Pollster Ratings - University of South Alabama

University of South Alabama

Pollsters with a relatively small number of polls now receive a provisional rating rather than a precise letter grade.

B/C

Polls analyzed	9
Races called correctly	100%
Most recent cycle	2010
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper)	No

Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.

Key

A = Adults

RV = Registered voters

V = Voters

LV = Likely voters

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 6-21	777LV	Governor (AL) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bentley (R) +13.0	Actual Bentley (R) +15.7	Difference 2.7

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 13-22	405LV	Senate (MS) Special election	Live Phone	Poll Wicker (R) +13.0	Actual Wicker (R) +9.9	Difference 3.1
Oct 13-22	405LV	President (MS) General election	Live Phone	Poll McCain (R) +13.0	Actual McCain (R) +13.2	Difference 0.2

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 21-24	926LV	Senate (AL) General election	Live Phone	Poll Sessions (R) +30.0	Actual Sessions (R) +18.7	Difference 11.3
Oct 21-24	926LV	Governor (AL) General election	Live Phone	Poll Riley (R) +4.0	Actual Riley (R) +0.2	Difference 3.8

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 30-Nov 2	442LV	President (AL) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bush (R) +20.0	Actual Bush (R) +14.9	Difference 5.1
Oct 16-19	407LV	President (AL) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bush (R) +20.0	Actual Bush (R) +14.9	Difference 5.1

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 28	820LV	Governor (AL) General election	Live Phone	Poll Siegelman (D) +16.0	Actual Siegelman (D) +15.6	Difference 0.4
Oct 21	820LV	Governor (AL) General election	Live Phone	Poll Siegelman (D) +14.0	Actual Siegelman (D) +15.6	Difference 1.6

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