Pollster Ratings - Valley Research

Valley Research

Pollsters with a relatively small number of polls now receive a provisional rating rather than a precise letter grade.

B/C

Polls analyzed	8
Races called correctly	88%
Most recent cycle	2004
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper)	No

Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.

Key

A = Adults

RV = Registered voters

V = Voters

LV = Likely voters

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 21-26	1,200LV	President (UT) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bush (R) +45.0	Actual Bush (R) +45.5	Difference 0.5
Oct 21-26	400LV	House (UT-3) General election	Live Phone	Poll Cannon (R) +23.7	Actual Cannon (R) +30.9	Difference 7.2
Oct 21-26	400LV	House (UT-2) General election	Live Phone	Poll Matheson (D) +5.6	Actual Matheson (D) +11.5	Difference 5.9
Oct 21-26	400LV	House (UT-1) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bishop (R) +31.5	Actual Bishop (R) +38.8	Difference 7.3
Oct 21-26	1,200LV	Senate (UT) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bennett (R) +38.0	Actual Bennett (R) +40.3	Difference 2.3
Oct 21-26	1,200LV	Governor (UT) General election	Live Phone	Poll Huntsman (R) +14.0	Actual Huntsman (R) +16.4	Difference 2.4

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Nov 1-4	1,300LV	President (UT) General election	Live Phone	Poll Bush (R) +36.0	Actual Bush (R) +40.5	Difference 4.5

Dates	Sample	Race	Methodology	Poll margin	Election margin	Difference
Oct 19-21	452LV	House (UT-2) General election	Live Phone	Poll Eskelsen (D) +1.0	Actual Cook (R) +9.3	Difference 10.3