| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win Premier Leaguewin league | |||||||
 Arsenal69 pts | 85.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | +47 | 87 | — | >99% | 56% | ||||||||
 Man. City61 pts | 92.3 | 2.9 | 0.3 | +57 | 85 | — | >99% | 44% | ||||||||
 Man. United50 pts | 79.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | +13 | 71 | — | 74% | <1% | ||||||||
 Newcastle47 pts | 80.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | +24 | 66 | <1% | 44% | <1% | ||||||||
 Liverpool42 pts | 84.4 | 2.6 | 0.6 | +27 | 64 | <1% | 29% | <1% | ||||||||
 Tottenham49 pts | 75.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | +14 | 64 | — | 25% | <1% | ||||||||
 Brighton42 pts | 80.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | +20 | 63 | <1% | 26% | <1% | ||||||||
 Brentford42 pts | 74.2 | 2.1 | 0.8 | +7 | 56 | <1% | 2% | <1% | ||||||||
 Chelsea38 pts | 79.7 | 2.0 | 0.5 | +3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Aston Villa38 pts | 72.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | -5 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Fulham39 pts | 67.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 | -3 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Crystal Palace27 pts | 67.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | -16 | 41 | 10% | <1% | — | ||||||||
 Leicester25 pts | 69.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | -10 | 40 | 13% | <1% | — | ||||||||
 West Ham24 pts | 71.7 | 1.9 | 0.7 | -13 | 39 | 19% | <1% | — | ||||||||
 Leeds United26 pts | 66.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | -13 | 39 | 17% | <1% | — | ||||||||
 Wolves27 pts | 64.8 | 1.7 | 0.9 | -23 | 38 | 23% | <1% | — | ||||||||
 Everton26 pts | 61.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | -24 | 36 | 40% | <1% | — | ||||||||
 Bournemouth24 pts | 56.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -36 | 35 | 54% | <1% | — | ||||||||
 Nottm Forest26 pts | 54.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | -38 | 35 | 56% | <1% | — | ||||||||
 Southampton23 pts | 62.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | -29 | 33 | 68% | <1% | — | ||||||||
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