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| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win Premier Leaguewin league | |||||||
 Man. City86 pts | 92.4 | 2.8 | 0.2 | +51 | 86 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
 Man. United74 pts | 85.5 | 2.4 | 0.5 | +29 | 74 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Liverpool69 pts | 89.2 | 2.7 | 0.4 | +26 | 69 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Chelsea67 pts | 90.5 | 2.4 | 0.2 | +22 | 67 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Leicester66 pts | 78.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | +18 | 66 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 West Ham65 pts | 76.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | +15 | 65 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Tottenham62 pts | 78.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | +23 | 62 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Arsenal61 pts | 83.7 | 2.2 | 0.4 | +16 | 61 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Leeds United59 pts | 74.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | +8 | 59 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Everton59 pts | 72.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | -1 | 59 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Aston Villa55 pts | 72.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | +9 | 55 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Wolves45 pts | 69.6 | 1.7 | 0.7 | -16 | 45 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Newcastle45 pts | 67.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | -16 | 45 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Crystal Palace44 pts | 61.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | -25 | 44 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Southampton43 pts | 67.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | -21 | 43 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Brighton41 pts | 78.7 | 2.0 | 0.5 | -6 | 41 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Burnley39 pts | 66.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | -22 | 39 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Fulham28 pts | 68.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | -26 | 28 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
 West Brom26 pts | 59.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | -41 | 26 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
 Sheffield Utd23 pts | 56.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | -43 | 23 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
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