Polls analyzed | 12 |
Races called correctly | 88% |
Most recent cycle | 2014 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from St. Norbert College?
2014
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 18-21 | 525LV | Governor (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Walker (R) +1.0 | Actual Walker (R) +5.7 | Difference 4.7 |
2012
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 25-29 | 402LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Thompson (R) +3.0 | Actual Baldwin (D) +5.5 | Difference 8.5 |
Oct 25-29 | 402LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +9.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.8 | Difference 2.2 |
May 17-22 | 406LV | Governor (WI) Special election | Live Phone | Poll Walker (R) +5.0 | Actual Walker (R) +6.8 | Difference 1.8 |
Mar 24-28 | 403LV | President (WI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney (R) +5.0 | Actual Romney (R) +7.2 | Difference 2.2 |
2010
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 12-15 | 402LV | Governor (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Walker (R) +9.0 | Actual Walker (R) +5.8 | Difference 3.2 |
Oct 12-15 | 402LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Johnson (R) +2.0 | Actual Johnson (R) +4.8 | Difference 2.8 |
2006
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 17-25 | 400LV | House (WI-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Kagen (D) +2.1 | Difference 2.1 |
2002
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 16-27 | 382LV | Governor (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Doyle (D) +8.0 | Actual Doyle (D) +3.7 | Difference 4.3 |
2000
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 18-24 | 413LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore (D) +7.0 | Actual Gore (D) +0.2 | Difference 6.8 |
1998
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 8-20 | 415LV | Governor (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Thompson (R) +35.0 | Actual Thompson (R) +21.0 | Difference 14.0 |
Oct 8-20 | 415LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Feingold (D) +7.0 | Actual Feingold (D) +2.1 | Difference 4.9 |
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