Updated July 22, 2019, at 8:56 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Major League Soccer

2019 season

USA

Updated July 21, 2019, at 11:51 p.m.

Upcoming matches
July
7/26
NYCFC
57%
22%
Sporting KC
21%
7/26
LAFC
65%
19%
Atlanta
16%
7/27
New England
56%
22%
Orlando City
22%
7/27
NY Red Bulls
61%
23%
Columbus
17%
7/27
Houston
46%
24%
Seattle
30%
7/27
Chicago
57%
22%
D.C. United
21%
7/27
FC Dallas
54%
25%
Real Salt Lake
21%
7/27
Toronto FC
72%
17%
FC Cincinnati
11%
7/27
Montreal
44%
25%
Philadelphia
31%
7/27
Minnesota
71%
18%
Vancouver
11%
7/27
San Jose
67%
18%
Colorado
15%
7/27
Portland
56%
21%
LA Galaxy
23%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
July
7/21
Seattle1
51%23%
Portland2
26%
SEAPRT
Adjusted goals1.12.1
Shot-based xG2.81.9
Non-shot xG2.00.8
7/21
Orlando City0
45%24%
NY Red Bulls1
31%
ORLNWY
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.31.8
Non-shot xG1.51.6
7/21
FC Cincinnati0
39%24%
New England2
38%
CINNWE
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG0.82.6
Non-shot xG0.71.5
7/21
Atlanta2
63%21%
D.C. United0
16%
ATLDCU
Adjusted goals1.60.0
Shot-based xG2.50.8
Non-shot xG2.60.5
7/20
Vancouver1
36%23%
San Jose3
41%
VANSAN
Adjusted goals1.12.9
Shot-based xG0.52.6
Non-shot xG0.62.1
7/20
Real Salt Lake1
55%23%
Minnesota1
22%
RSLMNU
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.70.8
Non-shot xG1.20.3
7/20
Colorado1
32%23%
NYCFC2
45%
CLRNYC
Adjusted goals1.11.7
Shot-based xG0.92.7
Non-shot xG0.63.2
7/20
Sporting KC0
57%23%
FC Dallas2
20%
SKCDAL
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG1.31.3
Non-shot xG1.90.8
7/20
Philadelphia2
56%21%
Chicago0
23%
PHICHI
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG1.20.7
Non-shot xG1.31.0
7/20
Toronto FC1
59%21%
Houston3
20%
TORHOU
Adjusted goals1.13.2
Shot-based xG1.51.5
Non-shot xG2.40.6
7/20
Columbus2
50%27%
Montreal1
22%
CLBMTL
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.61.6
Non-shot xG1.20.8
7/19
LA Galaxy3
31%22%
LAFC2
47%
LAGLAFC
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG0.91.9
Non-shot xG1.71.6
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamconferencespioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.make playoffsfirst-round byesupporters’ shieldwin mls cup
LAFC46 pts
Western
60.2
2.0
1.3
22.36.35.4+5173>99%97%95%47%
NYCFC32 pts
Eastern
49.1
1.5
1.4
15.511.47.2+185898%44%2%13%
Atlanta36 pts
Eastern
47.4
1.5
1.4
16.15.712.2+125498%20%<1%8%
Philadelphia39 pts
Eastern
45.3
1.5
1.5
15.48.610.0+105598%21%<1%7%
NY Red Bulls34 pts
Eastern
43.4
1.4
1.5
15.06.612.4+85293%9%<1%4%
Portland28 pts
Western
43.9
1.5
1.6
15.47.011.6+85383%<1%<1%4%
Seattle35 pts
Western
41.8
1.3
1.5
15.28.110.7+55485%<1%<1%3%
LA Galaxy37 pts
Western
40.5
1.4
1.7
16.83.813.4+15489%<1%<1%3%
Minnesota34 pts
Western
38.7
1.3
1.7
14.96.812.3+75277%<1%<1%2%
San Jose34 pts
Western
39.5
1.4
1.7
15.06.712.3+35279%<1%<1%2%
FC Dallas32 pts
Western
40.7
1.2
1.4
14.07.912.1+75067%<1%<1%2%
Real Salt Lake30 pts
Western
39.1
1.2
1.5
14.16.113.8+14856%<1%<1%1%
Toronto FC29 pts
Eastern
39.9
1.4
1.7
12.97.513.6-14666%<1%<1%1%
D.C. United35 pts
Eastern
35.2
1.2
1.6
12.810.510.7+34983%3%<1%1%
Montreal30 pts
Eastern
35.3
1.1
1.5
13.55.614.8-94669%<1%<1%<1%
Sporting KC25 pts
Western
43.6
1.4
1.5
11.49.912.7-24426%<1%<1%<1%
New England30 pts
Eastern
37.2
1.3
1.7
11.98.713.4-124450%<1%<1%<1%
Houston30 pts
Western
35.4
1.2
1.7
13.45.814.8-64638%<1%<1%<1%
Chicago23 pts
Eastern
40.1
1.3
1.6
9.410.614.0+03915%<1%<1%<1%
Orlando City26 pts
Eastern
33.8
1.1
1.7
10.97.815.3-34025%<1%<1%<1%
Columbus21 pts
Eastern
35.0
1.0
1.5
9.65.618.8-16343%<1%<1%<1%
FC Cincinnati17 pts
Eastern
23.7
0.9
2.0
8.14.721.2-3729<1%<1%<1%<1%
Vancouver20 pts
Western
23.7
0.9
2.0
6.610.417.1-2730<1%<1%<1%<1%
Colorado20 pts
Western
28.1
1.1
2.0
8.07.618.4-2132<1%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
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