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| Team rating | round-by-round probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | make round of 32 | make round of 16 | make qtrs | make semis | make final | win final | |
 Villarreal | 79.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |
 Man. United | 85.5 | 2.4 | 0.5 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | |
 Arsenal | 83.7 | 2.2 | 0.4 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | |
 Roma | 72.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | |
 Dinamo Zagreb | 66.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
 Slavia Prague | 65.9 | 1.9 | 1.0 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
 Granada | 62.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
 Ajax | 80.6 | 2.7 | 0.9 | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
 Rangers | 71.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 AC Milan | 79.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Tottenham | 78.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Molde | 54.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Young Boys | 71.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Olympiacos | 70.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Dynamo Kiev | 61.7 | 1.8 | 1.1 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Shakhtar | 70.9 | 2.2 | 1.0 | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Hoffenheim | 71.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Leverkusen | 76.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Braga | 60.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Leicester | 78.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Antwerp | 49.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Benfica | 75.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 PSV | 67.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Lille | 76.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Red Star | 56.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Napoli | 79.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Maccabi Tel-Aviv | 55.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Wolfsberg | 44.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Real Sociedad | 80.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Club Brugge | 65.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 RB Salzburg | 79.7 | 2.8 | 1.0 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Krasnodar | 56.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | ✓ | — | — | — | — | — | |
 LASK Linz | 54.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 AZ Alkmaar | 66.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Slovan Liberec | 39.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Rapid Vienna | 58.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Hapoel Be'er | 53.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Sivasspor | 51.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 PAOK | 60.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Sparta Prague | 56.9 | 1.7 | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Zorya Luhansk | 44.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 CSKA Sofia | 52.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 CFR Cluj | 50.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Feyenoord | 59.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Standard Liège | 43.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Rijeka | 39.6 | 1.3 | 1.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Celtic | 61.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Omonia Nicosia | 45.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 CSKA Moscow | 60.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Lech Poznań | 49.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Nice | 58.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 AEK Athens | 57.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Qarabağ | 47.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Ludogorets | 50.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Gent | 58.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Dundalk | 41.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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