| Team rating | avg. simulated season | end-of-season probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| team | conference | spi | off. | def. | goal diff. | proj. pts.pts. | Every position | make playoffs | make qtrs | make semis | make final | win final | |||||
 Louisville City21 pts | Eastern | 24.9 | 0.8 | 1.8 | +9 | 58 | >99% | 71% | 44% | 26% | 13% | ||||||
 San Antonio24 pts | Western | 26.5 | 0.9 | 1.7 | +21 | 58 | 98% | 62% | 36% | 20% | 12% | ||||||
 Sacramento29 pts | Western | 23.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | +26 | 62 | >99% | 64% | 37% | 20% | 12% | ||||||
 Tampa Bay24 pts | Eastern | 24.1 | 0.9 | 1.9 | +15 | 56 | 99% | 68% | 40% | 23% | 11% | ||||||
 Memphis 90121 pts | Eastern | 22.8 | 1.0 | 2.1 | +15 | 57 | 98% | 63% | 35% | 18% | 9% | ||||||
 San Diego Loyal22 pts | Western | 24.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | +11 | 55 | 93% | 50% | 25% | 12% | 6% | ||||||
 Pittsburgh26 pts | Eastern | 16.7 | 0.5 | 1.8 | +12 | 55 | 99% | 59% | 29% | 14% | 6% | ||||||
 El Paso26 pts | Western | 19.1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | +10 | 57 | 96% | 49% | 23% | 11% | 6% | ||||||
 Phoenix Rising17 pts | Western | 22.8 | 0.9 | 2.0 | +5 | 50 | 81% | 39% | 19% | 9% | 5% | ||||||
 C.S. Switchbacks19 pts | Western | 21.4 | 0.8 | 1.9 | +5 | 51 | 85% | 40% | 19% | 9% | 5% | ||||||
 Oakland Roots21 pts | Western | 20.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | +10 | 53 | 90% | 42% | 20% | 9% | 4% | ||||||
 New Mexico14 pts | Western | 17.6 | 0.7 | 2.0 | +1 | 46 | 64% | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | ||||||
 Birmingham16 pts | Eastern | 15.7 | 0.7 | 2.2 | -7 | 44 | 76% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 2% | ||||||
 Charleston25 pts | Eastern | 11.2 | 0.4 | 2.2 | -10 | 47 | 87% | 31% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||||||
 Indy Eleven16 pts | Eastern | 11.9 | 0.4 | 2.1 | -6 | 41 | 65% | 22% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||||||
 The Miami FC13 pts | Eastern | 13.8 | 0.5 | 2.1 | -7 | 39 | 54% | 19% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||||||
 Orange County13 pts | Western | 16.2 | 0.6 | 2.0 | -12 | 38 | 28% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||||||
 Monterey Bay20 pts | Western | 12.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | -4 | 41 | 41% | 12% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||||||
 Hartford Athletic10 pts | Eastern | 12.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | -15 | 35 | 33% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||||||
 Detroit City12 pts | Eastern | 9.0 | 0.3 | 2.1 | -11 | 37 | 39% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||||||
 FC Tulsa13 pts | Eastern | 10.8 | 0.5 | 2.4 | -10 | 35 | 33% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||||||
 RGV Toros12 pts | Western | 10.7 | 0.4 | 2.2 | -20 | 34 | 12% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
 Las Vegas Lights9 pts | Western | 10.2 | 0.4 | 2.3 | -17 | 33 | 12% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
 Loudoun United13 pts | Eastern | 7.9 | 0.4 | 2.5 | -20 | 32 | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||||||
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