Pollster Ratings - University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll)

University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll)

Pollsters with a relatively small number of polls now receive a provisional rating rather than a precise letter grade.

B/C

Polls analyzed	8
Races called correctly	88%
Most recent cycle	2008
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper)	Yes

Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.

Key

A = Adults

RV = Registered voters

V = Voters

LV = Likely voters

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 21-29	359LV	President (WI) General election	Live Phone	Poll Obama (D) +10.0	Actual Obama (D) +13.9	Difference 3.9

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 18-26	266LV	Senate (WI) General election	Live Phone	Poll Kohl (D) +57.0	Actual Kohl (D) +37.8	Difference 19.2
Oct 18-26	266LV	Governor (WI) General election	Live Phone	Poll Doyle (D) +12.0	Actual Doyle (D) +7.4	Difference 4.6

2004

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 23-27	545LV	President (WI) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bush (R) +3.0	Actual Kerry (D) +0.4	Difference 3.4
Oct 23-27	545LV	Senate (WI) General election	Live Phone	Poll Feingold (D) +15.0	Actual Feingold (D) +11.2	Difference 3.8
Feb 4-5	600LV	President (WI) Democratic primary	Live Phone	Poll Kerry (D) +51.0	Actual Kerry (D) +5.3	Difference 45.7

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 24-29	501LV	Governor (WI) General election	Live Phone	Poll Doyle (D) +7.0	Actual Doyle (D) +3.7	Difference 3.3

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 18-21	587LV	Senate (WI) General election	Live Phone	Poll Kohl (D) +43.0	Actual Kohl (D) +24.5	Difference 18.5

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