B/C
| Polls analyzed | 17 |
| Races called correctly | 68% |
| Most recent cycle | 2020 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from WPA Intelligence (WPAi)?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2020
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11-13 | 413LV | President (NV) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Sanders (D) +7.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +16.4 | Difference 9.4 |
2018
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22-24 | 401LV | House (IA-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll King (R) +18.0 | Actual King (R) +3.3 | Difference 14.7 |
| Oct 17-20 | 401LV | House (TX-21) General election | Live Phone | Poll Roy (R) +12.0 | Actual Roy (R) +2.6 | Difference 9.4 |
2016
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18-20 | 400LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Feingold (D) +3.0 | Actual Johnson (R) +3.4 | Difference 6.4 |
2014
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24-25 | 500LV | Senate (LA) Runoff | Live Phone | Poll Cassidy (R) +24.0 | Actual Cassidy (R) +11.9 | Difference 12.1 |
| Oct 26-27 | 504LV | Governor (MD) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hogan (R) +5.0 | Actual Hogan (R) +3.8 | Difference 1.2 |
| Oct 19-20 | 500LV | Governor (MD) General election | Live Phone | Poll Brown (D) +1.0 | Actual Hogan (R) +3.8 | Difference 4.8 |
2010
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20-21 | 500LV | Senate (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Portman (R) +11.0 | Actual Portman (R) +17.4 | Difference 6.4 |
| Oct 17-18 | 300LV | House (MO-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Hartzler (R) +5.3 | Difference 5.3 |
| Oct 13-14 | 800LV | Senate (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Fiorina (R) +3.0 | Actual Boxer (D) +10.0 | Difference 13.0 |
| Oct 13-14 | 800LV | Governor (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Whitman (R) +1.0 | Actual Brown (D) +12.9 | Difference 13.9 |
2004
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22-24 | 500LV | Senate (OK) General election | Live Phone | Poll Coburn (R) +3.0 | Actual Coburn (R) +11.5 | Difference 8.5 |
| Oct 22-24 | 500LV | President (OK) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +33.0 | Actual Bush (R) +31.1 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 15-17 | 500LV | Senate (OK) General election | Live Phone | Poll Coburn (R) +3.0 | Actual Coburn (R) +11.5 | Difference 8.5 |
| Oct 15-17 | 500LV | President (OK) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +30.0 | Actual Bush (R) +31.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Jan 28 | 300LV | President (OK) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clark (D) +5.0 | Actual Clark (D) +0.4 | Difference 4.6 |
1998
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | 300LV | House (ND-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Pomeroy (D) +9.0 | Actual Pomeroy (D) +15.1 | Difference 6.1 |
Show all
Comments