Polls analyzed | 13 |
Races called correctly | 92% |
Most recent cycle | 2020 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from University of New Orleans?
2020
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 22 | 755LV | President (LA) General election | IVR | Poll Trump (R) +22.9 | Actual Trump (R) +18.6 | Difference 4.3 |
2016
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 6 | 776LV | Senate (LA) Runoff | IVR | Poll Kennedy (R) +29.0 | Actual Kennedy (R) +21.3 | Difference 7.7 |
Oct 15-21 | 603LV | President (LA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +14.0 | Actual Trump (R) +19.6 | Difference 5.6 |
Oct 15-21 | 603LV | Senate (LA) Jungle primary | Live Phone | Poll Kennedy (R) +7.0 | Actual Kennedy (R) +7.5 | Difference 0.5 |
Mar 2 | 1,874RV | President (LA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Trump (R) +12.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.6 | Difference 8.4 |
2015
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 10-18 | 578LV | Governor (LA) Runoff | Online | Poll Edwards (D) +20.0 | Actual Edwards (D) +12.2 | Difference 7.8 |
Nov 2-8 | 600LV | Governor (LA) Runoff | Live Phone | Poll Edwards (D) +22.0 | Actual Edwards (D) +12.2 | Difference 9.8 |
2014
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 11-24 | 292LV | Senate (LA) Jungle primary | Live Phone | Poll Landrieu (D) +5.0 | Actual Landrieu (D) +1.1 | Difference 3.9 |
2004
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 13-21 | 700RV | President (LA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +8.0 | Actual Bush (R) +14.5 | Difference 6.5 |
2003
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 25-Nov 1 | 731LV | Governor (LA) Runoff | Live Phone | Poll Jindal (R) +2.0 | Actual Blanco (D) +3.9 | Difference 5.9 |
2002
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 25-27 | 700LV | Senate (LA) Runoff | Live Phone | Poll Landrieu (D) +1.0 | Actual Landrieu (D) +3.4 | Difference 2.4 |
2000
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 15-22 | 461LV | President (LA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +13.0 | Actual Bush (R) +7.7 | Difference 5.3 |
1999
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 6-8 | 803LV | Governor (LA) Jungle primary | Live Phone | Poll Foster (R) +28.0 | Actual Foster (R) +32.6 | Difference 4.6 |
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