UPDATED Mar. 13, 2023, at 3:53 PM

FiveThirtyEight’s Pollster Ratings

Based on the historical accuracy and methodology of each polling organization’s polls.

B/C

University of New Orleans Survey Research Center

Polls analyzed	13
Races called correctly	92%
Most recent cycle	2020
Affiliated with AAPOR/Roper	No
Other names

What are pollster ratings?

How accurate are the polls from University of New Orleans Survey Research Center?

Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.

2020

Key

A = Adults

RV = Registered voters

V = Voters

LV = Likely voters

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 22	755LV	President (LA) General election	IVR	Poll Trump +22.9	Actual Trump +18.6	Difference 4.3

2016

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Dec 6	776LV	Senate (LA) Runoff	IVR	Poll Kennedy +29.0	Actual Kennedy +21.3	Difference 7.7
Oct 15-21	603LV	President (LA) General election	Live Phone	Poll Trump +14.0	Actual Trump +19.6	Difference 5.6
Oct 15-21	603LV	Senate (LA) Jungle primary	Live Phone	Poll Kennedy +7.0	Actual Kennedy +7.5	Difference 0.5
Mar 2	1,874RV	President (LA) Republican primary	IVR	Poll Trump +12.0	Actual Trump +3.6	Difference 8.4

2015

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Nov 10-18	578LV	Governor (LA) Runoff	Online	Poll Edwards +20.0	Actual Edwards +12.2	Difference 7.8
Nov 2-8	600LV	Governor (LA) Runoff	Live Phone	Poll Edwards +22.0	Actual Edwards +12.2	Difference 9.8

2014

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 11-24	292LV	Senate (LA) Jungle primary	Live Phone	Poll Landrieu +5.0	Actual Landrieu +1.1	Difference 3.9

2004

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 13-21	700RV	President (LA) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bush +8.0	Actual Bush +14.5	Difference 6.5

2003

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 25-Nov 1	731LV	Governor (LA) Runoff	Live Phone	Poll Jindal +2.0	Actual Blanco +3.9	Difference 5.9

2002

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Nov 25-27	700LV	Senate (LA) Runoff	Live Phone	Poll Landrieu +1.0	Actual Landrieu +3.4	Difference 2.4

2000

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 15-22	461LV	President (LA) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bush +13.0	Actual Bush +7.7	Difference 5.3

1999

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 3-10	803RV	Governor (LA) Jungle primary	Live Phone	Poll Foster +28.0	Actual Foster +32.6	Difference 4.6

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How this works

FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy of each polling organization’s polls along with its methodology. Accuracy scores are adjusted for the type of election polled, the poll’s sample size, the performance of other polls surveying the same race and other factors. We also calculate measures of statistical bias in the polls. When a pollster publishes multiple versions of the same survey (for example, versions with and without third-party candidates included), FiveThirtyEight uses an average of the different versions to calculate the pollster’s rating. However, all versions of these polls are listed here. Read more about our methodology»

Download this data as an Excel spreadsheet or get it on GitHub.

Design and development by Elena Mejía and Aaron Bycoffe. Research by Mary Radcliffe, Cooper Burton and Dhrumil Mehta. Copy editing by Andrew Mangan. Visual editing by Christopher Groskopf. Statistical model by Nate Silver.

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