B-
| Polls analyzed | 56 |
| Races called correctly | 81% |
| Most recent cycle | 2019 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from We Ask America?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2019
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24-26 | 600LV | Governor (LA) Jungle primary | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Edwards (D) +24.0 | Actual Edwards (D) +19.2 | Difference 4.8 |
2016
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | 1,009LV | President (IL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Trump (R) +12.7 | Actual Trump (R) +8.6 | Difference 4.2 |
| Mar 7 | 994LV | President (IL) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +37.3 | Actual Clinton (D) +1.9 | Difference 35.4 |
| Feb 24 | 1,311LV | President (IL) Republican primary | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +22.6 | Actual Trump (R) +8.6 | Difference 14.0 |
| Feb 24 | 1,116LV | President (IL) Democratic primary | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +29.4 | Actual Clinton (D) +1.9 | Difference 27.4 |
2014
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27-28 | 2,327LV | Governor (IL) General election | IVR | Poll Quinn (D) +5.0 | Actual Rauner (R) +3.9 | Difference 8.9 |
| Oct 21 | 600LV | House (IL-17) General election | IVR | Poll Bustos (D) +16.0 | Actual Bustos (D) +10.9 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 21 | 600LV | House (IL-13) General election | IVR | Poll Davis (R) +17.0 | Actual Davis (R) +17.3 | Difference 0.3 |
| Oct 21 | 600LV | House (IL-12) General election | IVR | Poll Bost (R) +2.0 | Actual Bost (R) +10.6 | Difference 8.6 |
| Oct 21 | 600LV | House (IL-11) General election | IVR | Poll Foster (D) +12.0 | Actual Foster (D) +6.9 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 21 | 600LV | House (IL-10) General election | IVR | Poll Dold (R) +2.0 | Actual Dold (R) +2.6 | Difference 0.6 |
2012
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,210LV | Senate (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Baldwin (D) +2.2 | Actual Baldwin (D) +5.5 | Difference 3.3 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,069LV | Senate (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Allen (R) +0.8 | Actual Kaine (D) +5.9 | Difference 6.7 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,210LV | President (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +6.7 | Actual Obama (D) +6.8 | Difference 0.1 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,069LV | President (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +0.9 | Actual Obama (D) +3.9 | Difference 3.0 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,649LV | President (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +4.4 | Actual Obama (D) +3.0 | Difference 1.4 |
| Nov 1 | 1,178LV | Senate (NE) General election | IVR | Poll Fischer (R) +12.4 | Actual Fischer (R) +15.5 | Difference 3.1 |
| Nov 1 | 1,178LV | President (NE) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +13.0 | Actual Romney (R) +21.8 | Difference 8.8 |
| Oct 30 | 1,246LV | President (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +3.4 | Actual Obama (D) +5.4 | Difference 2.0 |
| Oct 30 | 1,146LV | President (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +0.9 | Actual Obama (D) +0.9 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 30 | 1,217LV | Senate (MO) General election | IVR | Poll McCaskill (D) +3.4 | Actual McCaskill (D) +15.7 | Difference 12.3 |
| Oct 30 | 1,217LV | President (MO) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +11.6 | Actual Romney (R) +9.4 | Difference 2.2 |
| Oct 30 | 1,198LV | President (IL) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +16.0 | Actual Obama (D) +16.9 | Difference 0.9 |
| Oct 30 | 1,174LV | President (IA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.5 | Actual Obama (D) +5.8 | Difference 4.3 |
| Oct 28 | 1,325LV | House (IL-17) General election | IVR | Poll Schilling (R) +4.0 | Actual Bustos (D) +6.6 | Difference 10.6 |
| Oct 28 | 1,360LV | House (IL-13) General election | IVR | Poll Davis (R) +5.1 | Actual Davis (R) +0.3 | Difference 4.8 |
