2018 MLB Predictions

The Brewers have a 55% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1516, down 3 points from last week.

NL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Cubs Cubs69-50	—	93%	74%
Brewers Brewers68-55	3.0	55%	14%
Cardinals Cardinals66-55	4.0	52%	12%
Pirates Pirates61-60	9.0	5%	<1%
Reds Reds52-69	18.0	<1%	<1%

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1516	–4	+0	=1512	43%
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1532	+6	+24	=1562	57%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1516	–18	+0	=1498	40%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1532	+14	+24	=1570	60%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1516	+3	+0	=1519	46%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gant	1532	–11	+24	=1545	54%
8/20Monday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1467	–19	–2	=1446	36%
8/20Monday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1516	+10	+22	=1548	64%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1467	–2	+0	=1465	41%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1516	–9	+24	=1531	59%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.	CINReds	Stephenson	1467	+4	+0	=1471	41%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1516	–4	+24	=1536	59%
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1498	+3	+0	=1501	47%
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1516	–18	+26	=1524	53%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1498	+21	+0	=1519	46%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1516	+3	+24	=1543	54%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1498	+8	+0	=1506	44%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1516	+10	+24	=1550	56%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1516	–9	+0	=1507	53%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1467	–2	+24	=1489	47%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1516	–4	+0	=1512	52%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.	CINReds	Stephenson	1467	+4	+24	=1495	48%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3012:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1516	–18	+0	=1498	48%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3012:35 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1467	+24	+24	=1515	52%
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	–2	=1512	45%
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1526	–4	+24	=1546	55%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+0	=1514	45%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1526	–4	+24	=1546	55%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+0	=1514	45%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1526	–4	+24	=1546	55%
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1544	+3	–3	=1544	51%
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+21	=1535	49%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1544	+3	+0	=1547	51%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+24	=1538	49%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1544	+3	+0	=1547	51%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+24	=1538	49%
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1500	+5	–1	=1504	45%
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+26	=1540	55%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1500	+5	+0	=1505	45%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+24	=1538	55%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1500	+5	+0	=1505	45%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+24	=1538	55%
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	–1	=1513	42%
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1544	+3	+21	=1568	58%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+0	=1514	42%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1544	+3	+24	=1571	58%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+0	=1514	42%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1544	+3	+24	=1571	58%
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1498	+5	+0	=1503	45%
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+25	=1539	55%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1498	+5	+0	=1503	45%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+24	=1538	55%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1498	+5	+0	=1503	45%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+24	=1538	55%
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.	CINReds	—	1467	+6	–1	=1472	41%
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+24	=1538	59%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.	CINReds	—	1467	+6	+0	=1473	41%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+24	=1538	59%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m.	CINReds	—	1467	+6	+0	=1473	41%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+24	=1538	59%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+0	=1514	48%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1498	+5	+26	=1529	52%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+0	=1514	48%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1498	+5	+24	=1527	52%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+0	=1514	48%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1498	+5	+24	=1527	52%
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	–3	=1511	44%
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1532	–2	+24	=1554	56%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+0	=1514	44%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1532	–2	+24	=1554	56%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+0	=1514	44%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1532	–2	+24	=1554	56%
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	DETTigers	—	1444	–3	–2	=1439	36%
