Updated May 19, 2019, at 8:10 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Major League Soccer

2019 season

USA

Updated May 19, 2019, at 7:16 p.m.

Upcoming matches
May
5/19
FC Dallas
31%
25%
LAFC
44%
5/19
LA Galaxy
76%
15%
Colorado
10%
5/22
NY Red Bulls
68%
21%
Vancouver
11%
5/24
Orlando City
44%
23%
LA Galaxy
33%
5/24
Real Salt Lake
38%
27%
Atlanta
36%
5/24
LAFC
70%
20%
Montreal
10%
5/25
Chicago
42%
27%
NYCFC
31%
5/25
Vancouver
42%
27%
FC Dallas
31%
5/25
New England
45%
25%
D.C. United
30%
5/25
Philadelphia
56%
23%
Portland
21%
5/25
FC Cincinnati
37%
28%
NY Red Bulls
36%
5/25
Minnesota
49%
23%
Houston
28%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
May
5/19
NY Red Bulls1
45%27%
Atlanta0
28%
NWYATL
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG0.61.0
Non-shot xG1.21.2
5/19
Orlando City5
53%25%
FC Cincinnati1
22%
ORLCIN
Adjusted goals5.01.1
Shot-based xG2.50.7
Non-shot xG1.41.2
5/18
Sporting KC1
70%18%
Vancouver1
12%
SKCVAN
Adjusted goals1.10.8
Shot-based xG1.20.9
Non-shot xG1.21.4
5/18
Houston2
51%24%
D.C. United1
24%
HOUDCU
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.11.2
Non-shot xG1.80.8
5/18
Minnesota1
47%26%
Columbus0
27%
MNUCLB
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.40.1
Non-shot xG1.40.5
5/18
Philadelphia0
56%24%
Seattle0
20%
PHISEA
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.30.4
Non-shot xG2.50.9
5/18
San Jose4
42%25%
Chicago1
33%
SANCHI
Adjusted goals4.01.1
Shot-based xG2.81.5
Non-shot xG1.71.6
5/18
Real Salt Lake3
44%24%
Toronto FC0
33%
RSLTOR
Adjusted goals3.20.0
Shot-based xG1.50.6
Non-shot xG1.30.9
5/18
Montreal0
61%23%
New England0
16%
MTLNWE
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.00.8
Non-shot xG0.80.7
5/16
LAFC2
70%19%
FC Dallas0
11%
LAFCDAL
Adjusted goals1.80.0
Shot-based xG2.80.6
Non-shot xG3.40.6
5/15
Seattle2
59%23%
Orlando City1
18%
SEAORL
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.00.6
Non-shot xG1.60.8
5/15
Vancouver0
30%26%
Atlanta1
44%
VANATL
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.32.1
Non-shot xG0.61.6
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamconferencespioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.make playoffsfirst-round byesupporters’ shieldwin mls cup
LAFC30 pts
Western
57.9
1.8
1.3
21.37.25.5+4371>99%80%68%38%
Atlanta20 pts
Eastern
51.0
1.4
1.2
16.77.39.9+155894%28%6%13%
NYCFC18 pts
Eastern
46.4
1.4
1.3
14.611.77.7+125588%20%4%8%
Philadelphia24 pts
Eastern
45.6
1.4
1.4
16.18.19.8+175692%23%5%8%
LA Galaxy22 pts
Western
43.2
1.6
1.7
16.45.712.0+65589%7%4%5%
Seattle26 pts
Western
40.9
1.2
1.5
15.010.28.8+95590%4%3%4%
NY Red Bulls17 pts
Eastern
43.6
1.3
1.4
14.07.312.7+64970%7%<1%4%
Toronto FC17 pts
Eastern
42.8
1.5
1.6
14.17.012.9+54971%6%<1%3%
Houston23 pts
Western
38.1
1.3
1.7
14.87.212.0+35280%3%2%3%
D.C. United24 pts
Eastern
37.5
1.2
1.5
14.48.011.7+45179%7%<1%2%
Montreal21 pts
Eastern
38.1
1.0
1.4
14.28.211.6-15178%6%<1%2%
Sporting KC11 pts
Western
43.8
1.5
1.6
11.910.112.0+54656%<1%<1%2%
Portland11 pts
Western
41.1
1.4
1.6
13.77.113.2+14867%2%<1%2%
Real Salt Lake16 pts
Western
37.4
1.3
1.6
13.36.214.5-24658%<1%<1%1%
FC Dallas17 pts
Western
37.0
1.2
1.5
13.27.413.4-14761%<1%<1%1%
Minnesota18 pts
Western
34.9
1.2
1.8
12.97.913.2-14759%<1%<1%<1%
Chicago16 pts
Eastern
36.5
1.2
1.6
11.19.213.7-14237%1%<1%<1%
Columbus16 pts
Eastern
36.6
1.0
1.4
11.96.315.7-94236%<1%<1%<1%
Orlando City15 pts
Eastern
35.1
1.2
1.7
10.98.015.1-64130%<1%<1%<1%
San Jose14 pts
Western
31.6
1.3
2.0
10.86.616.6-153925%<1%<1%<1%
FC Cincinnati11 pts
Eastern
30.3
1.0
1.7
9.67.317.1-183614%<1%<1%<1%
New England12 pts
Eastern
32.6
1.2
1.8
9.27.517.2-243511%<1%<1%<1%
Vancouver13 pts
Western
28.9
1.0
1.8
8.98.916.2-143613%<1%<1%<1%
Colorado2 pts
Western
25.2
1.0
2.1
5.46.721.9-3423<1%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
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