Updated June 16, 2018 at 10:01 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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La Liga

2017-18 season

Spain

Updated May 26, 2018, at 4:42 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games.Read the full methodology »
5/20
Barcelona1
73%15%
Real Sociedad0
12%
BARSOC
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.60.8
Non-shot xG3.01.7
5/20
Atlético Madrid2
61%28%
Eibar2
12%
ATLEIB
Adjusted goals2.11.9
Shot-based xG1.40.9
Non-shot xG1.21.1
5/20
Athletic Bilbao0
47%28%
Espanyol1
25%
BILESP
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.30.9
Non-shot xG1.41.4
5/20
Valencia2
64%22%
Deportivo1
14%
VALDEP
Adjusted goals1.91.1
Shot-based xG2.02.0
Non-shot xG3.21.0
5/19
Villarreal2
21%18%
Real Madrid2
60%
VLRMAD
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.11.3
Non-shot xG1.01.1
5/19
Sevilla1
56%24%
Alavés0
20%
SEVALA
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG2.41.2
Non-shot xG3.10.6
5/19
Málaga0
34%32%
Getafe1
34%
MGAGET
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.81.3
Non-shot xG1.02.3
5/19
Las Palmas1
34%27%
Girona2
39%
PALGIR
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG1.21.7
Non-shot xG0.91.4
5/19
Leganés3
41%30%
Real Betis2
30%
LEGBET
Adjusted goals3.21.9
Shot-based xG1.21.8
Non-shot xG0.71.8
5/19
Celta Vigo4
50%24%
Levante2
26%
VIGLEV
Adjusted goals4.22.1
Shot-based xG4.50.3
Non-shot xG2.50.9
5/13
Levante5
16%18%
Barcelona4
66%
LEVBAR
Adjusted goals5.34.2
Shot-based xG3.22.2
Non-shot xG0.83.7
5/13
Espanyol4
56%29%
Málaga1
14%
ESPMGA
Adjusted goals4.01.1
Shot-based xG4.01.7
Non-shot xG2.30.7
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.qualify for UCLqualify for UCLwin La Ligawin league
Barcelona93 pts
89.4
3.2
0.6
28.09.01.0+7093
Atlético Madrid79 pts
82.5
2.1
0.4
23.010.05.0+3679
Real Madrid76 pts
90.9
3.5
0.7
22.010.06.0+5076
Valencia73 pts
76.2
2.0
0.6
22.07.09.0+2773
Villarreal61 pts
72.4
2.1
0.8
18.07.013.0+761
Real Betis60 pts
71.8
2.0
0.8
18.06.014.0-160
Sevilla58 pts
75.5
2.2
0.8
17.07.014.0-958
Getafe55 pts
73.1
1.7
0.5
15.010.013.0+955
Eibar51 pts
73.8
1.8
0.6
14.09.015.0-651
Girona51 pts
67.3
1.9
0.9
14.09.015.0-951
Celta Vigo49 pts
69.5
2.1
1.0
13.010.015.0-149
Real Sociedad49 pts
76.5
2.2
0.8
14.07.017.0+749
Espanyol49 pts
72.0
1.8
0.6
12.013.013.0-649
Alavés47 pts
68.2
1.7
0.8
15.02.021.0-1047
Levante46 pts
64.7
1.9
1.0
11.013.014.0-1446
Athletic Bilbao43 pts
69.3
1.9
0.8
10.013.015.0-843
Leganés43 pts
65.9
1.6
0.8
12.07.019.0-1743
Deportivo29 pts
62.8
1.8
1.1
6.011.021.0-3829
Las Palmas22 pts
52.9
1.5
1.2
5.07.026.0-5022
Málaga20 pts
56.9
1.5
1.0
5.05.028.0-3720
Forecast from
Season

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