✕
FiveThirtyEight’s Pollster Ratings
Based on the historical accuracy and methodology of each polling organization’s polls.
B-
Zogby Analytics
Also known as JZ Analytics
| Polls analyzed | 495 |
| Races called correctly | 77% |
| Most recent cycle | 2014 |
| Affiliated with AAPOR/Roper | No |
| Other names | JZ Analytics |
What are pollster ratings?
How accurate are the polls from Zogby Analytics?
Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade.
2014
Key
A = Adults
RV = Registered voters
V = Voters
LV = Likely voters
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28-31 | 705LV | Governor (CA) General election | Online | Poll Brown +18.0 | Actual Brown +19.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 28-31 | 688LV | Governor (FL) General election | Online | Poll Crist +7.0 | Actual Scott +1.1 | Difference 8.1 |
| Oct 28-31 | 681LV | Governor (NY) General election | Online | Poll Cuomo +21.0 | Actual Cuomo +14.0 | Difference 7.0 |
2013
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | Governor (VA) General election | Online | Poll McAuliffe +12.3 | Actual McAuliffe +2.5 | Difference 9.8 |
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | Governor (VA) General election | Online | Poll McAuliffe +6.0 | Actual McAuliffe +2.5 | Difference 3.5 |
2012
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3-5 | 1,041LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Obama +0.1 | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 3.8 |
| Nov 3-5 | 800LV | President (VA) General election | Online | Poll Obama +0.3 | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 3.6 |
| Nov 3-5 | 800LV | Senate (VA) General election | Online | Poll Kaine +1.5 | Actual Kaine +5.9 | Difference 4.4 |
| Nov 3-5 | 832LV | Senate (OH) General election | Online | Poll Brown +6.9 | Actual Brown +6.0 | Difference 0.9 |
| Nov 3-5 | 876LV | Senate (FL) General election | Online | Poll Nelson +18.0 | Actual Nelson +13.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Nov 3-5 | 800LV | President (VA) General election | Online | Poll Obama +0.6 | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 3.3 |
| Nov 3-5 | 832LV | President (OH) General election | Online | Poll Obama +7.4 | Actual Obama +3.0 | Difference 4.4 |
| Nov 3-5 | 876LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Romney +0.3 | Actual Obama +0.9 | Difference 1.2 |
| Nov 3-5 | 876LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Obama +0.1 | Actual Obama +0.9 | Difference 0.8 |
| Nov 3-5 | 1,041LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Romney +0.3 | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 4.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 600LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Obama +1.2 | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 2.7 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 600LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Obama +2.0 | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 28-30 | 800LV | Senate (VA) General election | Online | Poll Kaine +0.7 | Actual Kaine +5.9 | Difference 5.2 |
| Oct 28-30 | 826LV | Senate (OH) General election | Online | Poll Brown +6.3 | Actual Brown +6.0 | Difference 0.3 |
| Oct 28-30 | 800LV | President (VA) General election | Online | Poll Romney +0.8 | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 4.7 |
| Oct 28-30 | 800LV | President (VA) General election | Online | Poll Romney +1.1 | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 5.0 |
| Oct 28-30 | 826LV | President (OH) General election | Online | Poll Obama +5.5 | Actual Obama +3.0 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 28-30 | 826LV | President (OH) General election | Online | Poll Obama +6.1 | Actual Obama +3.0 | Difference 3.1 |
| Oct 28-30 | 825LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Obama +0.3 | Actual Obama +0.9 | Difference 0.6 |
| Oct 28-30 | 825LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Obama +0.5 | Actual Obama +0.9 | Difference 0.4 |
| Oct 28-30 | 1,015LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Romney +3.2 | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 7.1 |
| Oct 28-30 | 1,015LV | President (National) General election | Online | Poll Romney +1.9 | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 5.8 |
| Oct 28-30 | 825LV | Senate (FL) General election | Online | Poll Nelson +6.6 | Actual Nelson +13.0 | Difference 6.4 |
| Oct 26-28 | 827LV | Senate (VA) General election | Online | Poll Kaine +1.6 | Actual Kaine +5.9 | Difference 4.3 |
| Oct 26-28 | 827LV | Senate (FL) General election | Online | Poll Nelson +9.0 | Actual Nelson +13.0 | Difference 4.0 |
| Oct 26-28 | 827LV | President (VA) General election | Online | Poll Obama +2.1 | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 26-28 | 827LV | President (VA) General election | Online | Poll Obama +1.3 | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 2.6 |
| Oct 23-25 | 834LV | Senate (VA) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Kaine +5.9 | Difference 5.9 |
| Oct 23-25 | 834LV | President (VA) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 18-20 | 800LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +2.4 | Actual Obama +3.9 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 16-18 | 842LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Obama +6.0 | Actual Obama +0.9 | Difference 5.1 |
| Jan 4 | 498LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney +14.0 | Actual Romney +16.4 | Difference 2.4 |
2010
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 2,056LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Republicans +5.0 | Actual Republicans +6.8 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 23-25 | 2,070LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Republicans +5.0 | Actual Republicans +6.8 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 18-22 | 600LV | House (NJ-3) General election | Live Phone | Poll Runyan +3.0 | Actual Runyan +2.7 | Difference 0.3 |
| Oct 18-22 | 400LV | House (NJ-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll LoBiondo +37.0 | Actual LoBiondo +34.6 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 18-22 | 400LV | House (NJ-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Andrews +41.0 | Actual Andrews +28.4 | Difference 12.6 |
| Oct 18-21 | 802LV | Senate (FL) General election | Online | Poll Rubio +7.0 | Actual Rubio +19.2 | Difference 12.2 |
| Oct 18-21 | 802LV | Governor (FL) General election | Online | Poll Sink +4.0 | Actual Scott +1.1 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 16-18 | 2,068LV | House (National) General election | Online | Poll Republicans +7.0 | Actual Republicans +6.8 | Difference 0.2 |
2009
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27-29 | 1,093LV | Governor (NJ) General election | Online | Poll Corzine +1.0 | Actual Christie +3.6 | Difference 4.6 |
2008
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 1,226LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +11.0 | Actual Obama +7.3 | Difference 3.7 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 690LV | President (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +7.0 | Actual Obama +6.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 682LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +10.0 | Actual Obama +10.3 | Difference 0.3 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 687LV | President (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +2.0 | Actual Obama +4.6 | Difference 2.6 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 586LV | President (NV) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +11.0 | Actual Obama +12.6 | Difference 1.6 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 585LV | President (NC) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain +1.0 | Actual Obama +0.3 | Difference 1.3 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 585LV | President (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual McCain +0.1 | Difference 0.1 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 585LV | President (IN) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain +5.0 | Actual Obama +1.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Oct 31-Nov 3 | 678LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +1.0 | Actual Obama +2.8 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 604LV | President (VA) General election | Online | Poll Obama +6.1 | Actual Obama +6.3 | Difference 0.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 602LV | President (PA) General election | Online | Poll Obama +13.7 | Actual Obama +10.3 | Difference 3.4 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 605LV | President (OH) General election | Online | Poll Obama +6.3 | Actual Obama +4.6 | Difference 1.7 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 601LV | President (NV) General election | Online | Poll Obama +7.8 | Actual Obama +12.6 | Difference 4.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 602LV | President (MO) General election | Online | Poll Obama +1.7 | Actual McCain +0.1 | Difference 1.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 603LV | President (IN) General election | Online | Poll McCain +5.2 | Actual Obama +1.0 | Difference 6.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 600LV | President (NC) General election | Online | Poll McCain +1.6 | Actual Obama +0.3 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Obama +1.3 | Actual Obama +2.8 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 28-30 | 1,201LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +7.0 | Actual Obama +7.3 | Difference 0.3 |