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+24	=1538	64%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	DETTigers	—	1444	–3	+0	=1441	36%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+24	=1538	64%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.	DETTigers	—	1444	–3	+0	=1441	36%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1516	–2	+24	=1538	64%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 152:20 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Guerra	1518	–3	+0	=1515	41%	4
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 152:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1542	+13	+24	=1579	59%	8
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 142:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1514	+4	–1	=1517	41%	7
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 142:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1546	+5	+26	=1577	59%	0
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1515	+6	+0	=1521	47%	7
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1514	+6	+24	=1544	53%	8
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1513	–19	+0	=1494	45%	4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1516	–10	+24	=1530	55%	2
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1517	+8	–3	=1522	49%	1
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Gausman	1512	–2	+21	=1531	51%	10
8/9Thursday, Aug. 92 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1446	+8	+0	=1454	38%	8
8/9Thursday, Aug. 92 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1521	–3	+24	=1542	62%	4
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Kennedy	1448	+10	+0	=1458	38%	4
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1519	+2	+24	=1545	62%	8
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1443	+1	+1	=1445	34%	11
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1523	+8	+26	=1557	66%	5
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1508	+9	+0	=1517	49%	5
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1525	–22	+24	=1527	51%	4
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1511	+16	+0	=1527	47%	4
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1522	+2	+24	=1548	53%	8
8/3Friday, Aug. 38:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1512	–10	–2	=1500	45%	3
8/3Friday, Aug. 38:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1521	–5	+20	=1536	55%	5
8/2Thursday, Aug. 29 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1525	+10	+0	=1535	40%	5
8/2Thursday, Aug. 29 p.m.	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1560	+23	+24	=1607	60%	21
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 110:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1527	+6	+0	=1533	42%	4
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 110:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hill	1559	+6	+24	=1589	58%	6
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1525	–29	+0	=1496	38%	1
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Buehler	1561	–3	+24	=1582	62%	0
7/30Monday, July 3010 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1522	+1	–2	=1521	41%	5
7/30Monday, July 3010 p.m.	LADDodgers	Maeda	1564	–1	+20	=1583	59%	2
7/29Sunday, July 294:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1524	–2	+0	=1522	49%	5
7/29Sunday, July 294:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1495	+9	+24	=1528	51%	8
7/28Saturday, July 289:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1521	+8	+0	=1529	49%	7
7/28Saturday, July 289:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Cueto	1499	+10	+24	=1533	51%	1
7/27Friday, July 2710:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1519	+6	+0	=1525	46%	3
7/27Friday, July 2710:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Bumgarner	1501	+27	+24	=1552	54%	1
7/26Thursday, July 2610:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1517	–28	–4	=1485	42%	7
7/26Thursday, July 2610:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Rodriguez	1503	+14	+21	=1538	58%	5
7/25Wednesday, July 252:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1517	–17	+0	=1500	43%	7
7/25Wednesday, July 252:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1520	+7	+24	=1551	57%	3
7/24Tuesday, July 248:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1519	–12	+0	=1507	45%	4
7/24Tuesday, July 248:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1519	–1	+24	=1542	55%	5
7/23Monday, July 238:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1521	–8	–3	=1510	45%	1
7/23Monday, July 238:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1516	+4	+24	=1544	55%	6
7/22Sunday, July 222:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Wood	1559	–5	+0	=1554	52%	11
7/22Sunday, July 222:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1520	–6	+24	=1538	48%	2
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1561	+22	+0	=1583	55%	2
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1518	+4	+24	=1546	45%	4
7/20Friday, July 208:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hill	1560	–2	+3	=1561	57%	6
7/20Friday, July 208:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1519	–34	+29	=1514	43%	4
7/15Sunday, July 151:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1521	+2	+0	=1523	53%	6
7/15Sunday, July 151:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1482	–7	+24	=1499	47%	7
7/14Saturday, July 144:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1524	–7	+0	=1517	54%	2
7/14Saturday, July 144:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Holmes	1479	–10	+24	=1493	46%	6
7/14Saturday, July 1412:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1525	+7	+0	=1532	55%	1
7/14Saturday, July 1412:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1477	–4	+24	=1497	45%	2
