Brewers | 2016 MLB Predictions | FiveThirtyEight

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Starting Pitcher Adjustments

Zach Davies

51.8

+12.1

Chase Anderson

49.5

+1.5

Wily Peralta

48.6

-2.9

Jimmy Nelson

45.6

-17.1

Matt Garza

45.4

-17.8

Taylor Jungmann

45.3

-18.4

Brent Suter

43.8

-25.4

Tyler Cravy

43.8

-25.6

Completed games

W 6-4 Oct 2

47%

@

53%

Cravy

Marquez

W 4-3 Oct 1

55%

@

45%

Peralta

Hoffman

L 1-4 Sep 30

43%

@

57%

Suter

Bettis

L 5-8 Sep 28

38%

@

62%

Anderson

Hamels

L 4-6 Sep 27

40%

@

60%

Nelson

Griffin

W 8-3 Sep 26

37%

@

63%

Garza

Perez

L 2-4 Sep 25

55%

vs.

45%

Peralta

Finnegan

L 1-6 Sep 24

53%

vs.

47%

Jungmann

Straily

W 5-4 Sep 23

56%

vs.

44%

Davies

DeSclafani

W 3-1 Sep 22

53%

vs.

47%

Anderson

Vogelsong

L 1-4 Sep 21

46%

vs.

54%

Nelson

Kuhl

L 3-6 Sep 20

51%

vs.

49%

Garza

Brault

W 3-1 Sep 18

30%

@

70%

Peralta

Hendricks

W 11-3 Sep 17

32%

@

68%

Davies

Arrieta

L 4-5 Sep 16

32%

@

68%

Anderson

Lackey

W 5-4 Sep 15

36%

@

64%

Nelson

Montgomery

W 7-0 Sep 14

52%

@

48%

Guerra

Adleman

L 4-6 Sep 13

42%

@

58%

Garza

Straily

L 0-3 Sep 12

48%

@

52%

Peralta

Sampson

W 2-1 Sep 11

41%

@

59%

Davies

Weaver

L 1-5 Sep 10

39%

@

61%

Anderson

Wainwright

L 3-4 Sep 9

35%

@

65%

Nelson

Martinez

W 12-5 Sep 8

45%

@

55%

Guerra

Garcia

W 2-1 Sep 7

42%

vs.

58%

Garza

Montgomery

W 12-5 Sep 6

38%

vs.

62%

Peralta

Hammel

L 2-7 Sep 5

37%

vs.

63%

Davies

Hendricks

W 10-0 Sep 4

40%

@

60%

Anderson

Brault

W 7-4 Sep 3

36%

@

64%

Nelson

Nova

W 1-0 Sep 2

41%

@

59%

Guerra

Taillon

W 3-1 Aug 31

41%

vs.

59%

Garza

Weaver

L 1-2 Aug 30

41%

vs.

59%

Peralta

Wainwright

L 5-6 Aug 29

43%

vs.

57%

Davies

Martinez

L 1-3 Aug 28

44%

vs.

56%

Anderson

Nova

L 6-9 Aug 27

40%

vs.

60%

Nelson

Taillon

L 3-5 Aug 26

44%

vs.

56%

Garza

Vogelsong

L 2-3 Aug 25

42%

vs.

58%

Peralta

Kuhl

W 7-1 Aug 24

48%

vs.

52%

Davies

Anderson

W 6-4 Aug 23

47%

vs.

53%

Anderson

Gray

W 4-2 Aug 22

48%

vs.

52%

Nelson

Bettis

W 7-6 Aug 21

35%

@

65%

Garza

Miranda

L 2-8 Aug 20

32%

@

68%

Peralta

Hernandez

L 6-7 Aug 19

39%

@

61%

Suter

LeBlanc

L 6-9 Aug 18

30%

@

70%

Davies

Arrieta

L 1-6 Aug 17

30%

@

70%

Nelson

Lester

L 1-4 Aug 16

32%

@

68%

Anderson

Hammel

L 0-4 Aug 16

37%

@

63%

Garza

Cahill

W 7-3 Aug 14

54%

vs.

46%

Peralta

Reed

L 5-11 Aug 13

53%

vs.

47%

Davies

Straily

L 4-7 Aug 12

50%

vs.

50%

Nelson

Bailey

W 11-3 Aug 11

53%

vs.

