2018 MLB Predictions

The Brewers have a 30% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1507, up 1 point from last week.

NL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Cubs Cubs8-8	2.5	67%	46%
Cardinals Cardinals10-8	1.5	52%	29%
Brewers Brewers11-9	1.5	30%	13%
Pirates Pirates12-7	—	25%	11%
Reds Reds3-15	8.5	1%	<1%

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Richards	1435	+5	+0	=1440	39%
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Chacin	1507	–10	+24	=1521	61%
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1435	+3	+0	=1438	38%
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1507	–6	+24	=1525	62%
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1435	–8	+0	=1427	35%
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1507	+2	+24	=1533	65%
4/24Tuesday, April 248:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1507	+1	+0	=1508	57%
4/24Tuesday, April 248:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1442	–9	+23	=1456	43%
4/25Wednesday, April 258:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1507	+19	+0	=1526	60%
4/25Wednesday, April 258:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1442	–9	+24	=1457	40%
4/26Thursday, April 268:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1507	–10	–2	=1495	37%
4/26Thursday, April 268:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1554	+13	+22	=1589	63%
4/27Friday, April 272:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1507	–6	+0	=1501	39%
4/27Friday, April 272:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1554	+0	+24	=1578	61%
4/28Saturday, April 282:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1507	+2	+0	=1509	40%
4/28Saturday, April 282:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1554	+3	+24	=1581	60%
4/29Sunday, April 292:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1507	+1	+0	=1508	41%
4/29Sunday, April 292:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1554	–7	+24	=1571	59%
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1507	+19	–2	=1524	58%
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	CINReds	Finnegan	1445	+2	+21	=1468	42%
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1507	–10	+0	=1497	54%
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1445	+3	+24	=1472	46%
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1507	–6	+0	=1501	51%
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1445	+26	+24	=1495	49%
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1492	+1	–3	=1490	44%
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1507	+2	+24	=1533	56%
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+0	=1493	45%
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	55%
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+0	=1493	45%
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	55%
5/8Tuesday, May 87:40 p.m.	CLEIndians	—	1572	+0	–1	=1571	55%
5/8Tuesday, May 87:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+26	=1533	45%
5/9Wednesday, May 91:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	—	1572	+0	+0	=1572	56%
5/9Wednesday, May 91:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	44%
5/10Thursday, May 108:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–3	=1504	47%
5/10Thursday, May 108:40 p.m.	COLRockies	—	1502	+0	+24	=1526	53%
5/11Friday, May 118:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	47%
5/11Friday, May 118:40 p.m.	COLRockies	—	1502	+0	+24	=1526	53%
5/12Saturday, May 128:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	47%
5/12Saturday, May 128:10 p.m.	COLRockies	—	1502	+0	+24	=1526	53%
5/13Sunday, May 133:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	47%
5/13Sunday, May 133:10 p.m.	COLRockies	—	1502	+0	+24	=1526	53%
5/14Monday, May 149:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–3	=1504	41%
5/14Monday, May 149:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	59%
5/15Tuesday, May 159:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	42%
5/15Tuesday, May 159:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	58%
5/16Wednesday, May 163:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	42%
5/16Wednesday, May 163:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1541	+0	+24	=1565	58%
5/18Friday, May 188:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–1	=1506	44%
5/18Friday, May 188:10 p.m.	MINTwins	—	1518	+0	+26	=1544	56%
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	45%
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	MINTwins	—	1518	+0	+24	=1542	55%
5/20Sunday, May 202:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	45%
5/20Sunday, May 202:10 p.m.	MINTwins	—	1518	+0	+24	=1542	55%
5/21Monday, May 217:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1541	+0	–3	=1538	51%
5/21Monday, May 217:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+22	=1529	49%
5/22Tuesday, May 227:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	52%
5/22Tuesday, May 227:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	48%
5/23Wednesday, May 231:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1541	+0	+0	=1541	52%
5/23Wednesday, May 231:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	48%
5/24Thursday, May 248:10 p.m.	NYMMets	—	1505	+0	–3	=1502	46%
5/24Thursday, May 248:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	54%
5/25Friday, May 258:10 p.m.	NYMMets	—	1505	+0	+0	=1505	46%
5/25Friday, May 258:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	54%
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	NYMMets	—	1505	+0	+0	=1505	46%
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	54%
5/27Sunday, May 272:10 p.m.	NYMMets	—	1505	+0	+0	=1505	46%
5/27Sunday, May 272:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	54%
5/28Monday, May 282:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1529	+0	–2	=1527	49%
5/28Monday, May 282:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	51%
5/29Tuesday, May 297:40 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1529	+0	+0	=1529	50%
5/29Tuesday, May 297:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	50%
5/30Wednesday, May 301:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1529	+0	+0	=1529	50%
5/30Wednesday, May 301:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	50%
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+1	=1508	56%
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	—	1443	+0	+24	=1467	44%
6/2Saturday, June 22:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	56%
6/2Saturday, June 22:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	—	1443	+0	+24	=1467	44%
6/3Sunday, June 32:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	56%
6/3Sunday, June 32:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	—	1443	+0	+24	=1467	44%
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	38%
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	—	1572	+0	+23	=1595	62%
6/6Wednesday, June 61:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	38%
6/6Wednesday, June 61:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	—	1572	+0	+24	=1596	62%
6/8Friday, June 87:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	48%
6/8Friday, June 87:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	—	1501	+0	+21	=1522	52%
6/9Saturday, June 91:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	47%
6/9Saturday, June 91:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	—	1501	+0	+24	=1525	53%
6/10Sunday, June 101:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	47%
6/10Sunday, June 101:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	—	1501	+0	+24	=1525	53%
6/11Monday, June 118:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1554	+0	–1	=1553	53%
6/11Monday, June 118:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+21	=1528	47%
6/12Tuesday, June 128:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1554	+0	+0	=1554	53%
6/12Tuesday, June 128:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	47%
6/13Wednesday, June 132:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1554	+0	+0	=1554	53%
6/13Wednesday, June 132:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	47%
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	—	1501	+0	–3	=1498	45%