7/13Friday, July 137:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1528	+5	+0	=1533	55%	3
7/13Friday, July 137:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1474	+0	+24	=1498	45%	7
7/12Thursday, July 127:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1531	–36	–3	=1492	47%	3
7/12Thursday, July 127:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1472	+15	+24	=1511	53%	6
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1532	+11	+0	=1543	61%	4
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1443	–5	+24	=1462	39%	5
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1530	+2	+0	=1532	59%	8
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1445	–2	+24	=1467	41%	4
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1532	+6	–3	=1535	58%	3
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1444	+14	+21	=1479	42%	4
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1515	+2	+0	=1517	44%	3
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1529	+3	+24	=1556	56%	10
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1512	–7	+0	=1505	46%	5
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Wilkerson	1532	–19	+24	=1537	54%	1
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1513	+19	+0	=1532	46%	4
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1531	+6	+24	=1561	54%	5
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Fried	1516	–4	–3	=1509	44%	2
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1528	–2	+24	=1550	56%	7
7/4Wednesday, July 44:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1488	+21	+0	=1509	43%	2
7/4Wednesday, July 44:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1527	+5	+24	=1556	57%	3
7/3Tuesday, July 34:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1489	–5	+0	=1484	40%	0
7/3Tuesday, July 34:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1525	+3	+24	=1552	60%	2
7/2Monday, July 28:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1491	+11	–1	=1501	44%	5
7/2Monday, July 28:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1524	–4	+22	=1542	56%	6
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1528	+10	+0	=1538	57%	2
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1472	–8	+24	=1488	43%	8
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1533	–2	+0	=1531	54%	3
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1468	+10	+24	=1502	46%	12
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1530	+3	+0	=1533	55%	8
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1470	+1	+24	=1495	45%	2
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1528	+5	–2	=1531	52%	6
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1472	+24	+22	=1518	48%	4
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1417	+9	+0	=1426	33%	5
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1530	–3	+24	=1551	67%	4
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1419	+10	–2	=1427	32%	1
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1529	+0	+26	=1555	68%	5
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1507	–11	+0	=1496	40%	8
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1533	+6	+24	=1563	60%	2
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1505	+18	+0	=1523	45%	3
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1535	+0	+24	=1559	55%	2
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1506	+4	+0	=1510	43%	1
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1533	+3	+24	=1560	57%	2
6/21Thursday, June 218:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1510	+11	–3	=1518	46%	3
6/21Thursday, June 218:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1530	–6	+24	=1548	54%	11
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1528	–10	+0	=1518	49%	3
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1487	+12	+24	=1523	51%	2
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1530	+8	–2	=1536	54%	0
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1486	+0	+24	=1510	46%	1
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1496	+37	+0	=1533	46%	10
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1532	+6	+24	=1562	54%	9
6/16Saturday, June 164:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1493	–23	+0	=1470	37%	4
6/16Saturday, June 164:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1535	+6	+24	=1565	63%	1
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1497	+8	–3	=1502	43%	2
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1531	–8	+26	=1549	57%	13
6/13Wednesday, June 132:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1564	–3	+0	=1561	50%	0
6/13Wednesday, June 132:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1529	+5	+24	=1558	50%	1
6/12Tuesday, June 128:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1567	–18	+0	=1549	49%	0
6/12Tuesday, June 128:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1527	+2	+24	=1553	51%	4
6/11Monday, June 118:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1564	+3	–1	=1566	51%	7
6/11Monday, June 118:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1529	+7	+21	=1557	49%	2
6/10Sunday, June 101:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1531	–22	+0	=1509	53%	3
6/10Sunday, June 101:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1495	–28	+24	=1491	47%	4
6/9Saturday, June 91:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1526	–6	+0	=1520	48%	12
6/9Saturday, June 91:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1499	+13	+24	=1536	52%	3
6/8Friday, June 87:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1523	+7	+0	=1530	52%	12
6/8Friday, June 87:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1503	–6	+21	=1518	48%	4
6/6Wednesday, June 61:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1524	+3	+0	=1527	42%	1
6/6Wednesday, June 61:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1555	+1	+24	=1580	58%	3
