| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | relegatedrel. | qualify for UCLmake UCL | win Serie Awin league | |||||||
 AC Milan83 pts | 78.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | +36 | 85 | — | ✓ | 85% | ||||||||
 Inter Milan81 pts | 82.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | +51 | 83 | — | ✓ | 15% | ||||||||
 Napoli76 pts | 76.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 | +41 | 78 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Juventus70 pts | 69.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | +22 | 71 | — | ✓ | — | ||||||||
 Lazio63 pts | 72.7 | 2.2 | 0.9 | +19 | 65 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Roma60 pts | 74.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | +13 | 61 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Atalanta59 pts | 75.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | +19 | 61 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Fiorentina59 pts | 70.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | +6 | 60 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Verona52 pts | 66.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | +6 | 53 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Torino50 pts | 70.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | +8 | 51 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Sassuolo50 pts | 62.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 | +0 | 51 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Udinese44 pts | 60.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | -1 | 45 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Bologna43 pts | 58.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | -12 | 44 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Empoli38 pts | 51.7 | 1.7 | 1.4 | -22 | 39 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Spezia36 pts | 49.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | -28 | 37 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Sampdoria36 pts | 55.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -16 | 36 | — | — | — | ||||||||
 Salernitana31 pts | 48.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | -41 | 32 | 32% | — | — | ||||||||
 Cagliari29 pts | 50.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | -33 | 31 | 68% | — | — | ||||||||
 Genoa28 pts | 53.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | -32 | 29 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
 Venezia26 pts | 42.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | -36 | 27 | ✓ | — | — | ||||||||
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