Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
team | conference | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | make playoffs | first-round bye | supporters’ shield | win mls cup | ||||||
![]() NYCFC20 pts | Eastern | 56.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | +29 | 62 | 96% | 44% | 27% | 21% | |||||||
![]() LAFC23 pts | Western | 51.7 | 1.7 | 1.4 | +22 | 61 | 94% | 40% | 22% | 14% | |||||||
![]() Philadelphia21 pts | Eastern | 47.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | +15 | 56 | 88% | 15% | 7% | 8% | |||||||
![]() NY Red Bulls20 pts | Eastern | 47.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | +16 | 55 | 86% | 14% | 7% | 7% | |||||||
![]() LA Galaxy20 pts | Western | 44.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | +9 | 55 | 82% | 14% | 6% | 6% | |||||||
![]() FC Dallas22 pts | Western | 43.1 | 1.4 | 1.5 | +13 | 54 | 80% | 13% | 6% | 6% | |||||||
![]() Nashville18 pts | Western | 42.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | +6 | 52 | 74% | 10% | 4% | 5% | |||||||
![]() Montréal20 pts | Eastern | 42.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | +8 | 54 | 83% | 11% | 5% | 4% | |||||||
![]() Columbus13 pts | Eastern | 44.9 | 1.4 | 1.4 | +9 | 49 | 63% | 4% | 2% | 4% | |||||||
![]() Austin FC23 pts | Western | 38.7 | 1.3 | 1.6 | +12 | 52 | 75% | 9% | 4% | 3% | |||||||
![]() Seattle13 pts | Western | 41.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | +3 | 49 | 58% | 5% | 2% | 3% | |||||||
![]() Atlanta15 pts | Eastern | 41.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 | +1 | 47 | 53% | 3% | 1% | 2% | |||||||
![]() Orlando City20 pts | Eastern | 39.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | -2 | 50 | 67% | 5% | 2% | 2% | |||||||
![]() Colorado15 pts | Western | 41.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | +1 | 46 | 46% | 2% | <1% | 2% | |||||||
![]() New England12 pts | Eastern | 43.9 | 1.5 | 1.6 | +1 | 46 | 50% | 2% | <1% | 2% | |||||||
![]() Minnesota15 pts | Western | 39.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | +0 | 45 | 44% | 2% | <1% | 2% | |||||||
![]() Real Salt Lake19 pts | Western | 35.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | -7 | 47 | 50% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |||||||
![]() Portland15 pts | Western | 39.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | -1 | 44 | 34% | 1% | <1% | 1% | |||||||
![]() FC Cincinnati19 pts | Eastern | 31.3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | -12 | 43 | 35% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |||||||
![]() San Jose13 pts | Western | 35.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 | -10 | 41 | 23% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |||||||
![]() D.C. United13 pts | Eastern | 34.7 | 1.1 | 1.7 | -10 | 40 | 24% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |||||||
![]() Chicago11 pts | Eastern | 35.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 | -8 | 39 | 20% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |||||||
![]() Sporting KC12 pts | Western | 34.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | -16 | 38 | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |||||||
![]() Vancouver11 pts | Western | 32.9 | 1.1 | 1.7 | -16 | 38 | 16% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |||||||
![]() Charlotte FC13 pts | Eastern | 30.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | -14 | 37 | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |||||||
![]() Toronto FC11 pts | Eastern | 30.4 | 1.2 | 1.9 | -16 | 35 | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |||||||
![]() Houston15 pts | Western | 28.9 | 1.0 | 1.7 | -13 | 37 | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |||||||
![]() Inter Miami12 pts | Eastern | 29.2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | -21 | 35 | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
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