Updated May 26, 2020, at 4:26 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

league-logo

La Liga

2019-20 season

Spain

Updated March 11, 2020, at 6:35 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
March 10-16
3/10
Eibar1
33%28%
Real Sociedad2
39%
EIBSOC
Adjusted goals1.12.0
Shot-based xG1.91.5
Non-shot xG0.60.3
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionrelegatedrel.qualify for UCLmake UCLwin La Ligawin league
Barcelona58 pts
90.3
2.9
0.4
+4782—>99%62%
Real Madrid56 pts
89.5
2.7
0.4
+4580—>99%38%
Sevilla47 pts
80.3
2.2
0.6
+1666<1%67%<1%
Atlético Madrid45 pts
83.8
2.1
0.4
+1664<1%50%<1%
Getafe46 pts
81.3
1.8
0.3
+1563<1%41%<1%
Real Sociedad46 pts
77.0
2.1
0.7
+1463<1%36%<1%
Valencia42 pts
69.5
2.0
0.9
-257<1%5%<1%
Villarreal38 pts
71.8
2.1
0.9
+452<1%1%<1%
Granada38 pts
70.4
1.7
0.6
-152<1%<1%<1%
Athletic Bilbao37 pts
71.8
1.7
0.6
+350<1%<1%<1%
Real Betis33 pts
73.3
2.0
0.8
-449<1%<1%<1%
Osasuna34 pts
70.4
1.9
0.8
-7471%<1%<1%
Levante33 pts
61.7
1.8
1.1
-13454%<1%<1%
Alavés32 pts
66.8
1.7
0.8
-14437%<1%<1%
Celta Vigo26 pts
69.7
1.8
0.7
-134025%<1%<1%
Eibar27 pts
68.6
1.7
0.7
-184027%<1%<1%
Valladolid29 pts
61.2
1.5
0.9
-174026%<1%<1%
Leganés23 pts
68.5
1.6
0.7
-223563%<1%—
Mallorca25 pts
60.5
1.7
1.1
-253570%<1%<1%
Espanyol20 pts
69.3
1.8
0.8
-263477%<1%—
Forecast from
Season

Comments