Updated Dec. 17, 2017 at 5:12 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Champions League

2017-18 season

Updated Dec. 17, 2017 at 5:09 PM

Upcoming matches
2/13
Juventus
56%
25%
Tottenham
19%
2/13
Basel
22%
23%
Man. City
56%
2/14
Real Madrid
52%
21%
PSG
26%
2/14
Porto
41%
26%
Liverpool
33%
2/20
Chelsea
28%
24%
Barcelona
47%
2/20
Bayern Munich
85%
12%
Beşiktaş
3%
2/21
Shakhtar
39%
27%
Roma
34%
2/21
Sevilla
39%
26%
Man. United
36%
See all
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more ...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
12/6
RB Leipzig1
59%25%
Beşiktaş2
16%
RBLBES
Adjusted goals1.11.9
Shot-based xG2.22.2
Non-shot xG3.21.6
12/6
Feyenoord2
16%23%
Napoli1
61%
FEYNAP
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG0.41.3
Non-shot xG0.81.0
12/6
Porto5
52%26%
Monaco2
22%
PORMON
Adjusted goals4.82.1
Shot-based xG1.61.6
Non-shot xG1.50.8
12/6
Shakhtar2
26%24%
Man. City1
50%
SHKMNC
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.21.6
Non-shot xG0.82.3
12/6
NK Maribor1
15%20%
Sevilla1
65%
MARSEV
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.81.7
Non-shot xG0.62.4
12/6
Real Madrid3
72%15%
Dortmund2
12%
MADDOR
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG3.02.2
Non-shot xG3.21.5
12/6
Tottenham3
83%14%
Apoel Nicosia0
3%
TOTNIC
Adjusted goals2.90.0
Shot-based xG3.10.6
Non-shot xG1.50.6
12/6
Liverpool7
67%19%
Spartak Moscow0
14%
LIVSPM
Adjusted goals6.80.0
Shot-based xG4.20.6
Non-shot xG2.31.1
12/5
Benfica0
54%25%
Basel2
21%
BENBAS
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG1.51.5
Non-shot xG2.40.6
12/5
Olympiacos0
19%26%
Juventus2
55%
OLYJUV
Adjusted goals0.01.6
Shot-based xG0.81.2
Non-shot xG0.51.3
12/5
Bayern Munich3
48%23%
PSG1
29%
BMUPSG
Adjusted goals3.21.1
Shot-based xG1.81.6
Non-shot xG1.82.2
12/5
Barcelona2
86%11%
Sporting0
3%
BARSCP
Adjusted goals1.60.0
Shot-based xG1.10.9
Non-shot xG1.80.3
See all
Team ratinground-by-round probabilities
teamspioff.def.make round of 16make qtrsmake semismake finalwin final
Barcelona
94.4
3.3
0.3
78%57%37%21%
Bayern Munich
92.1
3.1
0.4
92%59%34%18%
Man. City
91.2
3.2
0.5
88%54%30%15%
Real Madrid
93.3
3.5
0.4
55%37%23%12%
PSG
91.1
3.2
0.5
45%29%16%9%
Juventus
86.9
2.6
0.5
61%31%14%7%
Liverpool
85.7
2.8
0.6
61%28%11%5%
Man. United
80.9
2.4
0.7
64%22%7%3%
Roma
80.1
2.3
0.6
63%21%7%3%
Tottenham
82.2
2.4
0.6
39%16%6%2%
Chelsea
83.8
2.5
0.6
22%10%4%2%
Porto
79.9
2.4
0.7
39%14%5%2%
Shakhtar
73.4
2.2
0.9
37%9%2%<1%
Sevilla
73.6
2.1
0.8
36%9%2%<1%
Basel
71.4
2.1
0.9
12%3%<1%<1%
Beşiktaş
68.2
1.9
0.9
8%2%<1%<1%
CSKA Moscow
71.0
1.8
0.7
RB Leipzig
72.6
2.2
0.9
Atlético Madrid
83.6
2.1
0.3
Sporting
70.8
2.0
0.8
Spartak Moscow
70.6
2.1
1.0
Napoli
84.0
2.5
0.5
Celtic
56.5
2.0
1.5
Anderlecht
59.8
1.7
1.1
NK Maribor
41.2
1.4
1.7
Feyenoord
61.0
1.9
1.2
Dortmund
82.5
2.8
0.8
Monaco
75.4
2.3
0.8
Qarabağ
40.3
1.2
1.4
Apoel Nicosia
52.1
1.5
1.2
Olympiacos
60.4
1.6
1.0
Benfica
71.2
2.0
0.8
Forecast from
Season

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