Updated Oct. 20, 2021, at 4:59 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 40 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this works Global club soccer rankings

La Liga

2021-22

Spain

Updated Oct. 20, 2021, at 4:57 p.m.

	Team rating				avg. simulated season		end-of-season probabilities

team	spi	off.	def.	goal diff.	proj. pts.pts.	Every position	relegatedrel.	qualify for UCLmake UCL	win La Ligawin league
Real Madrid17 pts	86.2	2.7	0.6	+42	77		<1%	83%	37%
Atlético Madrid17 pts	85.1	2.2	0.4	+27	73		<1%	72%	22%
Barcelona15 pts	84.9	2.5	0.6	+31	72		<1%	69%	19%
Sevilla17 pts	80.6	1.9	0.4	+20	66		<1%	47%	9%
Real Sociedad20 pts	78.7	2.0	0.5	+13	65		<1%	42%	7%
Villarreal11 pts	78.2	2.1	0.6	+15	60		<1%	25%	2%
Real Betis15 pts	75.1	2.0	0.7	+8	58		<1%	21%	2%
Athletic Bilbao13 pts	73.0	1.8	0.6	+4	55		2%	12%	<1%
Osasuna17 pts	68.4	1.8	0.8	-5	53		3%	8%	<1%
Valencia12 pts	70.4	1.8	0.8	+1	51		4%	7%	<1%
Rayo Vallecano16 pts	66.8	1.8	0.8	-1	51		4%	7%	<1%
Espanyol12 pts	65.0	1.7	0.8	-8	46		11%	2%	<1%
Celta Vigo7 pts	69.1	1.8	0.8	-8	45		14%	2%	<1%
Mallorca11 pts	62.4	1.6	0.9	-17	43		18%	1%	<1%
Elche9 pts	60.5	1.5	0.9	-17	40		28%	<1%	<1%
Getafe2 pts	68.4	1.5	0.6	-14	38		32%	<1%	<1%
Levante5 pts	63.0	1.6	0.9	-18	37		38%	<1%	<1%
Granada6 pts	58.4	1.6	1.0	-21	37		38%	<1%	<1%
Alavés3 pts	60.4	1.6	0.9	-25	35		49%	<1%	<1%
Cádiz7 pts	54.4	1.5	1.1	-27	33		56%	<1%	<1%

Forecast from

Season

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Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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