Updated Aug. 18, 2017 at 4:06 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 24 leagues, updated after each match.

Champions League
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more ...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
6/3
Juventus1
44%
Real Madrid4
56%
JUVMAD
Adjusted goals1.13.7
Shot-based xG0.42.1
Non-shot xG1.21.9
See all
Team ratinground-by-round probabilities
teamoff.def.make round of 16make qtrsmake semismake finalwin final
Real Madrid
3.4
0.9
Juventus
2.2
0.6
Atlético Madrid
1.9
0.6
Monaco
2.5
0.9
Barcelona
3.5
0.8
Dortmund
2.5
0.9
Leicester City
1.6
1.2
Bayern Munich
3.1
0.7
Arsenal
2.5
1.0
PSG
2.6
0.8
Napoli
2.6
0.8
Porto
1.8
0.9
Sevilla
1.9
1.0
Leverkusen
2.0
1.2
Man. City
2.7
0.7
Benfica
2.0
1.0
Copenhagen
1.3
1.0
Lyon
2.1
1.1
Tottenham
2.5
0.7
Beşiktaş
1.8
1.5
Rostov
1.4
1.4
Dynamo Kiev
1.9
0.8
Gladbach
1.7
1.1
Legia Warsaw
1.6
1.5
CSKA Moscow
1.5
1.2
Celtic
2.4
1.3
Ludogorets
1.6
1.0
Sporting
1.7
0.9
Basel
1.9
1.3
PSV
1.9
1.2
Club Brugge
1.0
1.5
Dinamo Zagreb
1.3
1.2
Forecast from

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