Polls analyzed | 56 |
Races called correctly | 81% |
Most recent cycle | 2019 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from We Ask America?
2019
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 24-26 | 600LV | Governor (LA) Jungle primary | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Edwards (D) +24.0 | Actual Edwards (D) +19.2 | Difference 4.8 |
2016
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mar 7 | 1,009LV | President (IL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Trump (R) +12.7 | Actual Trump (R) +8.6 | Difference 4.2 |
Mar 7 | 994LV | President (IL) Democratic primary | IVR | Poll Clinton (D) +37.3 | Actual Clinton (D) +1.9 | Difference 35.4 |
Feb 24 | 1,311LV | President (IL) Republican primary | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +22.6 | Actual Trump (R) +8.6 | Difference 14.0 |
Feb 24 | 1,116LV | President (IL) Democratic primary | IVR/Live Phone | Poll Clinton (D) +29.4 | Actual Clinton (D) +1.9 | Difference 27.4 |
2014
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 27-28 | 2,327LV | Governor (IL) General election | IVR | Poll Quinn (D) +5.0 | Actual Rauner (R) +3.9 | Difference 8.9 |
Oct 21 | 600LV | House (IL-17) General election | IVR | Poll Bustos (D) +16.0 | Actual Bustos (D) +10.9 | Difference 5.1 |
Oct 21 | 600LV | House (IL-13) General election | IVR | Poll Davis (R) +17.0 | Actual Davis (R) +17.3 | Difference 0.3 |
Oct 21 | 600LV | House (IL-12) General election | IVR | Poll Bost (R) +2.0 | Actual Bost (R) +10.6 | Difference 8.6 |
Oct 21 | 600LV | House (IL-11) General election | IVR | Poll Foster (D) +12.0 | Actual Foster (D) +6.9 | Difference 5.1 |
Oct 21 | 600LV | House (IL-10) General election | IVR | Poll Dold (R) +2.0 | Actual Dold (R) +2.6 | Difference 0.6 |
2012
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,210LV | Senate (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Baldwin (D) +2.2 | Actual Baldwin (D) +5.5 | Difference 3.3 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,069LV | Senate (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Allen (R) +0.8 | Actual Kaine (D) +5.9 | Difference 6.7 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,210LV | President (WI) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +6.7 | Actual Obama (D) +6.8 | Difference 0.1 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,069LV | President (VA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +0.9 | Actual Obama (D) +3.9 | Difference 3.0 |
Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,649LV | President (OH) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +4.4 | Actual Obama (D) +3.0 | Difference 1.4 |
Nov 1 | 1,178LV | Senate (NE) General election | IVR | Poll Fischer (R) +12.4 | Actual Fischer (R) +15.5 | Difference 3.1 |
Nov 1 | 1,178LV | President (NE) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +13.0 | Actual Romney (R) +21.8 | Difference 8.8 |
Oct 30 | 1,246LV | President (CO) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +3.4 | Actual Obama (D) +5.4 | Difference 2.0 |
Oct 30 | 1,146LV | President (FL) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +0.9 | Actual Obama (D) +0.9 | Difference 1.8 |
Oct 30 | 1,217LV | Senate (MO) General election | IVR | Poll McCaskill (D) +3.4 | Actual McCaskill (D) +15.7 | Difference 12.3 |
Oct 30 | 1,217LV | President (MO) General election | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +11.6 | Actual Romney (R) +9.4 | Difference 2.2 |
Oct 30 | 1,198LV | President (IL) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +16.0 | Actual Obama (D) +16.9 | Difference 0.9 |
Oct 30 | 1,174LV | President (IA) General election | IVR | Poll Obama (D) +1.5 | Actual Obama (D) +5.8 | Difference 4.3 |
Oct 28 | 1,325LV | House (IL-17) General election | IVR | Poll Schilling (R) +4.0 | Actual Bustos (D) +6.6 | Difference 10.6 |
Oct 28 | 1,360LV | House (IL-13) General election | IVR | Poll Davis (R) +5.1 | Actual Davis (R) +0.3 | Difference 4.8 |
