Updated Feb. 18, 2019, at 8:59 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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UEFA Europa League

2018-19 season

Updated Feb. 18, 2019, at 5:10 p.m.

Upcoming matches
2/20
Sevilla
56%
24%
Lazio
20%
2/21
Dinamo Zagreb
43%
28%
Viktoria Plzen
30%
2/21
Arsenal
79%
15%
BATE Borisov
6%
2/21
RB Salzburg
61%
21%
Club Brugge
18%
2/21
Napoli
88%
10%
Zürich
2%
2/21
Valencia
69%
21%
Celtic
9%
2/21
Villarreal
51%
25%
Sporting
24%
2/21
Eintracht
43%
25%
Shakhtar
32%
2/21
Zenit
53%
27%
Fenerbahçe
20%
2/21
Genk
62%
26%
Slavia Prague
13%
2/21
Chelsea
77%
17%
Malmö
6%
2/21
Inter Milan
88%
11%
Rapid Vienna
2%
2/21
Real Betis
59%
25%
Rennes
16%
2/21
Leverkusen
56%
24%
Krasnodar
19%
2/21
Dynamo Kiev
36%
28%
Olympiacos
36%
2/21
Benfica
56%
23%
Galatasaray
21%
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
2/14
Viktoria Plzen2
46%27%
Dinamo Zagreb1
27%
VPLZDIN
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.90.8
Non-shot xG1.40.8
2/14
Sporting0
39%26%
Villarreal1
35%
SCPVLR
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.60.4
Non-shot xG1.60.5
2/14
Shakhtar2
49%24%
Eintracht2
27%
SHKFRA
Adjusted goals2.11.9
Shot-based xG1.31.9
Non-shot xG0.61.9
2/14
Zürich1
8%18%
Napoli3
75%
ZURNAP
Adjusted goals1.13.2
Shot-based xG1.92.3
Non-shot xG0.81.4
2/14
Malmö1
16%24%
Chelsea2
60%
MALCHE
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.22.4
Non-shot xG0.92.3
2/14
Celtic0
24%27%
Valencia2
49%
CELVAL
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.21.3
Non-shot xG0.61.0
2/14
Club Brugge2
28%24%
RB Salzburg1
48%
CBKVSAL
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG0.90.8
Non-shot xG1.20.6
2/14
BATE Borisov1
18%22%
Arsenal0
60%
BATEARS
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.61.7
Non-shot xG0.52.9
2/14
Krasnodar0
38%26%
Leverkusen0
36%
KRALEV
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.90.9
Non-shot xG0.91.6
2/14
Slavia Prague0
25%30%
Genk0
45%
SSPGENK
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.70.5
Non-shot xG1.50.6
2/14
Rennes3
34%30%
Real Betis3
35%
RENBET
Adjusted goals3.23.2
Shot-based xG1.52.3
Non-shot xG0.61.8
2/14
Olympiacos2
50%28%
Dynamo Kiev2
22%
OLYKIEV
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG0.70.9
Non-shot xG1.30.7
See more
Team ratinground-by-round probabilities
teamspioff.def.make round of 32make round of 16make qtrsmake semismake finalwin final
Napoli
83.7
2.3
0.5
>99%67%41%24%13%
Chelsea
83.7
2.4
0.5
96%63%39%22%12%
Valencia
83.4
2.1
0.4
98%63%38%21%11%
Inter Milan
81.6
2.1
0.5
>99%62%36%20%10%
Sevilla
82.7
2.4
0.6
83%53%32%18%9%
Benfica
77.9
2.3
0.8
85%48%26%13%7%
Arsenal
78.7
2.3
0.7
56%32%17%9%4%
Leverkusen
77.4
2.3
0.8
56%31%16%8%4%
RB Salzburg
78.0
2.6
0.9
46%27%15%8%4%
Real Betis
73.9
1.9
0.7
82%39%17%8%4%
Olympiacos
76.7
2.2
0.8
38%22%12%6%3%
Villarreal
72.6
2.0
0.8
78%36%15%6%3%
Dynamo Kiev
71.6
2.0
0.9
62%30%13%6%3%
Eintracht
73.0
2.1
0.8
62%30%13%5%3%
Shakhtar
72.7
2.2
0.9
38%19%9%4%2%
Krasnodar
70.8
1.8
0.7
44%21%9%4%2%
Club Brugge
68.8
2.0
1.0
54%23%10%4%2%
Genk
65.9
2.0
1.1
66%25%9%3%1%
Lazio
74.7
2.0
0.7
17%9%5%2%1%
Viktoria Plzen
63.5
2.0
1.2
65%22%7%2%<1%
Galatasaray
71.8
2.2
0.9
15%8%3%2%<1%
Sporting
67.5
1.8
0.9
22%9%4%1%<1%
Zenit
60.8
1.6
1.0
35%11%3%<1%<1%
Dinamo Zagreb
58.8
1.5
1.0
35%10%3%<1%<1%
Rennes
64.6
1.7
0.9
18%7%2%<1%<1%
Fenerbahçe
53.2
1.5
1.2
65%14%3%<1%<1%
BATE Borisov
51.4
1.5
1.3
44%9%2%<1%<1%
Celtic
67.2
1.9
0.9
2%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Malmö
60.7
1.7
1.0
4%1%<1%<1%<1%
Slavia Prague
48.5
1.1
1.0
34%6%1%<1%<1%
Zürich
48.0
1.4
1.3
<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Rapid Vienna
40.4
1.2
1.4
<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%
Standard Liège
61.0
1.7
1.0
AC Milan
75.2
1.9
0.6
Astana
56.8
1.7
1.2
Apollon Limassol
49.0
1.4
1.2
Spartak Trnava
35.9
0.9
1.3
Bordeaux
60.4
1.5
0.9
RB Leipzig
79.0
2.1
0.6
MOL Vidi
44.1
1.2
1.3
Beşiktaş
66.2
2.1
1.1
Rangers
56.5
1.7
1.2
Spartak Moscow
59.6
1.7
1.1
Sarpsborg
39.4
1.2
1.5
Copenhagen
72.9
2.3
1.0
AEK Larnaca
45.2
1.2
1.2
Jablonec
55.1
1.5
1.1
Ludogorets
64.2
1.7
0.9
Anderlecht
51.5
1.4
1.2
PAOK
76.4
2.2
0.8
Qarabağ
46.5
1.3
1.2
Vorskla
46.4
1.2
1.1
Rosenborg
48.9
1.4
1.2
Marseille
67.6
1.8
0.8
F91 Dudelange
37.3
1.4
1.8
Akhisarspor
37.6
1.1
1.5
Forecast from
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