Updated April 25, 2019, at 2:07 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Major League Soccer

2019 season

USA

Updated April 25, 2019, at 12:35 a.m.

Upcoming matches
April
4/27
NYCFC
64%
21%
Orlando City
15%
4/27
Toronto FC
56%
20%
Portland
23%
4/27
FC Dallas
64%
20%
San Jose
16%
4/27
Vancouver
34%
25%
Philadelphia
41%
4/27
Atlanta
81%
13%
Colorado
5%
4/27
NY Red Bulls
69%
21%
FC Cincinnati
10%
4/27
Houston
47%
27%
Columbus
27%
4/27
Sporting KC
67%
20%
New England
13%
4/28
Montreal
57%
25%
Chicago
18%
4/28
Minnesota
47%
24%
D.C. United
29%
4/28
Seattle
41%
24%
LAFC
34%
4/28
LA Galaxy
57%
22%
Real Salt Lake
21%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
April
4/24
Seattle2
70%18%
San Jose2
13%
SEASAN
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.71.8
Non-shot xG2.41.3
4/24
Minnesota0
45%22%
LA Galaxy0
34%
MNULAG
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.10.4
Non-shot xG1.41.5
4/24
New England0
47%27%
Montreal3
26%
NWEMTL
Adjusted goals0.02.2
Shot-based xG0.52.1
Non-shot xG1.20.5
4/24
Columbus0
55%26%
D.C. United1
19%
CLBDCU
Adjusted goals0.01.1
Shot-based xG1.20.9
Non-shot xG1.21.0
4/24
NYCFC1
62%22%
Chicago0
16%
NYCCHI
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.50.5
Non-shot xG0.50.6
4/21
LAFC4
56%23%
Seattle1
21%
LAFCSEA
Adjusted goals4.21.1
Shot-based xG2.70.4
Non-shot xG2.71.1
4/21
D.C. United0
49%25%
NYCFC2
26%
DCUNYC
Adjusted goals0.02.1
Shot-based xG1.21.4
Non-shot xG0.71.5
4/20
San Jose4
28%22%
Sporting KC1
50%
SANSKC
Adjusted goals4.21.1
Shot-based xG1.93.5
Non-shot xG1.72.3
4/20
New England1
37%27%
NY Red Bulls0
36%
NWENWY
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.20.9
Non-shot xG1.01.2
4/20
Columbus1
59%23%
Portland3
18%
CLBPRT
Adjusted goals1.12.6
Shot-based xG1.01.8
Non-shot xG1.71.0
4/20
Atlanta1
61%23%
FC Dallas2
16%
ATLDAL
Adjusted goals1.11.7
Shot-based xG2.61.6
Non-shot xG2.30.5
4/20
Orlando City1
55%22%
Vancouver0
22%
ORLVAN
Adjusted goals1.10.0
Shot-based xG1.70.7
Non-shot xG1.70.7
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamconferencespioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.make playoffsfirst-round byesupporters’ shieldwin mls cup
LAFC22 pts
Western
52.7
1.7
1.4
20.26.37.6+356799%52%42%24%
Sporting KC9 pts
Western
48.2
1.6
1.5
15.38.89.9+185584%9%6%8%
Atlanta5 pts
Eastern
48.9
1.5
1.3
14.68.411.0+115277%14%4%8%
Philadelphia13 pts
Eastern
45.7
1.4
1.4
15.97.210.9+135585%20%6%8%
Toronto FC13 pts
Eastern
44.0
1.6
1.7
15.87.111.1+125583%21%7%7%
LA Galaxy19 pts
Western
43.1
1.5
1.7
16.96.710.4+105791%14%10%7%
Seattle17 pts
Western
43.2
1.4
1.5
15.68.110.2+105587%9%6%6%
NY Red Bulls5 pts
Eastern
47.3
1.3
1.2
13.58.611.9+104968%8%2%6%
NYCFC11 pts
Eastern
43.6
1.3
1.4
13.011.49.6+55071%9%2%5%
FC Dallas16 pts
Western
40.1
1.2
1.5
15.47.211.4+75383%8%5%4%
Montreal14 pts
Eastern
39.6
1.1
1.4
14.58.411.2+25278%11%3%4%
D.C. United17 pts
Eastern
39.3
1.2
1.5
14.58.111.5+45176%11%3%3%
Columbus13 pts
Eastern
40.0
1.1
1.3
13.37.713.0+04862%5%<1%3%
Houston13 pts
Western
37.0
1.3
1.7
13.77.313.0-14866%4%2%2%
Portland4 pts
Western
38.8
1.4
1.7
12.36.914.8-54449%1%<1%2%
Minnesota11 pts
Western
35.8
1.4
1.9
12.87.613.6+04657%2%<1%1%
Real Salt Lake10 pts
Western
36.2
1.2
1.6
12.57.114.3-64552%1%<1%1%
Chicago9 pts
Eastern
34.4
1.1
1.6
10.29.314.5-84029%1%<1%<1%
Orlando City11 pts
Eastern
32.8
1.2
1.8
10.78.015.3-124031%1%<1%<1%
FC Cincinnati8 pts
Eastern
30.6
1.0
1.7
9.88.415.8-143823%<1%<1%<1%
New England7 pts
Eastern
32.6
1.1
1.7
9.66.917.5-183616%<1%<1%<1%
San Jose7 pts
Western
29.2
1.2
2.1
9.66.418.1-223517%<1%<1%<1%
Vancouver5 pts
Western
29.2
1.1
1.8
8.47.917.7-183312%<1%<1%<1%
Colorado2 pts
Western
24.9
1.0
2.0
6.37.420.3-32263%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
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