Polls analyzed | 26 |
Races called correctly | 56% |
Most recent cycle | 2020 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from St. Pete Polls?
2020
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 29-30 | 2,758LV | President (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Biden (D) +1.1 | Actual Trump (R) +3.4 | Difference 4.5 |
Oct 28 | 1,280LV | House (FL-13) General election | IVR | Poll Crist (D) +16.2 | Actual Crist (D) +6.1 | Difference 10.1 |
Oct 21-22 | 2,527LV | President (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Biden (D) +1.5 | Actual Trump (R) +3.4 | Difference 4.9 |
Oct 15 | 943LV | House (FL-15) General election | IVR | Poll Franklin (R) +8.0 | Actual Franklin (R) +10.8 | Difference 2.8 |
Mar 6-8 | 2,480LV | President (FL) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Biden (D) +55.6 | Actual Biden (D) +39.1 | Difference 16.5 |
2018
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 5 | 1,194LV | House (FL-15) General election | IVR | Poll Spano (R) +1.9 | Actual Spano (R) +6.0 | Difference 4.1 |
Nov 3-4 | 3,088LV | Governor (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Gillum (D) +4.1 | Actual DeSantis (R) +0.4 | Difference 4.5 |
Nov 3-4 | 3,088LV | Senate (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Nelson (D) +3.7 | Actual Scott (R) +0.1 | Difference 3.8 |
Nov 1-2 | 2,733LV | Governor (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Gillum (D) +2.1 | Actual DeSantis (R) +0.4 | Difference 2.5 |
Nov 1-2 | 2,733LV | Senate (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Scott (R) +1.6 | Actual Scott (R) +0.1 | Difference 1.5 |
Oct 30-31 | 2,470LV | Senate (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Nelson (D) +1.9 | Actual Scott (R) +0.1 | Difference 2.0 |
Oct 20-21 | 1,575LV | Governor (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Gillum (D) +1.0 | Actual DeSantis (R) +0.4 | Difference 1.4 |
Oct 20-21 | 1,575LV | Senate (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Scott (R) +0.3 | Actual Scott (R) +0.1 | Difference 0.2 |
Oct 15-16 | 1,974LV | Governor (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Gillum (D) +1.1 | Actual DeSantis (R) +0.4 | Difference 1.5 |
Oct 15-16 | 1,974LV | Senate (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Scott (R) +1.4 | Actual Scott (R) +0.1 | Difference 1.3 |
2016
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 6 | 944LV | House (FL-13) General election | IVR | Poll Crist (D) +5.0 | Actual Crist (D) +3.8 | Difference 1.2 |
Nov 1 | 1,066LV | House (FL-13) General election | IVR | Poll Crist (D) +3.0 | Actual Crist (D) +3.8 | Difference 0.8 |
Oct 23 | 1,087LV | House (FL-13) General election | IVR | Poll Crist (D) +3.0 | Actual Crist (D) +3.8 | Difference 0.8 |
2014
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 17 | 1,855LV | Governor (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Crist (D) +1.4 | Actual Scott (R) +1.1 | Difference 2.5 |
Feb 25 | 1,269RV | House (FL-13) Special election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Jolly (R) +1.9 | Difference 1.9 |
2012
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 16 | 469LV | House (FL-26) General election | IVR | Poll Rivera (R) +2.5 | Actual Garcia (D) +10.6 | Difference 13.1 |
Oct 16 | 557LV | House (FL-22) General election | IVR | Poll Frankel (D) +3.2 | Actual Frankel (D) +9.3 | Difference 6.1 |
Oct 16 | 586LV | House (FL-18) General election | IVR | Poll West (R) +9.1 | Actual Murphy (D) +0.6 | Difference 9.7 |
Oct 16 | 680LV | House (FL-10) General election | IVR | Poll Webster (R) +7.7 | Actual Webster (R) +3.5 | Difference 4.2 |
Oct 16 | 612LV | House (FL-9) General election | IVR | Poll Grayson (D) +4.5 | Actual Grayson (D) +25.0 | Difference 20.5 |
Oct 16 | 770LV | House (FL-2) General election | IVR | Poll Southerland (R) +0.7 | Actual Southerland (R) +5.5 | Difference 4.8 |
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