METHODOLOGY
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Chance of being represented by either party
100% D
100% R
| Usually Democratic districts | Highly competitive districts | Usually Republican districts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current |
| Usually Democratic districts | Highly competitive districts | Usually Republican districts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current |
Party probabilities
Every district by the chance it will be represented by either party
| Democratic gerrymander | ||
| Majority minority | ||
| Current | ||
| Compact (borders) | ||
| Compact (algorithmic) | ||
| Highly competitive | ||
| Proportionally partisan | ||
| Republican gerrymander | ||
How the maps compare on district competitiveness, minority makeup, respect for local borders, compactness and the efficiency gap, an attempt to gauge how politically gerrymandered a set of districts is
Efficiency gap
A measure of “wasted” votes, by the size of the advantage and which party it favors
| Compact (algorithmic) | R+2% |
| Compact (borders) | D+2% |
| Majority minority | D+2% |
| Current | D+3% |
| Competitive | D+3% |
| Dem. gerrymander | D+9% |
| GOP gerrymander | R+12% |
| Proportional | R+12% |
Competitive districts
Number of districts in which both parties have at least a 1-in-6 chance of winning
| Competitive | 27 |
| Compact (algorithmic) | 10 |
| Current | 9 |
| Compact (borders) | 9 |
| Majority minority | 7 |
| Proportional | 5 |
| GOP gerrymander | 5 |
| Dem. gerrymander | 0 |
Majority-nonwhite districts
Number of districts in which a majority of the voting-age population is nonwhite
| Majority minority | 41 |
| Compact (algorithmic) | 33 |
| Compact (borders) | 32 |
| Dem. gerrymander | 31 |
| Current | 29 |
| Competitive | 29 |
| Proportional | 28 |
| GOP gerrymander | 28 |
County splits
Number of times a map divides counties into different congressional districts
| Compact (borders) | 51 |
| Current | 67 |
| Competitive | 68 |
| Majority minority | 68 |
| GOP gerrymander | 79 |
| Proportional | 79 |
| Dem. gerrymander | 80 |
| Compact (algorithmic) | 132 |
Compactness rank
Rank by the total length of district boundaries, from shortest to longest
| Compact (borders) | 1 |
| Compact (algorithmic) | 2 |
| Majority minority | 3 |
| Competitive | 4 |
| Dem. gerrymander | 5 |
| GOP gerrymander | 6 |
| Proportional | 6 |
| Current | 8 |
The racial or ethnic makeup of each district and each district’s likelihood of being represented by a member of a racial or ethnic minority, based on election results since 2006
White
African-American
Hispanic/Latino
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
Minority coalition
| Share of population by race | Chance of being represented by a ... | Chance of being represented by a ... | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | District | Majority Race | 0% 50% 100% | Minority member | Democrat | Republican | ||||
| 1st | White | 2% | 3% | 97% | ||||||
| 2nd | White | 9% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 3rd | White | 11% | 81% | 19% | ||||||
| 4th | White | 2% | 4% | 96% | ||||||
| 5th | White | 17% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 6th | Minority coalition | 24% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 7th | White | 5% | 69% | 31% | ||||||
| 8th | White | 12% | 6% | 94% | ||||||
| 9th | Minority coalition | 25% | 92% | 8% | ||||||
| 10th | White | 20% | 51% | 49% | ||||||
| 11th | White | 18% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 12th | Minority coalition | 37% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 13th | Minority coalition | 40% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 14th | Minority coalition | 31% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 15th | Minority coalition | 23% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 16th | Hispanic/ Latino | 65% | 94% | 6% | ||||||
| 17th | Minority coalition | 52% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 18th | White | 11% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 19th | Minority coalition | 42% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 20th | Minority coalition | 56% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 21st | Hispanic/ Latino | 83% | 84% | 16% | ||||||
| 22nd | Minority coalition | 19% | 8% | 92% | ||||||
| 23rd | White | 10% | 1% | 99% | ||||||
| 24th | White | 14% | 89% | 11% | ||||||
| 25th | White | 16% | 48% | 52% | ||||||
| 26th | White | 28% | 89% | 11% | ||||||
| 27th | Minority coalition | 30% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 28th | White | 16% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 29th | Hispanic/ Latino | 91% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 30th | White | 15% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 31st | Minority coalition | 51% | 93% | 7% | ||||||
| 32nd | Hispanic/ Latino | 77% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 33rd | White | 5% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 34th | Hispanic/ Latino | 91% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 35th | Hispanic/ Latino | 89% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 36th | White | 27% | 62% | 38% | ||||||
| 37th | Minority coalition | 71% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 38th | Hispanic/ Latino | 76% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 39th | Minority coalition | 11% | 49% | 51% | ||||||
| 40th | Hispanic/ Latino | 99% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 41st | Hispanic/ Latino | 66% | 98% | 2% | ||||||
| 42nd | White | 12% | 7% | 93% | ||||||
| 43rd | Minority coalition | 77% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 44th | Hispanic/ Latino | 96% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 45th | White | 5% | 28% | 72% | ||||||
| 46th | Hispanic/ Latino | 80% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 47th | Minority coalition | 23% | 98% | 2% | ||||||
| 48th | White | 3% | 22% | 78% | ||||||
| 49th | White | 6% | 41% | 59% | ||||||
| 50th | White | 6% | 3% | 97% | ||||||
| 51st | Hispanic/ Latino | 90% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
| 52nd | White | 5% | 87% | 13% | ||||||
| 53rd | Minority coalition | 21% | 99% | 1% | ||||||
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