Updated June 29, 2022, at 7:57 AM
| team | spi rating | supporters’ shield | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 NYCFC27 pts | 54.9 | 22% | 21% |
 LAFC33 pts | 52.4 | 43% | 20% |
 Philadelphia29 pts | 47.4 | 11% | 10% |
| team | spi rating | make playoffs | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 San Antonio37 pts | 27.5 | >99% | 20% |
 Louisville City33 pts | 26.8 | >99% | 17% |
 Tampa Bay30 pts | 28.2 | >99% | 15% |
| team | spi rating | make playoffs | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Portland16 pts | 64.1 | 94% | 29% |
 Reign13 pts | 58.8 | 78% | 16% |
 Chicago16 pts | 56.0 | 85% | 14% |
| team | spi rating | make playoffs | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Monterrey0 pts | 63.9 | 96% | 21% |
 Tigres UANL0 pts | 62.1 | 95% | 18% |
 Club América0 pts | 60.3 | 93% | 15% |
| team | spi rating | win league |
|---|---|---|
 Palmeiras29 pts | 65.2 | 54% |
 Atlético Mineiro24 pts | 60.4 | 14% |
 Flamengo18 pts | 61.9 | 7% |
| team | spi rating | make UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Häcken24 pts | 36.0 | 20% | 20% |
 Hammarby21 pts | 40.6 | 17% | 17% |
 AIK24 pts | 36.2 | 16% | 16% |
| team | spi rating | make UCL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Molde25 pts | 53.0 | 54% | 54% |
 Bodø/Glimt19 pts | 54.3 | 19% | 19% |
 Lillestrøm27 pts | 42.4 | 18% | 18% |
| team | spi rating | make ACL | win league |
|---|---|---|---|
 Yokohama FM37 pts | 54.4 | 93% | 63% |
 Kawasaki34 pts | 47.6 | 70% | 18% |
 Kashima Antlers34 pts | 44.9 | 62% | 13% |
| Time (ET) | League | Match | Quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ SPI ratings | Importance How much the result will alter the league projections | Match Rating The average of quality and importance | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MLS Wednesday, June 29 June 29 7:30 p.m. |  MLS USA |
| 41 | 21 | 31 | |||||
MLS Wednesday, June 29 June 29 7:30 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 36 | 20 | 28 | |||||
USL Wednesday, June 29 June 29 7:30 p.m. |  USL USA |
| 7 | 2 | 5 | |||||
MLS Wednesday, June 29 June 29 8 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 41 | 13 | 27 | |||||
USL Wednesday, June 29 June 29 8:30 p.m. | USL USA |
| 19 | 25 | 22 | |||||
MLS Wednesday, June 29 June 29 10 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 41 | 19 | 30 | |||||
USL Wednesday, June 29 June 29 10 p.m. | USL USA |
| 19 | 19 | 19 | |||||
MLS Wednesday, June 29 June 29 10:30 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 34 | 18 | 26 | |||||
MLS Wednesday, June 29 June 29 10:30 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 41 | 23 | 32 | |||||
MLS Wednesday, June 29 June 29 10:30 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 48 | 21 | 34 | |||||
MLS Thursday, June 30 June 30 7 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 36 | 18 | 27 | |||||
MLS Thursday, June 30 June 30 8 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 44 | 23 | 33 | |||||
Allsvenskan Friday, July 1 July 1 1 p.m. |  Allsvenskan Sweden |
| 19 | 45 | 32 | |||||
USL Friday, July 1 July 1 7 p.m. | USL USA |
| 9 | 7 | 8 | |||||
Liga MX Friday, July 1 July 1 8 p.m. |  Liga MX Mexico |
| 39 | 29 | 34 | |||||
NWSL Friday, July 1 July 1 8:30 p.m. |  NWSL USA |
| 47 | 21 | 34 | |||||
USL Friday, July 1 July 1 9 p.m. | USL USA |
| 20 | 8 | 14 | |||||
NWSL Friday, July 1 July 1 10 p.m. | NWSL USA |
| 58 | 26 | 42 | |||||
Liga MX Friday, July 1 July 1 10:05 p.m. | Liga MX Mexico |
| 41 | 27 | 34 | |||||
NWSL Friday, July 1 July 1 10:30 p.m. | NWSL USA |
| 49 | 22 | 35 | |||||
USL Friday, July 1 July 1 10:30 p.m. | USL USA |
| 13 | 22 | 18 | |||||
J1 League Saturday, July 2 July 2 5 a.m. |  J1 League Japan |
| 30 | 38 | 34 | |||||
J1 League Saturday, July 2 July 2 5:30 a.m. | J1 League Japan |
