Updated June 16, 2018 at 10:01 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Major League Soccer

2018 season

USA

Updated June 14, 2018, at 1:27 p.m.

Upcoming matches
6/23
Philadelphia
53%
24%
Vancouver
23%
6/23
NY Red Bulls
59%
21%
FC Dallas
19%
6/23
Orlando City
50%
23%
Montreal
26%
6/23
Sporting KC
57%
24%
Houston
20%
6/23
Colorado
50%
25%
Minnesota
25%
6/23
Real Salt Lake
54%
22%
San Jose
24%
6/23
Seattle
56%
24%
Chicago
20%
6/23
LAFC
44%
26%
Columbus
30%
6/24
Atlanta
59%
23%
Portland
19%
6/24
NYCFC
51%
22%
Toronto FC
27%
See more
Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games.Read the full methodology »
6/13
San Jose2
42%24%
New England2
35%
SANNWE
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.51.2
Non-shot xG1.91.6
6/13
Colorado2
41%26%
Chicago2
33%
CLRCHI
Adjusted goals2.12.1
Shot-based xG1.20.6
Non-shot xG1.31.6
6/13
Toronto FC4
63%20%
D.C. United4
17%
TORDCU
Adjusted goals4.24.2
Shot-based xG3.42.3
Non-shot xG2.31.5
6/13
NY Red Bulls2
57%24%
Seattle1
19%
NWYSEA
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG4.20.7
Non-shot xG3.00.9
6/13
Montreal3
46%24%
Orlando City0
30%
MTLORL
Adjusted goals2.60.0
Shot-based xG3.11.4
Non-shot xG1.31.6
6/13
Columbus0
45%27%
Atlanta2
28%
CLBATL
Adjusted goals0.01.8
Shot-based xG2.00.6
Non-shot xG1.60.5
6/9
Portland0
45%26%
Sporting KC0
30%
PRTSKC
Adjusted goals0.00.0
Shot-based xG1.11.1
Non-shot xG0.81.3
6/9
San Jose3
38%24%
LAFC4
38%
SANLOS
Adjusted goals3.24.0
Shot-based xG1.12.3
Non-shot xG1.11.4
6/9
LA Galaxy3
54%23%
Real Salt Lake0
23%
LAGRSL
Adjusted goals3.00.0
Shot-based xG1.71.1
Non-shot xG1.30.8
6/9
Seattle2
57%24%
D.C. United1
18%
SEADCU
Adjusted goals2.11.1
Shot-based xG1.22.1
Non-shot xG1.91.2
6/9
Houston2
64%21%
Colorado0
16%
HOUCLR
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG2.20.1
Non-shot xG2.20.1
6/9
Chicago1
49%23%
New England1
28%
CHINWE
Adjusted goals1.11.1
Shot-based xG0.51.4
Non-shot xG0.90.9
See more
Team ratingavg. simulated seasonavg. simulated seasonend-of-season probabilities
teamconferencespioff.def.WDLgoal diff.proj. pts.pts.make playoffsfirst-round byesupporters’ shieldwin mls cup
Atlanta33 pts
Eastern
44.2
1.4
1.4
19.57.07.5+2665>99%79%37%17%
Sporting KC29 pts
Western
40.2
1.2
1.4
17.09.67.4+236196%61%14%14%
NY Red Bulls26 pts
Eastern
43.1
1.4
1.6
17.76.59.8+246096%48%15%13%
NYCFC28 pts
Eastern
41.0
1.4
1.6
17.28.38.5+196096%48%12%11%
Portland22 pts
Western
35.6
1.2
1.6
15.28.99.9+75481%29%4%7%
Columbus27 pts
Eastern
37.1
1.1
1.4
14.210.29.6+105385%13%1%6%
FC Dallas29 pts
Western
33.8
1.2
1.7
15.89.78.5+115790%40%7%6%
LAFC24 pts
Western
34.8
1.3
1.8
15.87.410.7+105584%33%5%5%
Houston21 pts
Western
35.3
1.2
1.7
14.27.612.2+115066%16%2%4%
Toronto FC15 pts
Eastern
40.3
1.5
1.7
13.07.313.7+24655%5%<1%4%
LA Galaxy20 pts
Western
32.3
1.1
1.7
13.76.513.8+14855%8%<1%3%
Seattle11 pts
Western
32.0
0.9
1.5
11.57.415.1-44227%2%<1%2%
New England24 pts
Eastern
29.8
1.1
1.9
12.310.111.6+14757%3%<1%1%
Real Salt Lake22 pts
Western
26.9
1.0
1.9
13.75.315.0-134647%6%<1%1%
Philadelphia18 pts
Eastern
30.4
1.0
1.7
11.67.614.8-84232%1%<1%1%
Vancouver23 pts
Western
28.2
1.1
1.9
12.29.112.7-84641%4%<1%1%
D.C. United10 pts
Eastern
29.7
1.1
1.9
10.58.914.6-54027%1%<1%<1%
Chicago19 pts
Eastern
27.9
1.0
1.9
10.58.115.4-124021%<1%<1%<1%
Orlando City19 pts
Eastern
26.5
1.0
2.0
11.45.217.4-173920%<1%<1%<1%
Montreal15 pts
Eastern
25.4
0.9
1.9
10.64.219.2-193611%<1%<1%<1%
Minnesota16 pts
Western
21.0
0.9
2.1
10.25.418.3-22369%<1%<1%<1%
San Jose10 pts
Western
23.5
1.0
2.1
7.68.318.1-16312%<1%<1%<1%
Colorado9 pts
Western
20.7
0.7
1.9
7.37.718.9-21302%<1%<1%<1%
Forecast from
Season

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