| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win Premier Leaguewin league | |||||||
 Man. City93 pts | 93.5 | 3.0 | 0.3 | +73 | 93 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
 Liverpool92 pts | 93.3 | 2.9 | 0.2 | +68 | 92 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Chelsea74 pts | 88.4 | 2.4 | 0.3 | +43 | 74 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Tottenham71 pts | 84.1 | 2.5 | 0.6 | +29 | 71 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Arsenal69 pts | 80.2 | 2.2 | 0.6 | +13 | 69 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Man. United58 pts | 74.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | +0 | 58 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 West Ham56 pts | 73.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | +9 | 56 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Leicester52 pts | 71.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | +3 | 52 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Brighton51 pts | 80.0 | 2.1 | 0.5 | -2 | 51 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Wolves51 pts | 69.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | -5 | 51 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Newcastle49 pts | 71.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | -18 | 49 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Crystal Palace48 pts | 76.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | +4 | 48 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Brentford46 pts | 72.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | -8 | 46 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Aston Villa45 pts | 76.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | -2 | 45 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Southampton40 pts | 61.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | -24 | 40 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Everton39 pts | 63.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | -23 | 39 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Leeds United38 pts | 63.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | -37 | 38 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Burnley35 pts | 63.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | -19 | 35 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
 Watford23 pts | 55.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -43 | 23 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
 Norwich22 pts | 47.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | -61 | 22 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
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