Updated 12:31 AM EDT | Jun 26, 2017

2016-17 Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for nine leagues, updated after each match.

Champions League
Completed
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more ...Adjusted goals reduce the value of late game goals when a team is already winning and goals when their opponent is a man down. Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of their shots and the players who took them, and Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. These advanced metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to affect each team’s ratings and future predictions. Read the full methodology »
6/3
Juventus1
44%
Real Madrid4
56%
JUVMAD
Adjusted goals1.13.7
Shot-based xG0.42.1
Non-shot xG1.21.9
See all
SPI ratinground-by-round probabilities
teamoffdefmake round of 16make quartersmake semismake finalwin final
Real Madrid
3.4
0.9
Juventus
2.2
0.6
Atletico Madrid
1.9
0.6
Monaco
2.5
0.9
Barcelona
3.5
0.8
Dortmund
2.5
0.9
Leicester City
1.6
1.2
Bayern Munich
3.1
0.7
Arsenal
2.5
1.0
PSG
2.6
0.8
Napoli
2.6
0.8
Porto
1.8
0.9
Sevilla
1.9
1.0
Leverkusen
2.0
1.2
Man. City
2.7
0.7
Benfica
2.0
1.0
Copenhagen
1.3
1.0
Lyon
2.1
1.1
Tottenham
2.5
0.7
Besiktas
1.8
1.5
Rostov
1.4
1.4
Dynamo Kiev
1.9
0.8
Gladbach
1.7
1.1
Legia Warsaw
1.6
1.5
CSKA Moscow
1.5
1.2
Celtic
2.4
1.3
Ludogorets
1.6
1.0
Sporting
1.7
0.9
Basel
1.9
1.3
PSV
1.9
1.2
Club Brugge
1.0
1.5
Dinamo Zagreb
1.3
1.2
Forecast from

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