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1525	+8	+0	=1533	38%	2
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1554	+42	+23	=1619	62%	3
6/3Sunday, June 32:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1529	–7	+0	=1522	61%	1
6/3Sunday, June 32:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1433	–16	+24	=1441	39%	6
6/2Saturday, June 22:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1527	+4	+0	=1531	59%	5
6/2Saturday, June 22:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1436	+11	+24	=1471	41%	0
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1530	+5	+1	=1536	63%	3
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1432	–10	+24	=1446	37%	8
5/30Wednesday, May 301:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Reyes	1523	–5	+0	=1518	44%	2
5/30Wednesday, May 301:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1529	+4	+24	=1557	56%	3
5/29Tuesday, May 297:40 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1520	–1	+0	=1519	45%	6
5/29Tuesday, May 297:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1533	–2	+24	=1555	55%	1
5/28Monday, May 282:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1523	–5	–2	=1516	45%	3
5/28Monday, May 282:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1530	–6	+24	=1548	55%	8
5/27Sunday, May 272:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1487	–21	+0	=1466	37%	7
5/27Sunday, May 272:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1529	+6	+24	=1559	63%	8
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1491	–21	+0	=1470	37%	6
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1526	+10	+24	=1560	63%	17
5/25Friday, May 258:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1492	+31	+0	=1523	46%	3
5/25Friday, May 258:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1524	+2	+24	=1550	54%	4
5/24Thursday, May 248:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1488	–15	–3	=1470	38%	5
5/24Thursday, May 248:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1528	–1	+24	=1551	62%	0
5/23Wednesday, May 231:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1524	–3	+0	=1521	47%	2
5/23Wednesday, May 231:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1525	–9	+24	=1540	53%	9
5/22Tuesday, May 227:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Koch	1525	–19	+0	=1506	44%	0
5/22Tuesday, May 227:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1524	+2	+24	=1550	56%	1
5/21Monday, May 217:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1527	+21	–3	=1545	49%	2
5/21Monday, May 217:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1522	+10	+22	=1554	51%	4
5/20Sunday, May 202:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1524	+1	+0	=1525	49%	1
5/20Sunday, May 202:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1500	+4	+24	=1528	51%	3
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1522	–3	+0	=1519	48%	5
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1502	+5	+24	=1531	52%	4
5/18Friday, May 188:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1519	–12	–1	=1506	45%	8
5/18Friday, May 188:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1505	+7	+26	=1538	55%	3
5/16Wednesday, May 163:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1515	–25	+0	=1490	40%	8
5/16Wednesday, May 163:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Koch	1537	–3	+24	=1558	60%	2
5/15Tuesday, May 159:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1516	–2	+0	=1514	41%	1
5/15Tuesday, May 159:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1536	+17	+24	=1577	59%	2
5/14Monday, May 149:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1512	+1	–3	=1510	41%	7
5/14Monday, May 149:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1539	+12	+24	=1575	59%	2
5/13Sunday, May 133:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1510	–14	+0	=1496	43%	7
5/13Sunday, May 133:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1502	+17	+24	=1543	57%	3
5/12Saturday, May 128:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1512	–8	+0	=1504	48%	0
5/12Saturday, May 128:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1500	–4	+24	=1520	52%	4
5/11Friday, May 118:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1510	–14	+0	=1496	45%	11
5/11Friday, May 118:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Bettis	1501	+7	+24	=1532	55%	10
5/10Thursday, May 108:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1508	–4	–3	=1501	47%	5
5/10Thursday, May 108:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1503	–9	+24	=1518	53%	2
5/9Wednesday, May 91:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1556	+9	+0	=1565	54%	6
5/9Wednesday, May 91:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1511	+2	+24	=1537	46%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:40 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1558	+39	–1	=1596	63%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1509	–28	+26	=1507	37%	3
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1489	–4	+0	=1485	40%	9
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1514	+16	+24	=1554	60%	0
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1490	+7	+0	=1497	46%	3
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1512	–8	+24	=1528	54%	5
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1488	+10	–3	=1495	43%	6
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1515	+6	+24	=1545	57%	4
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1513	–33	+0	=1480	49%	3
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1449	+17	+24	=1490	51%	1
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1512	+19	+0	=1531	58%	7
