Get more FiveThirtyEight
- Terms of Use
- Privacy Policy
- Do Not Sell My Info
- Your California Privacy Rights
- Children's Online Privacy Policy
- Interest-Based Ads
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.
| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win Premier Leaguewin league | |||||||
 Man. City83 pts | 92.4 | 2.8 | 0.2 | +47 | 85 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
 Man. United71 pts | 85.7 | 2.4 | 0.5 | +28 | 73 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Chelsea67 pts | 89.9 | 2.4 | 0.2 | +24 | 69 | — | 86% | — | ||||||||
 Liverpool63 pts | 88.4 | 2.7 | 0.4 | +24 | 68 | — | 73% | — | ||||||||
 Leicester66 pts | 79.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | +20 | 68 | — | 40% | — | ||||||||
 West Ham59 pts | 75.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 | +11 | 62 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Tottenham59 pts | 77.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | +22 | 62 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Everton56 pts | 72.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | +2 | 58 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Arsenal55 pts | 83.0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | +13 | 58 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Leeds United56 pts | 74.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | +6 | 58 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Aston Villa49 pts | 71.9 | 2.0 | 0.8 | +6 | 51 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Wolves45 pts | 69.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | -15 | 47 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Crystal Palace44 pts | 61.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | -23 | 45 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Southampton43 pts | 67.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | -18 | 44 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Brighton41 pts | 79.7 | 2.0 | 0.5 | -4 | 42 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Newcastle39 pts | 66.7 | 1.9 | 1.0 | -19 | 42 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Burnley39 pts | 67.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | -19 | 41 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Fulham28 pts | 68.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | -24 | 29 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
 West Brom26 pts | 61.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | -38 | 28 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
 Sheffield Utd20 pts | 55.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | -44 | 22 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
Comments