| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win Premier Leaguewin league | |||||||
 Man. City17 pts | 93.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | +64 | 87 | <1% | 96% | 66% | ||||||||
 Liverpool9 pts | 89.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | +45 | 75 | <1% | 76% | 15% | ||||||||
 Arsenal18 pts | 81.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | +25 | 71 | <1% | 59% | 8% | ||||||||
 Tottenham17 pts | 81.7 | 2.4 | 0.6 | +26 | 69 | <1% | 55% | 6% | ||||||||
 Chelsea10 pts | 81.3 | 2.2 | 0.5 | +14 | 64 | <1% | 35% | 3% | ||||||||
 Man. United12 pts | 75.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | +7 | 61 | 1% | 25% | 1% | ||||||||
 Brighton13 pts | 76.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | +10 | 60 | 1% | 24% | 1% | ||||||||
 Newcastle8 pts | 72.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | +1 | 51 | 6% | 7% | <1% | ||||||||
 Crystal Palace6 pts | 70.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | -5 | 48 | 10% | 5% | <1% | ||||||||
 Brentford9 pts | 68.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | -4 | 48 | 10% | 4% | <1% | ||||||||
 Aston Villa7 pts | 71.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | -8 | 48 | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||||||||
 West Ham4 pts | 71.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 | -8 | 45 | 15% | 2% | <1% | ||||||||
 Leeds United8 pts | 64.7 | 1.9 | 1.0 | -13 | 45 | 16% | 2% | <1% | ||||||||
 Fulham11 pts | 61.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | -15 | 44 | 16% | 2% | <1% | ||||||||
 Southampton7 pts | 63.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | -17 | 42 | 23% | 1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Wolves6 pts | 67.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | -14 | 42 | 23% | 1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Everton7 pts | 64.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | -15 | 41 | 25% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Leicester1 pt | 67.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -18 | 41 | 27% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Bournemouth8 pts | 54.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | -38 | 35 | 49% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Nottm Forest4 pts | 54.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | -38 | 30 | 68% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
Comments