What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State

Having gained a 28th congressional district, and with Republicans in full control of state government, Florida went into this redistricting cycle as one of Republicans’ biggest opportunities to gain seats. But most of the maps proposed so far are surprisingly unaggressive.

The state Senate’s eight proposed maps exhibit only a mild Republican bias (an efficiency gap of R+6 and a median seat that closely matches the state’s overall partisanship). All eight would create 14 Republican-leaning seats and eight Democratic-leaning seats (same as the current map) as well as six highly competitive seats (one more than the current map).

The state House’s two proposed maps are more partisan: They have efficiency gaps of R+10 and R+13, and the median seat of both maps is 5 points more Republican-leaning than the state as a whole. These maps would create 15 Republican-leaning seats, eight or nine Democratic-leaning seats and four or five highly competitive seats.

Based on their proposals so far, it seems like Florida Republicans have some genuine disagreements over how aggressively to draw the lines — or what they can get away with in front of the Florida Supreme Court. They have plenty of time to debate the question, as a new map isn’t expected to be finalized until next year.