47%

Garza

Hernandez

W 4-3 Aug 10

56%

vs.

44%

Anderson

De Leon

L 1-2 Aug 9

53%

vs.

47%

Peralta

Jenkins

L 3-4 Aug 8

61%

vs.

39%

Davies

Whalen

L 3-9 Aug 7

49%

@

51%

Nelson

Bradley

W 15-6 Aug 6

46%

@

54%

Garza

Corbin

L 2-3 Aug 5

48%

@

52%

Anderson

Shipley

L 3-12 Aug 3

57%

@

43%

Guerra

Jackson

W 3-2 Aug 2

49%

@

51%

Davies

Perdomo

L 3-7 Aug 1

46%

@

54%

Nelson

Cosart

W 4-2 Jul 31

42%

vs.

57%

Garza

Liriano

W 5-3 Jul 30

42%

vs.

58%

Anderson

Taillon

W 3-1 Jul 29

51%

vs.

49%

Guerra

Brault

W 6-4 Jul 28

55%

vs.

45%

Davies

Ray

L 1-8 Jul 27

56%

vs.

44%

Nelson

Bradley

W 9-4 Jul 26

51%

vs.

49%

Garza

Corbin

W 7-2 Jul 25

52%

vs.

48%

Anderson

Shipley

L 5-6 Jul 24

45%

vs.

55%

Guerra

Lester

W 6-1 Jul 23

41%

vs.

59%

Davies

Lackey

L 2-5 Jul 22

43%

vs.

57%

Nelson

Hammel

L 3-5 Jul 21

34%

@

66%

Garza

Liriano

W 9-5 Jul 20

37%

@

63%

Anderson

Locke

L 2-3 Jul 19

42%

@

58%

Guerra

Taillon

L 0-1 Jul 17

49%

@

51%

Davies

Straily

W 9-1 Jul 16

51%

@

49%

Nelson

Lamb

L 4-5 Jul 15

43%

@

57%

Garza

DeSclafani

L 1-5 Jul 10

51%

vs.

49%

Guerra

Leake

L 1-8 Jul 9

40%

vs.

60%

Anderson

Martinez

W 4-3 Jul 8

46%

vs.

54%

Nelson

Wacha

L 4-7 Jul 6

34%

@

66%

Garza

Roark

W 5-2 Jul 5

39%

@

61%

Davies

Gonzalez

W 1-0 Jul 4

35%

@

65%

Guerra

Scherzer

L 8-9 Jul 3

36%

@

64%

Anderson

Wacha

L 0-3 Jul 2

36%

@

64%

Nelson

Wainwright

L 1-7 Jul 1

34%

@

66%

Garza

Garcia

L 1-8 Jun 30

45%

vs.

55%

Davies

Maeda

W 7-0 Jun 29

49%

vs.

51%

Guerra

Stewart

L 5-6 Jun 28

44%

vs.

56%

Anderson

Urias

L 2-3 Jun 26

45%

vs.

55%

Nelson

Roark

W 6-5 Jun 25

43%

vs.

57%

Garza

Gonzalez

W 5-3 Jun 24

40%

vs.

60%

Davies

Scherzer

W 4-2 Jun 22

46%

@

54%

Guerra

Mengden

L 3-5 Jun 21

45%

@

55%

Nelson

Gray

L 1-2 Jun 19

32%

@

68%

Garza

Maeda

L 6-10 Jun 18

42%

@

58%

Anderson

Bolsinger

L 2-3 Jun 17

42%

@

58%

Davies

Urias

W 8-6 Jun 16

42%

@

58%

Guerra

Kazmir

L 1-10 Jun 15

34%

@

66%

Nelson

Cueto

L 2-3 Jun 14

28%

@

72%

Garza

Bumgarner

L 5-11 Jun 13

42%

@

58%

Anderson

Cain

W 5-3 Jun 12

45%

vs.

55%

Davies

Matz

W 7-4 Jun 11

43%

vs.

57%

Peralta

Verrett

L 1-2 Jun 10

48%

vs.

52%

Guerra

Harvey

L 2-5 Jun 9

49%

vs.

51%

Nelson

Colon

W 4-0 Jun 8

52%

vs.

48%

Anderson

Hahn

W 5-4 Jun 7

53%

vs.