| Oct 25-27 | 1,202LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +4.0 | Actual Obama +7.3 | Difference 3.3 |
| Oct 23-26 | 600LV | President (NV) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +4.0 | Actual Obama +12.6 | Difference 8.6 |
| Oct 23-26 | 600LV | President (WV) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain +10.0 | Actual McCain +13.1 | Difference 3.1 |
| Oct 23-26 | 600LV | President (VA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +7.0 | Actual Obama +6.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 23-26 | 600LV | President (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +5.0 | Actual Obama +4.6 | Difference 0.4 |
| Oct 23-26 | 600LV | President (NC) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +4.0 | Actual Obama +0.3 | Difference 3.7 |
| Oct 23-26 | 600LV | President (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +2.5 | Actual McCain +0.1 | Difference 2.6 |
| Oct 23-26 | 600LV | President (IN) General election | Live Phone | Poll McCain +6.0 | Actual Obama +1.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 23-26 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +0.3 | Actual Obama +2.8 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 23-26 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Obama +2.8 | Difference 2.8 |
| Oct 21-24 | 1,203LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +9.0 | Actual Obama +7.3 | Difference 1.7 |
| Oct 20-22 | 404LV | House (TX-22) General election | Online | Poll Olson +17.0 | Actual Olson +7.1 | Difference 9.9 |
| Oct 20-22 | 421LV | House (TX-7) General election | Online | Poll Culberson +7.0 | Actual Culberson +13.5 | Difference 6.5 |
| Oct 17-20 | 951LV | President (CO) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Obama +9.0 | Difference 9.0 |
| Oct 18-20 | 1,214LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +8.0 | Actual Obama +7.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 17-20 | 922LV | President (VA) General election | Online | Poll Obama +4.0 | Actual Obama +6.3 | Difference 2.3 |
| Oct 17-20 | 991LV | President (OH) General election | Online | Poll McCain +2.0 | Actual Obama +4.6 | Difference 6.6 |
| Oct 17-20 | 670LV | President (NV) General election | Online | Poll McCain +8.0 | Actual Obama +12.6 | Difference 20.6 |
| Oct 17-20 | 534LV | President (NM) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual Obama +15.1 | Difference 15.1 |
| Oct 17-20 | 466LV | President (NH) General election | Online | Poll Obama +1.0 | Actual Obama +9.6 | Difference 8.6 |
| Oct 17-20 | 921LV | President (NC) General election | Online | Poll Obama +3.0 | Actual Obama +0.3 | Difference 2.7 |
| Oct 17-20 | 717LV | President (MO) General election | Online | Poll Even | Actual McCain +0.1 | Difference 0.1 |
| Oct 17-20 | 473LV | President (IN) General election | Online | Poll McCain +11.0 | Actual Obama +1.0 | Difference 12.0 |
| Oct 17-20 | 1,252LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Obama +4.0 | Actual Obama +2.8 | Difference 1.2 |
| Oct 15-17 | 1,209LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Obama +4.0 | Actual Obama +7.3 | Difference 3.3 |
| May 4-5 | 644LV | President (IN) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +2.0 | Actual Clinton +1.1 | Difference 3.1 |
| May 4-5 | 643LV | President (NC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +14.0 | Actual Obama +14.7 | Difference 0.7 |
| May 2-3 | 595LV | President (IN) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +2.0 | Actual Clinton +1.1 | Difference 3.1 |
| May 2-3 | 600LV | President (NC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +9.0 | Actual Obama +14.7 | Difference 5.7 |
| Apr 30-May 1 | 668LV | President (NC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +16.0 | Actual Obama +14.7 | Difference 1.3 |
| Apr 30-May 1 | 680LV | President (IN) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Clinton +1.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Apr 20-21 | 675LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton +10.0 | Actual Clinton +9.1 | Difference 0.9 |
| Apr 18-19 | 607LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton +3.0 | Actual Clinton +9.1 | Difference 6.1 |
| Apr 16-17 | 602LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton +4.0 | Actual Clinton +9.1 | Difference 5.1 |
| Apr 9-10 | 1,002LV | President (PA) Democratic primary | Online | Poll Clinton +4.0 | Actual Clinton +9.1 | Difference 5.1 |
| Mar 1-3 | 704LV | President (TX) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +28.0 | Actual McCain +13.4 | Difference 14.6 |
| Mar 1-3 | 855LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton +3.0 | Actual Clinton +3.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Mar 1-3 | 712LV | President (OH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +30.0 | Actual McCain +22.2 | Difference 7.8 |
| Mar 1-3 | 828LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Clinton +8.7 | Difference 8.7 |
| Feb 27-29 | 650LV | President (TX) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +23.0 | Actual McCain +13.4 | Difference 9.6 |
| Feb 27-29 | 800LV | President (TX) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +2.0 | Actual Clinton +3.5 | Difference 5.5 |
| Feb 27-29 | 600LV | President (OH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +35.0 | Actual McCain +22.2 | Difference 12.8 |
| Feb 27-29 | 600LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Clinton +8.7 | Difference 8.7 |
| Feb 2-4 | 862LV | President (NJ) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +29.0 | Actual McCain +27.0 | Difference 2.0 |
| Feb 2-4 | 872LV | President (NJ) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton +5.0 | Actual Clinton +9.8 | Difference 4.8 |
| Feb 2-4 | 860LV | President (MO) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +7.0 | Actual McCain +1.4 | Difference 5.6 |
| Feb 2-4 | 860LV | President (MO) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +3.0 | Actual Obama +1.4 | Difference 1.6 |
| Feb 2-4 | 865LV | President (GA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +20.0 | Actual Obama +35.3 | Difference 15.3 |
| Feb 3-4 | 833LV | President (CA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney +7.0 | Actual McCain +7.7 | Difference 14.7 |
| Feb 3-4 | 895LV | President (CA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +13.0 | Actual Clinton +8.3 | Difference 21.3 |
| Feb 2-4 | 836LV | President (NY) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +36.0 | Actual McCain +24.1 | Difference 11.9 |
| Jan 31-Feb 2 | 1,185LV | President (CA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Romney +3.0 | Actual McCain +7.7 | Difference 10.7 |
| Jan 31-Feb 2 | 1,141LV | President (CA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +4.0 | Actual Clinton +8.3 | Difference 12.3 |
| Jan 27-28 | 941LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +4.0 | Actual McCain +5.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Jan 24-26 | 900LV | President (FL) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual McCain +5.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Jan 23-25 | 816LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +15.0 | Actual Obama +28.9 | Difference 13.9 |
| Jan 20-22 | 800LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +18.0 | Actual Obama +28.9 | Difference 10.9 |
| Jan 19-20 | 425LV | President (NY) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton +21.0 | Actual Clinton +17.0 | Difference 4.0 |
| Jan 17-18 | 817LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +1.0 | Actual McCain +3.3 | Difference 2.3 |
| Jan 17-18 | 757LV | President (NV) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clinton +6.0 | Actual Clinton +5.7 | Difference 0.3 |
