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Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

		Expected minutes per game				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game	PROJ. PLAYER RATING
Player		TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Nikola Jokic	N. Jokic		39	+1			+8.6	+3.8
Jamal Murray	J. Murray		39	+3			+3.3	-0.5
Michael Porter Jr.	M. Porter Jr.		30	-1			+1.2	-0.3
Aaron Gordon	A. Gordon		34	+2			+1.0	+0.1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	K. Caldwell-Pope		32	+1			-0.1	+0.5
Bruce Brown	B. Brown		23	+4			-0.6	+0.6
Jeff Green	J. Green		14	-2			-2.7	-1.2
Reggie Jackson	R. Jackson		8	-9			-1.0	-0.4
Christian Braun	C. Braun		14	+2			-2.1	+0.3
Vlatko Cancar	V. Cancar		0	SAME			-1.7	-0.9
Thomas Bryant	T. Bryant		2	-2			-1.5	-1.4
Ish Smith	I. Smith		0	SAME			-2.5	-1.1
Zeke Nnaji	Z. Nnaji		2	-2			-2.4	-0.5
DeAndre Jordan	D. Jordan		3	+3			-4.1	-1.7
Collin Gillespie	C. Gillespie		0	SAME			-0.1	-1.0
Peyton Watson	P. Watson		0	SAME			-3.2	0.0
Jack White	J. White		0	SAME			-2.6	-0.4
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.					Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+7.9	+2.4
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.4 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.					Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.4 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			114-104
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.					Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			63
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.					Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1744
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1685). The weight given to Elo — 52% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.					Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1685). The weight given to Elo — 52% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1713
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.					Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1722

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING
Player		Expected minutes per game		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Nikola Jokic	N. Jokic		38		+8.6	+3.8
Jamal Murray	J. Murray		36		+3.3	-0.5
Michael Porter Jr.	M. Porter Jr.		31		+1.2	-0.3
Aaron Gordon	A. Gordon		32		+1.0	+0.1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	K. Caldwell-Pope		31		-0.1	+0.5
Bruce Brown	B. Brown		19		-0.6	+0.6
Jeff Green	J. Green		16		-2.7	-1.2
Reggie Jackson	R. Jackson		17		-1.0	-0.4
Christian Braun	C. Braun		12		-2.1	+0.3
Vlatko Cancar	V. Cancar		0		-1.7	-0.9
Thomas Bryant	T. Bryant		4		-1.5	-1.4
Ish Smith	I. Smith		0		-2.5	-1.1
Zeke Nnaji	Z. Nnaji		4		-2.4	-0.5
DeAndre Jordan	D. Jordan		0		-4.1	-1.7
Collin Gillespie	C. Gillespie		0		-0.1	-1.0
Peyton Watson	P. Watson		0		-3.2	0.0
Jack White	J. White		0		-2.6	-0.4
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+7.5	+2.2
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.4 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.4 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			114-105
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			62
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1730
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1685). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1685). The weight given to Elo — 43% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1710
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1719

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2022-23 NBA Predictions

Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.

The Denver Nuggets have a 100% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

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