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+26	=1533	55%
6/16Saturday, June 164:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	—	1501	+0	+0	=1501	46%
6/16Saturday, June 164:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	54%
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	—	1501	+0	+0	=1501	46%
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	54%
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–2	=1505	48%
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+24	=1517	52%
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	49%
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+24	=1517	51%
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	49%
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+24	=1517	51%
6/21Thursday, June 218:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1529	+0	–3	=1526	50%
6/21Thursday, June 218:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+22	=1529	50%
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1529	+0	+0	=1529	50%
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	50%
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1529	+0	+0	=1529	50%
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	50%
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1529	+0	+0	=1529	50%
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	50%
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	—	1442	–1	–2	=1439	37%
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+26	=1533	63%
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	—	1442	–1	+0	=1441	37%
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	63%
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–2	=1505	55%
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1445	+0	+22	=1467	45%
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	55%
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1445	+0	+24	=1469	45%
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	55%
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1445	+0	+24	=1469	45%
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	55%
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1445	+0	+24	=1469	45%
7/2Monday, July 28:10 p.m.	MINTwins	—	1518	+0	–1	=1517	48%
7/2Monday, July 28:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+22	=1529	52%
7/3Tuesday, July 34:10 p.m.	MINTwins	—	1518	+0	+0	=1518	48%
7/3Tuesday, July 34:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	52%
7/4Wednesday, July 44:10 p.m.	MINTwins	—	1518	+0	+0	=1518	48%
7/4Wednesday, July 44:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	52%
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	—	1494	+0	–3	=1491	44%
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	56%
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	—	1494	+0	+0	=1494	45%
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	55%
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	—	1494	+0	+0	=1494	45%
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	55%
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	—	1494	+0	+0	=1494	45%
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	55%
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–3	=1504	57%
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	—	1435	+0	+21	=1456	43%
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	57%
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	—	1435	+0	+24	=1459	43%
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	57%
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	—	1435	+0	+24	=1459	43%
7/12Thursday, July 127:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–3	=1504	48%
7/12Thursday, July 127:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+24	=1517	52%
7/13Friday, July 137:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	49%
7/13Friday, July 137:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+24	=1517	51%
7/14Saturday, July 144:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	49%
7/14Saturday, July 144:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+24	=1517	51%
7/15Sunday, July 151:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	49%
7/15Sunday, July 151:35 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+24	=1517	51%
7/20Friday, July 208:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1560	+1	+3	=1564	54%
7/20Friday, July 208:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+29	=1536	46%
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1560	+1	+0	=1561	54%
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	46%
7/22Sunday, July 222:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1560	+1	+0	=1561	54%
7/22Sunday, July 222:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	46%
7/23Monday, July 238:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1535	+0	–3	=1532	50%
7/23Monday, July 238:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	50%
7/24Tuesday, July 248:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1535	+0	+0	=1535	51%
7/24Tuesday, July 248:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	49%
7/25Wednesday, July 252:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1535	+0	+0	=1535	51%
7/25Wednesday, July 252:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	49%
7/26Thursday, July 2610:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–4	=1503	49%
7/26Thursday, July 2610:15 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1490	+0	+21	=1511	51%
7/27Friday, July 2710:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	49%
7/27Friday, July 2710:15 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1490	+0	+24	=1514	51%
7/28Saturday, July 289:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	49%
7/28Saturday, July 289:05 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1490	+0	+24	=1514	51%
7/29Sunday, July 294:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	49%
7/29Sunday, July 294:05 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1490	+0	+24	=1514	51%
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–2	=1505	39%
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1560	+1	+20	=1581	61%
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	39%
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1560	+1	+24	=1585	61%
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 110:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	39%
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 110:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1560	+1	+24	=1585	61%
8/2Thursday, Aug. 29 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	39%
8/2Thursday, Aug. 29 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1560	+1	+24	=1585	61%
8/3Friday, Aug. 38:10 p.m.	COLRockies	—	1502	+0	–2	=1500	46%
8/3Friday, Aug. 38:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+20	=1527	54%
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m.	COLRockies	—	1502	+0	+0	=1502	46%
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	54%
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:10 p.m.	COLRockies	—	1502	+0	+0	=1502	46%
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	54%
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.	SDPadres	—	1449	+0	+1	=1450	38%
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+26	=1533	62%
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.	SDPadres	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	39%
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	61%
8/9Thursday, Aug. 92:10 p.m.	SDPadres	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	39%
8/9Thursday, Aug. 92:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	61%
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–3	=1504	48%
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	—	1494	+0	+21	=1515	52%
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	48%
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	—	1494	+0	+24	=1518	52%
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	48%
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	—	1494	+0	+24	=1518	52%
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 142:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–1	=1506	39%
