Updated 4:33 PM EDT | May 22, 2017

2016-17 Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for nine leagues, updated after each match.

Champions League
Upcoming
6/3
Juventus
44%
Real Madrid
56%
Completed
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more ...Adjusted goals reduce the value of late game goals when a team is already winning and goals when their opponent is a man down. Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of their shots and the players who took them, and Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. These advanced metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to affect each team’s ratings and future predictions. Read the full methodology »
5/10
Atletico Madrid2
33%25%
Real Madrid1
42%
ATLMAD
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.72.1
Non-shot xG1.22.1
5/9
Juventus2
61%24%
Monaco1
15%
JUVMON
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.11.0
Non-shot xG2.00.9
See all
SPI ratinground-by-round probabilities
teamoffdefmake round of 16make quartersmake semismake finalwin final
Real Madrid
3.3
0.9
56%
Juventus
2.3
0.5
44%
Atletico Madrid
1.9
0.6
Monaco
2.5
0.9
Barcelona
3.5
0.8
Dortmund
2.5
0.9
Leicester City
1.6
1.2
Bayern Munich
3.1
0.7
Arsenal
2.5
1.0
PSG
2.6
0.8
Napoli
2.6
0.8
Porto
1.8
0.9
Sevilla
1.9
1.0
Leverkusen
2.0
1.2
Man. City
2.7
0.7
Benfica
2.0
1.0
Copenhagen
1.3
1.0
Lyon
2.1
1.1
Tottenham
2.5
0.7
Besiktas
1.8
1.5
Rostov
1.4
1.4
Dynamo Kiev
1.9
0.8
Gladbach
1.7
1.1
Legia Warsaw
1.6
1.5
CSKA Moscow
1.5
1.2
Celtic
2.4
1.3
Ludogorets
1.6
1.0
Sporting
1.7
0.9
Basel
1.9
1.3
PSV
1.9
1.2
Club Brugge
1.0
1.5
Dinamo Zagreb
1.3
1.2
Forecast from

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