| Jan 14-16 | 800LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +7.0 | Actual McCain +3.3 | Difference 3.7 |
| Jan 13-15 | 813LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +6.0 | Actual McCain +3.3 | Difference 2.7 |
| Jan 12-14 | 824LV | President (MI) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +1.0 | Actual Romney +9.4 | Difference 10.4 |
| Jan 5-7 | 859LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +9.0 | Actual McCain +5.4 | Difference 3.6 |
| Jan 5-7 | 862LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +13.0 | Actual Clinton +2.6 | Difference 15.6 |
| Dec 30-Jan 2 | 905LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +4.0 | Actual Obama +3.7 | Difference 0.3 |
| Dec 30-Jan 2 | 914LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Huckabee +6.0 | Actual Huckabee +9.2 | Difference 3.2 |
| Dec 26-29 | 867LV | President (IA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Huckabee +1.0 | Actual Huckabee +9.2 | Difference 8.2 |
| Dec 26-29 | 934LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Obama +3.0 | Actual Obama +3.7 | Difference 0.7 |
2006
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 401LV | House (FL-22) General election | Online | Poll Klein +9.0 | Actual Klein +3.8 | Difference 5.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 804LV | Governor (FL) General election | Online | Poll Crist +10.0 | Actual Crist +7.1 | Difference 2.9 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 804LV | Senate (FL) General election | Online | Poll Nelson +29.0 | Actual Nelson +22.2 | Difference 6.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 1 | 403LV | House (NY-26) General election | Online | Poll Reynolds +1.0 | Actual Reynolds +4.0 | Difference 3.0 |
| Oct 24-30 | 600LV | Senate (VA) General election | Online | Poll Webb +1.0 | Actual Webb +0.4 | Difference 0.6 |
| Oct 24-30 | 600LV | Senate (TN) General election | Online | Poll Corker +10.0 | Actual Corker +2.7 | Difference 7.3 |
| Oct 24-30 | 600LV | Senate (RI) General election | Online | Poll Whitehouse +14.0 | Actual Whitehouse +7.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 24-30 | 600LV | Senate (PA) General election | Online | Poll Casey +8.0 | Actual Casey +17.4 | Difference 9.4 |
| Oct 24-30 | 600LV | Senate (NJ) General election | Online | Poll Menendez +12.0 | Actual Menendez +16.0 | Difference 4.0 |
| Oct 24-30 | 600LV | Senate (MT) General election | Online | Poll Tester +1.0 | Actual Tester +0.9 | Difference 0.1 |
| Oct 24-30 | 600LV | Senate (MO) General election | Online | Poll McCaskill +3.0 | Actual McCaskill +2.3 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 24-30 | 600LV | Senate (MD) General election | Online | Poll Cardin +5.0 | Actual Cardin +10.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Oct 24-30 | 600LV | Senate (CT) General election | Online | Poll Lieberman +12.0 | Actual Lieberman +10.0 | Difference 2.0 |
| Oct 24-30 | 600LV | Senate (OH) General election | Online | Poll Brown +7.0 | Actual Brown +12.3 | Difference 5.3 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (IN-9) General election | Online | Poll Hill +2.0 | Actual Hill +4.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (CT-2) General election | Online | Poll Simmons +5.0 | Actual Courtney +0.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (IL-6) General election | Online | Poll Duckworth +14.0 | Actual Roskam +2.7 | Difference 16.7 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (CO-7) General election | Online | Poll Perlmutter +14.0 | Actual Perlmutter +12.9 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (CT-4) General election | Online | Poll Farrell +7.0 | Actual Shays +3.4 | Difference 10.4 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (AZ-8) General election | Online | Poll Giffords +12.0 | Actual Giffords +12.2 | Difference 0.2 |
| Oct 27-29 | 500LV | House (NY-25) General election | Online | Poll Maffei +4.0 | Actual Walsh +1.6 | Difference 5.6 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (VA-2) General election | Online | Poll Drake +8.0 | Actual Drake +2.8 | Difference 5.2 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (PA-6) General election | Online | Poll Murphy +5.0 | Actual Gerlach +1.3 | Difference 6.3 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (OH-18) General election | Online | Poll Space +20.0 | Actual Space +24.1 | Difference 4.1 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (NC-11) General election | Online | Poll Shuler +5.0 | Actual Shuler +7.6 | Difference 2.6 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (NM-1) General election | Online | Poll Madrid +9.0 | Actual Wilson +0.4 | Difference 9.4 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (MN-6) General election | Online | Poll Bachmann +10.0 | Actual Bachmann +8.0 | Difference 2.0 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (KY-4) General election | Online | Poll Lucas +3.0 | Actual Davis +8.3 | Difference 11.3 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (IA-1) General election | Online | Poll Braley +7.0 | Actual Braley +11.9 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 24-29 | 500LV | House (IN-2) General election | Online | Poll Donnelly +13.0 | Actual Donnelly +8.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Oct 23-27 | 600LV | Senate (WI) General election | Online | Poll Kohl +9.2 | Actual Kohl +37.9 | Difference 28.7 |
| Oct 23-27 | 600LV | Senate (WA) General election | Online | Poll Cantwell +3.9 | Actual Cantwell +16.9 | Difference 13.0 |
| Oct 23-27 | 600LV | Senate (VA) General election | Online | Poll Webb +3.8 | Actual Webb +0.4 | Difference 3.4 |
| Oct 23-27 | 1,081LV | Senate (TX) General election | Online | Poll Hutchison +18.9 | Actual Hutchison +25.6 | Difference 6.7 |
| Oct 23-27 | 600LV | Senate (TN) General election | Online | Poll Corker +1.2 | Actual Corker +2.7 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 23-27 | 678LV | Senate (OH) General election | Online | Poll Brown +1.4 | Actual Brown +12.3 | Difference 10.9 |
| Oct 23-27 | 952LV | Senate (NY) General election | Online | Poll Clinton +24.3 | Actual Clinton +36.0 | Difference 11.7 |
| Oct 23-27 | 600LV | Senate (NM) General election | Online | Poll Bingaman +20.7 | Actual Bingaman +41.3 | Difference 20.6 |
| Oct 23-27 | 600LV | Senate (NJ) General election | Online | Poll Menendez +5.9 | Actual Menendez +16.0 | Difference 10.1 |
| Oct 23-27 | 485LV | Senate (NV) General election | Online | Poll Ensign +21.5 | Actual Ensign +14.6 | Difference 6.9 |
| Oct 23-27 | 600LV | Senate (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Talent +1.3 | Actual McCaskill +2.3 | Difference 3.6 |
| Oct 23-27 | 600LV | Senate (MN) General election | Online | Poll Klobuchar +7.7 | Actual Klobuchar +20.1 | Difference 12.4 |
| Oct 23-27 | 1,081LV | Senate (MI) General election | Online | Poll Stabenow +7.4 | Actual Stabenow +15.7 | Difference 8.3 |
| Oct 23-27 | 644LV | Senate (MD) General election | Online | Poll Cardin +9.3 | Actual Cardin +10.0 | Difference 0.7 |
| Oct 23-27 | 952LV | Senate (FL) General election | Online | Poll Nelson +14.1 | Actual Nelson +22.2 | Difference 8.1 |
| Oct 23-27 | 600LV | Senate (CT) General election | Online | Poll Lieberman +4.9 | Actual Lieberman +10.0 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 23-27 | 644LV | Senate (AZ) General election | Online | Poll Kyl +7.4 | Actual Kyl +9.8 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 23-27 | 755LV | Governor (OR) General election | Online | Poll Kulongoski +0.6 | Actual Kulongoski +8.0 | Difference 7.4 |
| Oct 23-27 | 845LV | Governor (WI) General election | Online | Poll Green +0.5 | Actual Doyle +7.4 | Difference 7.9 |
| Oct 23-27 | 1,081LV | Governor (TX) General election | Online | Poll Perry +8.2 | Actual Perry +9.2 | Difference 1.0 |
| Oct 23-27 | 755LV | Governor (PA) General election | Online | Poll Rendell +13.2 | Actual Rendell +20.7 | Difference 7.5 |
| Oct 23-27 | 678LV | Governor (OH) General election | Online | Poll Strickland +7.5 | Actual Strickland +23.9 | Difference 16.4 |
| Oct 23-27 | 952LV | Governor (NY) General election | Online | Poll Spitzer +35.9 | Actual Spitzer +40.8 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 23-27 | 485LV | Governor (NV) General election | Online | Poll Titus +0.9 | Actual Gibbons +4.2 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 23-27 | 715LV | Governor (MN) General election | Online | Poll Hatch +1.4 | Actual Pawlenty +1.0 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 23-27 | 1,081LV | Governor (MI) General election | Online | Poll Granholm +8.9 | Actual Granholm +14.1 | Difference 5.2 |
