Polls analyzed | 4 |
Races called correctly | 75% |
Most recent cycle | 2016 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from Western Kentucky University?
2016
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 25-30 | 602LV | President (KY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +17.0 | Actual Trump (R) +29.8 | Difference 12.8 |
Oct 25-30 | 602LV | Senate (KY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Paul (R) +16.0 | Actual Paul (R) +14.5 | Difference 1.5 |
Feb 22-26 | 532LV | President (KY) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Trump (R) +20.0 | Actual Trump (R) +4.3 | Difference 15.7 |
2015
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 19-25 | 770LV | Governor (KY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Conway (D) +5.0 | Actual Bevin (R) +8.7 | Difference 13.7 |
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