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1450	+0	+24	=1474	42%	6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1510	–7	–2	=1501	54%	6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	CINReds	Finnegan	1451	–1	+21	=1471	46%	5
4/29Sunday, April 292:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1512	–1	+0	=1511	40%	0
4/29Sunday, April 292:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1562	–8	+24	=1578	60%	2
4/28Saturday, April 282:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1513	+3	+0	=1516	40%	0
4/28Saturday, April 282:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1561	+0	+24	=1585	60%	3
4/27Friday, April 272:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1514	–11	+0	=1503	39%	2
4/27Friday, April 272:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1560	–2	+24	=1582	61%	3
4/26Thursday, April 268:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1516	+19	–2	=1533	41%	0
4/26Thursday, April 268:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1559	+14	+22	=1595	59%	1
4/25Wednesday, April 258:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1513	–6	+0	=1507	57%	6
4/25Wednesday, April 258:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1440	–4	+24	=1460	43%	2
4/24Tuesday, April 248:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1512	+1	+0	=1513	58%	5
4/24Tuesday, April 248:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1442	–10	+23	=1455	42%	2
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1431	–6	+0	=1425	34%	2
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1511	+2	+24	=1537	66%	4
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1432	+4	+0	=1436	37%	5
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1510	–7	+24	=1527	63%	6
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1435	+5	+0	=1440	39%	0
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1507	–10	+24	=1521	61%	8
4/19Thursday, April 198:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Peters	1437	–13	–1	=1423	33%	3
4/19Thursday, April 198:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1504	+21	+24	=1549	67%	12
4/18Wednesday, April 181:40 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1447	–3	+0	=1444	39%	0
4/18Wednesday, April 181:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1503	–2	+24	=1525	61%	2
4/17Tuesday, April 177:40 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1448	–5	+0	=1443	39%	0
4/17Tuesday, April 177:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1502	–1	+24	=1525	61%	2
4/16Monday, April 167:40 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1444	+26	–2	=1468	42%	10
4/16Monday, April 167:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1506	–5	+21	=1522	58%	4
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1507	–9	+0	=1498	41%	2
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1508	+30	+24	=1562	59%	3
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1504	+21	+0	=1525	53%	5
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Harvey	1511	–30	+24	=1505	47%	1
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1506	+4	–1	=1509	48%	5
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1509	–12	+23	=1520	52%	6
4/11Wednesday, April 111:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1504	–4	+0	=1500	45%	3
4/11Wednesday, April 111:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1522	–11	+24	=1535	55%	2
4/10Tuesday, April 108:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1506	–7	+0	=1499	41%	3
4/10Tuesday, April 108:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1520	+20	+24	=1564	59%	5
4/9Monday, April 97 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1504	–7	–2	=1495	44%	5
4/9Monday, April 97 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1522	–12	+24	=1534	56%	4
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1558	+7	+0	=1565	52%	3
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1506	+20	+24	=1550	48%	0
4/7Saturday, April 74:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1556	+0	+0	=1556	53%	5
4/7Saturday, April 74:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1508	+3	+24	=1535	47%	2
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1557	+18	+0	=1575	58%	4
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1507	–12	+24	=1519	42%	5
4/5Thursday, April 58:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1554	–9	+3	=1548	53%	8
4/5Thursday, April 58:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1510	–5	+24	=1529	47%	0
4/4Wednesday, April 47:40 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1521	+15	+0	=1536	51%	6
4/4Wednesday, April 47:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1514	–5	+24	=1533	49%	0
4/3Tuesday, April 37:40 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1522	–16	+0	=1506	42%	4
4/3Tuesday, April 37:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1512	+25	+24	=1561	58%	5
4/2Monday, April 22:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1519	–6	–3	=1510	46%	8
4/2Monday, April 22:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1515	+3	+22	=1540	54%	4
3/31Saturday, March 318:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1513	–5	+0	=1508	56%	7
3/31Saturday, March 318:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1453	–12	+24	=1465	44%	3
3/30Friday, March 3010:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1511	–1	+0	=1510	55%	8
3/30Friday, March 3010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1454	+0	+24	=1478	45%	6
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1510	+20	–4	=1526	58%	2
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1455	–10	+24	=1469	42%	1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL Central standings

Upcoming games

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL Central standings

Upcoming games

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments