Major League Soccer Predictions

Major League Soccer

2023

USA

Updated June 12, 2023, at 12:26 a.m.

		Team rating				avg. simulated season		end-of-season probabilities

team	conference	spi	off.	def.	goal diff.	proj. pts.pts.	Every position	make playoffs	make round one	supporters’ shield	win mls cup
LAFC26 pts	Western	53.2	1.6	1.3	+21	61		>99%	99%	23%	19%
Philadelphia30 pts	Eastern	53.8	1.6	1.3	+18	58		98%	95%	11%	13%
FC Cincinnati40 pts	Eastern	48.1	1.5	1.4	+15	66		>99%	>99%	47%	12%
Nashville32 pts	Eastern	46.5	1.3	1.3	+16	57		97%	94%	8%	8%
Seattle28 pts	Western	44.7	1.3	1.4	+9	51		93%	88%	<1%	5%
Atlanta28 pts	Eastern	47.5	1.6	1.5	+8	51		85%	77%	1%	5%
Columbus27 pts	Eastern	44.7	1.4	1.5	+11	51		84%	76%	2%	4%
Orlando City26 pts	Eastern	43.0	1.3	1.5	+6	51		83%	74%	2%	4%
FC Dallas26 pts	Western	42.6	1.2	1.3	+4	49		88%	81%	<1%	4%
New England30 pts	Eastern	42.4	1.4	1.6	+8	54		91%	83%	3%	4%
Vancouver22 pts	Western	41.8	1.4	1.6	+5	45		68%	59%	<1%	3%
San Jose26 pts	Western	38.1	1.3	1.6	+0	49		85%	78%	<1%	2%
Portland20 pts	Western	40.4	1.3	1.5	-2	44		66%	58%	<1%	2%
D.C. United23 pts	Eastern	42.7	1.3	1.5	+3	46		60%	49%	<1%	2%
NY Red Bulls19 pts	Eastern	44.1	1.1	1.2	-3	44		44%	34%	<1%	2%
Minnesota20 pts	Western	39.2	1.3	1.6	-6	44		65%	55%	<1%	2%
NYCFC18 pts	Eastern	44.6	1.3	1.3	-2	43		43%	34%	<1%	2%
Sporting KC20 pts	Western	38.7	1.2	1.5	-3	43		61%	52%	<1%	2%
St. Louis29 pts	Western	32.7	1.1	1.7	+9	49		89%	81%	<1%	1%
Houston21 pts	Western	34.9	1.2	1.7	-6	43		61%	52%	<1%	1%
Montréal22 pts	Eastern	37.7	1.2	1.6	-9	45		52%	40%	<1%	1%
LA Galaxy13 pts	Western	39.7	1.4	1.7	-13	38		32%	26%	<1%	<1%
Austin FC19 pts	Western	35.3	1.2	1.7	-13	40		39%	31%	<1%	<1%
Real Salt Lake20 pts	Western	34.0	1.1	1.6	-14	40		41%	32%	<1%	<1%
Charlotte FC22 pts	Eastern	36.6	1.2	1.7	-12	41		31%	21%	<1%	<1%
Toronto FC19 pts	Eastern	37.8	1.2	1.5	-7	39		16%	11%	<1%	<1%
Chicago17 pts	Eastern	35.7	1.2	1.6	-9	38		15%	10%	<1%	<1%
Colorado13 pts	Western	34.2	1.1	1.6	-15	33		11%	8%	<1%	<1%
Inter Miami15 pts	Eastern	30.3	1.1	1.8	-18	32		4%	3%	<1%	<1%