Updated Nov. 18, 2019, at 7:54 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

league-logo

UEFA Europa League

2019-20 season

Updated Nov. 10, 2019, at 5:57 p.m.

Upcoming matches
Group stage, Matchday 5
11/28
Astana
15%
23%
Man. United
62%
11/28
Trabzonspor
22%
27%
Getafe
51%
11/28
Krasnodar
48%
25%
Basel
27%
11/28
AZ Alkmaar
63%
22%
Partizan
15%
11/28
Young Boys
32%
25%
Porto
43%
11/28
Beşiktaş
51%
26%
Slovan
23%
11/28
Başakşehir
28%
28%
Roma
44%
11/28
Braga
31%
29%
Wolves
40%
11/28
CSKA Moscow
44%
28%
Ludogorets
27%
11/28
St Étienne
48%
26%
Gent
26%
11/28
Feyenoord
27%
23%
Rangers
50%
11/28
Ferencváros
30%
27%
Espanyol
43%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
Group stage, Matchday 4
11/7
Wolfsberg0
46%27%
Başakşehir3
27%
WOLIBB
Adjusted goals0.01.9
Shot-based xG0.63.1
Non-shot xG1.31.5
11/7
Oleksandriya2
27%29%
St Étienne2
43%
FCOSTE
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.51.3
Non-shot xG1.60.4
11/7
Ferencváros0
34%29%
CSKA Moscow0
37%
FERECSKA
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.61.8
Non-shot xG1.01.3
11/7
Feyenoord1
30%22%
Young Boys1
49%
FEYBSCY
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.32.8
Non-shot xG1.91.8
11/7
Braga3
50%25%
Beşiktaş1
25%
BRAGBES
Adjusted goals2.71.1
Shot-based xG1.90.5
Non-shot xG1.80.4
11/7
Gladbach2
48%24%
Roma1
27%
MGBROM
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.21.2
Non-shot xG1.21.6
11/7
Wolfsburg1
60%23%
Gent3
17%
WLFGENT
Adjusted goals1.13.0
Shot-based xG1.60.6
Non-shot xG1.80.7
11/7
Espanyol6
49%27%
Ludogorets0
24%
ESPLUD
Adjusted goals5.10.0
Shot-based xG4.10.0
Non-shot xG2.70.0
11/7
Rangers2
30%28%
Porto0
42%
RANGPOR
Adjusted goals2.00.0
Shot-based xG0.50.7
Non-shot xG0.81.1
11/7
Wolves1
74%20%
Slovan0
6%
WOLSLOV
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG2.20.4
Non-shot xG1.30.8
11/7
Man. United3
76%18%
Partizan0
6%
MANFKP
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG2.80.1
Non-shot xG1.80.6
11/7
Lugano0
23%30%
Malmö0
48%
FCLMAL
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.80.3
Non-shot xG1.20.9
See more
Team ratingchance of finishing groupround-by-round probabilities
teamgroupspioff.def.1st2ndmake round of 32make round of 16make qtrsmake semismake finalwin final
RB Salzburg
83.8
3.1
0.9
87%63%44%30%20%12%
Man. United10 pts
L
81.7
2.1
0.5
81%19%69%45%28%17%9%
Sevilla12 pts
A
79.8
2.2
0.6
64%39%22%12%7%
Leverkusen
80.0
2.3
0.7
58%39%25%15%8%5%
Arsenal10 pts
F
77.2
2.3
0.8
86%12%98%60%34%19%9%4%
Inter Milan
79.3
2.4
0.7
57%36%22%13%7%4%
Chelsea
87.2
2.6
0.5
25%19%14%9%6%4%
Getafe6 pts
C
75.6
1.8
0.5
7%67%74%45%25%13%7%3%
Porto4 pts
G
77.0
2.0
0.6
12%36%48%30%18%11%6%3%
Wolves9 pts
K
73.7
1.8
0.6
48%52%>99%56%29%14%7%3%
Gladbach5 pts
J
74.6
2.2
0.8
43%31%74%42%23%12%6%3%
Eintracht6 pts
F
74.7
2.1
0.8
10%57%67%39%21%11%5%2%
Zenit
77.4
2.1
0.6
38%24%14%8%4%2%
Roma5 pts
J
74.1
2.1
0.8
27%36%63%36%20%10%5%2%
Liverpool
93.0
3.0
0.3
6%5%4%4%3%2%
Celtic10 pts
E
68.5
1.9
0.9
86%14%49%23%10%4%2%
Espanyol10 pts
H
71.0
1.9
0.8
95%5%51%24%11%4%2%
Wolfsburg5 pts
I
71.2
1.8
0.7
13%68%81%42%21%10%4%2%
AZ Alkmaar8 pts
L
69.3
2.1
1.0