| Oct 23-27 | 644LV | Governor (MD) General election | Online | Poll O'Malley +5.4 | Actual O'Malley +6.5 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 23-27 | 678LV | Governor (MA) General election | Online | Poll Patrick +25.4 | Actual Patrick +20.3 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 23-27 | 583LV | Governor (IL) General election | Online | Poll Blagojevich +6.6 | Actual Blagojevich +10.5 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 23-27 | 507LV | Governor (IA) General election | Online | Poll Culver +1.2 | Actual Culver +9.7 | Difference 8.5 |
| Oct 23-27 | 1,014LV | Governor (GA) General election | Online | Poll Perdue +12.0 | Actual Perdue +19.7 | Difference 7.7 |
| Oct 23-27 | 952LV | Governor (FL) General election | Online | Poll Crist +4.8 | Actual Crist +7.1 | Difference 2.3 |
| Oct 23-27 | 583LV | Governor (CO) General election | Online | Poll Beauprez +0.2 | Actual Ritter +16.8 | Difference 17.0 |
| Oct 23-27 | 1,155LV | Governor (CA) General election | Online | Poll Schwarzenegger +8.8 | Actual Schwarzenegger +17.0 | Difference 8.2 |
| Oct 23-27 | 644LV | Governor (AZ) General election | Online | Poll Napolitano +8.6 | Actual Napolitano +27.1 | Difference 18.5 |
| Oct 23-27 | 507LV | Governor (AR) General election | Online | Poll Hutchinson +2.9 | Actual Beebe +14.9 | Difference 17.8 |
| Oct 23-27 | 755LV | Senate (PA) General election | Online | Poll Casey +8.9 | Actual Casey +17.4 | Difference 8.5 |
| Oct 23-25 | 1,003LV | Senate (TX) General election | Online | Poll Hutchison +34.5 | Actual Hutchison +25.6 | Difference 8.9 |
| Oct 23-25 | 1,003LV | Governor (TX) General election | Online | Poll Perry +16.0 | Actual Perry +9.2 | Difference 6.8 |
| Oct 23-24 | 504LV | House (TX-22) General election | Online | Poll Sekula Gibbs +17.0 | Actual Lampson +10.0 | Difference 27.0 |
| Oct 23-24 | 504LV | House (TX-22) General election | Online | Poll Sekula Gibbs +13.0 | Actual Lampson +10.0 | Difference 23.0 |
| Oct 20-23 | 1,013LV | House (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Democrats +11.0 | Actual Democrats +8.2 | Difference 2.8 |
| Oct 17-20 | 402LV | House (FL-24) General election | Online | Poll Feeney +2.0 | Actual Feeney +15.9 | Difference 13.9 |
2005
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26-27 | 403LV | Governor (NJ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Corzine +7.0 | Actual Corzine +10.4 | Difference 3.4 |
| Oct 17-19 | 403LV | Governor (NJ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Corzine +7.0 | Actual Corzine +10.4 | Difference 3.4 |
2004
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 955LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +0.3 | Actual Bush +2.5 | Difference 2.2 |
| Oct 29-Nov 1 | 601LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +6.0 | Actual Kerry +0.4 | Difference 5.6 |
| Oct 29-Nov 1 | 601LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +4.0 | Actual Kerry +2.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 29-Nov 1 | 601LV | President (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +6.0 | Actual Bush +2.1 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 29-Nov 1 | 601LV | President (NV) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +5.0 | Actual Bush +2.6 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 29-Nov 1 | 600LV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +2.0 | Actual Bush +4.7 | Difference 2.7 |
| Oct 29-Nov 1 | 601LV | President (MN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +6.0 | Actual Kerry +3.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 29-Nov 1 | 601LV | President (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +6.0 | Actual Kerry +3.4 | Difference 2.6 |
| Oct 29-Nov 1 | 601LV | President (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +5.0 | Actual Bush +0.7 | Difference 5.7 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 601LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Bush +5.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Oct 29-Nov 1 | 599LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +1.0 | Actual Bush +5.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Oct 29-Nov 1 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Bush +5.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Oct 25-31 | 600LV | President (MN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +2.0 | Actual Kerry +3.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 25-31 | 601LV | President (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +8.0 | Actual Kerry +3.4 | Difference 4.6 |
| Oct 25-31 | 600LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +5.0 | Actual Kerry +2.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 28-31 | 601LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Feingold +23.0 | Actual Feingold +11.2 | Difference 11.8 |
| Oct 28-31 | 600LV | Senate (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Specter +21.0 | Actual Specter +10.6 | Difference 10.4 |
| Oct 28-31 | 602LV | Senate (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Voinovich +24.0 | Actual Voinovich +27.7 | Difference 3.7 |
| Oct 28-31 | 603LV | Senate (NV) General election | Live Phone | Poll Reid +24.0 | Actual Reid +26.4 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 28-31 | 602LV | Senate (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Grassley +46.0 | Actual Grassley +42.3 | Difference 3.7 |
| Oct 28-31 | 599LV | Senate (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Martinez +1.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 28-31 | 600LV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Salazar +8.0 | Actual Salazar +4.8 | Difference 3.2 |
| Oct 28-31 | 600LV | President (NM) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Bush +0.8 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 29-31 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +1.0 | Actual Bush +2.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 25-31 | 584LV | President (WV) General election | Online | Poll Bush +4.5 | Actual Bush +12.9 | Difference 8.4 |
| Oct 25-31 | 601LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +7.0 | Actual Kerry +0.4 | Difference 6.6 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,832LV | President (WA) General election | Online | Poll Kerry +11.2 | Actual Kerry +7.2 | Difference 4.0 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,210LV | President (TN) General election | Online | Poll Bush +3.3 | Actual Bush +14.3 | Difference 11.0 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,125LV | President (OR) General election | Online | Poll Kerry +10.1 | Actual Kerry +4.2 | Difference 5.9 |
| Oct 25-31 | 602LV | President (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +4.0 | Actual Bush +2.1 | Difference 1.9 |
| Oct 25-31 | 603LV | President (NV) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +5.0 | Actual Bush +2.6 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 25-31 | 600LV | President (NM) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Bush +0.8 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 25-31 | 631LV | President (NH) General election | Online | Poll Kerry +4.5 | Actual Kerry +1.4 | Difference 3.1 |
| Oct 25-31 | 1,316LV | President (MO) General election | Online | Poll Bush +4.2 | Actual Bush +7.2 | Difference 3.0 |
| Oct 27-29 | 632LV | President (AR) General election | Online | Poll Bush +3.2 | Actual Bush +9.8 | Difference 6.6 |
| Oct 27-29 | 501LV | Senate (GA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Isakson +13.0 | Actual Isakson +17.9 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 27-29 | 501LV | President (GA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +10.0 | Actual Bush +16.6 | Difference 6.6 |
| Oct 25-28 | 600LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +3.0 | Actual Kerry +0.4 | Difference 2.6 |
| Oct 25-28 | 600LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Kerry +2.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 25-28 | 600LV | President (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +3.0 | Actual Bush +2.1 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 25-28 | 600LV | President (NV) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +5.0 | Actual Bush +2.6 | Difference 2.4 |
| Oct 25-28 | 603LV | President (MN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +1.0 | Actual Kerry +3.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Oct 25-28 | 601LV | President (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +2.0 | Actual Kerry +3.4 | Difference 5.4 |
| Oct 25-28 | 600LV | President (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +1.0 | Actual Bush +0.7 | Difference 1.7 |
| Oct 25-28 | 601LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +1.0 | Actual Bush +5.0 | Difference 4.0 |
| Oct 26-28 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Bush +2.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 25-28 | 602LV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +1.0 | Actual Bush +4.7 | Difference 5.7 |
| Oct 24-27 | 599LV | Senate (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Martinez +1.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 24-27 | 601LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Feingold +23.0 | Actual Feingold +11.2 | Difference 11.8 |
| Oct 24-27 | 600LV | President (NM) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +3.0 | Actual Bush +0.8 | Difference 2.2 |
| Oct 24-27 | 600LV | Senate (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Specter +26.0 | Actual Specter +10.6 | Difference 15.4 |
| Oct 24-27 | 600LV | Senate (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Voinovich +31.0 | Actual Voinovich +27.7 | Difference 3.3 |
| Oct 24-27 | 600LV | Senate (NV) General election | Live Phone | Poll Reid +23.0 | Actual Reid +26.4 | Difference 3.4 |
| Oct 24-27 | 600LV | Senate (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Grassley +41.0 | Actual Grassley +42.3 | Difference 1.3 |
| Oct 24-27 | 600LV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Salazar +11.0 | Actual Salazar +4.8 | Difference 6.2 |
| Oct 25-26 | 800LV | Senate (SD) General election | Live Phone | Poll Thune +2.0 | Actual Thune +1.2 | Difference 0.8 |
| Oct 25-26 | 800LV | House (SD-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Diedrich +2.8 | Actual Herseth Sandlin +7.4 | Difference 10.2 |
| Oct 23-25 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +3.0 | Actual Bush +2.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Oct 21-24 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +3.0 | Actual Bush +5.0 | Difference 2.0 |
| Oct 21-24 | 602LV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +4.0 | Actual Bush +4.7 | Difference 8.7 |
| Oct 21-24 | 600LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +3.0 | Actual Kerry +0.4 | Difference 3.4 |
| Oct 21-24 | 600LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +2.0 | Actual Kerry +2.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Oct 21-24 | 600LV | President (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +5.0 | Actual Bush +2.1 | Difference 2.9 |
| Oct 21-24 | 600LV | President (NV) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +4.0 | Actual Bush +2.6 | Difference 1.4 |
| Oct 21-24 | 600LV | President (MN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +1.0 | Actual Kerry +3.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 21-24 | 601LV | President (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +10.0 | Actual Kerry +3.4 | Difference 6.6 |
| Oct 21-24 | 600LV | President (IA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +2.0 | Actual Bush +0.7 | Difference 1.3 |
| Oct 20-22 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +2.0 | Actual Bush +2.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Oct 20-21 | 402LV | President (ME) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +11.0 | Actual Kerry +9.0 | Difference 2.0 |
| Oct 17-19 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Bush +2.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 16-18 | 2,131LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Bush +1.2 | Actual Bush +5.0 | Difference 3.8 |
| Oct 13-18 | 501LV | President (WV) General election | Online | Poll Bush +2.8 | Actual Bush +12.9 | Difference 10.1 |
| Oct 13-18 | 883LV | President (WI) General election | Online | Poll Kerry +3.8 | Actual Kerry +0.4 | Difference 3.4 |
| Oct 13-18 | 1,440LV | President (WA) General election | Online | Poll Kerry +10.4 | Actual Kerry +7.2 | Difference 3.2 |
| Oct 13-18 | 992LV | President (TN) General election | Online | Poll Bush +2.5 | Actual Bush +14.3 | Difference 11.8 |
| Oct 13-18 | 1,402LV | President (PA) General election | Online | Poll Kerry +5.7 | Actual Kerry +2.5 | Difference 3.2 |
| Oct 13-18 | 890LV | President (OR) General election | Online | Poll Kerry +13.1 | Actual Kerry +4.2 | Difference 8.9 |
| Oct 13-18 | 2,024LV | President (OH) General election | Online | Poll Bush +3.0 | Actual Bush +2.1 | Difference 0.9 |
| Oct 13-18 | 516LV | President (NV) General election | Online | Poll Bush +3.9 | Actual Bush +2.6 | Difference 1.3 |
| Oct 13-18 | 526LV | President (NM) General election | Online | Poll Kerry +9.5 | Actual Bush +0.8 | Difference 10.3 |
| Oct 13-18 | 510LV | President (NH) General election | Online | Poll Kerry +5.1 | Actual Kerry +1.4 | Difference 3.7 |
| Oct 13-18 | 1,066LV | President (MO) General election | Online | Poll Bush +3.1 | Actual Bush +7.2 | Difference 4.1 |
| Oct 13-18 | 1,228LV | President (MI) General election | Online | Poll Kerry +6.7 | Actual Kerry +3.4 | Difference 3.3 |
| Oct 13-18 | 571LV | President (IA) General election | Online | Poll Kerry +3.2 | Actual Bush +0.7 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 13-18 | 520LV | President (AR) General election | Online | Poll Bush +1.3 | Actual Bush +9.8 | Difference 8.5 |
| Oct 13-18 | 784LV | President (MN) General election | Online | Poll Kerry +11.1 | Actual Kerry +3.5 | Difference 7.6 |
| Oct 15-17 | 2,173LV | President (FL) General election | Online | Poll Bush +1.2 | Actual Bush +5.0 | Difference 3.8 |
| Oct 15-17 | 600LV | President (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +1.8 | Actual Bush +4.7 | Difference 2.9 |
| Oct 14-16 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +2.0 | Actual Bush +2.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Oct 13-15 | 501LV | Senate (GA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Isakson +18.0 | Actual Isakson +17.9 | Difference 0.1 |
| Oct 13-15 | 503LV | President (GA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +10.0 | Actual Bush +16.6 | Difference 6.6 |
| Oct 11-13 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +1.0 | Actual Bush +2.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| May 19-20 | 503LV | House (SD-1) Special election | Live Phone | Poll Herseth Sandlin +11.0 | Actual Herseth Sandlin +1.1 | Difference 9.9 |
| Feb 28-Mar 1 | 602LV | President (GA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +14.0 | Actual Kerry +5.4 | Difference 8.6 |
| Feb 25-27 | 600LV | President (GA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +15.0 | Actual Kerry +5.4 | Difference 9.6 |
| Feb 23-24 | 395LV | President (GA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +16.0 | Actual Kerry +5.4 | Difference 10.6 |
| Feb 13-15 | 600LV | President (WI) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +27.0 | Actual Kerry +5.3 | Difference 21.7 |
| Feb 7-8 | 625LV | President (VA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +23.0 | Actual Kerry +24.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Feb 7-8 | 600LV | President (TN) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +24.0 | Actual Kerry +14.6 | Difference 9.4 |
| Feb 3-4 | 601LV | President (MI) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +37.0 | Actual Kerry +35.4 | Difference 1.6 |
| Jan 31-Feb 2 | 600LV | President (AZ) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +14.0 | Actual Kerry +16.1 | Difference 2.1 |
| Jan 31-Feb 2 | 600LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Edwards +4.0 | Actual Edwards +15.3 | Difference 11.3 |
| Jan 31-Feb 2 | 600LV | President (OK) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clark +5.0 | Actual Clark +0.4 | Difference 4.6 |
| Jan 31-Feb 2 | 600LV | President (MO) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +39.0 | Actual Kerry +26.2 | Difference 12.8 |
| Jan 28-30 | 600LV | President (SC) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Edwards +4.0 | Actual Edwards +15.3 | Difference 11.3 |
| Jan 28-30 | 600LV | President (OK) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clark +9.0 | Actual Clark +0.4 | Difference 8.6 |
| Jan 28-30 | 600LV | President (MO) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +33.0 | Actual Kerry +26.2 | Difference 6.8 |
| Jan 28-30 | 600LV | President (AZ) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +16.0 | Actual Kerry +16.1 | Difference 0.1 |
| Jan 27-29 | 600LV | President (OK) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Clark +10.0 | Actual Clark +0.4 | Difference 9.6 |
| Jan 25-26 | 684LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +13.0 | Actual Kerry +12.1 | Difference 0.9 |
| Jan 22-24 | 600LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +7.0 | Actual Kerry +12.1 | Difference 5.1 |
| Jan 19-21 | 600LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +3.0 | Actual Kerry +12.1 | Difference 9.1 |
| Jan 16-18 | 501LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +4.0 | Actual Kerry +4.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Jan 13-15 | 501LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +7.0 | Actual Kerry +4.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Jan 10-12 | 501LV | President (IA) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Kerry +3.0 | Actual Kerry +4.5 | Difference 1.5 |
2003
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21-22 | 601LV | Governor (LA) Jungle primary | Live Phone | Poll Blanco +1.0 | Actual Jindal +14.2 | Difference 15.2 |
2002
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3-4 | 602LV | Senate (TX) General election | Live Phone | Poll Cornyn +4.0 | Actual Cornyn +12.0 | Difference 8.0 |
| Nov 3-4 | 500LV | Senate (SD) General election | Live Phone | Poll Thune +4.0 | Actual Johnson +0.2 | Difference 4.2 |
| Nov 3-4 | 600LV | Senate (MO) Special election | Live Phone | Poll Talent +7.0 | Actual Talent +1.1 | Difference 5.9 |
| Nov 3-4 | 600LV | Senate (MN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Mondale +5.0 | Actual Coleman +2.2 | Difference 7.2 |
| Nov 3-4 | 602LV | Governor (TX) General election | Live Phone | Poll Perry +18.0 | Actual Perry +17.8 | Difference 0.2 |
| Nov 3-4 | 600LV | Governor (MN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Pawlenty +7.9 | Difference 7.9 |
| Nov 2-4 | 525LV | Senate (NC) General election | Live Phone | Poll Dole +7.0 | Actual Dole +8.6 | Difference 1.6 |
| Nov 2-4 | 527LV | Senate (NJ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Lautenberg +11.0 | Actual Lautenberg +9.9 | Difference 1.1 |
| Nov 2-4 | 600LV | Senate (GA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Cleland +2.0 | Actual Chambliss +6.8 | Difference 8.8 |
| Nov 2-4 | 507LV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Strickland +5.0 | Actual Allard +4.9 | Difference 9.9 |
| Nov 2-4 | 507LV | Senate (AR) General election | Live Phone | Poll Pryor +12.0 | Actual Pryor +7.8 | Difference 4.2 |
| Nov 2-4 | 507LV | Governor (AR) General election | Live Phone | Poll Huckabee +9.0 | Actual Huckabee +6.1 | Difference 2.9 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 600LV | Senate (TX) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Cornyn +12.0 | Difference 12.0 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 500LV | Senate (SD) General election | Live Phone | Poll Johnson +4.0 | Actual Johnson +0.2 | Difference 3.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 600LV | Senate (NJ) General election | Live Phone | Poll Lautenberg +13.0 | Actual Lautenberg +9.9 | Difference 3.1 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 600LV | Senate (MN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Mondale +3.0 | Actual Coleman +2.2 | Difference 5.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 600LV | Senate (GA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Chambliss +1.0 | Actual Chambliss +6.8 | Difference 5.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 600LV | Senate (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Strickland +7.0 | Actual Allard +4.9 | Difference 11.9 |
| Oct 30-Nov 2 | 600LV | Senate (AR) General election | Live Phone | Poll Pryor +11.0 | Actual Pryor +7.8 | Difference 3.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 602LV | Governor (TX) General election | Live Phone | Poll Perry +14.0 | Actual Perry +17.8 | Difference 3.8 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 600LV | Governor (MN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Pawlenty +1.0 | Actual Pawlenty +7.9 | Difference 6.9 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 500LV | Governor (CO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Owens +32.0 | Actual Owens +29.0 | Difference 3.0 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 525LV | Senate (NC) General election | Live Phone | Poll Dole +4.0 | Actual Dole +8.6 | Difference 4.6 |
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 600LV | Senate (MO) Special election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Talent +1.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Nov 1 | 501LV | Governor (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +16.0 | Actual Bush +12.8 | Difference 3.2 |
| Oct 31-Nov 1 | 802LV | Governor (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Ryan +0.3 | Actual Blagojevich +7.1 | Difference 7.4 |
| Oct 31-Nov 1 | 802LV | Senate (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Durbin +24.0 | Actual Durbin +22.3 | Difference 1.7 |
| Oct 26-29 | 1,006LV | House (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Democrats +2.0 | Actual Republicans +5.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 24-26 | 602LV | Governor (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Taft +14.0 | Actual Taft +19.5 | Difference 5.5 |
| Oct 22-24 | 1,200LV | House (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Democrats +2.0 | Actual Republicans +5.0 | Difference 7.0 |
2000
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4-6 | 597LV | Senate (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Carnahan +2.1 | Difference 2.1 |
| Nov 4-6 | 593LV | Senate (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Stabenow +4.0 | Actual Stabenow +1.6 | Difference 2.4 |
| Nov 4-6 | 593LV | Senate (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Nelson +2.0 | Actual Nelson +4.9 | Difference 2.9 |
| Nov 4-6 | 597LV | Governor (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Holden +1.0 | Actual Holden +0.9 | Difference 0.1 |
| Nov 4-6 | 492LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Gore +0.2 | Difference 0.2 |
| Nov 4-6 | 504LV | President (WA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +7.0 | Actual Gore +5.6 | Difference 1.4 |
| Nov 4-6 | 490LV | President (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +7.0 | Actual Bush +3.9 | Difference 3.1 |
| Nov 4-6 | 589LV | President (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +3.0 | Actual Bush +3.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Nov 4-6 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +2.0 | Actual Gore +0.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Nov 4-6 | 492LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kohl +29.0 | Actual Kohl +24.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Nov 4-6 | 504LV | Senate (WA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Cantwell +5.0 | Actual Cantwell +0.1 | Difference 4.9 |
| Nov 4-6 | 490LV | Senate (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Frist +34.0 | Actual Frist +32.9 | Difference 1.1 |
| Nov 4-6 | 592LV | Senate (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Santorum +18.0 | Actual Santorum +6.9 | Difference 11.1 |
| Nov 4-6 | 589LV | Senate (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll DeWine +25.0 | Actual DeWine +24.1 | Difference 0.9 |
| Nov 4-6 | 689LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton +3.0 | Actual Clinton +12.3 | Difference 9.3 |
| Nov 4-6 | 689LV | President (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +19.0 | Actual Gore +25.0 | Difference 6.0 |
| Nov 4-6 | 597LV | President (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +1.0 | Actual Bush +3.3 | Difference 2.3 |
| Nov 4-6 | 593LV | President (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +6.0 | Actual Gore +5.1 | Difference 0.9 |
| Nov 4-6 | 584LV | President (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +7.0 | Actual Gore +12.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Nov 4-6 | 593LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +2.0 | Actual Bush +0.0 | Difference 2.0 |
| Nov 4-6 | 596LV | President (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Gore +11.8 | Difference 11.8 |
| Nov 3-5 | 600LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +8.0 | Actual Gore +4.2 | Difference 3.8 |
| Nov 1-3 | 500LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kohl +29.0 | Actual Kohl +24.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Nov 1-3 | 500LV | Senate (WA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gorton +2.0 | Actual Cantwell +0.1 | Difference 2.1 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | Senate (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Santorum +16.0 | Actual Santorum +6.9 | Difference 9.1 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | Senate (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll DeWine +32.0 | Actual DeWine +24.1 | Difference 7.9 |
| Nov 1-3 | 700LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Clinton +4.0 | Actual Clinton +12.3 | Difference 8.3 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | Senate (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Carnahan +3.0 | Actual Carnahan +2.1 | Difference 0.9 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | Senate (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Stabenow +1.6 | Difference 1.6 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | Senate (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Nelson +5.0 | Actual Nelson +4.9 | Difference 0.1 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | Governor (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Holden +1.0 | Actual Holden +0.9 | Difference 0.1 |
| Nov 1-3 | 500LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +1.0 | Actual Gore +0.2 | Difference 1.2 |
| Nov 1-3 | 500LV | President (WA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +3.0 | Actual Gore +5.6 | Difference 2.6 |
| Nov 1-3 | 500LV | President (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Bush +3.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | President (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +10.0 | Actual Bush +3.5 | Difference 6.5 |
| Nov 1-3 | 700LV | President (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +14.0 | Actual Gore +25.0 | Difference 11.0 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | President (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +2.0 | Actual Bush +3.3 | Difference 1.3 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | President (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +9.0 | Actual Gore +5.1 | Difference 3.9 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | President (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +9.0 | Actual Gore +12.0 | Difference 3.0 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +1.0 | Actual Bush +0.0 | Difference 1.0 |
| Nov 1-3 | 600LV | President (CA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +8.0 | Actual Gore +11.8 | Difference 3.8 |
| Nov 1-3 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +4.0 | Actual Gore +0.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Nov 1-3 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +2.0 | Actual Gore +0.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Nov 1-3 | 500LV | Senate (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Frist +19.0 | Actual Frist +32.9 | Difference 13.9 |
| Oct 31-Nov 2 | 600LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +1.0 | Actual Gore +4.2 | Difference 3.2 |
| Oct 29-31 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +3.0 | Actual Gore +0.5 | Difference 3.5 |
| Oct 29-31 | 500LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +3.0 | Actual Gore +0.2 | Difference 2.8 |
| Oct 29-31 | 500LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kohl +27.0 | Actual Kohl +24.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 29-31 | 500LV | Senate (WA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gorton +1.0 | Actual Cantwell +0.1 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 29-31 | 500LV | Senate (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Frist +29.0 | Actual Frist +32.9 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | Senate (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Santorum +17.0 | Actual Santorum +6.9 | Difference 10.1 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | Senate (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll DeWine +33.0 | Actual DeWine +24.1 | Difference 8.9 |
| Oct 29-31 | 700LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Lazio +2.0 | Actual Clinton +12.3 | Difference 14.3 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | Senate (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Carnahan +2.0 | Actual Carnahan +2.1 | Difference 0.1 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | Senate (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Stabenow +9.0 | Actual Stabenow +1.6 | Difference 7.4 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | Senate (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Nelson +5.0 | Actual Nelson +4.9 | Difference 0.1 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | Governor (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Talent +4.0 | Actual Holden +0.9 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 29-31 | 500LV | President (WA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +2.0 | Actual Gore +5.6 | Difference 3.6 |
| Oct 29-31 | 500LV | President (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +3.0 | Actual Bush +3.9 | Difference 0.9 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | President (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +8.0 | Actual Bush +3.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Oct 29-31 | 700LV | President (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +15.0 | Actual Gore +25.0 | Difference 10.0 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | President (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +3.0 | Actual Bush +3.3 | Difference 0.3 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | President (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +9.0 | Actual Gore +5.1 | Difference 3.9 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | President (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +4.0 | Actual Gore +12.0 | Difference 8.0 |
| Oct 29-31 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +7.0 | Actual Bush +0.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 28-30 | 600LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +4.0 | Actual Gore +4.2 | Difference 0.2 |
| Oct 28-30 | 400LV | House (FL-8) General election | Live Phone | Poll Keller +12.0 | Actual Keller +1.6 | Difference 10.4 |
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | President (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +6.0 | Actual Bush +3.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 26-28 | 700LV | President (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +14.0 | Actual Gore +25.0 | Difference 11.0 |
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | President (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +2.0 | Actual Bush +3.3 | Difference 1.3 |
| Oct 26-28 | 603LV | President (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +1.0 | Actual Gore +5.1 | Difference 4.1 |
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | President (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +7.0 | Actual Gore +12.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | President (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +7.0 | Actual Bush +0.0 | Difference 7.0 |
| Oct 25-28 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +1.0 | Actual Gore +0.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | Governor (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Holden +2.0 | Actual Holden +0.9 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 26-28 | 500LV | Senate (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kohl +34.0 | Actual Kohl +24.5 | Difference 9.5 |
| Oct 26-28 | 500LV | Senate (WA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gorton +2.0 | Actual Cantwell +0.1 | Difference 2.1 |
| Oct 26-28 | 500LV | Senate (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Frist +34.0 | Actual Frist +32.9 | Difference 1.1 |
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | Senate (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Santorum +21.0 | Actual Santorum +6.9 | Difference 14.1 |
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | Senate (OH) General election | Live Phone | Poll DeWine +25.0 | Actual DeWine +24.1 | Difference 0.9 |
| Oct 26-28 | 700LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Lazio +1.0 | Actual Clinton +12.3 | Difference 13.3 |
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | Senate (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Carnahan +7.0 | Actual Carnahan +2.1 | Difference 4.9 |
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | Senate (MI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Stabenow +2.0 | Actual Stabenow +1.6 | Difference 0.4 |
| Oct 26-28 | 600LV | Senate (FL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Nelson +10.0 | Actual Nelson +4.9 | Difference 5.1 |
| Oct 26-28 | 500LV | President (WI) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +9.0 | Actual Gore +0.2 | Difference 8.8 |
| Oct 26-28 | 500LV | President (WA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +3.0 | Actual Gore +5.6 | Difference 2.6 |
| Oct 26-28 | 500LV | President (TN) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +7.0 | Actual Bush +3.9 | Difference 3.1 |
