Updated June 16, 2018 at 10:01 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Ligue 1

2017-18 season

France

Updated May 19, 2018, at 4:54 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games.Read the full methodology »
5/19
Nantes1
52%27%
Strasbourg0
21%
NANSTRA
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.80.5
Non-shot xG0.71.3
5/19
Troyes0
24%25%
Monaco3
51%
TRYMON
Adjusted goals0.02.6
Shot-based xG0.82.8
Non-shot xG2.41.8
5/19
Dijon FCO2
43%27%
Angers1
31%
DIJANG
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG0.71.2
Non-shot xG0.81.0
5/19
Caen0
11%16%
PSG0
73%
CANPSG
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG0.51.3
Non-shot xG0.51.0
5/19
Metz0
28%26%
Bordeaux4
46%
MTZBOR
Adjusted goals0.04.0
Shot-based xG0.41.8
Non-shot xG0.91.0
5/19
Toulouse2
43%27%
Guingamp1
31%
TOUGUI
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.10.5
Non-shot xG1.70.6
5/19
St Étienne5
53%25%
Lille0
22%
STELLE
Adjusted goals5.30.0
Shot-based xG1.90.5
Non-shot xG1.71.4
5/19
Rennes1
48%31%
Montpellier1
21%
RENMNT
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.70.6
Non-shot xG0.70.8
5/19
Lyon3
61%23%
Nice2
17%
LYONNCE
Adjusted goals2.72.1
Shot-based xG2.10.9
Non-shot xG1.80.6
5/19
Marseille2
75%17%
Amiens1
7%
MRSAMI
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.80.6
Non-shot xG2.60.7
5/12
Angers0
49%30%
Nantes2
22%
ANGNAN
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.71.0
Non-shot xG1.11.5
5/12
Montpellier1
59%27%
Troyes1
14%
MNTTRY
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.71.0
Non-shot xG2.10.9
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamspioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.relegatedrel.qualify for UCLqualify for UCLwin Ligue 1win league
PSG93 pts
85.7
2.8
0.6
29.06.03.0+7993
Monaco80 pts
71.2
2.1
0.9
24.08.06.0+4080
Lyon78 pts
76.7
2.3
0.8
23.09.06.0+4478
Marseille77 pts
74.2
2.2
0.9
22.011.05.0+3377
Rennes58 pts
62.7
1.5
0.8
16.010.012.0+658
St Étienne55 pts
62.0
1.7
0.9
15.010.013.0-355
Bordeaux55 pts
65.5
1.7
0.9
16.07.015.0+555
Nice54 pts
63.9
1.7
0.9
15.09.014.0+154
Nantes52 pts
57.7
1.4
0.9
14.010.014.0-552
Montpellier51 pts
60.4
1.4
0.8
11.018.09.0+351
Dijon FCO48 pts
54.9
1.6
1.2
13.09.016.0-1848
Guingamp47 pts
56.2
1.6
1.2
12.011.015.0-1147
Amiens45 pts
49.6
1.2
1.0
12.09.017.0-545
Angers41 pts
57.2
1.4
0.9
9.014.015.0-1041
Strasbourg38 pts
51.8
1.5
1.2
9.011.018.0-2338
Lille38 pts
50.3
1.5
1.3
10.08.020.0-2638
Caen38 pts
47.9
1.2
1.1
10.08.020.0-2538
Toulouse37 pts
55.2
1.4
1.0
9.010.019.0-163727%
Troyes33 pts
46.6
1.2
1.2
9.06.023.0-2733
Metz26 pts
43.7
1.3
1.4
6.08.024.0-4226
Forecast from
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