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3/9 | ![]() Juventus | 64% | 21% |
![]() Porto | 15% |
3/9 | ![]() Dortmund | 52% | 24% |
![]() Sevilla | 24% |
3/10 | ![]() Liverpool | 52% | 24% |
![]() RB Leipzig | 24% |
3/10 | ![]() PSG | 36% | 23% |
![]() Barcelona | 42% |
3/16 | ![]() Man. City | 83% | 13% |
![]() Gladbach | 4% |
3/16 | ![]() Real Madrid | 52% | 24% |
![]() Atalanta | 24% |
3/17 | ![]() Chelsea | 51% | 28% |
![]() Atlético Madrid | 21% |
3/17 | ![]() Bayern Munich | 75% | 15% |
![]() Lazio | 10% |
2/24 | ![]() Gladbach0 | 11% | 18% |
![]() Man. City2 | 71% |
MGB | MNC | |
Adjusted goals | 0.0 | 2.1 |
Shot-based xG | 0.4 | 1.6 |
Non-shot xG | 0.1 | 1.8 |
2/24 | ![]() Atalanta0 | 37% | 25% |
![]() Real Madrid1 | 38% |
ATA | MAD | |
Adjusted goals | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Shot-based xG | 0.2 | 1.4 |
Non-shot xG | 0.7 | 2.0 |
2/23 | ![]() Atlético Madrid0 | 39% | 29% |
![]() Chelsea1 | 32% |
ATL | CHE | |
Adjusted goals | 0.0 | 1.1 |
Shot-based xG | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Non-shot xG | 0.7 | 1.1 |
2/23 | ![]() Lazio1 | 20% | 19% |
![]() Bayern Munich4 | 61% |
LAZ | BMU | |
Adjusted goals | 1.1 | 4.2 |
Shot-based xG | 1.0 | 2.2 |
Non-shot xG | 1.1 | 1.8 |
2/17 | ![]() Sevilla2 | 42% | 25% |
![]() Dortmund3 | 33% |
SEV | DOR | |
Adjusted goals | 2.1 | 3.2 |
Shot-based xG | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Non-shot xG | 0.8 | 1.0 |
2/17 | ![]() Porto2 | 27% | 26% |
![]() Juventus1 | 47% |
POR | JUV | |
Adjusted goals | 2.1 | 1.1 |
Shot-based xG | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Non-shot xG | 0.5 | 2.1 |
2/16 | ![]() RB Leipzig0 | 39% | 25% |
![]() Liverpool2 | 36% |
RBL | LIV | |
Adjusted goals | 0.0 | 2.1 |
Shot-based xG | 1.2 | 1.8 |
Non-shot xG | 1.6 | 0.8 |
2/16 | ![]() Barcelona1 | 65% | 19% |
![]() PSG4 | 17% |
BAR | PSG | |
Adjusted goals | 1.1 | 4.2 |
Shot-based xG | 1.7 | 3.7 |
Non-shot xG | 1.6 | 1.8 |
Team rating | round-by-round probabilities | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
team | spi | off. | def. | make round of 16 | make qtrs | make semis | make final | win final | ||
![]() Man. City | 93.7 | 2.9 | 0.2 | ✓ | >99% | 77% | 58% | 40% | ||
![]() Bayern Munich | 89.0 | 3.1 | 0.6 | ✓ | >99% | 54% | 28% | 13% | ||
![]() Liverpool | 88.2 | 2.6 | 0.4 | ✓ | 93% | 47% | 22% | 10% | ||
![]() Chelsea | 88.6 | 2.3 | 0.2 | ✓ | 84% | 43% | 20% | 9% | ||
![]() Real Madrid | 87.8 | 2.4 | 0.3 | ✓ | 81% | 40% | 18% | 8% | ||
![]() PSG | 85.2 | 2.6 | 0.6 | ✓ | 95% | 42% | 17% | 7% | ||
![]() Dortmund | 84.1 | 2.6 | 0.6 | ✓ | 90% | 37% | 14% | 5% | ||
![]() Juventus | 83.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 | ✓ | 57% | 23% | 9% | 3% | ||
![]() Atalanta | 83.3 | 2.5 | 0.6 | ✓ | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | ||
![]() Atlético Madrid | 84.5 | 2.2 | 0.4 | ✓ | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
![]() Barcelona | 91.2 | 3.1 | 0.5 | ✓ | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
![]() RB Leipzig | 84.5 | 2.4 | 0.5 | ✓ | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
![]() Porto | 74.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | ✓ | 43% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
![]() Sevilla | 81.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | ✓ | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
![]() Gladbach | 75.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | ✓ | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
![]() Lazio | 73.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | ✓ | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
![]() Man. United | 86.9 | 2.4 | 0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Club Brugge | 71.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Shakhtar | 72.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Ajax | 79.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Inter Milan | 85.7 | 2.6 | 0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Krasnodar | 64.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() RB Salzburg | 77.6 | 2.8 | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Dynamo Kiev | 63.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Lokomotiv | 55.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Olympiacos | 71.0 | 1.9 | 0.8 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Marseille | 61.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Başakşehir | 39.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Midtjylland | 58.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Rennes | 63.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Zenit | 73.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
![]() Ferencváros | 54.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | — |
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