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9/17 |  Inter Milan | 75% | 17% |
 Slavia Prague | 8% |
9/17 |  Lyon | 49% | 26% |
 Zenit | 25% |
9/17 |  Chelsea | 59% | 22% |
 Valencia | 19% |
9/17 |  RB Salzburg | 73% | 16% |
 Genk | 11% |
9/17 |  Ajax | 67% | 18% |
 Lille | 15% |
9/17 |  Napoli | 33% | 24% |
 Liverpool | 43% |
9/17 |  Dortmund | 40% | 23% |
 Barcelona | 37% |
9/17 |  Benfica | 41% | 25% |
 RB Leipzig | 34% |
9/18 |  Club Brugge | 52% | 24% |
 Galatasaray | 24% |
9/18 |  Olympiacos | 38% | 25% |
 Tottenham | 37% |
9/18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 46% | 24% |
 Atalanta | 30% |
9/18 |  Atlético Madrid | 40% | 26% |
 Juventus | 33% |
| Team rating | chance of finishing group | round-by-round probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | group | spi | off. | def. | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | make round of 16 | make qtrs | make semis | make final | win final | |
 Man. City0 pts | C | 94.6 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 89% | 9% | 2% | 98% | 77% | 54% | 37% | 22% | |
 Bayern Munich0 pts | B | 93.6 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 73% | 21% | 6% | 93% | 70% | 47% | 30% | 18% | |
Liverpool0 pts | E | 92.7 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 63% | 25% | 10% | 88% | 65% | 42% | 25% | 14% | |
Barcelona0 pts | F | 90.2 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 56% | 28% | 14% | 83% | 54% | 31% | 17% | 8% | |
 PSG0 pts | A | 88.6 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 56% | 30% | 10% | 87% | 52% | 28% | 14% | 7% | |
Juventus0 pts | D | 88.8 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 52% | 28% | 16% | 80% | 49% | 26% | 13% | 7% | |
 Real Madrid0 pts | A | 84.9 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 34% | 40% | 18% | 75% | 36% | 17% | 7% | 3% | |
Chelsea0 pts | H | 84.0 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 37% | 31% | 21% | 69% | 35% | 15% | 6% | 3% | |
Dortmund0 pts | F | 84.4 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 27% | 36% | 29% | 63% | 31% | 14% | 6% | 2% | |
Tottenham0 pts | B | 84.2 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 19% | 46% | 26% | 65% | 34% | 15% | 6% | 2% | |
RB Leipzig0 pts | G | 83.4 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 45% | 27% | 17% | 72% | 35% | 15% | 6% | 2% | |
Ajax0 pts | H | 82.9 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 39% | 30% | 20% | 69% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 2% | |
RB Salzburg0 pts | E | 82.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 19% | 35% | 33% | 55% | 26% | 11% | 5% | 2% | |
Atlético Madrid0 pts | D | 82.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 25% | 33% | 30% | 58% | 27% | 12% | 4% | 2% | |
Napoli0 pts | E | 82.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 17% | 33% | 37% | 50% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | |
 Leverkusen0 pts | D | 80.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 21% | 31% | 33% | 52% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | |
Inter Milan0 pts | F | 80.6 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 16% | 31% | 40% | 47% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 1% | |
Benfica0 pts | G | 77.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 23% | 27% | 26% | 50% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% | |
Valencia0 pts | H | 76.7 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 17% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 15% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
Olympiacos0 pts | B | 76.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 7% | 26% | 45% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
Lyon0 pts | G | 73.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 16% | 23% | 28% | 39% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | |
Zenit0 pts | G | 73.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 16% | 23% | 28% | 39% | 12% | 4% | <1% | <1% | |
 Shakhtar0 pts | C | 71.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5% | 37% | 33% | 42% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | |
Atalanta0 pts | C | 67.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 3% | 29% | 33% | 32% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | |
Club Brugge0 pts | A | 68.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 5% | 16% | 38% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Lille0 pts | H | 68.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7% | 13% | 26% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Dinamo Zagreb0 pts | C | 66.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 2% | 25% | 33% | 28% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Galatasaray0 pts | A | 66.2 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4% | 13% | 34% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
Genk0 pts | E | 62.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1% | 6% | 20% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
 Lokomotiv0 pts | D | 64.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 2% | 7% | 21% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
 Red Star0 pts | B | 62.4 | 2.0 | 1.2 | <1% | 7% | 23% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
Slavia Prague0 pts | F | 60.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1% | 5% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
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