| 25 | 58 | 41 | |||||
J1 League Saturday, July 2 July 2 5:30 a.m. | J1 League Japan |
| 33 | 53 | 43 | |||||
J1 League Saturday, July 2 July 2 5:30 a.m. | J1 League Japan |
| 39 | 70 | 55 | |||||
J1 League Saturday, July 2 July 2 6 a.m. | J1 League Japan |
| 37 | 34 | 35 | |||||
J1 League Saturday, July 2 July 2 6 a.m. | J1 League Japan |
| 31 | 47 | 39 | |||||
J1 League Saturday, July 2 July 2 6 a.m. | J1 League Japan |
| 43 | 60 | 52 | |||||
J1 League Saturday, July 2 July 2 6 a.m. | J1 League Japan |
| 37 | 67 | 52 | |||||
J1 League Saturday, July 2 July 2 6:30 a.m. | J1 League Japan |
| 36 | 41 | 39 | |||||
Allsvenskan Saturday, July 2 July 2 9 a.m. | Allsvenskan Sweden |
| 30 | 30 | 30 | |||||
Eliteserien Saturday, July 2 July 2 10 a.m. |  Eliteserien Norway |
| 18 | 29 | 23 | |||||
Allsvenskan Saturday, July 2 July 2 11:30 a.m. | Allsvenskan Sweden |
| 20 | 29 | 24 | |||||
Eliteserien Saturday, July 2 July 2 12 p.m. | Eliteserien Norway |
| 35 | 40 | 37 | |||||
Brasileirão Saturday, July 2 July 2 3:30 p.m. |  Brasileirão Brazil |
| 46 | 41 | 43 | |||||
Brasileirão Saturday, July 2 July 2 3:30 p.m. | Brasileirão Brazil |
| 53 | 20 | 37 | |||||
Brasileirão Saturday, July 2 July 2 6 p.m. | Brasileirão Brazil |
| 52 | 26 | 39 | |||||
Brasileirão Saturday, July 2 July 2 6 p.m. | Brasileirão Brazil |
| 57 | 21 | 39 | |||||
Liga MX Saturday, July 2 July 2 6 p.m. | Liga MX Mexico |
| 41 | 24 | 32 | |||||
NWSL Saturday, July 2 July 2 7 p.m. | NWSL USA |
| 51 | 23 | 37 | |||||
USL Saturday, July 2 July 2 7:30 p.m. | USL USA |
| 14 | 29 | 21 | |||||
USL Saturday, July 2 July 2 7:30 p.m. | USL USA |
| 23 | 12 | 18 | |||||
Brasileirão Saturday, July 2 July 2 8 p.m. | Brasileirão Brazil |
| 56 | 62 | 59 | |||||
USL Saturday, July 2 July 2 8 p.m. | USL USA |
| 22 | 11 | 17 | |||||
Liga MX Saturday, July 2 July 2 8:05 p.m. | Liga MX Mexico |
| 59 | 16 | 37 | |||||
USL Saturday, July 2 July 2 9 p.m. | USL USA |
| 15 | 9 | 12 | |||||
MLS Saturday, July 2 July 2 10 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 40 | 20 | 30 | |||||
USL Saturday, July 2 July 2 10 p.m. | USL USA |
| 14 | 8 | 11 | |||||
Liga MX Saturday, July 2 July 2 10:05 p.m. | Liga MX Mexico |
| 55 | 16 | 36 | |||||
USL Saturday, July 2 July 2 10:30 p.m. | USL USA |
| 10 | 19 | 15 | |||||
USL Saturday, July 2 July 2 10:30 p.m. | USL USA |
| 18 | 22 | 20 | |||||
Allsvenskan Sunday, July 3 July 3 9 a.m. | Allsvenskan Sweden |
| 41 | 67 | 54 | |||||
Allsvenskan Sunday, July 3 July 3 9 a.m. | Allsvenskan Sweden |
| 18 | 33 | 25 | |||||
Brasileirão Sunday, July 3 July 3 10 a.m. | Brasileirão Brazil |
| 40 | 52 | 46 | |||||
Allsvenskan Sunday, July 3 July 3 11:30 a.m. | Allsvenskan Sweden |
| 27 | 10 | 18 | |||||
Allsvenskan Sunday, July 3 July 3 11:30 a.m. | Allsvenskan Sweden |
| 38 | 53 | 45 | |||||
Eliteserien Sunday, July 3 July 3 12 p.m. | Eliteserien Norway |
| 32 | 10 | 21 | |||||
Eliteserien Sunday, July 3 July 3 12 p.m. | Eliteserien Norway |
| 30 | 13 | 21 | |||||
Eliteserien Sunday, July 3 July 3 12 p.m. | Eliteserien Norway |
| 34 | 56 | 45 | |||||
Eliteserien Sunday, July 3 July 3 12 p.m. | Eliteserien Norway |
| 28 | 46 | 37 | |||||
Liga MX Sunday, July 3 July 3 1 p.m. | Liga MX Mexico |
| 40 | 28 | 34 | |||||
Eliteserien Sunday, July 3 July 3 2 p.m. | Eliteserien Norway |
| 43 | 17 | 30 | |||||
Brasileirão Sunday, July 3 July 3 3 p.m. | Brasileirão Brazil |
| 51 | 23 | 37 | |||||
Brasileirão Sunday, July 3 July 3 5 p.m. | Brasileirão Brazil |
| 44 | 50 | 47 | |||||
Brasileirão Sunday, July 3 July 3 5 p.m. | Brasileirão Brazil |
| 42 | 46 | 44 | |||||
NWSL Sunday, July 3 July 3 5 p.m. | NWSL USA |
| 54 | 23 | 38 | |||||
Liga MX Sunday, July 3 July 3 6 p.m. | Liga MX Mexico |
| 45 | 26 | 35 | |||||
MLS Sunday, July 3 July 3 7:30 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 38 | 26 | 32 | |||||
