| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win La Ligawin league | |||||||
 Barcelona50 pts | 87.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | +54 | 90 | — | >99% | 79% | ||||||||
 Real Madrid45 pts | 85.1 | 2.5 | 0.5 | +42 | 81 | <1% | >99% | 20% | ||||||||
 Real Sociedad39 pts | 76.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | +16 | 69 | <1% | 80% | <1% | ||||||||
 Atlético Madrid35 pts | 76.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | +19 | 65 | <1% | 57% | <1% | ||||||||
 Villarreal31 pts | 70.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | +6 | 56 | <1% | 14% | <1% | ||||||||
 Real Betis31 pts | 69.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | +5 | 56 | <1% | 13% | <1% | ||||||||
 Athletic Bilbao29 pts | 74.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | +12 | 56 | <1% | 13% | <1% | ||||||||
 Rayo Vallecano29 pts | 68.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | +3 | 55 | <1% | 10% | <1% | ||||||||
 Osasuna29 pts | 68.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | -1 | 53 | <1% | 5% | <1% | ||||||||
 Mallorca28 pts | 64.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | -5 | 50 | 2% | 3% | <1% | ||||||||
 Celta Vigo23 pts | 70.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | -9 | 48 | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Sevilla21 pts | 68.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | -6 | 46 | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Valencia20 pts | 68.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | +1 | 45 | 11% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Girona21 pts | 65.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | -6 | 45 | 12% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Almería22 pts | 60.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | -14 | 43 | 17% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Espanyol21 pts | 61.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 | -12 | 42 | 22% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Getafe18 pts | 64.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | -14 | 39 | 36% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Valladolid20 pts | 54.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | -26 | 38 | 44% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Cádiz19 pts | 56.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | -27 | 38 | 45% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Elche9 pts | 53.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | -37 | 26 | 95% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
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