Updated Sept. 16, 2019, at 12:15 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Major League Soccer

2019 season

USA

Updated Sept. 16, 2019, at 12:15 a.m.

Upcoming matches
September 17-23
9/18
FC Cincinnati
25%
22%
Atlanta
53%
9/18
Seattle
50%
23%
FC Dallas
27%
9/18
Portland
53%
22%
NY Red Bulls
25%
9/21
Atlanta
57%
21%
San Jose
22%
9/21
Vancouver
37%
26%
Columbus
37%
9/21
New England
49%
24%
Real Salt Lake
26%
9/21
FC Cincinnati
28%
23%
Chicago
48%
9/21
Houston
49%
24%
Orlando City
27%
9/21
Sporting KC
61%
20%
Colorado
19%
9/21
LA Galaxy
63%
19%
Montreal
18%
9/21
LAFC
76%
14%
Toronto FC
10%
9/22
Portland
55%
22%
Minnesota
23%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
September 10-16
9/15
LA Galaxy7
51%22%
Sporting KC2
27%
LAGSKC
Adjusted goals6.62.1
Shot-based xG3.22.9
Non-shot xG2.02.7
9/15
Seattle4
51%23%
NY Red Bulls2
27%
SEANWY
Adjusted goals3.72.1
Shot-based xG1.80.6
Non-shot xG1.31.2
9/15
Minnesota3
52%26%
Real Salt Lake1
22%
MNURSL
Adjusted goals2.81.1
Shot-based xG2.61.3
Non-shot xG1.21.2
9/15
Toronto FC3
64%19%
Colorado2
16%
TORCLR
Adjusted goals3.22.1
Shot-based xG2.22.3
Non-shot xG2.50.8
9/15
Portland0
61%21%
D.C. United1
18%
PRTDCU
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG0.90.6
Non-shot xG2.30.6
9/14
Vancouver2
41%24%
Houston1
35%
VANHOU
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.11.5
Non-shot xG1.01.6
9/14
Orlando City3
50%23%
New England3
27%
ORLNWE
Adjusted goals3.23.2
Shot-based xG2.11.5
Non-shot xG1.51.3
9/14
Philadelphia1
36%21%
LAFC1
42%
PHILAFC
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG1.31.7
Non-shot xG1.42.1
9/14
Montreal0
65%20%
FC Cincinnati1
15%
MTLCIN
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG2.11.2
Non-shot xG1.80.6
9/14
Atlanta1
69%19%
Columbus3
12%
ATLCLB
Adjusted goals1.12.8
Shot-based xG1.71.0
Non-shot xG1.01.1
9/14
Chicago4
50%24%
FC Dallas0
26%
CHIDAL
Adjusted goals4.20.0
Shot-based xG2.30.6
Non-shot xG2.51.4
9/14
NYCFC2
58%21%
San Jose1
21%
NYCSAN
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.81.5
Non-shot xG1.72.0
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamconferencespioff.def.goal diff.proj. pts.pts.Every positionmake playoffsfirst-round byesupporters’ shieldwin mls cup
LAFC64 pts
Western
62.0
2.1
1.3
+5173>99%53%
NYCFC57 pts
Eastern
47.4
1.5
1.5
+196278%<1%14%
Atlanta48 pts
Eastern
48.6
1.5
1.4
+145611%9%
Philadelphia52 pts
Eastern
46.0
1.5
1.5
+115711%<1%7%
Seattle49 pts
Western
41.0
1.4
1.6
+35598%3%
LA Galaxy45 pts
Western
42.3
1.7
1.8
+25294%2%
Portland43 pts
Western
41.6
1.4
1.6
+55188%2%
Minnesota48 pts
Western
39.8
1.3
1.6
+85396%2%
Real Salt Lake46 pts
Western
39.7
1.1
1.4
+55295%2%
San Jose44 pts
Western
42.6
1.5
1.7
+34970%1%
Toronto FC45 pts
Eastern
42.6
1.4
1.6
+248>99%1%
NY Red Bulls41 pts
Eastern
42.0
1.4
1.6
+24793%1%
FC Dallas43 pts
Western
39.7
1.3
1.6
+54955%<1%
D.C. United45 pts
Eastern
34.2
1.1
1.7
+350>99%<1%
New England40 pts
Eastern
35.2
1.3
1.9
-94564%<1%
Chicago37 pts
Eastern
42.9
1.4
1.5
+64223%<1%
Orlando City36 pts
Eastern
33.9
1.1
1.7
-4407%<1%
Sporting KC37 pts
Western
41.1
1.4
1.6
-9433%<1%
Montreal37 pts
Eastern
30.7
1.1
1.8
-164012%<1%
Columbus34 pts
Eastern
36.9
1.2
1.5
-1038<1%<1%
Houston34 pts
Western
32.8
1.2
1.8
-1338<1%<1%
Colorado36 pts
Western
33.4
1.3
1.9
-1039<1%<1%
Vancouver30 pts
Western
24.0
0.9
2.0
-2433
FC Cincinnati21 pts
Eastern
23.6
0.9
2.0
-4425
Forecast from
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