| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win La Ligawin league | |||||||
 Barcelona88 pts | 86.3 | 2.5 | 0.4 | +51 | 90 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
 Real Madrid77 pts | 85.1 | 2.6 | 0.6 | +40 | 79 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Atlético Madrid76 pts | 79.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | +37 | 77 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Real Sociedad68 pts | 76.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | +15 | 70 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Villarreal63 pts | 72.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 | +19 | 64 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Real Betis59 pts | 67.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | +5 | 61 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Osasuna50 pts | 64.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | -6 | 51 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Athletic Bilbao50 pts | 74.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | +3 | 51 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Girona49 pts | 68.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | +4 | 50 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Rayo Vallecano49 pts | 63.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | -5 | 50 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Sevilla49 pts | 70.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | -6 | 50 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Mallorca47 pts | 58.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | -9 | 48 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Valencia41 pts | 68.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | -3 | 42 | 1% | — | — | ||||||||
 Getafe41 pts | 64.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | -11 | 42 | 5% | — | — | ||||||||
 Cádiz41 pts | 58.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | -23 | 42 | 1% | — | — | ||||||||
 Almería40 pts | 56.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | -16 | 41 | 18% | — | — | ||||||||
 Celta Vigo40 pts | 68.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | -11 | 41 | 30% | — | — | ||||||||
 Valladolid39 pts | 53.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -30 | 41 | 45% | — | — | ||||||||
 Espanyol36 pts | 60.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | -17 | 38 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
 Elche24 pts | 57.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | -37 | 26 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
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