Polls analyzed | 6 |
Races called correctly | 100% |
Most recent cycle | 2008 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | Yes |
How accurate are the polls from Temple University?
2008
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 20-26 | 761LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +9.0 | Actual Obama (D) +10.3 | Difference 1.3 |
Mar 27-Apr 9 | 583LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +6.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +9.1 | Difference 3.1 |
2006
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 16-25 | 698LV | Senate (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Casey (D) +16.0 | Actual Casey (D) +17.4 | Difference 1.4 |
Oct 16-25 | 698LV | Governor (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Rendell (D) +24.0 | Actual Rendell (D) +20.7 | Difference 3.3 |
2004
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 22-27 | 1,488LV | Senate (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Specter (R) +22.0 | Actual Specter (R) +10.6 | Difference 11.4 |
Oct 22-27 | 1,488LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +1.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +2.5 | Difference 1.5 |
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