| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win Serie Awin league | |||||||
 Napoli87 pts | 82.6 | 2.3 | 0.5 | +48 | 89 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||||||||
 Lazio71 pts | 66.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | +28 | 72 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Inter Milan69 pts | 78.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | +29 | 71 | — | 80% | — | ||||||||
 Juventus69 pts | 69.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 | +23 | 71 | — | 79% | — | ||||||||
 AC Milan67 pts | 73.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | +20 | 69 | — | 41% | — | ||||||||
 Atalanta61 pts | 69.9 | 2.0 | 0.9 | +15 | 63 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Roma60 pts | 72.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | +12 | 62 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Fiorentina56 pts | 74.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | +10 | 56 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Torino53 pts | 69.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | +1 | 54 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Monza52 pts | 60.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | -1 | 53 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Bologna51 pts | 63.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | +3 | 52 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Udinese46 pts | 60.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | -1 | 47 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Sassuolo45 pts | 63.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | -14 | 45 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Empoli43 pts | 55.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -10 | 44 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Salernitana42 pts | 49.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | -12 | 43 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Lecce36 pts | 59.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | -12 | 37 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Spezia31 pts | 49.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | -31 | 32 | 23% | — | — | ||||||||
 Verona31 pts | 50.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | -27 | 32 | 77% | — | — | ||||||||
 Cremonese24 pts | 46.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | -35 | 25 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
 Sampdoria19 pts | 42.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | -46 | 20 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
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