19%72%91%45%21%9%4%2%
Olympiacos
72.4
2.0
0.8
52%30%16%8%4%2%
Club Brugge
71.7
2.1
0.9
63%34%18%9%4%2%
Basel10 pts
C
69.0
2.2
1.1
89%11%49%22%10%4%2%
Ajax
83.5
3.0
0.9
16%11%7%4%3%2%
Barcelona
88.8
2.8
0.5
9%7%5%4%2%2%
Benfica
75.9
2.2
0.8
26%16%9%5%3%1%
Dortmund
82.2
2.4
0.6
17%11%7%4%2%1%
Rangers7 pts
G
67.1
2.0
1.0
57%28%85%41%18%8%3%1%
Valencia
72.7
2.1
0.9
59%30%15%7%3%1%
LASK Linz7 pts
D
66.8
1.8
0.9
38%38%77%37%16%7%3%1%
Young Boys7 pts
G
67.6
2.3
1.3
30%31%61%29%13%6%2%<1%
Dynamo Kiev6 pts
B
65.4
1.8
1.0
38%43%81%36%15%6%2%<1%
Dinamo Zagreb
67.1
2.1
1.1
61%29%13%5%2%<1%
Real Madrid
89.0
2.8
0.5
5%4%3%2%1%<1%
Lyon
72.4
2.0
0.8
32%16%8%3%1%<1%
Shakhtar
70.2
2.2
1.0
33%16%8%3%1%<1%
Ludogorets6 pts
H
62.0
1.7
1.0
3%77%80%32%12%5%2%<1%
Sporting9 pts
D
63.5
1.7
0.9
43%30%73%30%12%4%1%<1%
Tottenham
82.4
2.4
0.6
9%6%4%2%1%<1%
Krasnodar6 pts
C
68.4
1.9
0.9
4%22%26%13%6%3%1%<1%
Lazio3 pts
E
72.7
2.1
0.9
15%15%8%4%2%1%<1%
Braga10 pts
K
60.8
1.6
1.0
52%45%97%36%13%4%1%<1%
Atlético Madrid
86.2
2.2
0.3
4%3%2%1%<1%<1%
PSV7 pts
D
65.0
2.1
1.2
19%32%51%22%9%4%1%<1%
Copenhagen6 pts
B
59.7
1.8
1.2
41%33%74%27%9%3%1%<1%
Lokomotiv
63.3
1.7
1.0
39%17%7%3%<1%<1%
Gent8 pts
I
58.5
1.8
1.2
81%19%>99%33%10%3%<1%<1%
Atalanta
73.2
2.2
0.9
6%4%2%1%<1%<1%
Galatasaray
63.1
1.8
1.0
32%14%6%2%<1%<1%
Malmö5 pts
B
60.7
1.5
0.9
21%22%43%17%6%2%<1%<1%
Napoli
79.8
2.3
0.7
4%3%2%<1%<1%<1%
RB Leipzig
84.1
2.5
0.6
3%2%1%<1%<1%<1%
Başakşehir7 pts
J
57.6
1.5
1.0
28%25%53%19%6%2%<1%<1%
Apoel Nicosia4 pts
A
57.1
1.6
1.1
59%59%20%7%2%<1%<1%
Red Star
58.9
2.0
1.4
39%15%5%2%<1%<1%
Slavia Prague
62.2
1.9
1.1
18%7%3%<1%<1%<1%
St Étienne3 pts
I
59.4
1.5
0.9
4%11%15%5%2%<1%<1%<1%
Qarabağ4 pts
A
52.8
1.5
1.2
34%34%10%3%<1%<1%<1%
Standard Liège6 pts
F
55.5
1.6
1.2
4%29%32%10%3%<1%<1%<1%
Man. City
95.2
3.3
0.2
<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
CFR Cluj9 pts
E
46.4
1.4
1.4
14%71%85%17%3%<1%<1%<1%
Wolfsberg4 pts
J
54.7
1.7
1.3
2%8%10%3%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Ferencváros5 pts
H
51.9
1.5
1.2
2%17%20%6%2%<1%<1%<1%
Genk
55.8
1.7
1.2
3%1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Lille
69.2
1.8
0.8
<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Guimarães1 pt
F
58.0
1.5
1.0
3%3%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Slovan4 pts
K
46.1
1.3
1.2
4%4%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
CSKA Moscow1 pt
H
64.1
1.7
0.9
<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Partizan4 pts
L
50.9
1.5
1.2
9%9%2%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Feyenoord4 pts
G
52.1
1.8
1.5
<1%5%6%2%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Oleksandriya3 pts
I
45.3
1.3
1.3
2%3%5%1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Dudelange3 pts
A
35.5
1.4
2.0
7%7%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Lugano2 pts
B
41.0
1.1
1.3
<1%1%2%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Rennes1 pt
E
59.8
1.6
1.0
Trabzonspor1 pt
C
56.7
1.7
1.2
<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Beşiktaş0 pts
K
56.6
1.7
1.3
Astana0 pts
L
50.2
1.5
1.3
Rosenborg0 pts
D
43.9
1.5
1.6
Forecast from
Season

Comments