Updated Sept. 17, 2020, at 11:30 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 39 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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UEFA Europa League

2019-20

Updated Sept. 3, 2020, at 4:39 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
Final
8/21
Sevilla3
47%
Inter Milan2
53%
SEVINT
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG1.02.4
Non-shot xG1.51.3
See more
Team ratinground-by-round probabilities
teamspioff.def.make round of 32make round of 16make qtrsmake semismake finalwin final
Sevilla
82.4
2.1
0.4
✓✓✓✓✓✓
Inter Milan
83.1
2.5
0.6
✓✓✓✓✓—
Man. United
88.2
2.5
0.3
✓✓✓✓——
Shakhtar
71.5
2.2
1.0
✓✓✓✓——
Basel
62.4
1.9
1.1
✓✓✓———
Wolves
80.9
1.9
0.4
✓✓✓———
Copenhagen
57.4
1.6
1.1
✓✓✓———
Leverkusen
79.8
2.3
0.7
✓✓✓———
LASK Linz
57.4
1.7
1.2
✓✓————
Getafe
76.6
1.7
0.4
✓✓————
Wolfsburg
73.7
2.0
0.7
✓✓————
Başakşehir
58.9
1.7
1.1
✓✓————
Rangers
57.8
1.5
1.0
✓✓————
Eintracht
71.4
2.1
0.9
✓✓————
Roma
75.9
2.2
0.8
✓✓————
Olympiacos
75.2
2.0
0.7
✓✓————
Braga
60.5
1.8
1.1
✓—————
Celtic
68.1
2.1
1.1
✓—————
Gent
55.9
1.6
1.2
✓—————
Sporting
59.8
1.6
1.0
✓—————
CFR Cluj
50.8
1.5
1.3
✓—————
Espanyol
67.4
1.6
0.7
✓—————
Malmö
54.9
1.6
1.2
✓—————
Arsenal
76.4
2.1
0.7
✓—————
Porto
74.9
2.1
0.7
✓—————
Apoel Nicosia
56.1
1.6
1.1
✓—————
AZ Alkmaar
63.2
1.9
1.1
✓—————
Ludogorets
58.7
1.6
1.1
✓—————
Club Brugge
66.9
1.8
0.9
✓—————
Ajax
77.3
2.5
0.9
✓—————
RB Salzburg
79.8
2.8
1.0
✓—————
Benfica
75.0
2.2
0.8
✓—————
Krasnodar
63.4
1.6
0.8
——————
Standard Liège
53.2
1.5
1.1
——————
Young Boys
69.4
2.2
1.1
——————
Gladbach
78.9
2.3
0.7
——————
Partizan
52.7
1.5
1.2
——————
PSV
63.3
1.9
1.1
——————
Dynamo Kiev
67.0
2.0
1.0
——————
Ferencváros
54.1
1.6
1.2
——————
Lazio
71.4
2.1
0.9
——————
CSKA Moscow
65.8
1.7
0.9
——————
Wolfsberg
51.6
1.6
1.3
——————
Qarabağ
52.3
1.4
1.2
——————
Guimarães
55.3
1.5
1.1
——————
Feyenoord
57.2
1.8
1.3
——————
Rennes
66.8
1.7
0.8
——————
St Étienne
57.2
1.5
1.0
——————
Slovan
44.6
1.3
1.3
——————
Dudelange
35.1
1.4
1.9
——————
Astana
50.7
1.5
1.3
——————
Lugano
43.8
1.3
1.4
——————
Oleksandriya
45.7
1.3
1.3
——————
Beşiktaş
57.8
1.8
1.2
——————
Trabzonspor
62.5
2.0
1.2
——————
Rosenborg
48.1
1.5
1.5
——————
Forecast from
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