Updated July 19, 2018 at 9:58 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Champions League

2017-18 season

Updated May 26, 2018, at 4:41 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
5/26
Real Madrid3
53%
Liverpool1
47%
MADLIV
Adjusted goals2.81.1
Shot-based xG2.11.8
Non-shot xG1.11.2
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Team ratinground-by-round probabilities
teamspioff.def.make round of 16make qtrsmake semismake finalwin final
Real Madrid
90.9
3.5
0.7
Liverpool
87.8
2.9
0.6
Bayern Munich
91.5
3.3
0.5
Roma
80.8
2.3
0.6
Man. City
90.0
2.9
0.5
Barcelona
89.4
3.2
0.6
Juventus
84.6
2.4
0.5
Sevilla
75.5
2.2
0.8
Tottenham
82.5
2.5
0.7
Man. United
77.6
2.1
0.6
PSG
85.7
2.8
0.6
Beşiktaş
71.6
2.1
0.9
Basel
66.1
2.1
1.2
Shakhtar
73.6
2.2
0.8
Chelsea
78.5
2.3
0.7
Porto
77.8
2.2
0.7
CSKA Moscow
75.4
2.0
0.7
RB Leipzig
72.2
2.3
1.0
Atlético Madrid
82.5
2.1
0.4
Sporting
66.8
1.8
0.9
Spartak Moscow
67.8
1.9
0.9
Napoli
80.8
2.3
0.6
Celtic
53.9
1.5
1.2
Anderlecht
59.8
1.7
1.1
NK Maribor
41.2
1.4
1.7
Feyenoord
62.8
2.2
1.4
Dortmund
78.0
2.4
0.8
Monaco
71.2
2.1
0.9
Qarabağ
40.3
1.2
1.4
Apoel Nicosia
52.1
1.5
1.2
Olympiacos
60.4
1.6
1.0
Benfica
74.6
2.0
0.7
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