B+
| Polls analyzed | 455 |
| Races called correctly | 89% |
| Most recent cycle | 2020 |
| Affiliated with professional polling organization (NCPP/AAPOR/Roper) | No |
How accurate are the polls from YouGov?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2020
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 1,363LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +10.0 | Actual Biden (D) +4.5 | Difference 5.5 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 1,363LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +10.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +3.1 | Difference 6.9 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,360LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +9.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +3.1 | Difference 5.9 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,360LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +10.0 | Actual Biden (D) +4.5 | Difference 5.5 |
| Sep 29-Oct 27 | 2,947LV | President (TX) General election | Online | Poll Trump (R) +2.0 | Actual Trump (R) +5.6 | Difference 3.6 |
| Oct 25-27 | 1,365LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +10.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +3.1 | Difference 6.9 |
| Oct 25-27 | 1,365LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +11.0 | Actual Biden (D) +4.5 | Difference 6.5 |
| Oct 20-27 | 1,500LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +9.1 | Actual Biden (D) +4.5 | Difference 4.6 |
| Sep 29-Oct 27 | 50,908LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +8.0 | Actual Biden (D) +4.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Sep 29-Oct 27 | 3,755LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +2.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.4 | Difference 5.4 |
| Sep 29-Oct 27 | 1,456LV | President (GA) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +1.0 | Actual Biden (D) +0.2 | Difference 0.8 |
| Sep 29-Oct 27 | 1,627LV | President (NC) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +4.0 | Actual Trump (R) +1.3 | Difference 5.3 |
| Sep 29-Oct 27 | 2,703LV | President (PA) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +8.0 | Actual Biden (D) +1.2 | Difference 6.8 |
| Oct 16-26 | 2,500LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +11.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +3.1 | Difference 7.9 |
| Oct 16-26 | 1,200LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +2.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.4 | Difference 5.4 |
| Oct 16-26 | 2,500LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +11.0 | Actual Biden (D) +4.5 | Difference 6.5 |
| Oct 23-25 | 1,350LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +13.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +3.1 | Difference 9.9 |
| Oct 23-25 | 1,350LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +12.0 | Actual Biden (D) +4.5 | Difference 7.5 |
| Oct 20-23 | 1,228LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +2.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.4 | Difference 5.4 |
| Oct 20-23 | 1,022LV | Senate (NC) General election | Online | Poll Cunningham (D) +6.0 | Actual Tillis (R) +1.7 | Difference 7.7 |
| Oct 20-23 | 1,090LV | Senate (GA) General election | Online | Poll Perdue (R) +1.0 | Actual Perdue (R) +1.8 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 20-23 | 1,022LV | President (NC) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +4.0 | Actual Trump (R) +1.3 | Difference 5.3 |
| Oct 20-23 | 1,090LV | President (GA) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Biden (D) +0.2 | Difference 0.2 |
| Oct 14-21 | 713LV | Senate (MA) General election | Online | Poll Markey (D) +39.0 | Actual Markey (D) +33.1 | Difference 5.9 |
| Oct 13-21 | 647LV | President (WI) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +9.0 | Actual Biden (D) +0.6 | Difference 8.4 |
| Oct 13-21 | 669LV | President (PA) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +8.0 | Actual Biden (D) +1.2 | Difference 6.8 |
| Oct 13-21 | 681LV | President (MI) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +10.0 | Actual Biden (D) +2.8 | Difference 7.2 |
| Oct 14-21 | 713LV | President (MA) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +35.0 | Actual Biden (D) +33.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 18-20 | 1,343LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +7.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +3.1 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 18-20 | 1,344LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +9.0 | Actual Biden (D) +4.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Oct 13-20 | 1,000LV | President (TX) General election | Online | Poll Trump (R) +5.3 | Actual Trump (R) +5.6 | Difference 0.3 |
| Oct 13-20 | 1,000LV | Senate (TX) General election | Online | Poll Cornyn (R) +7.3 | Actual Cornyn (R) +9.6 | Difference 2.3 |
| Oct 16-18 | 1,465LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +11.0 | Actual Biden (D) +4.5 | Difference 6.5 |
| Oct 16-18 | 1,465LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +11.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +3.1 | Difference 7.9 |
| Oct 13-16 | 1,112LV | President (WI) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +5.0 | Actual Biden (D) +0.6 | Difference 4.4 |
| Oct 13-16 | 1,074LV | President (AZ) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +3.0 | Actual Biden (D) +0.3 | Difference 2.7 |
| Oct 13-16 | 1,065LV | Senate (AZ) Special election | Online | Poll Kelly (D) +11.0 | Actual Kelly (D) +2.3 | Difference 8.7 |
| Mar 6-8 | 201LV | President (MI) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Biden (D) +13.0 | Actual Biden (D) +16.6 | Difference 3.6 |
| Feb 27-29 | 635LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Sanders (D) +4.0 | Actual Biden (D) +4.7 | Difference 8.7 |
| Feb 27-29 | 1,411LV | President (CA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Sanders (D) +12.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +8.1 | Difference 3.9 |
| Feb 26-28 | 1,020LV | President (CA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Sanders (D) +9.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +8.1 | Difference 0.9 |
| Feb 18-24 | 400LV | President (MA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Sanders (D) +13.0 | Actual Biden (D) +6.9 | Difference 19.9 |
| Feb 20-22 | 1,238LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Biden (D) +5.0 | Actual Biden (D) +28.9 | Difference 23.9 |
| Feb 6-18 | 1,352LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Biden (D) +0.3 | Actual Biden (D) +4.7 | Difference 4.4 |
| Feb 5-8 | 848LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Sanders (D) +4.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +1.3 | Difference 2.7 |
| Jan 16-23 | 1,356LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Sanders (D) +4.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +3.4 | Difference 0.6 |
2018
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4-6 | 1,290RV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +6.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +9.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 28-30 | 1,296RV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +5.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +9.9 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 23-26 | 991LV | Governor (FL) General election | Online | Poll Gillum (D) +1.0 | Actual DeSantis (R) +0.4 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 23-26 | 972LV | Governor (AZ) General election | Online | Poll Ducey (R) +11.0 | Actual Ducey (R) +14.2 | Difference 3.2 |
| Oct 23-26 | 975LV | Senate (IN) General election | Online | Poll Braun (R) +3.0 | Actual Braun (R) +5.9 | Difference 2.9 |
| Oct 23-26 | 991LV | Senate (FL) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Scott (R) +0.1 | Difference 0.1 |
| Oct 23-26 | 972LV | Senate (AZ) General election | Online | Poll Sinema (D) +3.0 | Actual Sinema (D) +2.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 17-25 | 2,321RV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +8.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +9.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 10-24 | 2,178RV | Senate (CA) General election | Online | Poll Feinstein (D) +7.0 | Actual Feinstein (D) +8.3 | Difference 1.3 |
| Oct 10-24 | 2,178RV | Governor (CA) General election | Online | Poll Newsom (D) +19.0 | Actual Newsom (D) +23.9 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 21-23 | 1,233RV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +6.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +9.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 15-21 | 927LV | Governor (TX) General election | Online | Poll Abbott (R) +19.0 | Actual Abbott (R) +13.3 | Difference 5.7 |
| Oct 15-21 | 927LV | Senate (TX) General election | Online | Poll Cruz (R) +6.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +2.6 | Difference 3.4 |
2017
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28-Dec 1 | 766RV | Senate (AL) Special election | Online | Poll Moore (R) +6.0 | Actual Jones (D) +1.6 | Difference 7.6 |
2016
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4-7 | 3,677LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +3.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +0.7 | Difference 2.3 |
| Nov 4-7 | 3,677LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +4.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +2.1 | Difference 1.9 |
| Nov 3-5 | 762LV | President (UT) General election | Online | Poll Trump (R) +17.0 | Actual Trump (R) +18.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Nov 3-5 | 931LV | President (PA) General election | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +2.0 | Actual Trump (R) +0.7 | Difference 2.7 |
| Nov 3-5 | 995LV | President (GA) General election | Online | Poll Trump (R) +6.0 | Actual Trump (R) +5.1 | Difference 0.9 |
| Nov 3-5 | 995LV | Senate (GA) General election | Online | Poll Isakson (R) +7.0 | Actual Isakson (R) +13.8 | Difference 6.8 |
| Nov 3-5 | 762LV | Senate (UT) General election | Online | Poll Lee (R) +46.0 | Actual Lee (R) +41.1 | Difference 4.9 |
| Nov 3-5 | 931LV | Senate (PA) General election | Online | Poll McGinty (D) +1.0 | Actual Toomey (R) +1.4 | Difference 2.4 |
| Nov 2-4 | 1,189LV | President (OH) General election | Online | Poll Trump (R) +1.0 | Actual Trump (R) +8.1 | Difference 7.1 |
| Nov 2-4 | 1,188RV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Trump (R) +1.2 | Difference 1.2 |
| Nov 2-4 | 1,188RV | Senate (FL) General election | Online | Poll Rubio (R) +3.0 | Actual Rubio (R) +7.7 | Difference 4.7 |
| Nov 2-4 | 1,189LV | Senate (OH) General election | Online | Poll Portman (R) +13.0 | Actual Portman (R) +20.9 | Difference 7.9 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,233LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +2.1 | Difference 0.9 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,228LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +5.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +0.7 | Difference 4.3 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,498LV | President (CA) General election | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +20.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +30.1 | Difference 10.1 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,498LV | Senate (CA) General election | Online | Poll Harris (D) +24.0 | Actual Harris (D) +23.2 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 26-28 | 1,091LV | President (PA) General election | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +8.0 | Actual Trump (R) +0.7 | Difference 8.7 |
| Oct 26-28 | 992LV | President (NC) General election | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +3.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.7 | Difference 6.7 |
| Oct 26-28 | 997LV | President (CO) General election | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +4.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 26-28 | 994LV | President (AZ) General election | Online | Poll Trump (R) +2.0 | Actual Trump (R) +3.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 26-28 | 1,091LV | Senate (PA) General election | Online | Poll McGinty (D) +3.0 | Actual Toomey (R) +1.4 | Difference 4.4 |
| Oct 26-28 | 997LV | Senate (CO) General election | Online | Poll Bennet (D) +5.0 | Actual Bennet (D) +5.7 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 26-28 | 992LV | Senate (NC) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Burr (R) +5.7 | Difference 5.7 |
| Oct 26-28 | 992LV | Governor (NC) General election | Online | Poll Cooper (D) +2.0 | Actual Cooper (D) +0.2 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 26-28 | 994LV | Senate (AZ) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +5.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.0 | Difference 8.0 |
| Oct 22-26 | 1,209LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +2.1 | Difference 0.9 |
| Oct 22-26 | 1,209LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +5.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +2.1 | Difference 2.9 |
| Oct 22-26 | 1,200LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +5.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +0.7 | Difference 4.3 |
| Oct 14-23 | 959LV | President (TX) General election | Online | Poll Trump (R) +3.0 | Actual Trump (R) +9.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Oct 21-22 | 1,031LV | President (TX) General election | Online | Poll Trump (R) +3.0 | Actual Trump (R) +9.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Oct 20-21 | 1,042LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +3.0 | Actual Trump (R) +1.2 | Difference 4.2 |
| Oct 20-21 | 1,042LV | Senate (FL) General election | Online | Poll Rubio (R) +2.0 | Actual Rubio (R) +7.7 | Difference 5.7 |
| Oct 17-21 | 382LV | House (NH-2) General election | Online | Poll Kuster (D) +11.0 | Actual Kuster (D) +4.4 | Difference 6.6 |
| Oct 17-21 | 380LV | House (NH-1) General election | Online | Poll Shea-Porter (D) +4.0 | Actual Shea-Porter (D) +1.3 | Difference 2.7 |
| Oct 17-21 | 772LV | President (NH) General election | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +5.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +0.4 | Difference 4.6 |
| Oct 17-21 | 772LV | Governor (NH) General election | Online | Poll Van Ostern (D) +1.0 | Actual Sununu (R) +2.3 | Difference 3.3 |
| Oct 17-21 | 772LV | Senate (NH) General election | Online | Poll Ayotte (R) +4.0 | Actual Hassan (D) +0.1 | Difference 4.1 |
| May 31-Jun 3 | 674LV | President (CA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +2.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +7.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| May 31-Jun 3 | 586LV | President (NJ) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +27.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +26.6 | Difference 0.4 |
| Apr 20-22 | 831LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +8.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +11.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Apr 20-22 | 439LV | President (IN) Republican primary | Online | Poll Trump (R) +5.0 | Actual Trump (R) +16.6 | Difference 11.6 |
| Apr 20-22 | 439LV | President (IN) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +5.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +4.9 | Difference 9.9 |
| Apr 20-22 | 934LV | President (PA) Republican primary | Online | Poll Trump (R) +23.0 | Actual Trump (R) +34.8 | Difference 11.8 |
| Apr 13-15 | 1,030LV | President (NY) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +10.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +16.1 | Difference 6.1 |
| Apr 13-15 | 705LV | President (NY) Republican primary | Online | Poll Trump (R) +35.0 | Actual Trump (R) +35.1 | Difference 0.1 |
| Apr 13-15 | 833LV | President (PA) Republican primary | Online | Poll Trump (R) +20.0 | Actual Trump (R) +34.8 | Difference 14.8 |
| Mar 29-Apr 1 | 657LV | President (NY) Republican primary | Online | Poll Trump (R) +32.0 | Actual Trump (R) +35.1 | Difference 3.1 |
| Mar 29-Apr 1 | 718LV | President (NY) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +10.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +16.1 | Difference 6.1 |
| Mar 29-Apr 1 | 675LV | President (WI) Republican primary | Online | Poll Cruz (R) +6.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +13.2 | Difference 7.2 |
| Mar 29-Apr 1 | 653LV | President (WI) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Sanders (D) +2.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +13.5 | Difference 11.5 |
| Mar 9-11 | 798LV | President (OH) Republican primary | Online | Poll Even | Actual Kasich (R) +11.1 | Difference 11.1 |
| Mar 9-11 | 755LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +9.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +13.0 | Difference 4.0 |
| Mar 9-11 | 770LV | President (IL) Republican primary | Online | Poll Trump (R) +4.0 | Actual Trump (R) +8.6 | Difference 4.6 |
| Mar 9-11 | 722LV | President (IL) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Sanders (D) +2.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +1.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Mar 9-11 | 873LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Online | Poll Trump (R) +23.0 | Actual Trump (R) +18.7 | Difference 4.3 |
| Mar 9-11 | 796LV | President (FL) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +28.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +31.2 | Difference 3.2 |
| Mar 2-4 | 637LV | President (MI) Republican primary | Online | Poll Trump (R) +15.0 | Actual Trump (R) +11.9 | Difference 3.1 |
| Mar 2-4 | 597LV | President (MI) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +11.0 | Actual Sanders (D) +1.4 | Difference 12.4 |
| Feb 22-26 | 492LV | President (GA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +28.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +43.1 | Difference 15.1 |
| Feb 22-26 | 481LV | President (VA) Republican primary | Online | Poll Trump (R) +13.0 | Actual Trump (R) +2.8 | Difference 10.2 |
| Feb 22-26 | 481LV | President (VA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +20.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +29.1 | Difference 9.1 |
| Feb 22-26 | 796LV | President (TX) Republican primary | Online | Poll Cruz (R) +11.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +17.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Feb 22-26 | 750LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +24.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +32.0 | Difference 8.0 |
| Feb 22-26 | 493LV | President (GA) Republican primary | Online | Poll Trump (R) +18.0 | Actual Trump (R) +14.4 | Difference 3.6 |
| Feb 19-25 | 400LV | President (MA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +3.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +1.4 | Difference 1.6 |
| Feb 19-25 | 292LV | President (MA) Republican primary | Online | Poll Trump (R) +36.0 | Actual Trump (R) +31.1 | Difference 4.9 |
| Feb 12-19 | 407LV | President (TX) Republican primary | Online | Poll Cruz (R) +8.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +17.0 | Difference 9.0 |
| Feb 12-19 | 324LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +10.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +32.0 | Difference 22.0 |
| Feb 10-12 | 404LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton (D) +19.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +47.4 | Difference 28.4 |
| Feb 10-12 | 744LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Online | Poll Trump (R) +27.0 | Actual Trump (R) +10.0 | Difference 17.0 |
| Jan 18-21 | 492LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Online | Poll Trump (R) +5.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +3.3 | Difference 8.3 |
| Jan 18-21 | 490LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Sanders (D) +1.0 | Actual Clinton (D) +0.3 | Difference 1.3 |
2014
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25-31 | 1,743LV | Senate (GA) General election | Online | Poll Perdue (R) +1.5 | Actual Perdue (R) +7.7 | Difference 6.2 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,727LV | Senate (NC) General election | Online | Poll Hagan (D) +2.0 | Actual Tillis (R) +1.6 | Difference 3.6 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,494LV | Governor (WI) General election | Online | Poll Walker (R) +2.0 | Actual Walker (R) +5.7 | Difference 3.7 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,795LV | Governor (FL) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Scott (R) +1.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,743LV | Governor (GA) General election | Online | Poll Deal (R) +4.0 | Actual Deal (R) +7.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,417LV | Governor (CO) General election | Online | Poll Hickenlooper (D) +2.0 | Actual Hickenlooper (D) +3.3 | Difference 1.3 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,137LV | Governor (KS) General election | Online | Poll Brownback (R) +1.0 | Actual Brownback (R) +3.7 | Difference 2.7 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,112LV | Governor (IA) General election | Online | Poll Branstad (R) +15.0 | Actual Branstad (R) +21.7 | Difference 6.7 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,112LV | Senate (IA) General election | Online | Poll Braley (D) +1.0 | Actual Ernst (R) +8.3 | Difference 9.3 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,417LV | Senate (CO) General election | Online | Poll Gardner (R) +0.8 | Actual Gardner (R) +1.9 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,137LV | Senate (KS) General election | Online | Poll Roberts (R) +1.3 | Actual Roberts (R) +10.6 | Difference 9.3 |
| Oct 28-30 | 802LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (R) +4.0 | Actual Candidate (R) +5.6 | Difference 1.6 |
| Oct 20-27 | 591LV | Governor (MA) General election | Online | Poll Coakley (D) +3.0 | Actual Baker (R) +1.9 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 20-27 | 591LV | Senate (MA) General election | Online | Poll Markey (D) +16.0 | Actual Markey (D) +23.9 | Difference 7.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 2,394LV | Senate (MI) General election | Online | Poll Peters (D) +8.0 | Actual Peters (D) +13.3 | Difference 5.3 |
| Oct 16-23 | 681LV | Senate (NE) General election | Online | Poll Sasse (R) +29.0 | Actual Sasse (R) +32.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,316LV | Senate (LA) Jungle primary | Online | Poll Landrieu (D) +5.0 | Actual Landrieu (D) +1.1 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 7,463LV | Governor (CA) General election | Online | Poll Brown (D) +18.0 | Actual Brown (D) +19.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 3,987LV | Governor (TX) General election | Online | Poll Abbott (R) +20.0 | Actual Abbott (R) +20.4 | Difference 0.4 |
| Oct 16-23 | 5,422LV | Governor (FL) General election | Online | Poll Scott (R) +1.0 | Actual Scott (R) +1.1 | Difference 0.1 |
| Oct 16-23 | 3,519LV | Governor (IL) General election | Online | Poll Quinn (D) +4.0 | Actual Rauner (R) +3.9 | Difference 7.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 2,218LV | Governor (MA) General election | Online | Poll Coakley (D) +4.0 | Actual Baker (R) +1.9 | Difference 5.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 3,111LV | Governor (PA) General election | Online | Poll Wolf (D) +13.0 | Actual Wolf (D) +9.9 | Difference 3.1 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,774LV | Governor (GA) General election | Online | Poll Deal (R) +4.0 | Actual Deal (R) +7.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 2,394LV | Governor (MI) General election | Online | Poll Schauer (D) +1.0 | Actual Snyder (R) +4.1 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,611LV | Governor (CO) General election | Online | Poll Hickenlooper (D) +4.0 | Actual Hickenlooper (D) +3.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 16-23 | 974LV | Governor (TN) General election | Online | Poll Haslam (R) +28.0 | Actual Haslam (R) +47.5 | Difference 19.5 |
| Oct 16-23 | 3,308LV | Governor (WI) General election | Online | Poll Walker (R) +1.0 | Actual Walker (R) +5.7 | Difference 4.7 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,566LV | Governor (SC) General election | Online | Poll Haley (R) +17.0 | Actual Haley (R) +14.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 16-23 | 2,728LV | Governor (OH) General election | Online | Poll Kasich (R) +19.0 | Actual Kasich (R) +30.6 | Difference 11.6 |
| Oct 16-23 | 995LV | Governor (OK) General election | Online | Poll Fallin (R) +24.0 | Actual Fallin (R) +14.8 | Difference 9.2 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,086LV | Governor (MD) General election | Online | Poll Brown (D) +13.0 | Actual Hogan (R) +3.8 | Difference 16.8 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,421LV | Governor (OR) General election | Online | Poll Kitzhaber (D) +6.0 | Actual Kitzhaber (D) +5.8 | Difference 0.2 |
| Oct 16-23 | 866LV | Governor (RI) General election | Online | Poll Raimondo (D) +5.0 | Actual Raimondo (D) +4.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Oct 16-23 | 2,430LV | Governor (MN) General election | Online | Poll Dayton (D) +9.0 | Actual Dayton (D) +5.6 | Difference 3.4 |
| Oct 16-23 | 5,122LV | Governor (NY) General election | Online | Poll Cuomo (D) +25.0 | Actual Cuomo (D) +14.0 | Difference 11.0 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,314LV | Governor (NV) General election | Online | Poll Sandoval (R) +25.0 | Actual Sandoval (R) +46.7 | Difference 21.7 |
| Oct 16-23 | 962LV | Governor (NM) General election | Online | Poll Martinez (R) +12.0 | Actual Martinez (R) +14.4 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,042LV | Governor (NH) General election | Online | Poll Hassan (D) +9.0 | Actual Hassan (D) +4.9 | Difference 4.1 |
| Oct 16-23 | 681LV | Governor (NE) General election | Online | Poll Ricketts (R) +20.0 | Actual Ricketts (R) +17.9 | Difference 2.1 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,567LV | Governor (AR) General election | Online | Poll Hutchinson (R) +9.0 | Actual Hutchinson (R) +13.9 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 258LV | Governor (WY) General election | Online | Poll Mead (R) +25.0 | Actual Mead (R) +32.1 | Difference 7.1 |
| Oct 16-23 | 329LV | Governor (VT) General election | Online | Poll Shumlin (D) +12.0 | Actual Shumlin (D) +1.3 | Difference 10.7 |
| Oct 16-23 | 527LV | Governor (SD) General election | Online | Poll Daugaard (R) +26.0 | Actual Daugaard (R) +45.0 | Difference 19.0 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,973LV | Governor (KS) General election | Online | Poll Brownback (R) +3.0 | Actual Brownback (R) +3.7 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,002LV | Governor (HI) General election | Online | Poll Ige (D) +32.0 | Actual Ige (D) +12.4 | Difference 19.6 |
| Oct 16-23 | 2,322LV | Governor (IA) General election | Online | Poll Branstad (R) +13.0 | Actual Branstad (R) +21.7 | Difference 8.7 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,267LV | Governor (CT) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Malloy (D) +2.6 | Difference 2.6 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,177LV | Governor (ME) General election | Online | Poll Michaud (D) +2.0 | Actual LePage (R) +4.8 | Difference 6.8 |
| Oct 16-23 | 575LV | Governor (ID) General election | Online | Poll Otter (R) +18.0 | Actual Otter (R) +15.0 | Difference 3.0 |
| Oct 16-23 | 2,621LV | Governor (AZ) General election | Online | Poll Ducey (R) +10.0 | Actual Ducey (R) +11.8 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 16-23 | 561LV | Governor (AK) General election | Online | Poll Parnell (R) +3.0 | Actual Walker (I) +2.2 | Difference 5.2 |
| Oct 16-23 | 661LV | Governor (AL) General election | Online | Poll Bentley (R) +38.0 | Actual Bentley (R) +27.3 | Difference 10.7 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,566LV | Senate (SC) Special election | Online | Poll Scott (R) +29.0 | Actual Scott (R) +22.1 | Difference 6.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 995LV | Senate (OK) Special election | Online | Poll Lankford (R) +34.0 | Actual Lankford (R) +38.9 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,002LV | Senate (HI) Special election | Online | Poll Schatz (D) +52.0 | Actual Schatz (D) +42.1 | Difference 9.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 866LV | Senate (RI) General election | Online | Poll Reed (D) +45.0 | Actual Reed (D) +41.3 | Difference 3.7 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,546LV | Senate (AR) General election | Online | Poll Cotton (R) +5.0 | Actual Cotton (R) +17.1 | Difference 12.1 |
| Oct 16-23 | 2,218LV | Senate (MA) General election | Online | Poll Markey (D) +22.0 | Actual Markey (D) +23.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 877LV | Senate (WV) General election | Online | Poll Capito (R) +22.0 | Actual Capito (R) +27.7 | Difference 5.7 |
| Oct 16-23 | 995LV | Senate (OK) General election | Online | Poll Inhofe (R) +36.0 | Actual Inhofe (R) +39.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Oct 16-23 | 974LV | Senate (TN) General election | Online | Poll Alexander (R) +22.0 | Actual Alexander (R) +30.0 | Difference 8.0 |
| Oct 16-23 | 575LV | Senate (ID) General election | Online | Poll Risch (R) +31.0 | Actual Risch (R) +30.7 | Difference 0.3 |
| Oct 16-23 | 2,322LV | Senate (IA) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Ernst (R) +8.3 | Difference 8.3 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,316LV | Senate (LA) Jungle primary | Online | Poll Cassidy (R) +4.0 | Actual Landrieu (D) +1.1 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 16-23 | 461LV | Senate (DE) General election | Online | Poll Coons (D) +18.0 | Actual Coons (D) +13.6 | Difference 4.4 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,567LV | Senate (CO) General election | Online | Poll Udall (D) +1.0 | Actual Gardner (R) +1.9 | Difference 2.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 527LV | Senate (SD) General election | Online | Poll Rounds (R) +13.0 | Actual Rounds (R) +20.9 | Difference 7.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,973LV | Senate (KS) General election | Online | Poll Roberts (R) +4.0 | Actual Roberts (R) +10.6 | Difference 6.6 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,421LV | Senate (OR) General election | Online | Poll Merkley (D) +12.0 | Actual Merkley (D) +18.9 | Difference 6.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 3,987LV | Senate (TX) General election | Online | Poll Cornyn (R) +22.0 | Actual Cornyn (R) +27.2 | Difference 5.2 |
| Oct 16-23 | 654LV | Senate (MS) General election | Online | Poll Cochran (R) +22.0 | Actual Cochran (R) +22.0 | Difference 0.0 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,774LV | Senate (GA) General election | Online | Poll Perdue (R) +3.0 | Actual Perdue (R) +7.7 | Difference 4.7 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,605LV | Senate (VA) General election | Online | Poll Warner (D) +10.0 | Actual Warner (D) +0.8 | Difference 9.2 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,502LV | Senate (KY) General election | Online | Poll McConnell (R) +6.0 | Actual McConnell (R) +15.5 | Difference 9.5 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,910LV | Senate (NC) General election | Online | Poll Hagan (D) +3.0 | Actual Tillis (R) +1.6 | Difference 4.6 |
| Oct 16-23 | 258LV | Senate (WY) General election | Online | Poll Enzi (R) +40.0 | Actual Enzi (R) +54.7 | Difference 14.7 |
| Oct 16-23 | 561LV | Senate (AK) General election | Online | Poll Sullivan (R) +4.0 | Actual Sullivan (R) +2.1 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,566LV | Senate (SC) General election | Online | Poll Graham (R) +15.0 | Actual Graham (R) +15.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,868LV | Senate (NJ) General election | Online | Poll Booker (D) +12.0 | Actual Booker (D) +13.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,177LV | Senate (ME) General election | Online | Poll Collins (R) +19.0 | Actual Collins (R) +37.0 | Difference 18.0 |
| Oct 16-23 | 1,042LV | Senate (NH) General election | Online | Poll Shaheen (D) +5.0 | Actual Shaheen (D) +3.2 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 16-23 | 2,430LV | Senate (MN) General election | Online | Poll Franken (D) +10.0 | Actual Franken (D) +10.2 | Difference 0.2 |
| Oct 16-23 | 497LV | Senate (MT) General election | Online | Poll Daines (R) +18.0 | Actual Daines (R) +17.7 | Difference 0.3 |
| Oct 16-23 | 3,519LV | Senate (IL) General election | Online | Poll Durbin (D) +13.0 | Actual Durbin (D) +10.9 | Difference 2.1 |
| Oct 16-23 | 962LV | Senate (NM) General election | Online | Poll Udall (D) +16.0 | Actual Udall (D) +11.1 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 10-19 | 866LV | Senate (TX) General election | Online | Poll Cornyn (R) +26.0 | Actual Cornyn (R) +27.2 | Difference 1.2 |
| Oct 10-19 | 866LV | Governor (TX) General election | Online | Poll Abbott (R) +16.0 | Actual Abbott (R) +20.4 | Difference 4.4 |
2012
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3-5 | 743A | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Candidate (D) +1.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 25,528LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +5.9 | Actual Candidate (D) +1.0 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,225LV | Senate (WI) General election | Online | Poll Baldwin (D) +1.0 | Actual Baldwin (D) +5.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 837LV | Senate (WA) General election | Online | Poll Cantwell (D) +18.0 | Actual Cantwell (D) +20.9 | Difference 2.9 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,497LV | Senate (VA) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Kaine (D) +5.9 | Difference 5.9 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,563LV | Senate (TX) General election | Online | Poll Cruz (R) +21.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +15.8 | Difference 5.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 697LV | Senate (TN) General election | Online | Poll Corker (R) +33.0 | Actual Corker (R) +34.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,620LV | Senate (OH) General election | Online | Poll Brown (D) +2.0 | Actual Brown (D) +6.0 | Difference 4.0 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,430LV | Senate (NY) General election | Online | Poll Gillibrand (D) +32.0 | Actual Gillibrand (D) +45.8 | Difference 13.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 650LV | Senate (NM) General election | Online | Poll Heinrich (D) +7.0 | Actual Heinrich (D) +5.7 | Difference 1.3 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 987LV | Senate (NJ) General election | Online | Poll Menendez (D) +15.0 | Actual Menendez (D) +19.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 732LV | Senate (NV) General election | Online | Poll Heller (R) +9.0 | Actual Heller (R) +1.2 | Difference 7.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 779LV | Senate (MO) General election | Online | Poll McCaskill (D) +10.0 | Actual McCaskill (D) +15.7 | Difference 5.7 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 790LV | Senate (MN) General election | Online | Poll Klobuchar (D) +28.0 | Actual Klobuchar (D) +34.7 | Difference 6.7 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,091LV | Senate (MI) General election | Online | Poll Stabenow (D) +12.0 | Actual Stabenow (D) +20.8 | Difference 8.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 811LV | Senate (MA) General election | Online | Poll Warren (D) +7.0 | Actual Warren (D) +7.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 705LV | Senate (MD) General election | Online | Poll Cardin (D) +23.0 | Actual Cardin (D) +29.6 | Difference 6.6 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 600LV | Senate (IN) General election | Online | Poll Donnelly (D) +2.0 | Actual Donnelly (D) +5.8 | Difference 3.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,621LV | Senate (FL) General election | Online | Poll Nelson (D) +6.0 | Actual Nelson (D) +13.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 895LV | Senate (CT) General election | Online | Poll Murphy (D) +2.0 | Actual Murphy (D) +11.8 | Difference 9.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,575LV | Senate (CA) General election | Online | Poll Feinstein (D) +17.0 | Actual Feinstein (D) +25.0 | Difference 8.0 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 702LV | Senate (AZ) General election | Online | Poll Flake (R) +7.0 | Actual Flake (R) +3.0 | Difference 4.0 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,225LV | President (WI) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.8 | Difference 2.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 837LV | President (WA) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +14.0 | Actual Obama (D) +14.9 | Difference 0.9 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,497LV | President (VA) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,563LV | President (TX) General election | Online | Poll Romney (R) +19.0 | Actual Romney (R) +15.8 | Difference 3.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 697LV | President (TN) General election | Online | Poll Romney (R) +11.0 | Actual Romney (R) +20.4 | Difference 9.4 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,273LV | President (PA) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +8.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.4 | Difference 2.6 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,620LV | President (OH) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +3.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.0 | Difference 0.0 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,430LV | President (NY) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +23.0 | Actual Obama (D) +28.2 | Difference 5.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 732LV | President (NV) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.7 | Difference 2.7 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 650LV | President (NM) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +6.0 | Actual Obama (D) +10.1 | Difference 4.1 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 987LV | President (NJ) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +12.0 | Actual Obama (D) +17.7 | Difference 5.7 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 690LV | President (NH) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.6 | Difference 1.6 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,500LV | President (NC) General election | Online | Poll Romney (R) +2.0 | Actual Romney (R) +2.0 | Difference 0.0 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 779LV | President (MO) General election | Online | Poll Romney (R) +11.0 | Actual Romney (R) +9.4 | Difference 1.6 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 790LV | President (MN) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +8.0 | Actual Obama (D) +7.7 | Difference 0.3 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,091LV | President (MI) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +7.0 | Actual Obama (D) +9.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 705LV | President (MD) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +22.0 | Actual Obama (D) +26.1 | Difference 4.1 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 811LV | President (MA) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +20.0 | Actual Obama (D) +23.1 | Difference 3.1 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 768LV | President (IN) General election | Online | Poll Romney (R) +7.0 | Actual Romney (R) +10.2 | Difference 3.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,126LV | President (IL) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +19.0 | Actual Obama (D) +16.9 | Difference 2.1 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,040LV | President (IA) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.8 | Difference 4.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,070LV | President (GA) General election | Online | Poll Romney (R) +8.0 | Actual Romney (R) +7.8 | Difference 0.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,621LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Romney (R) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +0.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 895LV | President (CT) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +15.0 | Actual Obama (D) +17.3 | Difference 2.3 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 752LV | President (CO) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +5.4 | Difference 4.4 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,575LV | President (CA) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +15.0 | Actual Obama (D) +23.1 | Difference 8.1 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 702LV | President (AZ) General election | Online | Poll Romney (R) +8.0 | Actual Romney (R) +9.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 36,472LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.8 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,273LV | Senate (PA) General election | Online | Poll Casey (D) +8.0 | Actual Casey (D) +9.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 27-29 | 688LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (R) +4.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +1.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Oct 27-29 | 688LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +1.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.8 | Difference 2.8 |
| Oct 20-22 | 803LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (D) +2.0 | Actual Candidate (D) +1.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Oct 20-22 | 803LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +3.8 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 15-21 | 540LV | Senate (TX) General election | Online | Poll Cruz (R) +15.0 | Actual Cruz (R) +15.8 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 15-21 | 540LV | President (TX) General election | Online | Poll Romney (R) +16.0 | Actual Romney (R) +15.8 | Difference 0.2 |
| Feb 25-Mar 1 | 500LV | President (TN) Republican primary | Online | Poll Santorum (R) +7.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +9.0 | Difference 2.0 |
| Feb 25-Mar 1 | 250LV | President (OK) Republican primary | Online | Poll Santorum (R) +8.0 | Actual Santorum (R) +5.8 | Difference 2.2 |
| Feb 25-Mar 1 | 650LV | President (OH) Republican primary | Online | Poll Santorum (R) +9.0 | Actual Romney (R) +1.0 | Difference 10.0 |
| Feb 25-Mar 1 | 400LV | President (MA) Republican primary | Online | Poll Romney (R) +43.0 | Actual Romney (R) +60.0 | Difference 17.0 |
| Feb 25-Mar 1 | 500LV | President (GA) Republican primary | Online | Poll Gingrich (R) +4.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +21.3 | Difference 17.3 |
| Jan 18-20 | 339LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Online | Poll Gingrich (R) +4.0 | Actual Gingrich (R) +12.6 | Difference 8.6 |
2010
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28-Nov 1 | 1,634A | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (R) +7.0 | Actual Candidate (R) +6.6 | Difference 0.4 |
| Oct 28-31 | 570LV | Senate (PA) General election | Online | Poll Toomey (R) +4.0 | Actual Toomey (R) +2.0 | Difference 2.0 |
| Oct 28-31 | 560LV | Senate (OH) General election | Online | Poll Portman (R) +13.0 | Actual Portman (R) +17.4 | Difference 4.4 |
| Oct 28-31 | 578LV | Senate (NY) Special election | Online | Poll Gillibrand (D) +23.6 | Actual Gillibrand (D) +27.8 | Difference 4.2 |
| Oct 28-31 | 578LV | Senate (NY) General election | Online | Poll Schumer (D) +26.0 | Actual Schumer (D) +34.1 | Difference 8.1 |
| Oct 28-31 | 548LV | Senate (FL) General election | Online | Poll Rubio (R) +12.0 | Actual Rubio (R) +19.2 | Difference 7.2 |
| Oct 28-31 | 810LV | Senate (CA) General election | Online | Poll Boxer (D) +4.0 | Actual Boxer (D) +10.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Oct 28-31 | 570LV | Governor (PA) General election | Online | Poll Corbett (R) +11.0 | Actual Corbett (R) +9.0 | Difference 2.0 |
| Oct 28-31 | 560LV | Governor (OH) General election | Online | Poll Kasich (R) +3.0 | Actual Kasich (R) +2.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Oct 28-31 | 578LV | Governor (NY) General election | Online | Poll Cuomo (D) +27.0 | Actual Cuomo (D) +29.3 | Difference 2.3 |
| Oct 28-31 | 548LV | Governor (FL) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Scott (R) +1.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 28-31 | 810LV | Governor (CA) General election | Online | Poll Brown (D) +10.0 | Actual Brown (D) +12.9 | Difference 2.9 |
| Oct 25-30 | 842LV | Senate (WI) General election | Online | Poll Johnson (R) +6.0 | Actual Johnson (R) +4.8 | Difference 1.2 |
| Oct 25-30 | 711LV | Senate (NV) General election | Online | Poll Angle (R) +2.0 | Actual Reid (D) +5.7 | Difference 7.7 |
| Oct 25-30 | 672LV | Senate (IL) General election | Online | Poll Giannoulias (D) +2.7 | Actual Kirk (R) +1.6 | Difference 4.3 |
| Oct 25-30 | 842LV | Governor (WI) General election | Online | Poll Walker (R) +10.0 | Actual Walker (R) +5.8 | Difference 4.2 |
| Oct 25-30 | 711LV | Governor (NV) General election | Online | Poll Sandoval (R) +16.0 | Actual Sandoval (R) +11.7 | Difference 4.3 |
| Oct 25-30 | 660LV | Governor (IL) General election | Online | Poll Brady (R) +7.3 | Actual Quinn (D) +0.9 | Difference 8.2 |
| Oct 25-30 | 849LV | Senate (WA) General election | Online | Poll Murray (D) +2.7 | Actual Murray (D) +4.7 | Difference 2.0 |
| Oct 25-28 | 783LV | Governor (CT) General election | Online | Poll Malloy (D) +4.0 | Actual Malloy (D) +0.6 | Difference 3.4 |
| Oct 25-28 | 855LV | Governor (CO) General election | Online | Poll Hickenlooper (D) +7.0 | Actual Hickenlooper (D) +14.7 | Difference 7.7 |
| Oct 25-28 | 814LV | Governor (CA) General election | Online | Poll Brown (D) +9.0 | Actual Brown (D) +12.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 25-28 | 779LV | Senate (PA) General election | Online | Poll Toomey (R) +6.0 | Actual Toomey (R) +2.0 | Difference 4.0 |
| Oct 25-28 | 805LV | Senate (OH) General election | Online | Poll Portman (R) +13.0 | Actual Portman (R) +17.4 | Difference 4.4 |
| Oct 25-28 | 819LV | Senate (NY) Special election | Online | Poll Gillibrand (D) +24.0 | Actual Gillibrand (D) +27.8 | Difference 3.8 |
| Oct 25-28 | 819LV | Senate (NY) General election | Online | Poll Schumer (D) +24.0 | Actual Schumer (D) +34.1 | Difference 10.1 |
| Oct 25-28 | 789LV | Senate (MO) General election | Online | Poll Blunt (R) +11.1 | Actual Blunt (R) +13.6 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 25-28 | 822LV | Senate (KY) General election | Online | Poll Paul (R) +8.0 | Actual Paul (R) +11.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Oct 25-28 | 826LV | Senate (FL) General election | Online | Poll Rubio (R) +11.0 | Actual Rubio (R) +19.2 | Difference 8.2 |
| Oct 25-28 | 783LV | Senate (CT) General election | Online | Poll Blumenthal (D) +9.9 | Actual Blumenthal (D) +11.9 | Difference 2.0 |
| Oct 25-28 | 855LV | Senate (CO) General election | Online | Poll Bennet (D) +1.0 | Actual Bennet (D) +1.6 | Difference 0.6 |
| Oct 25-28 | 814LV | Senate (CA) General election | Online | Poll Boxer (D) +3.3 | Actual Boxer (D) +10.0 | Difference 6.7 |
| Oct 25-28 | 779LV | Governor (PA) General election | Online | Poll Corbett (R) +9.0 | Actual Corbett (R) +9.0 | Difference 0.0 |
| Oct 25-28 | 805LV | Governor (OH) General election | Online | Poll Kasich (R) +3.0 | Actual Kasich (R) +2.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Oct 25-28 | 826LV | Governor (NY) General election | Online | Poll Cuomo (D) +30.0 | Actual Cuomo (D) +29.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 25-28 | 826LV | Governor (FL) General election | Online | Poll Sink (D) +3.0 | Actual Scott (R) +1.1 | Difference 4.1 |
| Oct 23-26 | 1,147A | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (R) +8.0 | Actual Candidate (R) +6.6 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 16-19 | 742A | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Candidate (R) +7.5 | Actual Candidate (R) +6.6 | Difference 0.9 |
2009
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27-30 | 742LV | Governor (VA) General election | Online | Poll McDonnell (R) +13.0 | Actual McDonnell (R) +17.4 | Difference 4.4 |
| Oct 27-30 | 780LV | Governor (NJ) General election | Online | Poll Corzine (D) +2.0 | Actual Christie (R) +3.6 | Difference 5.6 |
2008
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 275RV | President (VT) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +30.0 | Actual Obama (D) +37.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 772RV | President (VA) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +7.0 | Actual Obama (D) +6.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 395RV | President (UT) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +27.0 | Actual McCain (R) +28.2 | Difference 1.2 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 972RV | President (TX) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +11.0 | Actual McCain (R) +11.8 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 653RV | President (TN) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +9.0 | Actual McCain (R) +15.1 | Difference 6.1 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 352RV | President (SD) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +9.0 | Actual McCain (R) +8.4 | Difference 0.6 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 728RV | President (SC) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +8.0 | Actual McCain (R) +9.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 365RV | President (RI) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +21.0 | Actual Obama (D) +27.8 | Difference 6.8 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 1,009RV | President (PA) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +7.0 | Actual Obama (D) +10.3 | Difference 3.3 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 698RV | President (OR) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +11.0 | Actual Obama (D) +16.3 | Difference 5.3 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 491RV | President (OK) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +19.0 | Actual McCain (R) +31.3 | Difference 12.3 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 990RV | President (OH) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +6.0 | Actual Obama (D) +4.6 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 988RV | President (NY) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +20.0 | Actual Obama (D) +26.9 | Difference 6.9 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 494RV | President (NV) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +5.0 | Actual Obama (D) +12.5 | Difference 7.5 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 457RV | President (NM) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +10.0 | Actual Obama (D) +15.1 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 777RV | President (NJ) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +15.0 | Actual Obama (D) +15.6 | Difference 0.6 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 516RV | President (NH) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +14.0 | Actual Obama (D) +9.6 | Difference 4.4 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 407RV | President (NE) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +19.0 | Actual McCain (R) +14.9 | Difference 4.1 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 271RV | President (ND) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +7.0 | Actual McCain (R) +8.6 | Difference 1.6 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 955RV | President (NC) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +4.0 | Actual Obama (D) +0.3 | Difference 3.7 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 368RV | President (MT) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +10.0 | Actual McCain (R) +2.3 | Difference 7.7 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 417RV | President (MS) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +13.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.2 | Difference 0.2 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 684RV | President (MO) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +2.0 | Actual McCain (R) +0.1 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 699RV | President (MN) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +6.0 | Actual Obama (D) +10.2 | Difference 4.2 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 973RV | President (MI) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +13.0 | Actual Obama (D) +16.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 486RV | President (ME) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +9.0 | Actual Obama (D) +17.3 | Difference 8.3 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 600RV | President (MD) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +25.0 | Actual Obama (D) +25.4 | Difference 0.4 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 705RV | President (MA) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +18.0 | Actual Obama (D) +25.8 | Difference 7.8 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 436RV | President (LA) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +7.0 | Actual McCain (R) +18.6 | Difference 11.6 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 486RV | President (KY) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +12.0 | Actual McCain (R) +16.2 | Difference 4.2 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 499RV | President (KS) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +11.0 | Actual McCain (R) +15.0 | Difference 4.0 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 795RV | President (IN) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +8.0 | Actual Obama (D) +1.0 | Difference 9.0 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 783RV | President (IL) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +19.0 | Actual Obama (D) +25.1 | Difference 6.1 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 372RV | President (ID) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +23.0 | Actual McCain (R) +25.4 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 795RV | President (IA) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +11.0 | Actual Obama (D) +9.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 337RV | President (HI) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +22.0 | Actual Obama (D) +45.3 | Difference 23.3 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 910RV | President (GA) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +3.0 | Actual McCain (R) +5.2 | Difference 2.2 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 1,001RV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +2.0 | Actual Obama (D) +2.8 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 346RV | President (DE) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +22.0 | Actual Obama (D) +25.0 | Difference 3.0 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 704RV | President (CT) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +21.0 | Actual Obama (D) +22.4 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 685RV | President (CO) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +15.0 | Actual Obama (D) +9.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 999RV | President (CA) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +15.0 | Actual Obama (D) +24.1 | Difference 9.1 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 682RV | President (AZ) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +4.0 | Actual McCain (R) +8.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 491RV | President (AR) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +12.0 | Actual McCain (R) +19.9 | Difference 7.9 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 452RV | President (AL) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +18.0 | Actual McCain (R) +21.6 | Difference 3.6 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 352RV | President (AK) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +17.0 | Actual McCain (R) +21.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 31,148RV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +6.0 | Actual Obama (D) +7.3 | Difference 1.3 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 368RV | Senate (MT) General election | Online | Poll Baucus (D) +28.0 | Actual Baucus (D) +45.8 | Difference 17.8 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 246RV | Senate (WY) Special election | Online | Poll Barrasso (R) +34.0 | Actual Barrasso (R) +46.8 | Difference 12.8 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 246RV | Senate (WY) General election | Online | Poll Enzi (R) +43.0 | Actual Enzi (R) +51.4 | Difference 8.4 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 404RV | Senate (WV) General election | Online | Poll Rockefeller (D) +18.0 | Actual Rockefeller (D) +27.5 | Difference 9.5 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 772RV | Senate (VA) General election | Online | Poll Warner (D) +25.0 | Actual Warner (D) +31.3 | Difference 6.3 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 972RV | Senate (TX) General election | Online | Poll Cornyn (R) +12.0 | Actual Cornyn (R) +12.0 | Difference 0.0 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 653RV | Senate (TN) General election | Online | Poll Alexander (R) +23.0 | Actual Alexander (R) +33.5 | Difference 10.5 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 352RV | Senate (SD) General election | Online | Poll Johnson (D) +25.0 | Actual Johnson (D) +25.0 | Difference 0.0 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 728RV | Senate (SC) General election | Online | Poll Graham (R) +16.0 | Actual Graham (R) +15.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 365RV | Senate (RI) General election | Online | Poll Reed (D) +39.0 | Actual Reed (D) +46.6 | Difference 7.6 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 698RV | Senate (OR) General election | Online | Poll Merkley (D) +1.0 | Actual Merkley (D) +3.4 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 491RV | Senate (OK) General election | Online | Poll Inhofe (R) +11.0 | Actual Inhofe (R) +17.5 | Difference 6.5 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 955RV | Senate (NC) General election | Online | Poll Hagan (D) +6.0 | Actual Hagan (D) +8.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 457RV | Senate (NM) General election | Online | Poll Udall (D) +21.0 | Actual Udall (D) +22.7 | Difference 1.7 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 777RV | Senate (NJ) General election | Online | Poll Lautenberg (D) +14.0 | Actual Lautenberg (D) +14.1 | Difference 0.1 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 516RV | Senate (NH) General election | Online | Poll Shaheen (D) +8.0 | Actual Shaheen (D) +6.3 | Difference 1.7 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 407RV | Senate (NE) General election | Online | Poll Johanns (R) +19.0 | Actual Johanns (R) +17.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 417RV | Senate (MS) Special election | Online | Poll Wicker (R) +8.0 | Actual Wicker (R) +9.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 417RV | Senate (MS) General election | Online | Poll Cochran (R) +28.0 | Actual Cochran (R) +22.9 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 699RV | Senate (MN) General election | Online | Poll Franken (D) +1.0 | Actual Franken (D) +0.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 973RV | Senate (MI) General election | Online | Poll Levin (D) +23.0 | Actual Levin (D) +28.8 | Difference 5.8 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 705RV | Senate (MA) General election | Online | Poll Kerry (D) +23.0 | Actual Kerry (D) +34.9 | Difference 11.9 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 486RV | Senate (ME) General election | Online | Poll Collins (R) +20.0 | Actual Collins (R) +22.7 | Difference 2.7 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 436RV | Senate (LA) Jungle primary | Online | Poll Landrieu (D) +13.0 | Actual Landrieu (D) +6.4 | Difference 6.6 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 486RV | Senate (KY) General election | Online | Poll McConnell (R) +7.0 | Actual McConnell (R) +5.9 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 499RV | Senate (KS) General election | Online | Poll Roberts (R) +24.0 | Actual Roberts (R) +23.6 | Difference 0.4 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 795RV | Senate (IA) General election | Online | Poll Harkin (D) +20.0 | Actual Harkin (D) +25.4 | Difference 5.4 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 783RV | Senate (IL) General election | Online | Poll Durbin (D) +23.0 | Actual Durbin (D) +39.3 | Difference 16.3 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 372RV | Senate (ID) General election | Online | Poll Risch (R) +25.0 | Actual Risch (R) +23.