Updated July 19, 2018 at 9:58 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Europa League

2017-18 season

Updated July 14, 2018, at 1:55 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
5/16
Marseille0
37%
Atlético Madrid3
63%
MRSATL
Adjusted goals0.02.7
Shot-based xG0.81.3
Non-shot xG0.61.0
See more
Team ratinground-by-round probabilities
teamspioff.def.make round of 32make round of 16make qtrsmake semismake finalwin final
Atlético Madrid
82.5
2.1
0.4
✓✓✓✓✓✓
Marseille
74.2
2.2
0.9
✓✓✓✓✓—
Arsenal
80.5
2.8
0.9
✓✓✓✓——
RB Salzburg
70.1
2.1
1.0
✓✓✓✓——
Lazio
78.0
2.5
0.9
✓✓✓———
RB Leipzig
72.2
2.3
1.0
✓✓✓———
CSKA Moscow
75.4
2.0
0.7
✓✓✓———
Sporting
66.8
1.8
0.9
✓✓✓———
Zenit
68.4
1.7
0.7
✓✓————
Dynamo Kiev
67.3
1.9
0.9
✓✓————
Viktoria Plzen
59.8
1.8
1.1
✓✓————
Lyon
76.7
2.3
0.8
✓✓————
AC Milan
71.9
1.9
0.8
✓✓————
Athletic Bilbao
69.3
1.9
0.8
✓✓————
Lokomotiv
64.7
1.5
0.7
✓✓————
Dortmund
78.0
2.4
0.8
✓✓————
Atalanta
76.9
2.1
0.7
✓—————
Real Sociedad
76.5
2.2
0.8
✓—————
Östersund
48.6
1.5
1.3
✓—————
Villarreal
72.4
2.1
0.8
✓—————
Astana
51.3
1.6
1.3
✓—————
Steaua Bucuresti
50.4
1.3
1.1
✓—————
Braga
66.3
1.9
0.9
✓—————
Nice
63.9
1.7
0.9
✓—————
Red Star
57.9
1.9
1.3
✓—————
Ludogorets
50.3
1.4
1.2
✓—————
Copenhagen
55.3
1.5
1.1
✓—————
Partizan
52.1
1.7
1.4
✓—————
AEK Athens
53.3
1.3
0.9
✓—————
Spartak Moscow
67.8
1.9
0.9
✓—————
Napoli
80.8
2.3
0.6
✓—————
Celtic
53.9
1.5
1.2
✓—————
Lugano
36.4
1.1
1.5
——————
Sheriff
38.9
1.1
1.4
——————
Slavia Prague
57.7
1.6
1.0
——————
Başakşehir
63.0
1.7
1.0
——————
Rijeka
51.7
1.4
1.1
——————
Zulte Waregem
44.1
1.5
1.6
——————
Young Boys
63.9
2.1
1.3
——————
Zorya Luhansk
44.4
1.2
1.2
——————
Konyaspor
48.0
1.2
1.1
——————
1. FC Köln
57.8
1.9
1.4
——————
Rosenborg
54.0
1.4
1.1
——————
Hertha BSC
64.3
1.8
0.9
——————
BATE Borisov
42.3
1.3
1.4
——————
Guimarães
44.6
1.3
1.3
——————
Vitesse
50.6
1.8
1.6
——————
Skënderbeu
33.8
1.1
1.6
——————
Austria Vienna
41.1
1.4
1.6
——————
Hoffenheim
76.1
2.4
0.9
——————
Hapoel Be'er
48.3
1.4
1.2
——————
Everton
60.0
1.7
1.0
——————
Maccabi Tel-Aviv
46.9
1.3
1.2
——————
Apollon Limassol
37.2
1.1
1.4
——————
Zlín
40.3
1.1
1.3
——————
Vardar
35.4
1.2
1.7
——————
Forecast from

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