Updated Jan. 18, 2019, at 6:17 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

league-logo

UEFA Champions League

2018-19 season

Updated Jan. 18, 2019, at 6:15 p.m.

Upcoming matches
2/12
Man. United
26%
22%
PSG
52%
2/12
Roma
48%
25%
Porto
27%
2/13
Tottenham
55%
23%
Dortmund
22%
2/13
Ajax
55%
20%
Real Madrid
25%
2/19
Liverpool
49%
23%
Bayern Munich
28%
2/19
Lyon
18%
20%
Barcelona
62%
2/20
Atlético Madrid
41%
30%
Juventus
29%
2/20
Schalke 04
13%
19%
Man. City
67%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
12/12
Benfica1
44%31%
AEK Athens0
24%
BENAEK
Adjusted goals0.80.0
Shot-based xG1.50.4
Non-shot xG1.70.4
12/12
Shakhtar1
50%24%
Lyon1
26%
SHKLYON
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.01.3
Non-shot xG0.71.2
12/12
Young Boys2
23%22%
Juventus1
55%
BSCYJUV
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.21.9
Non-shot xG0.62.9
12/12
Valencia2
48%27%
Man. United1
25%
VALMAN
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.51.7
Non-shot xG1.61.7
12/12
Ajax3
42%23%
Bayern Munich3
35%
AJXBMU
Adjusted goals3.23.2
Shot-based xG2.03.5
Non-shot xG1.81.4
12/12
Man. City2
79%13%
Hoffenheim1
8%
MNCHOF
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG4.01.5
Non-shot xG2.81.1
12/12
Viktoria Plzen2
34%23%
Roma1
43%
VPLZROM
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.81.1
Non-shot xG1.41.7
12/12
Real Madrid0
72%20%
CSKA Moscow3
9%
MADCSKA
Adjusted goals0.03.1
Shot-based xG1.31.2
Non-shot xG2.01.2
12/11
Red Star1
12%18%
PSG4
70%
REDPSG
Adjusted goals1.13.6
Shot-based xG0.53.0
Non-shot xG0.71.4
12/11
Monaco0
24%25%
Dortmund2
51%
MONDOR
Adjusted goals0.01.6
Shot-based xG0.62.0
Non-shot xG0.52.5
12/11
Barcelona1
54%21%
Tottenham1
25%
BARTOT
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.42.6
Non-shot xG1.41.7
12/11
Inter Milan1
60%21%
PSV1
20%
INTPSV
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG2.01.1
Non-shot xG2.50.7
See more
Team ratinground-by-round probabilities
teamspioff.def.make round of 16make qtrsmake semismake finalwin final
Man. City
92.8
3.1
0.3
88%56%33%18%
Barcelona
91.5
3.1
0.4
84%49%27%14%
Liverpool
93.3
2.9
0.2
52%35%22%12%
PSG
90.5
3.0
0.4
75%43%23%12%
Bayern Munich
92.5
3.2
0.4
48%32%20%11%
Juventus
89.5
2.5
0.3
58%32%16%8%
Ajax
88.0
3.2
0.7
59%31%15%7%
Tottenham
85.3
2.5
0.5
56%24%10%4%
Real Madrid
86.5
2.7
0.6
41%20%9%4%
Atlético Madrid
85.7
2.1
0.3
42%18%8%4%
Dortmund
82.2
2.4
0.6
44%16%6%2%
Roma
77.7
2.3
0.8
50%14%4%1%
Porto
77.3
2.2
0.7
50%14%4%1%
Man. United
79.7
2.3
0.7
25%9%3%1%
Lyon
73.9
2.1
0.8
16%4%1%<1%
Schalke 04
72.1
1.9
0.7
12%3%<1%<1%
Napoli
83.3
2.3
0.5
Valencia
80.9
2.1
0.5
Inter Milan
83.2
2.3
0.5
Viktoria Plzen
63.1
2.0
1.2
Benfica
74.1
2.1
0.8
CSKA Moscow
73.0
1.7
0.6
Club Brugge
71.5
2.1
0.9
Shakhtar
73.5
2.2
0.9
Young Boys
75.1
2.6
1.1
Red Star
63.2
2.0
1.2
Galatasaray
66.2
2.0
1.1
Lokomotiv
63.3
1.6
0.9
Hoffenheim
74.5
2.4
1.0
PSV
81.3
2.8
0.9
Monaco
58.3
1.5
1.0
AEK Athens
67.7
1.6
0.7
Forecast from
Season

Comments