Oct 28 | 1,313LV | House (IL-12) General election | IVR | Poll Enyart (D) +5.0 | Actual Enyart (D) +8.9 | Difference 3.9 |
Oct 28 | 1,257LV | House (IL-10) General election | IVR | Poll Dold (R) +7.2 | Actual Schneider (D) +1.3 | Difference 8.5 |
Oct 28 | 1,010LV | House (IL-8) General election | IVR | Poll Duckworth (D) +10.0 | Actual Duckworth (D) +9.5 | Difference 0.5 |
Oct 28 | 1,303LV | House (IL-11) General election | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Foster (D) +17.1 | Difference 17.1 |
Oct 21 | 819LV | House (IL-2) General election | IVR | Poll Jackson (D) +31.0 | Actual Jackson (D) +40.0 | Difference 9.0 |
Jun 3 | 1,570LV | Governor (WI) Special election | IVR | Poll Walker (R) +12.0 | Actual Walker (R) +6.8 | Difference 5.2 |
May 23 | 1,409LV | Governor (WI) Special election | IVR | Poll Walker (R) +12.0 | Actual Walker (R) +6.8 | Difference 5.2 |
Apr 1 | 1,173LV | President (WI) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +8.0 | Actual Romney (R) +7.2 | Difference 0.8 |
Mar 14 | 1,933LV | President (IL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +6.0 | Actual Romney (R) +11.7 | Difference 5.7 |
Mar 4 | 1,023LV | President (TN) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +1.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +9.0 | Difference 10.0 |
Feb 29 | 1,100RV | President (IL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +3.4 | Actual Romney (R) +11.7 | Difference 8.3 |
Feb 28 | 800RV | President (IL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Romney (R) +11.7 | Difference 11.7 |
Feb 26 | 984LV | President (MI) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +4.0 | Actual Romney (R) +3.2 | Difference 0.8 |
Feb 26 | 1,162LV | President (AZ) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +16.0 | Actual Romney (R) +19.8 | Difference 3.8 |
Feb 19-20 | 1,155LV | President (AZ) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +10.0 | Actual Romney (R) +19.8 | Difference 9.8 |
Feb 19 | 1,025LV | President (MI) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Even | Actual Romney (R) +3.2 | Difference 3.2 |
Jan 29 | 1,188LV | President (FL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +19.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 4.5 |
Jan 23 | 946LV | President (FL) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +2.0 | Actual Romney (R) +14.5 | Difference 12.5 |
Jan 19 | 988LV | President (SC) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Gingrich (R) +4.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +12.6 | Difference 8.6 |
Jan 15 | 989LV | President (SC) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +13.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +12.6 | Difference 25.6 |
Dec 29 | 889LV | President (IA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +7.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +0.0 | Difference 7.0 |
Dec 20 | 1,250LV | President (IA) Republican primary | IVR | Poll Romney (R) +9.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +0.0 | Difference 9.0 |
2010
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 31 | 1,103LV | House (IL-17) General election | IVR | Poll Schilling (R) +8.0 | Actual Schilling (R) +9.6 | Difference 1.6 |
Oct 31 | 784LV | House (IL-14) General election | IVR | Poll Hultgren (R) +5.0 | Actual Hultgren (R) +6.3 | Difference 1.3 |
Oct 31 | 829LV | House (IL-11) General election | IVR | Poll Kinzinger (R) +10.0 | Actual Kinzinger (R) +14.7 | Difference 4.7 |
Oct 31 | 861LV | House (IL-10) General election | IVR | Poll Dold (R) +8.0 | Actual Dold (R) +2.2 | Difference 5.8 |
Oct 31 | 773LV | House (IL-8) General election | IVR | Poll Walsh (R) +3.0 | Actual Walsh (R) +0.1 | Difference 2.9 |
Oct 18 | 1,150RV | House (WI-7) General election | IVR | Poll Duffy (R) +7.0 | Actual Duffy (R) +7.7 | Difference 0.7 |
Oct 15 | 1,148LV | House (IL-10) General election | IVR | Poll Dold (R) +11.0 | Actual Dold (R) +2.2 | Difference 8.8 |
May 13 | 888LV | House (PA-12) Special election | IVR | Poll Critz (D) +8.4 | Actual Critz (D) +7.7 | Difference 0.7 |
Comments