Premier League Predictions

Premier League

	Team rating				avg. simulated season		end-of-season probabilities

team	spi	off.	def.	goal diff.	proj. pts.pts.	Every position	relegatedrel.	qualify for UCLmake UCL	win Premier Leaguewin league
Man. City57 pts	93.7	2.9	0.2	+65	92		—	>99%	82%
Liverpool48 pts	92.0	3.0	0.4	+63	84		<1%	>99%	17%
Chelsea47 pts	89.0	2.4	0.3	+46	76		<1%	96%	<1%
Tottenham36 pts	80.0	2.2	0.6	+9	65		<1%	39%	<1%
Arsenal36 pts	81.7	2.1	0.5	+15	64		<1%	34%	<1%
Man. United38 pts	76.8	2.2	0.7	+8	61		<1%	18%	<1%
West Ham37 pts	74.1	2.1	0.8	+9	58		<1%	7%	<1%
Wolves34 pts	74.0	1.7	0.5	+0	55		<1%	4%	<1%
Brighton30 pts	78.2	1.9	0.5	+1	53		<1%	2%	<1%
Leicester26 pts	71.5	2.2	1.0	-4	51		<1%	1%	<1%
Aston Villa26 pts	73.6	2.0	0.7	-4	50		<1%	<1%	<1%
Crystal Palace24 pts	70.7	1.9	0.8	-4	45		3%	<1%	<1%
Southampton25 pts	68.3	1.9	0.9	-12	44		4%	<1%	<1%
Leeds United22 pts	67.1	1.9	1.0	-24	41		11%	<1%	<1%
Brentford23 pts	66.5	1.8	0.9	-18	40		10%	<1%	<1%
Everton19 pts	67.7	1.9	0.9	-18	40		16%	<1%	<1%
Burnley12 pts	64.6	1.7	0.9	-19	35		41%	<1%	<1%
Newcastle15 pts	60.0	1.7	1.1	-35	31		67%	<1%	<1%
Watford14 pts	58.8	1.7	1.1	-31	31		66%	<1%	<1%
Norwich16 pts	55.9	1.5	1.1	-47	29		81%	<1%	<1%