) +4.8 | Difference 2.8 |
2006
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17-25 | 400LV | House (WI-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Kagen (D) +2.1 | Difference 2.1 |
2002
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16-27 | 382LV | Governor (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Doyle (D) +8.0 | Actual Doyle (D) +3.7 | Difference 4.3 |
2000
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18-24 | 413LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +7.0 | Actual Gore (D) +0.2 | Difference 6.8 |
1998
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8-20 | 415LV | Governor (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Thompson (R) +35.0 | Actual Thompson (R) +21.0 | Difference 14.0 |
| Oct 8-20 | 415LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Feingold (D) +7.0 | Actual Feingold (D) +2.1 | Difference 4.9 |
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