Polls analyzed | 8 |
Races called correctly | 88% |
Most recent cycle | 2008 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | Yes |
How accurate are the polls from University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll)?
2008
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 21-29 | 359LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama (D) +10.0 | Actual Obama (D) +13.9 | Difference 3.9 |
2006
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 18-26 | 266LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kohl (D) +57.0 | Actual Kohl (D) +37.8 | Difference 19.2 |
Oct 18-26 | 266LV | Governor (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Doyle (D) +12.0 | Actual Doyle (D) +7.4 | Difference 4.6 |
2004
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 23-27 | 545LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +3.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +0.4 | Difference 3.4 |
Oct 23-27 | 545LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Feingold (D) +15.0 | Actual Feingold (D) +11.2 | Difference 3.8 |
Feb 4-5 | 600LV | President (WI) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry (D) +51.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +5.3 | Difference 45.7 |
2002
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 24-29 | 501LV | Governor (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Doyle (D) +7.0 | Actual Doyle (D) +3.7 | Difference 3.3 |
2000
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 18-21 | 587LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kohl (D) +43.0 | Actual Kohl (D) +24.5 | Difference 18.5 |
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