B/C
| Polls analyzed | 13 |
| Races called correctly | 92% |
| Most recent cycle | 2020 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from University of New Orleans?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2020
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | 755LV | President (LA) General election | IVR | Poll Trump (R) +22.9 | Actual Trump (R) +18.6 | Difference 4.3 |
2016
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6 | 776LV | Senate (LA) Runoff | IVR | Poll Kennedy (R) +29.0 | Actual Kennedy (R) +21.3 | Difference 7.7 |
| Oct 15-21 | 603LV | President (LA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +14.0 | Actual Trump (R) +19.6 | Difference 5.6 |
| Oct 15-21 | 603LV | Senate (LA) Jungle primary | Live Phone | Poll Kennedy (R) +7.0 | Actual Kennedy (R) +7.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Mar 2 | 1,874RV | President (LA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Trump (R) +12.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.6 | Difference 8.4 |
2015
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10-18 | 578LV | Governor (LA) Runoff | Online | Poll Edwards (D) +20.0 | Actual Edwards (D) +12.2 | Difference 7.8 |
| Nov 2-8 | 600LV | Governor (LA) Runoff | Live Phone | Poll Edwards (D) +22.0 | Actual Edwards (D) +12.2 | Difference 9.8 |
2014
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11-24 | 292LV | Senate (LA) Jungle primary | Live Phone | Poll Landrieu (D) +5.0 | Actual Landrieu (D) +1.1 | Difference 3.9 |
2004
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13-21 | 700RV | President (LA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +8.0 | Actual Bush (R) +14.5 | Difference 6.5 |
2003
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25-Nov 1 | 731LV | Governor (LA) Runoff | Live Phone | Poll Jindal (R) +2.0 | Actual Blanco (D) +3.9 | Difference 5.9 |
2002
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25-27 | 700LV | Senate (LA) Runoff | Live Phone | Poll Landrieu (D) +1.0 | Actual Landrieu (D) +3.4 | Difference 2.4 |
2000
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15-22 | 461LV | President (LA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +13.0 | Actual Bush (R) +7.7 | Difference 5.3 |
1999
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6-8 | 803LV | Governor (LA) Jungle primary | Live Phone | Poll Foster (R) +28.0 | Actual Foster (R) +32.6 | Difference 4.6 |
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