Pollster Ratings - The Florida Poll

The Florida Poll

Pollsters with a relatively small number of polls now receive a provisional rating rather than a precise letter grade.

B/C

Polls analyzed	5
Races called correctly	60%
Most recent cycle	2010
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper)	No

Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.

Key

A = Adults

RV = Registered voters

V = Voters

LV = Likely voters

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 23-27	696LV	Governor (FL) General election	Live Phone	Poll Scott (R) +5.0	Actual Scott (R) +1.1	Difference 3.9

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 23-27	802LV	Senate (FL) General election	Live Phone	Poll Castor (D) +3.1	Actual Martinez (R) +1.1	Difference 4.2
Oct 23-27	802LV	President (FL) General election	Live Phone	Poll Kerry (D) +1.0	Actual Bush (R) +5.0	Difference 6.0

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 29	715LV	Governor (FL) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bush (R) +6.0	Actual Bush (R) +12.8	Difference 6.8

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 26-31	824LV	Senate (FL) General election	Live Phone	Poll Nelson (D) +7.0	Actual Nelson (D) +4.9	Difference 2.1