| Oct 28 | 1,313LV | House (IL-12) General election | IVR | Poll Enyart (D) +5.0 | Actual Enyart (D) +8.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 28 | 1,257LV | House (IL-10) General election | IVR | Poll Dold (R) +7.2 | Actual Schneider (D) +1.3 | Difference 8.5 |
| Oct 28 | 1,010LV | House (IL-8) General election | IVR | Poll Duckworth (D) +10.0 | Actual Duckworth (D) +9.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Oct 28 | 1,303LV | House (IL-11) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Foster (D) +17.1 | Difference 17.1 |
| Oct 21 | 819LV | House (IL-2) General election | IVR | Poll Jackson (D) +31.0 | Actual Jackson (D) +40.0 | Difference 9.0 |
| Jun 3 | 1,570LV | Governor (WI) Special election | IVR | Poll Walker (R) +12.0 | Actual Walker (R) +6.8 | Difference 5.2 |
| May 23 | 1,409LV | Governor (WI) Special election | IVR | Poll Walker (R) +12.0 | Actual Walker (R) +6.8 | Difference 5.2 |
| Apr 1 | 1,173LV | President (WI) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +8.0 | Actual Romney (R) +7.2 | Difference 0.8 |
| Mar 14 | 1,933LV | President (IL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +6.0 | Actual Romney (R) +11.7 | Difference 5.7 |
| Mar 4 | 1,023LV | President (TN) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +1.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +9.0 | Difference 10.0 |
| Feb 29 | 1,100RV | President (IL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +3.4 | Actual Romney (R) +11.7 | Difference 8.3 |
| Feb 28 | 800RV | President (IL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Romney (R) +11.7 | Difference 11.7 |
| Feb 26 | 984LV | President (MI) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +4.0 | Actual Romney (R) +3.2 | Difference 0.8 |
| Feb 26 | 1,162LV | President (AZ) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +16.0 | Actual Romney (R) +19.8 | Difference 3.8 |
| Feb 19-20 | 1,155LV | President (AZ) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +10.0 | Actual Romney (R) +19.8 | Difference 9.8 |
| Feb 19 | 1,025LV | President (MI) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Romney (R) +3.2 | Difference 3.2 |
| Jan 29 | 1,188LV | President (FL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +19.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Jan 23 | 946LV | President (FL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +2.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 12.5 |
| Jan 19 | 988LV | President (SC) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Gingrich (R) +4.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +12.6 | Difference 8.6 |
| Jan 15 | 989LV | President (SC) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +13.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +12.6 | Difference 25.6 |
| Dec 29 | 889LV | President (IA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +7.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +0.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Dec 20 | 1,250LV | President (IA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +9.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +0.0 | Difference 9.0 |
2010
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | 1,103LV | House (IL-17) General election | IVR | Poll Schilling (R) +8.0 | Actual Schilling (R) +9.6 | Difference 1.6 |
| Oct 31 | 784LV | House (IL-14) General election | IVR | Poll Hultgren (R) +5.0 | Actual Hultgren (R) +6.3 | Difference 1.3 |
| Oct 31 | 829LV | House (IL-11) General election | IVR | Poll Kinzinger (R) +10.0 | Actual Kinzinger (R) +14.7 | Difference 4.7 |
| Oct 31 | 861LV | House (IL-10) General election | IVR | Poll Dold (R) +8.0 | Actual Dold (R) +2.2 | Difference 5.8 |
| Oct 31 | 773LV | House (IL-8) General election | IVR | Poll Walsh (R) +3.0 | Actual Walsh (R) +0.1 | Difference 2.9 |
| Oct 18 | 1,150RV | House (WI-7) General election | IVR | Poll Duffy (R) +7.0 | Actual Duffy (R) +7.7 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 15 | 1,148LV | House (IL-10) General election | IVR | Poll Dold (R) +11.0 | Actual Dold (R) +2.2 | Difference 8.8 |
| May 13 | 888LV | House (PA-12) Special election | IVR | Poll Critz (D) +8.4 | Actual Critz (D) +7.7 | Difference 0.7 |
Show all
Comments