| Oct 25-27 | 600LV | President (PA) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +7.0 | Actual Gore +4.2 | Difference 11.2 |
| Oct 24-25 | 603LV | Senate (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Carnahan +2.0 | Actual Carnahan +2.1 | Difference 0.1 |
| Oct 24-25 | 603LV | Governor (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Holden +1.0 | Actual Holden +0.9 | Difference 0.1 |
| Oct 24-25 | 603LV | President (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +2.0 | Actual Bush +3.3 | Difference 5.3 |
| Oct 23-25 | 1,209LV | House (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Democrats +7.0 | Actual Republicans +0.4 | Difference 7.4 |
| Oct 22-24 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +2.0 | Actual Gore +0.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Oct 22-24 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Gore +3.0 | Actual Gore +0.5 | Difference 2.5 |
| Oct 20-22 | 1,204LV | House (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Republicans +2.0 | Actual Republicans +0.4 | Difference 1.6 |
| Oct 19-21 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +4.0 | Actual Gore +0.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Oct 17-19 | 1,200LV | House (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Republicans +0.4 | Difference 0.4 |
| Oct 18-19 | 504LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Lazio +1.0 | Actual Clinton +12.3 | Difference 13.3 |
| Oct 16-18 | 1,200LV | President (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bush +1.0 | Actual Gore +0.5 | Difference 1.5 |
| Mar 4-6 | 632LV | President (NY) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush +5.0 | Actual Bush +7.6 | Difference 2.6 |
| Mar 3-5 | 409LV | President (OH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush +26.0 | Actual Bush +21.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Mar 3-5 | 408LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore +47.0 | Actual Gore +48.9 | Difference 1.9 |
| Mar 3-5 | 338LV | President (NY) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore +30.0 | Actual Gore +32.2 | Difference 2.2 |
| Mar 3-5 | 404LV | President (MA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +28.0 | Actual McCain +33.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Mar 3-5 | 400LV | President (MD) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush +22.0 | Actual Bush +20.1 | Difference 1.9 |
| Mar 3-5 | 400LV | President (GA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush +29.0 | Actual Bush +39.1 | Difference 10.1 |
| Mar 3-5 | 400LV | President (CT) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush +7.0 | Actual McCain +2.4 | Difference 9.4 |
| Mar 1-3 | 400LV | President (NY) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush +4.0 | Actual Bush +7.6 | Difference 3.6 |
| Feb 29-Mar 2 | 405LV | President (OH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush +26.0 | Actual Bush +21.0 | Difference 5.0 |
| Feb 29-Mar 2 | 403LV | President (OH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore +56.0 | Actual Gore +48.9 | Difference 7.1 |
| Feb 29-Mar 2 | 400LV | President (CA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush +18.6 | Actual Bush +9.3 | Difference 9.3 |
| Feb 29-Mar 2 | 400LV | President (MO) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush +9.0 | Actual Bush +22.7 | Difference 13.7 |
| Feb 29-Mar 2 | 400LV | President (MA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +30.0 | Actual McCain +33.0 | Difference 3.0 |
| Feb 29-Mar 2 | 400LV | President (MD) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush +20.0 | Actual Bush +20.1 | Difference 0.1 |
| Feb 29-Mar 2 | 361LV | President (GA) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush +22.0 | Actual Bush +39.1 | Difference 17.1 |
| Feb 29-Mar 2 | 361LV | President (CT) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush +3.0 | Actual McCain +2.4 | Difference 5.4 |
| Feb 29-Mar 1 | 476LV | President (NY) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore +32.0 | Actual Gore +32.2 | Difference 0.2 |
| Feb 28-29 | 430LV | President (NY) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +6.0 | Actual Bush +7.6 | Difference 13.6 |
| Feb 27-28 | 400LV | President (NY) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore +19.0 | Actual Gore +32.2 | Difference 13.2 |
| Feb 26-27 | 450LV | President (NY) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +1.0 | Actual Bush +7.6 | Difference 8.6 |
| Feb 24-26 | 400LV | President (NY) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore +17.0 | Actual Gore +32.2 | Difference 15.2 |
| Feb 15-16 | 600LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll Bush +1.0 | Actual Bush +11.5 | Difference 10.5 |
| Feb 1-3 | 400LV | President (SC) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +5.0 | Actual Bush +11.5 | Difference 16.5 |
| Jan 30-Feb 1 | 813LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +10.0 | Actual McCain +18.2 | Difference 8.2 |
| Jan 29-31 | 600LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore +12.0 | Actual Gore +4.1 | Difference 7.9 |
| Jan 29-31 | 600LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +5.0 | Actual McCain +18.2 | Difference 13.2 |
| Jan 26-28 | 600LV | President (NH) Republican primary | Live Phone | Poll McCain +6.0 | Actual McCain +18.2 | Difference 12.2 |
| Jan 26-28 | 600LV | President (NH) Democratic primary | Live Phone | Poll Gore +11.0 | Actual Gore +4.1 | Difference 6.9 |
1998
| Dates | Sample | Race | Methodology | Poll margin | Election margin | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30-Nov 1 | 1,196LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll D'Amato +0.8 | Actual Schumer +10.5 | Difference 11.3 |
| Oct 29-30 | 600LV | Senate (MO) General election | Live Phone | Poll Bond +11.0 | Actual Bond +8.9 | Difference 2.1 |
| Oct 28-29 | 700LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Schumer +4.0 | Actual Schumer +10.5 | Difference 6.5 |
| Oct 28-29 | 703LV | Senate (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Moseley Braun +3.0 | Actual Fitzgerald +2.9 | Difference 5.9 |
| Oct 28-29 | 703LV | Governor (IL) General election | Live Phone | Poll Ryan +14.0 | Actual Ryan +3.6 | Difference 10.4 |
| Oct 26-27 | 700LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Schumer +6.0 | Actual Schumer +10.5 | Difference 4.5 |
| Oct 24-26 | 300LV | House (NM-3) General election | Live Phone | Poll Udall +13.0 | Actual Udall +9.9 | Difference 3.1 |
| Oct 24-26 | 300LV | House (MS-4) General election | Live Phone | Poll Shows +9.0 | Actual Shows +8.5 | Difference 0.5 |
| Oct 24-26 | 300LV | House (MA-6) General election | Live Phone | Poll Tierney +21.0 | Actual Tierney +12.2 | Difference 8.8 |
| Oct 24-26 | 300LV | House (CO-2) General election | Live Phone | Poll Greenlee +17.0 | Actual Udall +2.4 | Difference 19.4 |
| Oct 24-26 | 300LV | House (CA-36) General election | Live Phone | Poll Kuykendall +17.0 | Actual Kuykendall +2.3 | Difference 14.7 |
| Oct 24-26 | 300LV | House (CA-24) General election | Live Phone | Poll Sherman +13.0 | Actual Sherman +18.8 | Difference 5.8 |
| Oct 24-26 | 300LV | House (OH-6) General election | Live Phone | Poll Strickland +1.0 | Actual Strickland +13.9 | Difference 12.9 |
| Oct 24-26 | 300LV | House (WI-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Ryan +14.0 | Actual Ryan +14.4 | Difference 0.4 |
| Oct 24-26 | 300LV | House (WA-1) General election | Live Phone | Poll Even | Actual Inslee +5.7 | Difference 5.7 |
| Oct 24-26 | 300LV | House (PA-13) General election | Live Phone | Poll Fox +6.0 | Actual Hoeffel +5.0 | Difference 11.0 |
| Oct 24-25 | 700LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Schumer +4.0 | Actual Schumer +10.5 | Difference 6.5 |
| Oct 23-24 | 700LV | Governor (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Pataki +31.0 | Actual Pataki +21.2 | Difference 9.8 |
| Oct 22-23 | 700LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll D'Amato +2.0 | Actual Schumer +10.5 | Difference 12.5 |
| Oct 20-21 | 703LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll D'Amato +4.0 | Actual Schumer +10.5 | Difference 14.5 |
| Oct 14-16 | 706LV | Governor (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll Pataki +32.0 | Actual Pataki +21.2 | Difference 10.8 |
| Oct 14-16 | 706LV | Senate (NY) General election | Live Phone | Poll D'Amato +5.0 | Actual Schumer +10.5 | Difference 15.5 |
| Oct 11-14 | 864LV | House (National) General election | Live Phone | Poll Democrats +3.0 | Actual Republicans +0.9 | Difference 3.9 |
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