| Team rating | round-by-round probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | make round of 16 | make qtrs | make semis | make final | win final | ||
 Real Madrid | 85.5 | 2.7 | 0.6 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 Liverpool | 93.3 | 2.9 | 0.2 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | ||
 Man. City | 93.5 | 3.0 | 0.3 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | ||
 Villarreal | 80.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | ||
 Bayern Munich | 91.6 | 3.4 | 0.6 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | ||
 Chelsea | 88.4 | 2.4 | 0.3 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | ||
 Benfica | 75.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | ||
 Atlético Madrid | 80.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | ||
 Ajax | 84.6 | 3.0 | 0.9 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | ||
 Juventus | 68.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | ||
 Man. United | 74.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | ||
 Lille | 69.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | ||
 PSG | 85.8 | 2.8 | 0.7 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | ||
 RB Salzburg | 81.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | ||
 Inter Milan | 82.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | ||
 Sporting | 79.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | ||
 Dortmund | 81.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 RB Leipzig | 81.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 Barcelona | 84.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 Sheriff | 47.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 Atalanta | 76.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 Sevilla | 73.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 Wolfsburg | 69.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 Young Boys | 56.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 Porto | 81.6 | 2.3 | 0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 Zenit | 70.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 Club Brugge | 66.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 AC Milan | 80.0 | 2.1 | 0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 Shakhtar | 63.7 | 2.0 | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 Malmö | 40.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 Dynamo Kiev | 58.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
 Beşiktaş | 47.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
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