USL Sunday, July 3 July 3 7:30 p.m. | USL USA |
| 9 | 9 | 9 | |||||
MLS Sunday, July 3 July 3 8 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 39 | 22 | 31 | |||||
MLS Sunday, July 3 July 3 8 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 38 | 12 | 25 | |||||
NWSL Sunday, July 3 July 3 8 p.m. | NWSL USA |
| 39 | 13 | 26 | |||||
Liga MX Sunday, July 3 July 3 8:05 p.m. | Liga MX Mexico |
| 57 | 17 | 37 | |||||
MLS Sunday, July 3 July 3 8:30 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 41 | 24 | 33 | |||||
MLS Sunday, July 3 July 3 9 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 36 | 12 | 24 | |||||
Allsvenskan Monday, July 4 July 4 1 p.m. | Allsvenskan Sweden |
| 20 | 27 | 23 | |||||
Brasileirão Monday, July 4 July 4 7 p.m. | Brasileirão Brazil |
| 46 | 28 | 37 | |||||
MLS Monday, July 4 July 4 7 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 36 | 19 | 27 | |||||
MLS Monday, July 4 July 4 9 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 39 | 21 | 30 | |||||
MLS Monday, July 4 July 4 9 p.m. | MLS USA |
| 36 | 21 | 29 | |||||
Liga MX Monday, July 4 July 4 10 p.m. | Liga MX Mexico |
| 45 | 21 | 33 | |||||
Eliteserien Wednesday, July 6 July 6 1 p.m. | Eliteserien Norway |
| 20 | 55 | 37 | |||||
USL Wednesday, July 6 July 6 7:30 p.m. | USL USA |
| 12 | 22 | 17 | |||||
USL Wednesday, July 6 July 6 9 p.m. | USL USA |
| 19 | 18 | 18 | |||||
Eliteserien Thursday, July 7 July 7 12 p.m. | Eliteserien Norway |
| 23 | 39 | 31 | |||||
Eliteserien Sunday, July 10 July 10 12 p.m. | Eliteserien Norway |
| 25 | 37 | 31 |
The top two teams from each group qualify for the knockout phase. The third-place team from each group qualifies for the UEFA Europa League knockout phase. The first-place finisher from each group will advance to the round of 16. The second-place finisher from each group will play against a third-place finisher from the UEFA Champions League group stage for a spot in the round of 16.The first-place finisher from each group will advance to the round of 16. The second-place finisher from each group will play against a third-place finisher from the UEFA Europa League group stage for a spot in the round of 16.The top seven teams from each conference — 14 teams total — make the MLS playoffs. The top team from each conference receives a first-round bye.The top four teams from each division make the USL playoffs.The top twelve teams at the end of the regular season make the Liga MX playoffs, with four teams receiving a first-round bye.The top six teams at the end of the regular season make the NWSL playoffs, with two teams receiving a first-round bye.The top six teams make the A-League playoffs, with two teams receiving a first-round bye.Three teams are promoted, and four teams are relegated. Depending on the league standings, playoffs for the final promotion and relegation spots may be necessary.Four teams — based on overall performance during the last four seasons — are relegated.The bottom team is automatically relegated, and the second-to-last team will enter a playoff against a team from the lower division to determine if it is relegated.The bottom team is automatically relegated, and the second-to-last team will enter a playoff against a team from the lower division to determine if it is relegated.The bottom two teams are automatically relegated, and the third-to-last team will enter a playoff against a team from the lower division to determine if it is relegated.The bottom two teams are automatically relegated, and the third-to-last team will enter a playoff against teams from the lower division to determine if they are relegated.Two teams are relegated through a playoff.The top two teams from each group and four third-place teams make the round of 16.
Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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