Updated Oct. 19, 2017 at 8:56 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Champions League

2017-18 season

Updated Oct. 18, 2017 at 4:44 PM

Upcoming matches
10/31
Man. United
69%
21%
Benfica
9%
10/31
Celtic
13%
18%
Bayern Munich
69%
10/31
Roma
46%
24%
Chelsea
29%
10/31
Atlético Madrid
92%
8%
Qarabağ
<1%
10/31
Olympiacos
10%
18%
Barcelona
71%
10/31
Sporting
27%
27%
Juventus
46%
10/31
PSG
90%
9%
Anderlecht
2%
10/31
Basel
40%
30%
CSKA Moscow
30%
See all
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more ...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
10/18
CSKA Moscow0
60%26%
Basel2
14%
CSKABAS
Adjusted goals0.01.6
Shot-based xG0.41.1
Non-shot xG1.70.8
10/18
Benfica0
28%28%
Man. United1
45%
BENMAN
Adjusted goals0.00.8
Shot-based xG1.10.5
Non-shot xG1.00.7
10/18
Bayern Munich3
89%9%
Celtic0
2%
BMUCEL
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG3.60.5
Non-shot xG4.10.8
10/18
Barcelona3
92%8%
Olympiacos1
<1%
BAROLY
Adjusted goals3.20.8
Shot-based xG4.30.2
Non-shot xG3.80.2
10/18
Juventus2
71%21%
Sporting1
9%
JUVSCP
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.90.5
Non-shot xG2.70.7
10/18
Chelsea3
52%24%
Roma3
24%
CHEROM
Adjusted goals3.23.2
Shot-based xG1.81.7
Non-shot xG1.21.3
10/18
Anderlecht0
14%20%
PSG4
66%
RSCAPSG
Adjusted goals0.03.7
Shot-based xG1.13.4
Non-shot xG1.01.9
10/18
Qarabağ0
5%21%
Atlético Madrid0
75%
QBGATL
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.31.9
Non-shot xG0.61.8
10/17
RB Leipzig3
48%26%
Porto2
26%
RBLPOR
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG2.31.0
Non-shot xG1.41.5
10/17
Feyenoord1
34%26%
Shakhtar2
40%
FEYSHK
Adjusted goals0.82.1
Shot-based xG1.81.1
Non-shot xG0.91.4
10/17
Monaco1
66%20%
Beşiktaş2
14%
MONBES
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG0.71.4
Non-shot xG1.21.0
10/17
Spartak Moscow5
29%27%
Sevilla1
44%
SPMSEV
Adjusted goals4.61.1
Shot-based xG1.31.5
Non-shot xG1.41.8
See all
Team ratingchance of finishing groupround-by-round probabilities
teamgroupspioff.def.1st2nd3rdmake round of 16make qtrsmake semismake finalwin final
Barcelona9 pts
D
94.3
3.5
0.4
93%7%<1%>99%81%57%36%20%
Real Madrid7 pts
H
93.3
3.4
0.4
61%37%2%98%73%48%29%15%
Bayern Munich6 pts
B
92.9
3.4
0.5
12%86%2%98%67%44%26%14%
PSG9 pts
B
91.2
3.1
0.5
88%12%<1%>99%73%45%25%13%
Man. City9 pts
F
90.5
3.1
0.5
90%9%1%99%68%41%21%11%
Man. United9 pts
A
86.1
2.5
0.5
97%3%<1%>99%57%26%11%5%
Juventus6 pts
D
86.3
2.6
0.5
7%80%13%87%47%23%10%5%
Tottenham7 pts
H
83.4
2.4
0.6
39%57%4%96%49%21%8%3%
Chelsea7 pts
C
82.1
2.5
0.7
59%32%9%91%44%17%6%3%
Napoli3 pts
F
86.2
2.8
0.6
4%41%52%46%24%12%5%3%
Liverpool5 pts
E
81.1
2.5
0.7
55%34%10%89%39%14%5%2%
Roma5 pts
C
80.7
2.5
0.7
32%46%22%78%34%13%4%2%
Atlético Madrid2 pts
C
82.2
2.1
0.4
9%23%68%31%16%7%3%1%
Sevilla4 pts
E
76.8
2.1
0.7
33%34%32%67%26%8%2%<1%
RB Leipzig4 pts
G
77.3
2.3
0.8
10%37%34%47%16%5%1%<1%
Dortmund1 pt
H
87.6
2.9
0.6
<1%6%92%6%3%2%<1%<1%
Shakhtar6 pts
F
72.9
2.2
0.9
6%50%44%55%16%4%1%<1%
Porto3 pts
G
76.4
2.2
0.7
8%35%39%43%14%4%1%<1%
Monaco1 pt
G
76.6
2.4
0.9
2%10%24%12%4%1%<1%<1%
Beşiktaş9 pts
G
64.4
1.9
1.0
79%18%3%97%20%3%<1%<1%
Sporting3 pts
D
69.3
1.9
0.8
<1%13%78%13%3%<1%<1%<1%
CSKA Moscow3 pts
A
68.7
1.6
0.6
<1%18%66%18%4%<1%<1%<1%
Spartak Moscow5 pts
E
63.7
1.9
1.0
11%32%55%43%7%1%<1%<1%
Basel6 pts
A
64.3
1.9
1.1
3%77%19%80%13%2%<1%<1%
Benfica0 pts
A
70.6
1.9
0.8
<1%1%15%1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Celtic3 pts
B
62.1
2.0
1.2
<1%2%91%2%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Olympiacos0 pts
D
61.6
1.7
1.0
<1%<1%9%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Feyenoord0 pts
F
59.7
1.9
1.2
<1%<1%2%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
NK Maribor1 pt
E
40.3
1.4
1.7
<1%<1%2%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Apoel Nicosia1 pt
H
53.4
1.5
1.2
<1%<1%2%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Qarabağ1 pt
C
39.7
1.1
1.4
<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Anderlecht0 pts
B
59.2
1.7
1.1
<1%<1%8%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
season

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