FiveThirtyEight

Democrats lost seats in the Senate, but still overperformed

The FiveThirtyEight partisan lean of every state* with a 2018 Senate race by the vote share margin in the race

*Only settled races with at least one Republican candidate and one Democrat are shown.

Sanders and King are independents who caucus with the Democrats. Their margins are calculated as if they were the Democratic nominee.

Partisan lean is the average difference between how a district votes and how the country votes overall, where 2016 presidential election results are weighted 50 percent, 2012 presidential election results are weighted 25 percent and results from elections for the state legislature are weighted 25 percent.