Premier League Predictions

Premier League

	Team rating				avg. simulated season		end-of-season probabilities

team	spi	off.	def.	goal diff.	proj. pts.pts.	Every position	relegatedrel.	qualify for UCLmake UCL	win Premier Leaguewin league
Man. City17 pts	93.9	2.9	0.2	+59	86		<1%	97%	51%
Liverpool18 pts	90.6	3.0	0.5	+54	81		<1%	92%	30%
Chelsea19 pts	87.8	2.4	0.3	+38	77		<1%	82%	15%
Man. United14 pts	82.2	2.4	0.6	+19	64		<1%	38%	2%
Tottenham15 pts	75.1	2.2	0.8	-1	58		1%	18%	<1%
West Ham14 pts	75.9	2.1	0.7	+6	56		1%	15%	<1%
Arsenal11 pts	76.2	2.0	0.6	-3	54		3%	10%	<1%
Leicester11 pts	74.6	2.2	0.8	+0	54		3%	10%	<1%
Brighton15 pts	74.6	1.8	0.6	-2	53		3%	9%	<1%
Everton14 pts	73.6	1.9	0.7	+0	53		3%	9%	<1%
Wolves12 pts	73.8	1.8	0.6	-4	51		5%	6%	<1%
Brentford12 pts	71.1	1.8	0.7	-2	50		5%	5%	<1%
Aston Villa10 pts	73.0	2.0	0.8	-3	50		5%	5%	<1%
Southampton7 pts	68.8	1.8	0.8	-12	43		17%	1%	<1%
Crystal Palace8 pts	67.0	1.8	0.9	-13	43		19%	1%	<1%
Leeds United6 pts	69.1	1.9	0.9	-17	42		20%	1%	<1%
Burnley3 pts	64.3	1.8	1.0	-22	36		41%	<1%	<1%
Newcastle3 pts	62.3	1.8	1.1	-28	33		50%	<1%	<1%
Watford7 pts	58.0	1.5	1.0	-33	33		54%	<1%	<1%
Norwich2 pts	57.9	1.5	1.0	-37	28		70%	<1%	<1%