METHODOLOGY
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There’s a lot of complaining about gerrymandering, but what should districts look like? We went back to the drawing board and drew a set of alternative congressional maps for the entire country. Each map has a different goal: One is designed to encourage competitive elections, for example, and another to maximize the number of majority-minority districts. See how changes to district boundaries could radically alter the partisan and racial makeup of the U.S. House — without a single voter moving or switching parties. How we did this »
Show current district boundaries
Gerrymander districts to favor Republicans
Gerrymander districts to favor Democrats
Match partisan breakdown of seats to electorate
Promote highly competitive elections
Maximize number of majority-minority districts
Make district shapes compact (using an algorithm)
Make districts compact while following county borders
← National map
Chance of being represented by either party
Usually Democratic districts | Highly competitive districts | Usually Republican districts | |
---|---|---|---|
Current |
Usually Democratic districts | Highly competitive districts | Usually Republican districts | |
---|---|---|---|
Current |
Party probabilities
Every district by the chance it will be represented by either party
Democratic gerrymander | ||
Proportionally partisan | ||
Majority minority | ||
Highly competitive | ||
Current | ||
Compact (algorithmic) | ||
Compact (borders) | ||
Republican gerrymander |
How the maps compare on district competitiveness, minority makeup, respect for local borders, compactness and the efficiency gap, an attempt to gauge how politically gerrymandered a set of districts is
Majority minority | 0% |
Proportional | R+1% |
Competitive | R+9% |
Compact (borders) | R+13% |
Dem. gerrymander | D+14% |
Current | R+14% |
Compact (algorithmic) | R+17% |
GOP gerrymander | R+22% |
Competitive | 7 |
Majority minority | 2 |
Compact (borders) | 2 |
Compact (algorithmic) | 1 |
Proportional | 1 |
Current | 0 |
GOP gerrymander | 0 |
Dem. gerrymander | 0 |
Majority minority | 6 |
Dem. gerrymander | 6 |
Proportional | 5 |
Current | 4 |
Competitive | 4 |
Compact (borders) | 4 |
Compact (algorithmic) | 3 |
GOP gerrymander | 3 |
Compact (borders) | 11 |
Competitive | 22 |
Current | 22 |
GOP gerrymander | 23 |
Majority minority | 23 |
Proportional | 23 |
Dem. gerrymander | 29 |
Compact (algorithmic) | 92 |
Compact (borders) | 1 |
Compact (algorithmic) | 2 |
GOP gerrymander | 3 |
Proportional | 4 |
Competitive | 5 |
Current | 6 |
Majority minority | 7 |
Dem. gerrymander | 8 |
The racial or ethnic makeup of each district and each district’s likelihood of being represented by a member of a racial or ethnic minority, based on election results since 2006
Share of population by race | Chance of being represented by a ... | Chance of being represented by a ... | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | District | Majority Race | 0% 50% 100% | Minority member | Democrat | Republican | ||||
1st | White | 14% | 6% | 94% | ||||||
2nd | Minority coalition | 74% | 86% | 14% | ||||||
3rd | White | 5% | <1% | >99% | ||||||
4th | African-American | 93% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
5th | African-American | 96% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
6th | White | 3% | 8% | 92% | ||||||
7th | White | 5% | 7% | 93% | ||||||
8th | White | 11% | 1% | 99% | ||||||
9th | White | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||||||
10th | White | 7% | 1% | 99% | ||||||
11th | White | 3% | <1% | >99% | ||||||
12th | White | 21% | 7% | 93% | ||||||
13th | African-American | 89% | >99% | <1% | ||||||
14th | White | <1% | <1% | >99% |
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