Updated Aug. 8, 2020, at 7:56 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 38 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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2020

USA

Updated Aug. 6, 2020, at 11:20 p.m.

Upcoming matches
Final
8/11
Portland
49%
Orlando City
51%
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
Final
8/6
Orlando City3
46%
Minnesota1
54%
ORLMNU
Adjusted goals2.61.1
Shot-based xG2.01.0
Non-shot xG1.21.5
8/5
Philadelphia1
57%
Portland2
43%
PHIPRT
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG2.11.3
Non-shot xG2.21.0
See more
Team ratingchance of finishing groupround-by-round probabilities
teamgroupspioff.def.1st2nd3rdmake round of 16make qtrsmake semismake finalwin final
Orlando City7 pts
A
39.2
1.3
1.6
51%
Portland7 pts
F
39.2
1.4
1.7
49%
Philadelphia7 pts
A
44.5
1.4
1.5
Minnesota5 pts
D
41.0
1.3
1.6
San Jose7 pts
B
40.1
1.5
1.8
Sporting KC6 pts
D
42.1
1.4
1.6
LAFC5 pts
F
57.6
2.0
1.5
NYCFC3 pts
A
44.5
1.4
1.5
Columbus9 pts
E
42.0
1.2
1.3
FC Cincinnati6 pts
E
24.3
0.9
1.9
Toronto FC5 pts
C
44.7
1.5
1.5
New England5 pts
C
38.6
1.2
1.6
Real Salt Lake4 pts
D
36.0
1.0
1.3
Seattle4 pts
B
42.8
1.4
1.5
Montreal3 pts
C
32.1
1.1
1.7
Vancouver3 pts
B
23.3
0.9
2.0
Chicago3 pts
B
40.8
1.3
1.6
NY Red Bulls3 pts
E
38.2
1.3
1.7
D.C. United2 pts
C
32.9
1.1
1.6
Houston2 pts
F
33.9
1.2
1.7
LA Galaxy1 pt
F
40.9
1.6
1.9
Colorado1 pt
D
35.6
1.3
1.8
Atlanta0 pts
E
43.4
1.3
1.4
Inter Miami0 pts
A
42.8
1.3
1.4
Forecast from

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