A/B
| Polls analyzed | 6 |
| Races called correctly | 100% |
| Most recent cycle | 2008 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | Yes |
How accurate are the polls from Temple University?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2008
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20-26 | 761LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +9.0 | Actual Obama (D) +10.3 | Difference 1.3 |
| Mar 27-Apr 9 | 583LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +6.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +9.1 | Difference 3.1 |
2006
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16-25 | 698LV | Senate (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Casey (D) +16.0 | Actual Casey (D) +17.4 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 16-25 | 698LV | Governor (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Rendell (D) +24.0 | Actual Rendell (D) +20.7 | Difference 3.3 |
2004
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22-27 | 1,488LV | Senate (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Specter (R) +22.0 | Actual Specter (R) +10.6 | Difference 11.4 |
| Oct 22-27 | 1,488LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +1.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +2.5 | Difference 1.5 |
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