Polls analyzed | 17 |
Races called correctly | 68% |
Most recent cycle | 2020 |
Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from WPA Intelligence (WPAi)?
2020
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feb 11-13 | 413LV | President (NV) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Sanders (D) +7.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +16.4 | Difference 9.4 |
2018
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 22-24 | 401LV | House (IA-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll King (R) +18.0 | Actual King (R) +3.3 | Difference 14.7 |
Oct 17-20 | 401LV | House (TX-21) General election | Live Phone | Poll Roy (R) +12.0 | Actual Roy (R) +2.6 | Difference 9.4 |
2016
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 18-20 | 400LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Feingold (D) +3.0 | Actual Johnson (R) +3.4 | Difference 6.4 |
2014
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov 24-25 | 500LV | Senate (LA) Runoff | Live Phone | Poll Cassidy (R) +24.0 | Actual Cassidy (R) +11.9 | Difference 12.1 |
Oct 26-27 | 504LV | Governor (MD) General election | Live Phone | Poll Hogan (R) +5.0 | Actual Hogan (R) +3.8 | Difference 1.2 |
Oct 19-20 | 500LV | Governor (MD) General election | Live Phone | Poll Brown (D) +1.0 | Actual Hogan (R) +3.8 | Difference 4.8 |
2010
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 20-21 | 500LV | Senate (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Portman (R) +11.0 | Actual Portman (R) +17.4 | Difference 6.4 |
Oct 17-18 | 300LV | House (MO-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Hartzler (R) +5.3 | Difference 5.3 |
Oct 13-14 | 800LV | Senate (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Fiorina (R) +3.0 | Actual Boxer (D) +10.0 | Difference 13.0 |
Oct 13-14 | 800LV | Governor (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Whitman (R) +1.0 | Actual Brown (D) +12.9 | Difference 13.9 |
2004
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 22-24 | 500LV | Senate (OK) General election | Live Phone | Poll Coburn (R) +3.0 | Actual Coburn (R) +11.5 | Difference 8.5 |
Oct 22-24 | 500LV | President (OK) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +33.0 | Actual Bush (R) +31.1 | Difference 1.9 |
Oct 15-17 | 500LV | Senate (OK) General election | Live Phone | Poll Coburn (R) +3.0 | Actual Coburn (R) +11.5 | Difference 8.5 |
Oct 15-17 | 500LV | President (OK) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush (R) +30.0 | Actual Bush (R) +31.1 | Difference 1.1 |
Jan 28 | 300LV | President (OK) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clark (D) +5.0 | Actual Clark (D) +0.4 | Difference 4.6 |
1998
Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 18 | 300LV | House (ND-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Pomeroy (D) +9.0 | Actual Pomeroy (D) +15.1 | Difference 6.1 |
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