Updated Dec. 12, 2018, at 5:03 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 36 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this worksGlobal club soccer rankings

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Major League Soccer

2018 season

USA

Updated Dec. 8, 2018, at 10:05 p.m.

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team. See more ...
  • Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.)
  • Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them.
  • Non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area.
These three metrics are combined to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
12/8
Atlanta2
77%
Portland0
23%
ATLPRT
Adjusted goals2.10.0
Shot-based xG1.21.2
Non-shot xG1.20.8
See more
Team ratingend-of-season probabilities
teamconferencespioff.def.make conf. semismake conf. champmake mls cupwin mls cup
Atlanta
Eastern
52.4
1.6
1.3
Portland
Western
42.1
1.4
1.5
NY Red Bulls
Eastern
51.2
1.4
1.2
Sporting KC
Western
51.6
1.5
1.3
Seattle
Western
44.7
1.3
1.4
NYCFC
Eastern
46.4
1.4
1.4
Columbus
Eastern
42.3
1.2
1.3
Real Salt Lake
Western
39.4
1.4
1.7
FC Dallas
Western
40.7
1.2
1.5
LAFC
Western
43.9
1.5
1.6
D.C. United
Eastern
39.2
1.3
1.6
Philadelphia
Eastern
41.2
1.3
1.5
LA Galaxy
Western
40.1
1.5
1.8
Vancouver
Western
32.8
1.3
1.9
Montreal
Eastern
39.7
1.2
1.4
New England
Eastern
36.7
1.2
1.6
Houston
Western
36.4
1.3
1.7
Toronto FC
Eastern
43.6
1.5
1.6
Minnesota
Western
31.3
1.2
1.9
Chicago
Eastern
31.9
1.1
1.7
Colorado
Western
23.9
0.8
1.8
Orlando City
Eastern
29.6
1.1
1.9
San Jose
Western
29.8
1.2
2.0
Forecast from
Season

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