What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State

Forty-two states — most recently Missouri — have now finished redrawing their congressional maps (not counting the six states with only one congressional district). Only two states do not currently have congressional maps in place for the 2022 election: New Hampshire, which has not yet enacted a map, and New York, where a new map was enacted but then struck down in court.

Although Republicans went into the cycle with control over drawing more districts, redistricting has actually chipped away at the GOP bias in the House of Representatives. So far, redistricting has created eight more Democratic-leaning seats nationally and has not changed the number of Republican-leaning seats. This is due to aggressive map-drawing by Democrats in states such as Illinois as well as court decisions overturning Republican gerrymanders in Florida and North Carolina.

After accounting for incumbency, however, Republicans are actually the ones who have gained ground from redistricting so far: The GOP is positioned for a net gain of three to five seats in 2022 just thanks to the new lines alone. Republicans have benefited from their own brazen cartography in states like Florida and courts striking down Democratic gerrymanders in Maryland and New York. Republicans have also shored up their existing position by converting light-red districts into safer seats in states like Texas.

With 28 districts yet to be drawn and lawsuits still pending in several states, the exact partisan upshot of redistricting is still subject to change. But two other takeaways seem inevitable at this point. First, the number of swing seats will continue to decline; the new maps so far have seven fewer highly competitive districts than the old ones. And second, people of color will remain underrepresented in Congress.