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| Team rating | end-of-season probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | conference | spi | off. | def. | make conf. semis | make conf. champ | make mls cup | win mls cup | ||
 NYCFC | Eastern | 55.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | ✓ | ✓ | 47% | 31% | ||
 Portland | Western | 41.6 | 1.5 | 1.7 | ✓ | ✓ | 65% | 31% | ||
 Philadelphia | Eastern | 47.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | ✓ | ✓ | 53% | 30% | ||
 Real Salt Lake | Western | 37.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | ✓ | ✓ | 35% | 8% | ||
 New England | Eastern | 49.5 | 1.7 | 1.5 | ✓ | — | — | — | ||
 Colorado | Western | 44.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | ✓ | — | — | — | ||
 Sporting KC | Western | 41.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | ✓ | — | — | — | ||
 Nashville | Eastern | 44.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | ✓ | — | — | — | ||
 Seattle | Western | 46.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | ||
 Atlanta | Eastern | 40.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | — | — | — | — | ||
 Orlando City | Eastern | 41.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | ||
 Vancouver | Western | 33.7 | 1.1 | 1.7 | — | — | — | — | ||
 Minnesota | Western | 42.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | ||
 NY Red Bulls | Eastern | 47.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | ||
 LA Galaxy | Western | 39.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | — | — | — | — | ||
 D.C. United | Eastern | 40.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | — | — | — | — | ||
 Columbus | Eastern | 43.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | — | — | — | — | ||
 Montréal | Eastern | 37.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | — | — | — | — | ||
 LAFC | Western | 47.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | — | — | — | — | ||
 Inter Miami | Eastern | 32.9 | 1.1 | 1.7 | — | — | — | — | ||
 San Jose | Western | 33.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | — | — | — | — | ||
 Chicago | Eastern | 37.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | — | — | — | — | ||
 FC Dallas | Western | 36.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | — | — | — | — | ||
 Austin FC | Western | 31.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | — | — | — | — | ||
 Houston | Western | 31.3 | 1.1 | 1.7 | — | — | — | — | ||
 Toronto FC | Eastern | 32.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | — | — | — | — | ||
 FC Cincinnati | Eastern | 23.9 | 1.0 | 2.1 | — | — | — | — | ||
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