Updated Jan. 21, 2018 at 1:06 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Champions League

2017-18 season

Updated Jan. 21, 2018 at 1:02 PM

Upcoming matches
2/13
Juventus
53%
26%
Tottenham
21%
2/13
Basel
23%
24%
Man. City
53%
2/14
Real Madrid
46%
22%
PSG
33%
2/14
Porto
39%
25%
Liverpool
37%
2/20
Chelsea
29%
25%
Barcelona
46%
2/20
Bayern Munich
86%
12%
Beşiktaş
3%
2/21
Shakhtar
41%
27%
Roma
32%
2/21
Sevilla
40%
25%
Man. United
35%
See all
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance.See more ...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games.Read the full methodology »
12/6
RB Leipzig1
59%25%
Beşiktaş2
16%
RBLBES
Adjusted goals1.11.9
Shot-based xG2.22.2
Non-shot xG3.21.6
12/6
Feyenoord2
16%23%
Napoli1
61%
FEYNAP
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG0.41.3
Non-shot xG0.81.0
12/6
Porto5
52%26%
Monaco2
22%
PORMON
Adjusted goals4.82.1
Shot-based xG1.61.6
Non-shot xG1.50.8
12/6
Shakhtar2
26%24%
Man. City1
50%
SHKMNC
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.21.6
Non-shot xG0.82.3
12/6
NK Maribor1
15%20%
Sevilla1
65%
MARSEV
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.81.7
Non-shot xG0.62.4
12/6
Real Madrid3
72%15%
Dortmund2
12%
MADDOR
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG3.02.2
Non-shot xG3.21.5
12/6
Tottenham3
83%14%
Apoel Nicosia0
3%
TOTNIC
Adjusted goals2.90.0
Shot-based xG3.10.6
Non-shot xG1.50.6
12/6
Liverpool7
67%19%
Spartak Moscow0
14%
LIVSPM
Adjusted goals6.80.0
Shot-based xG4.20.6
Non-shot xG2.31.1
12/5
Benfica0
54%25%
Basel2
21%
BENBAS
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG1.51.5
Non-shot xG2.40.6
12/5
Olympiacos0
19%26%
Juventus2
55%
OLYJUV
Adjusted goals0.01.6
Shot-based xG0.81.2
Non-shot xG0.51.3
12/5
Bayern Munich3
48%23%
PSG1
29%
BMUPSG
Adjusted goals3.21.1
Shot-based xG1.81.6
Non-shot xG1.82.2
12/5
Barcelona2
86%11%
Sporting0
3%
BARSCP
Adjusted goals1.60.0
Shot-based xG1.10.9
Non-shot xG1.80.3
See all
Team ratinground-by-round probabilities
teamspioff.def.make round of 16make qtrsmake semismake finalwin final
Barcelona
94.8
3.4
0.3
77%58%39%22%
Bayern Munich
91.8
3.1
0.4
93%59%34%18%
Man. City
90.1
3.1
0.5
87%51%27%13%
PSG
91.8
3.3
0.5
54%36%21%11%
Real Madrid
91.7
3.4
0.5
46%29%17%9%
Juventus
86.7
2.5
0.4
56%29%14%6%
Liverpool
86.8
3.0
0.7
64%31%13%6%
Tottenham
84.6
2.6
0.6
44%20%9%4%
Chelsea
85.0
2.6
0.5
23%12%6%3%
Man. United
79.7
2.3
0.7
62%21%7%2%
Roma
78.3
2.2
0.7
60%19%6%2%
Porto
78.8
2.3
0.7
36%13%4%2%
Shakhtar
73.4
2.2
0.9
40%9%2%<1%
Sevilla
73.4
2.1
0.8
38%9%2%<1%
Basel
71.4
2.1
0.9
13%3%<1%<1%
Beşiktaş
66.2
1.8
0.9
7%1%<1%<1%
CSKA Moscow
71.0
1.8
0.7
RB Leipzig
73.4
2.2
0.9
Atlético Madrid
83.0
2.0
0.3
Sporting
70.9
2.0
0.8
Spartak Moscow
70.6
2.1
1.0
Napoli
84.5
2.4
0.5
Celtic
57.4
1.8
1.3
Anderlecht
59.8
1.7
1.1
NK Maribor
41.2
1.4
1.7
Feyenoord
60.8
1.9
1.2
Dortmund
82.4
2.7
0.8
Monaco
74.1
2.2
0.8
Qarabağ
40.3
1.2
1.4
Apoel Nicosia
52.1
1.5
1.2
Olympiacos
60.4
1.6
1.0
Benfica
73.9
2.0
0.7
Forecast from
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