| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win Premier Leaguewin league | |||||||
 Man. City89 pts | 92.0 | 2.8 | 0.3 | +61 | 89 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
 Arsenal84 pts | 83.9 | 2.5 | 0.6 | +45 | 84 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Man. United75 pts | 79.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | +15 | 75 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Newcastle71 pts | 83.7 | 2.4 | 0.5 | +35 | 71 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Liverpool67 pts | 83.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | +28 | 67 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Brighton62 pts | 80.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 | +19 | 62 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Aston Villa61 pts | 79.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | +5 | 61 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Tottenham60 pts | 72.1 | 2.2 | 1.0 | +7 | 60 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Brentford59 pts | 77.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | +12 | 59 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Fulham52 pts | 68.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | +2 | 52 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Crystal Palace45 pts | 73.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | -9 | 45 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Chelsea44 pts | 75.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | -9 | 44 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Wolves41 pts | 59.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | -27 | 41 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 West Ham40 pts | 71.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | -13 | 40 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Bournemouth39 pts | 59.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 | -34 | 39 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Nottm Forest38 pts | 56.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -30 | 38 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Everton36 pts | 63.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | -23 | 36 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Leicester34 pts | 64.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | -17 | 34 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
 Leeds United31 pts | 59.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | -30 | 31 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
 Southampton25 pts | 56.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | -37 | 25 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
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