Updated Dec. 3, 2021, at 10:14 AM

Club Soccer Predictions

Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 40 leagues, updated after each match.

See also: How this works Global club soccer rankings

Serie A

2021-22

Italy

Updated Dec. 2, 2021, at 4:45 p.m.

	Team rating				avg. simulated season		end-of-season probabilities

team	spi	off.	def.	goal diff.	proj. pts.pts.	Every position	relegatedrel.	qualify for UCLmake UCL	win Serie Awin league
Inter Milan34 pts	84.9	2.6	0.6	+50	83		<1%	94%	46%
Napoli36 pts	80.8	2.3	0.6	+43	80		<1%	88%	29%
AC Milan35 pts	76.1	2.2	0.8	+29	76		<1%	76%	15%
Atalanta31 pts	78.1	2.3	0.8	+31	73		<1%	62%	7%
Juventus24 pts	79.2	2.2	0.6	+23	68		<1%	40%	2%
Roma25 pts	72.3	2.1	0.9	+16	62		<1%	16%	<1%
Fiorentina24 pts	67.9	1.8	0.8	+8	58		<1%	8%	<1%
Lazio22 pts	67.8	2.0	1.0	+5	57		<1%	6%	<1%
Bologna24 pts	63.4	1.8	1.0	-6	54		<1%	3%	<1%
Sassuolo19 pts	66.5	2.0	1.1	+3	52		1%	3%	<1%
Verona20 pts	63.2	1.8	1.0	+0	50		2%	1%	<1%
Torino18 pts	64.6	1.7	0.9	+1	48		3%	<1%	<1%
Udinese16 pts	59.4	1.6	1.0	-9	44		8%	<1%	<1%
Empoli20 pts	53.1	1.6	1.3	-18	44		8%	<1%	<1%
Sampdoria15 pts	57.8	1.7	1.2	-15	42		11%	<1%	<1%
Venezia15 pts	47.8	1.4	1.3	-30	36		36%	<1%	<1%
Spezia11 pts	49.9	1.5	1.3	-35	33		49%	<1%	<1%
Genoa10 pts	52.5	1.5	1.2	-27	32		51%	<1%	<1%
Cagliari9 pts	53.0	1.6	1.2	-27	32		53%	<1%	<1%
Salernitana8 pts	46.6	1.4	1.4	-41	27		78%	<1%	<1%

Forecast from

Season

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Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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