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 910RV | Senate (GA) General election | Online | Poll Chambliss (R) +6.0 | Actual Chambliss (R) +2.9 | Difference 3.1 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 346RV | Senate (DE) General election | Online | Poll Biden (D) +27.0 | Actual Biden (D) +29.4 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 685RV | Senate (CO) General election | Online | Poll Udall (D) +15.0 | Actual Udall (D) +10.3 | Difference 4.7 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 491RV | Senate (AR) General election | Online | Poll Pryor (D) +33.0 | Actual Pryor (D) +59.1 | Difference 26.1 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 358RV | Senate (AK) General election | Online | Poll Begich (D) +2.0 | Actual Begich (D) +1.2 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 452RV | Senate (AL) General election | Online | Poll Sessions (R) +28.0 | Actual Sessions (R) +26.8 | Difference 1.2 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 246RV | President (WY) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +38.0 | Actual McCain (R) +32.2 | Difference 5.8 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 404RV | President (WV) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +9.0 | Actual McCain (R) +13.1 | Difference 4.1 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 976RV | President (WI) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +12.0 | Actual Obama (D) +13.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 18-Nov 1 | 797RV | President (WA) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +10.0 | Actual Obama (D) +17.2 | Difference 7.2 |
| Oct 25-27 | 1,000A | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +7.0 | Actual Obama (D) +7.3 | Difference 0.3 |
| Oct 15-22 | 550RV | Senate (TX) General election | Online | Poll Cornyn (R) +9.0 | Actual Cornyn (R) +12.0 | Difference 3.0 |
| Oct 15-22 | 550RV | President (TX) General election | Online | Poll McCain (R) +11.0 | Actual McCain (R) +11.8 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 20-21 | 1,000A | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Obama (D) +8.0 | Actual Obama (D) +7.3 | Difference 0.7 |
2006
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 1,005LV | Senate (PA) General election | Online | Poll Casey (D) +16.0 | Actual Casey (D) +17.4 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 1,003LV | Senate (OH) General election | Online | Poll Brown (D) +18.0 | Actual Brown (D) +12.3 | Difference 5.7 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 500LV | Senate (NJ) General election | Online | Poll Menendez (D) +6.0 | Actual Menendez (D) +16.0 | Difference 10.0 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 402LV | Senate (NV) General election | Online | Poll Ensign (R) +11.0 | Actual Ensign (R) +14.4 | Difference 3.4 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 802LV | Senate (MO) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual McCaskill (D) +2.3 | Difference 2.3 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 501LV | Senate (MN) General election | Online | Poll Klobuchar (D) +18.0 | Actual Klobuchar (D) +20.1 | Difference 2.1 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 800LV | Senate (MI) General election | Online | Poll Stabenow (D) +15.0 | Actual Stabenow (D) +15.7 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 804LV | Senate (WA) General election | Online | Poll Cantwell (D) +14.0 | Actual Cantwell (D) +16.9 | Difference 2.9 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 802LV | Senate (MD) General election | Online | Poll Cardin (D) +6.0 | Actual Cardin (D) +10.0 | Difference 4.0 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 1,005LV | Senate (FL) General election | Online | Poll Nelson (D) +26.0 | Actual Nelson (D) +22.2 | Difference 3.8 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 401LV | Senate (CT) General election | Online | Poll Lieberman (I) +4.0 | Actual Lieberman (I) +10.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 1,015LV | Senate (CA) General election | Online | Poll Feinstein (D) +32.0 | Actual Feinstein (D) +24.4 | Difference 7.6 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 798LV | Senate (AZ) General election | Online | Poll Kyl (R) +4.0 | Actual Kyl (R) +9.8 | Difference 5.8 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 502LV | Governor (OR) General election | Online | Poll Kulongoski (D) +8.0 | Actual Kulongoski (D) +8.0 | Difference 0.0 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 502LV | Governor (WI) General election | Online | Poll Doyle (D) +10.0 | Actual Doyle (D) +7.4 | Difference 2.6 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 399LV | Governor (SC) General election | Online | Poll Sanford (R) +12.0 | Actual Sanford (R) +10.3 | Difference 1.7 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 802LV | Senate (VA) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Webb (D) +0.4 | Difference 0.4 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 402LV | Senate (UT) General election | Online | Poll Hatch (R) +32.0 | Actual Hatch (R) +31.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 1,004LV | Senate (TX) General election | Online | Poll Hutchison (R) +36.0 | Actual Hutchison (R) +25.6 | Difference 10.4 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 502LV | Senate (TN) General election | Online | Poll Corker (R) +5.0 | Actual Corker (R) +2.7 | Difference 2.3 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 501LV | Governor (MN) General election | Online | Poll Hatch (D) +4.0 | Actual Pawlenty (R) +1.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 800LV | Governor (MI) General election | Online | Poll Granholm (D) +12.0 | Actual Granholm (D) +14.1 | Difference 2.1 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 802LV | Governor (MD) General election | Online | Poll O'Malley (D) +2.0 | Actual O'Malley (D) +6.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 301LV | Governor (IA) General election | Online | Poll Culver (D) +8.0 | Actual Culver (D) +9.6 | Difference 1.6 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 1,005LV | Governor (FL) General election | Online | Poll Crist (R) +12.0 | Actual Crist (R) +7.1 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 500LV | Governor (CO) General election | Online | Poll Ritter (D) +20.0 | Actual Ritter (D) +16.8 | Difference 3.2 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 1,015LV | Governor (CA) General election | Online | Poll Schwarzenegger (R) +10.0 | Actual Schwarzenegger (R) +17.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 798LV | Governor (AZ) General election | Online | Poll Napolitano (D) +16.0 | Actual Napolitano (D) +27.1 | Difference 11.1 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 502LV | Senate (WI) General election | Online | Poll Kohl (D) +45.0 | Actual Kohl (D) +37.8 | Difference 7.2 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 301LV | Senate (WV) General election | Online | Poll Byrd (D) +34.0 | Actual Byrd (D) +54.1 | Difference 20.1 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 799LV | Senate (MA) General election | Online | Poll Kennedy (D) +40.0 | Actual Kennedy (D) +38.8 | Difference 1.2 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 1,003LV | Governor (OH) General election | Online | Poll Strickland (D) +27.0 | Actual Strickland (D) +23.9 | Difference 3.1 |
| Oct 27-Nov 5 | 402LV | Governor (NV) General election | Online | Poll Gibbons (R) +7.0 | Actual Gibbons (R) +4.0 | Difference 3.0 |
| Nov 1 | 800LV | Governor (IL) General election | Online | Poll Blagojevich (D) +22.0 | Actual Blagojevich (D) +10.5 | Difference 11.5 |
| Nov 1 | 804LV | Governor (GA) General election | Online | Poll Perdue (R) +17.0 | Actual Perdue (R) +19.7 | Difference 2.7 |
| Nov 1 | 401LV | Governor (CT) General election | Online | Poll Rell (R) +32.0 | Actual Rell (R) +27.8 | Difference 4.2 |
| Nov 1 | 1,005LV | Governor (PA) General election | Online | Poll Rendell (D) +24.0 | Actual Rendell (D) +20.7 | Difference 3.3 |
| Nov 1 | 1,011LV | Governor (NY) General election | Online | Poll Spitzer (D) +45.0 | Actual Spitzer (D) +40.8 | Difference 4.2 |
| Nov 1 | 502LV | Governor (TN) General election | Online | Poll Bredesen (D) +32.0 | Actual Bredesen (D) +38.9 | Difference 6.9 |
| Nov 1 | 505LV | Governor (AL) General election | Online | Poll Riley (R) +16.0 | Actual Riley (R) +15.9 | Difference 0.1 |
| Nov 1 | 799LV | Governor (MA) General election | Online | Poll Patrick (D) +29.0 | Actual Patrick (D) +20.3 | Difference 8.7 |
| Oct 19-27 | 877LV | Governor (CA) General election | Online | Poll Schwarzenegger (R) +10.0 | Actual Schwarzenegger (R) +17.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 19-27 | 877LV | Senate (CA) General election | Online | Poll Feinstein (D) +18.0 | Actual Feinstein (D) +24.4 | Difference 6.4 |
2004
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20-22 | 2,535LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Kerry (D) +1.0 | Actual Bush (R) +2.5 | Difference 3.5 |
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