Updated July 20, 2019, at 1:55 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Major League Soccer

2019 season

USA

Updated July 20, 2019, at 12:27 a.m.

Upcoming matches
July
7/20
Columbus
50%
27%
Montreal
22%
7/20
Toronto FC
59%
21%
Houston
20%
7/20
Philadelphia
56%
21%
Chicago
23%
7/20
Sporting KC
57%
23%
FC Dallas
20%
7/20
Colorado
32%
23%
NYCFC
45%
7/20
Real Salt Lake
55%
23%
Minnesota
22%
7/20
Vancouver
36%
23%
San Jose
40%
7/21
Atlanta
63%
21%
D.C. United
16%
7/21
FC Cincinnati
39%
24%
New England
38%
7/21
Orlando City
45%
24%
NY Red Bulls
31%
7/21
Seattle
51%
23%
Portland
26%
7/26
NYCFC
55%
23%
Sporting KC
22%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
July
7/19
LA Galaxy3
31%22%
LAFC2
47%
LAGLAFC
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG0.91.9
Non-shot xG1.71.6
7/18
Portland1
59%21%
Orlando City1
20%
PRTORL
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.50.1
Non-shot xG4.40.3
7/18
FC Cincinnati1
41%25%
D.C. United4
34%
CINDCU
Adjusted goals1.14.1
Shot-based xG1.21.0
Non-shot xG1.21.4
7/17
Toronto FC3
52%23%
NY Red Bulls1
26%
TORNWY
Adjusted goals3.11.1
Shot-based xG2.21.9
Non-shot xG0.92.4
7/17
Chicago2
58%24%
Columbus2
18%
CHICLB
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.11.0
Non-shot xG3.60.9
7/17
Atlanta5
59%22%
Houston0
19%
ATLHOU
Adjusted goals3.60.0
Shot-based xG3.40.2
Non-shot xG3.20.6
7/17
New England4
62%21%
Vancouver0
17%
NWEVAN
Adjusted goals3.00.0
Shot-based xG3.41.0
Non-shot xG2.80.7
7/14
NY Red Bulls2
45%25%
NYCFC1
30%
NWYNYC
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.90.9
Non-shot xG1.21.3
7/14
Seattle2
47%26%
Atlanta1
27%
SEAATL
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG2.80.8
Non-shot xG2.30.9
7/13
Portland2
70%18%
Colorado2
13%
PRTCLR
Adjusted goals2.11.9
Shot-based xG1.31.8
Non-shot xG1.21.4
7/13
Vancouver0
34%25%
Sporting KC3
41%
VANSKC
Adjusted goals0.02.6
Shot-based xG0.62.7
Non-shot xG0.41.4
7/13
Real Salt Lake4
44%25%
Philadelphia0
31%
RSLPHI
Adjusted goals3.40.0
Shot-based xG2.30.2
Non-shot xG1.10.6
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamconferencespioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.make playoffsfirst-round byesupporters’ shieldwin mls cup
LAFC46 pts
Western
60.2
2.0
1.3
22.36.35.4+5173>99%97%95%47%
NYCFC29 pts
Eastern
47.6
1.5
1.4
14.811.67.6+175696%38%1%11%
Atlanta33 pts
Eastern
46.6
1.5
1.4
15.75.912.4+115395%20%<1%8%
Philadelphia36 pts
Eastern
45.2
1.5
1.6
15.18.710.2+95496%22%<1%7%
Seattle35 pts
Western
42.0
1.3
1.5
15.88.39.9+75692%1%<1%5%
Portland25 pts
Western
43.6
1.5
1.6
14.77.212.1+75176%<1%<1%3%
NY Red Bulls31 pts
Eastern
42.5
1.4
1.5
14.26.912.9+64984%7%<1%3%
LA Galaxy37 pts
Western
40.5
1.4
1.7
16.73.813.4+15492%<1%<1%3%
Toronto FC29 pts
Eastern
41.0
1.4
1.7
13.57.712.8+34877%4%<1%2%
Minnesota33 pts
Western
38.3
1.3
1.7
15.06.013.0+65177%<1%<1%2%
Real Salt Lake29 pts
Western
39.7
1.2
1.5
14.75.314.0+24968%<1%<1%2%
D.C. United35 pts
Eastern
36.0
1.2
1.6
13.010.710.3+45085%6%<1%2%
Sporting KC25 pts
Western
45.0
1.4
1.5
12.210.111.7+24748%<1%<1%2%
FC Dallas29 pts
Western
39.4
1.2
1.5
13.08.112.9+34752%<1%<1%1%
San Jose31 pts
Western
37.6
1.4
1.8
14.16.913.0-14967%<1%<1%1%
Montreal30 pts
Eastern
35.0
1.1
1.5
13.75.914.4-94772%2%<1%1%
Orlando City26 pts
Eastern
34.8
1.2
1.7
11.58.114.5-14238%<1%<1%<1%
New England27 pts
Eastern
35.4
1.3
1.8
11.18.814.0-154234%<1%<1%<1%
Chicago23 pts
Eastern
40.4
1.4
1.6
9.710.813.5+14021%<1%<1%<1%
Houston27 pts
Western
34.4
1.2
1.7
12.46.015.6-104326%<1%<1%<1%
Columbus18 pts
Eastern
35.2
1.0
1.5
9.15.919.0-16332%<1%<1%<1%
Colorado20 pts
Western
29.4
1.1
1.9
8.67.917.5-19342%<1%<1%<1%
FC Cincinnati17 pts
Eastern
25.2
1.0
2.0
8.74.920.4-34312%<1%<1%<1%
Vancouver20 pts
Western
25.3
1.0
1.9
7.110.716.2-2332<1%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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