Updated Dec. 18, 2017 at 2:00 PM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 26 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: Global Club Soccer Rankings

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Major League Soccer

2017 season

USA

Updated Dec. 9, 2017 at 6:27 PM

Completed matches
After every match, our model calculates three additional metrics for each team to evaluate its performance. See more ...Adjusted goals takes into account that not all goals are created equal: A team’s final score is reduced if a goal comes late in a game that it’s leading or when the opponent is a man down. (Meanwhile, goals that are scored in regular situations are adjusted upward to balance out the total number of goals across a league.) Shot-based expected goals (xG) is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given the location of its shots and the players who took them. And non-shot expected goals is an estimate of how many goals a team could have scored given their nonshooting actions in and around their opponent’s penalty area. All of these metrics are combined with the actual score of the game to help generate a team’s SPI rating and therefore its chances of winning future games. Read the full methodology »
12/9
Toronto FC2
64%
Seattle0
36%
TORSEA
Adjusted goals1.60.0
Shot-based xG2.60.3
Non-shot xG2.20.8
See all
Team ratingend-of-season probabilities
teamconferencespioff.def.make conf. semismake conf. champmake mls cupwin mls cup
Toronto FC
Eastern
47.5
1.4
1.4
Seattle
Western
43.3
1.2
1.3
Columbus
Eastern
34.5
1.1
1.6
Houston
Western
31.5
1.0
1.6
NYCFC
Eastern
37.7
1.3
1.6
Portland
Western
38.1
1.3
1.6
Vancouver
Western
29.4
1.0
1.7
NY Red Bulls
Eastern
42.1
1.3
1.4
Chicago
Eastern
31.1
1.1
1.8
Atlanta
Eastern
39.1
1.2
1.5
Sporting KC
Western
36.0
0.9
1.3
San Jose
Western
21.4
0.8
2.0
FC Dallas
Western
32.9
1.1
1.7
Real Salt Lake
Western
34.7
1.2
1.7
New England
Eastern
30.2
1.1
1.9
Philadelphia
Eastern
33.3
1.1
1.7
Montreal
Eastern
29.3
1.1
1.9
Orlando City
Eastern
24.5
0.9
1.9
Minnesota
Western
22.4
0.9
2.1
Colorado
Western
20.5
0.6
1.8
D.C. United
Eastern
24.6
0.9
1.9
LA Galaxy
Western
23.3
0.9
2.0
Forecast from

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