| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win Premier Leaguewin league | |||||||
 Man. City32 pts | 91.2 | 2.9 | 0.4 | +57 | 84 | <1% | 96% | 53% | ||||||||
 Arsenal37 pts | 85.9 | 2.3 | 0.4 | +39 | 81 | <1% | 92% | 36% | ||||||||
 Liverpool22 pts | 86.4 | 2.8 | 0.6 | +34 | 69 | <1% | 54% | 3% | ||||||||
 Man. United26 pts | 80.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | +14 | 68 | <1% | 43% | 2% | ||||||||
 Newcastle30 pts | 79.9 | 2.2 | 0.6 | +26 | 67 | <1% | 42% | 2% | ||||||||
 Tottenham29 pts | 79.4 | 2.3 | 0.7 | +18 | 66 | <1% | 37% | 2% | ||||||||
 Chelsea21 pts | 81.0 | 2.2 | 0.5 | +10 | 61 | <1% | 17% | <1% | ||||||||
 Brighton21 pts | 78.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | +12 | 59 | <1% | 14% | <1% | ||||||||
 Crystal Palace19 pts | 69.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | -9 | 48 | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Aston Villa18 pts | 72.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 | -9 | 48 | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Brentford19 pts | 68.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -8 | 47 | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Leicester17 pts | 70.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | -4 | 47 | 7% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 West Ham14 pts | 73.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | -6 | 45 | 10% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Fulham19 pts | 62.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | -14 | 44 | 12% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Leeds United15 pts | 65.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | -15 | 42 | 17% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Southampton12 pts | 63.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | -24 | 38 | 33% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Everton14 pts | 60.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | -22 | 36 | 41% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Bournemouth16 pts | 56.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | -33 | 36 | 45% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Wolves10 pts | 62.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | -29 | 33 | 56% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
 Nottm Forest13 pts | 55.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | -39 | 32 | 63% | <1% | <1% | ||||||||
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