| Team rating | round-by-round probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | make knockout phase | make round of 16 | make qtrs | make semis | make final | win final | |
 Man. United | 79.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 75% | 42% | 24% | |
 Leverkusen | 75.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 72% | 37% | 18% | |
 Feyenoord | 75.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 55% | 32% | 15% | |
 Juventus | 75.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 50% | 25% | 13% | |
 Sporting | 75.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 50% | 24% | 13% | |
 Roma | 72.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 45% | 23% | 10% | |
 Sevilla | 64.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 25% | 9% | 4% | |
 Union SG | 60.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 28% | 8% | 3% | |
 Real Betis | 68.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Real Sociedad | 73.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Arsenal | 85.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 SC Freiburg | 67.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Fenerbahçe | 67.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Union Berlin | 66.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Ferencváros | 54.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Shakhtar | 57.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 PSV | 72.4 | 2.3 | 1.0 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Rennes | 68.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Monaco | 71.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Nantes | 55.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Midtjylland | 49.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Ajax | 77.4 | 2.7 | 1.1 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 RB Salzburg | 74.2 | 2.1 | 0.8 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Barcelona | 86.3 | 2.4 | 0.4 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Braga | 62.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Trabzonspor | 56.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Qarabağ | 49.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Sturm Graz | 56.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Lazio | 67.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Ludogorets | 41.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Sheriff | 51.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Red Star | 58.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 AEK Larnaca | 44.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Bodø/Glimt | 59.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Zürich | 41.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Olympiacos | 62.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 HJK Helsinki | 28.5 | 0.9 | 1.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Dynamo Kiev | 53.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Omonia Nicosia | 38.7 | 1.3 | 1.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Malmö | 37.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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