47%

Davies

Manaea

L 1-8 Jun 5

44%

@

56%

Peralta

Nola

W 6-3 Jun 4

54%

@

46%

Guerra

Hellickson

L 3-6 Jun 3

52%

@

48%

Nelson

Velasquez

W 4-1 Jun 2

48%

@

52%

Anderson

Eickhoff

W 3-1 Jun 1

41%

vs.

59%

Davies

Garcia

L 3-10 May 31

41%

vs.

59%

Peralta

Leake

L 0-6 May 30

50%

vs.

50%

Guerra

Martinez

W 5-4 May 29

61%

vs.

39%

Nelson

Finnegan

L 6-7 May 28

62%

vs.

38%

Anderson

Simon

W 9-5 May 27

58%

vs.

42%

Davies

Lamb

W 6-2 May 26

47%

@

53%

Peralta

Wisler

W 3-2 May 25

59%

@

41%

Guerra

Foltynewicz

W 2-1 May 24

50%

@

50%

Nelson

Teheran

L 1-3 May 22

34%

@

66%

Anderson

Syndergaard

L 4-5 May 21

34%

@

66%

Davies

deGrom

L 2-3 May 20

34%

@

66%

Peralta

Matz

W 5-3 May 19

43%

vs.

57%

Guerra

Hammel

L 1-2 May 18

39%

vs.

61%

Nelson

Lackey

W 4-2 May 17

37%

vs.

63%

Anderson

Hendricks

W 3-2 May 15

53%

vs.

47%

Davies

Vargas

L 7-8 May 14

51%

vs.

49%

Peralta

Perdomo

W 1-0 May 13

57%

vs.

43%

Guerra

Friedrich

L 0-3 May 12

54%

vs.

46%

Nelson

Shields

L 2-3 May 11

41%

@

59%

Anderson

Chen

W 10-2 May 10

40%

@

60%

Davies

Conley

L 1-4 May 9

35%

@

65%

Peralta

Fernandez

W 5-4 May 8

49%

@

51%

Guerra

Lamb

W 13-7 May 7

49%

@

51%

Nelson

Finnegan

L 1-5 May 6

45%

@

55%

Cravy

Adleman

L 5-9 May 5

50%

@

50%

Anderson

Simon

L 3-7 May 4

46%

vs.

54%

Davies

Santiago

W 5-4 May 3

48%

vs.

52%

Guerra

Tropeano

W 8-5 May 2

51%

vs.

49%

Nelson

Weaver

W 14-5 May 1

49%

vs.

51%

Peralta

Koehler

L 5-7 Apr 30

47%

vs.

53%

Anderson

Chen

L 3-6 Apr 29

48%

vs.

52%

Davies

Conley

L 2-7 Apr 28

24%

@

76%

Jungmann

Arrieta

L 3-4 Apr 26

34%

@

66%

Nelson

Hendricks

W 8-5 Apr 24

51%

vs.

49%

Peralta

Eickhoff

L 6-10 Apr 23

59%

vs.

41%

Anderson

Morton

L 2-5 Apr 22

55%

vs.

45%

Davies

Nola

L 1-8 Apr 21

53%

vs.

47%

Jungmann

Nolasco

W 10-5 Apr 20

55%

vs.

45%

Nelson

Milone

W 6-5 Apr 19

40%

@

60%

Peralta

Santana

L 4-7 Apr 18

44%

@

56%

Anderson

Hughes

L 3-9 Apr 17

44%

@

56%

Davies

Nicasio

L 0-5 Apr 16

42%

@

58%

Jungmann

Niese

W 8-4 Apr 15

42%

@

58%

Nelson

Locke

L 0-7 Apr 14

36%

@

64%

Peralta

Garcia

W 6-4 Apr 13

40%

@

60%

Anderson

Leake

L 1-10 Apr 11

41%

@

59%

Jungmann

Wacha

W 3-2 Apr 10

41%

vs.

59%

Nelson

Keuchel

L 4-6 Apr 9

46%

vs.

54%

Peralta

Fister

W 6-4 Apr 8

47%

vs.

53%

Anderson

Feldman

W 4-3 Apr 6

47%

vs.

53%

Jungmann

Samardzija

L 1-2 Apr 5

45%

vs.

55%

Nelson

Cueto

L 3-12 Apr 4

39%

vs.

61%

Peralta

Bumgarner

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