Updated Nov. 17, 2019, at 1:57 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Major League Soccer

2019 season

USA

Updated Nov. 10, 2019, at 5:05 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
MLS Cup
11/10
Seattle3
65%
Toronto FC1
35%
SEATOR
Adjusted goals2.51.1
Shot-based xG1.50.9
Non-shot xG0.82.2
See more
Team ratingend-of-season probabilities
teamconferencespioff.def.make conf. semismake conf. champmake mls cupwin mls cup
Seattle
Western
43.1
1.4
1.5
Toronto FC
Eastern
45.3
1.5
1.5
LAFC
Western
57.7
2.0
1.4
Atlanta
Eastern
47.9
1.5
1.4
NYCFC
Eastern
46.6
1.5
1.5
Philadelphia
Eastern
45.8
1.5
1.5
Real Salt Lake
Western
37.0
1.0
1.4
LA Galaxy
Western
43.8
1.8
1.9
Minnesota
Western
38.5
1.3
1.6
D.C. United
Eastern
35.0
1.1
1.6
Portland
Western
41.3
1.4
1.7
FC Dallas
Western
41.0
1.4
1.6
NY Red Bulls
Eastern
42.0
1.4
1.6
New England
Eastern
37.6
1.4
1.8
San Jose
Western
40.1
1.4
1.7
Chicago
Eastern
43.5
1.4
1.6
Colorado
Western
36.8
1.4
1.8
Montreal
Eastern
31.8
1.1
1.8
Houston
Western
34.9
1.2
1.7
Sporting KC
Western
37.4
1.4
1.8
Columbus
Eastern
37.4
1.1
1.5
Orlando City
Eastern
33.6
1.2
1.8
Vancouver
Western
24.1
0.9
2.0
FC Cincinnati
Eastern
21.6
0.9
2.0
Forecast from
Season

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