| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win Ligue 1win league | |||||||
 PSG83 pts | 84.8 | 2.7 | 0.7 | +51 | 86 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
 Marseille68 pts | 69.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | +22 | 70 | — | 90% | — | ||||||||
 Monaco68 pts | 73.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | +25 | 70 | — | 91% | — | ||||||||
 Rennes65 pts | 72.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | +42 | 67 | — | 18% | — | ||||||||
 Nice64 pts | 62.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | +15 | 65 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Strasbourg63 pts | 71.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | +20 | 64 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Lens61 pts | 66.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | +14 | 62 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Lyon59 pts | 72.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | +14 | 61 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Nantes54 pts | 60.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | +7 | 56 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Lille54 pts | 69.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | +0 | 55 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Brest48 pts | 55.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | -5 | 50 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Reims46 pts | 58.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | +0 | 47 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Montpellier43 pts | 50.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | -10 | 44 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Angers38 pts | 54.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | -13 | 39 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Troyes37 pts | 54.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | -16 | 38 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Clermont36 pts | 52.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | -30 | 37 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Lorient35 pts | 51.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | -28 | 37 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 St Étienne31 pts | 47.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | -35 | 32 | 70% | — | — | ||||||||
 Metz31 pts | 42.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | -31 | 31 | 69% | — | — | ||||||||
 Bordeaux28 pts | 44.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | -42 | 29 | >99% | — | — | ||||||||
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