Updated Jan. 19, 2020, at 8:52 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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UEFA Europa League

2019-20 season

Updated Jan. 19, 2020, at 8:12 a.m.

Upcoming matches
Round of 32, First leg
2/20
Club Brugge
33%
27%
Man. United
40%
2/20
Copenhagen
37%
28%
Celtic
36%
2/20
Getafe
42%
25%
Ajax
33%
2/20
Eintracht
28%
20%
RB Salzburg
52%
2/20
Shakhtar
30%
26%
Benfica
44%
2/20
Sporting
49%
27%
Başakşehir
24%
2/20
CFR Cluj
10%
21%
Sevilla
68%
2/20
Ludogorets
19%
25%
Inter Milan
56%
2/20
Apoel Nicosia
36%
28%
Basel
36%
2/20
Wolves
64%
23%
Espanyol
13%
2/20
Rangers
52%
25%
Braga
23%
2/20
AZ Alkmaar
44%
25%
LASK Linz
30%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
Group stage, Matchday 6
12/12
Ludogorets1
55%27%
Ferencváros1
17%
LUDFERE
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.71.6
Non-shot xG0.41.3
12/12
Partizan4
47%27%
Astana1
26%
FKPASTA
Adjusted goals4.01.1
Shot-based xG1.60.8
Non-shot xG1.11.2
12/12
Porto3
72%19%
Feyenoord2
9%
PORFEY
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG2.61.4
Non-shot xG1.51.5
12/12
Slovan2
27%30%
Braga4
43%
SLOVBRAG
Adjusted goals2.13.7
Shot-based xG0.82.5
Non-shot xG1.21.7
12/12
Gladbach1
65%22%
Başakşehir2
14%
MGBIBB
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG2.41.6
Non-shot xG2.70.7
12/12
Wolfsburg1
61%25%
St Étienne0
14%
WLFSTE
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.60.5
Non-shot xG1.10.6
12/12
Espanyol0
47%28%
CSKA Moscow1
25%
ESPCSKA
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.31.1
Non-shot xG1.11.1
12/12
Roma2
72%18%
Wolfsberg2
10%
ROMWOL
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG2.30.8
Non-shot xG2.00.9
12/12
Rangers1
54%22%
Young Boys1
25%
RANGBSCY
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.50.6
Non-shot xG1.51.2
12/12
Wolves4
61%23%
Beşiktaş0
16%
WOLBES
Adjusted goals4.20.0
Shot-based xG2.40.2
Non-shot xG1.60.1
12/12
Man. United4
56%23%
AZ Alkmaar0
20%
MANALK
Adjusted goals4.20.0
Shot-based xG1.61.1
Non-shot xG1.11.1
12/12
Gent2
58%24%
Oleksandriya1
18%
GENTFCO
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.31.0
Non-shot xG2.11.9
See more
Team ratinground-by-round probabilities
teamspioff.def.make round of 32make round of 16make qtrsmake semismake finalwin final
Sevilla
80.9
2.1
0.5
93%58%34%19%11%
Inter Milan
80.1
2.3
0.7
82%50%29%16%9%
Man. United
82.1
2.2
0.5
66%42%26%15%9%
Ajax
81.4
2.9
1.0
55%36%22%13%8%
RB Salzburg
79.3
2.9
1.1
73%44%25%14%7%
Wolves
78.6
2.0
0.5
72%42%23%12%6%
Benfica
78.2
2.2
0.7
68%40%23%12%6%
Leverkusen
79.3
2.2
0.6
56%34%19%11%6%
Roma
77.1
2.2
0.7
79%44%23%11%6%
Getafe
79.8
1.8
0.4
45%28%17%9%5%
Olympiacos
75.3
2.1
0.8
53%30%16%8%4%
Porto
75.8
2.0
0.6
44%25%14%7%4%
Arsenal
76.1
2.1
0.7
47%26%13%7%3%
Wolfsburg
73.0
1.9
0.7
72%35%16%7%3%
Club Brugge
73.5
2.1
0.8
34%18%9%5%2%
Rangers
69.1
2.0
1.0
58%26%11%4%2%
Basel
68.0
2.1
1.1
61%25%10%4%2%
Celtic
65.3
1.9
1.0
61%23%9%3%1%
Shakhtar
69.9
2.1
1.0
32%15%7%3%1%
Eintracht
71.1
2.1
0.9
27%13%6%2%1%
LASK Linz
65.4
1.9
1.0
52%19%7%3%<1%
Sporting
64.1
1.7
0.9
55%20%7%2%<1%
Espanyol
67.3
1.8
0.8
28%12%5%2%<1%
Braga
65.0
1.8
1.0
42%16%6%2%<1%
AZ Alkmaar
64.9
2.0
1.1
48%18%6%2%<1%
Başakşehir
61.2
1.7
1.0
45%15%4%1%<1%
Malmö
61.6
1.6
0.9
28%10%3%1%<1%
Copenhagen
59.1
1.7
1.1
39%12%3%<1%<1%
Apoel Nicosia
58.1
1.6
1.1
39%11%3%<1%<1%
Gent
58.9
1.7
1.1
21%6%2%<1%<1%
Ludogorets
60.5
1.7
1.0
18%6%2%<1%<1%
CFR Cluj
49.6
1.5
1.3
7%1%<1%<1%<1%
Krasnodar
67.3
1.8
0.8
Standard Liège
52.7
1.6
1.3
Young Boys
64.1
2.1
1.3
Gladbach
74.0
2.1
0.8
Partizan
52.7
1.5
1.2
PSV
62.7
2.0
1.2
Dynamo Kiev
67.0
2.0
1.0
Ferencváros
54.1
1.6
1.2
Lazio
77.0
2.2
0.8
CSKA Moscow
64.3
1.6
0.8
Wolfsberg
53.8
1.6
1.3
Qarabağ
52.3
1.4
1.2
Guimarães
59.5
1.5
0.9
Feyenoord
58.1
1.9
1.3
Rennes
63.3
1.5
0.8
St Étienne
57.0
1.4
1.0
Slovan
44.6
1.3
1.3
Dudelange
35.1
1.4
1.9
Astana
50.7
1.5
1.3
Lugano
42.7
1.1
1.2
Oleksandriya
45.7
1.3
1.3
Beşiktaş
55.8
1.8
1.3
Trabzonspor
57.6
1.8
1.2
Rosenborg
43.7
1.5
1.6
Forecast from
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