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 142:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1554	+0	+29	=1583	61%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 152:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	40%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 152:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1554	+0	+24	=1578	60%
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	43%
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1529	+0	+24	=1553	57%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	43%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1529	+0	+24	=1553	57%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	43%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1529	+0	+24	=1553	57%
8/20Monday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1445	+0	–2	=1443	38%
8/20Monday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+22	=1529	62%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1445	+0	+0	=1445	38%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	62%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1445	+0	+0	=1445	38%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	62%
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+0	=1493	44%
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+26	=1533	56%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+0	=1493	45%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	55%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+0	=1493	45%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	55%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	55%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1445	+0	+24	=1469	45%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	55%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1445	+0	+24	=1469	45%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3012:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	55%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3012:35 p.m.	CINReds	—	1445	+0	+24	=1469	45%
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–2	=1505	42%
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1535	+0	+24	=1559	58%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	43%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1535	+0	+24	=1559	57%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	43%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1535	+0	+24	=1559	57%
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1554	+0	–3	=1551	53%
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+21	=1528	47%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1554	+0	+0	=1554	53%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	47%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1554	+0	+0	=1554	53%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	47%
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1490	+0	–1	=1489	44%
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+26	=1533	56%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1490	+0	+0	=1490	44%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	56%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1490	+0	+0	=1490	44%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	56%
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–1	=1506	40%
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1554	+0	+21	=1575	60%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	40%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1554	+0	+24	=1578	60%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	40%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1554	+0	+24	=1578	60%
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+0	=1493	44%
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+25	=1532	56%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+0	=1493	45%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	55%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+0	=1493	45%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	55%
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.	CINReds	—	1445	+0	–1	=1444	38%
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	62%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.	CINReds	—	1445	+0	+0	=1445	38%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	62%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m.	CINReds	—	1445	+0	+0	=1445	38%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	62%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	48%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+26	=1519	52%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	49%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+24	=1517	51%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	49%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1492	+1	+24	=1517	51%
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	–3	=1504	43%
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1529	+0	+24	=1553	57%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	43%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1529	+0	+24	=1553	57%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+0	=1507	43%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1529	+0	+24	=1553	57%
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	DETTigers	—	1452	+1	–2	=1451	39%
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	61%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	DETTigers	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	39%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	61%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.	DETTigers	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	39%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1507	+0	+24	=1531	61%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
4/19Thursday, April 198:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Peters	1437	–13	–1	=1423	33%	3
4/19Thursday, April 198:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Anderson	1504	+21	+24	=1549	67%	12
4/18Wednesday, April 181:40 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1447	–3	+0	=1444	39%	0
4/18Wednesday, April 181:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1503	–2	+24	=1525	61%	2
4/17Tuesday, April 177:40 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1448	–5	+0	=1443	39%	0
4/17Tuesday, April 177:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1502	–1	+24	=1525	61%	2
4/16Monday, April 167:40 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1444	+26	–2	=1468	42%	10
4/16Monday, April 167:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1506	–5	+21	=1522	58%	4
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1507	–9	+0	=1498	41%	2
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1508	+30	+24	=1562	59%	3
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1504	+21	+0	=1525	53%	5
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Harvey	1511	–30	+24	=1505	47%	1
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1506	+4	–1	=1509	48%	5
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1509	–12	+23	=1520	52%	6
4/11Wednesday, April 111:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1504	–4	+0	=1500	45%	3
4/11Wednesday, April 111:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1522	–11	+24	=1535	55%	2
4/10Tuesday, April 108:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1506	–7	+0	=1499	41%	3
4/10Tuesday, April 108:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1520	+20	+24	=1564	59%	5
4/9Monday, April 97 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1504	–7	–2	=1495	44%	5
4/9Monday, April 97 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1522	–12	+24	=1534	56%	4
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1558	+7	+0	=1565	52%	3
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1506	+20	+24	=1550	48%	0
4/7Saturday, April 74:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1556	+0	+0	=1556	53%	5
4/7Saturday, April 74:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1508	+3	+24	=1535	47%	2
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1557	+18	+0	=1575	58%	4
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1507	–12	+24	=1519	42%	5
4/5Thursday, April 58:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1554	–9	+3	=1548	53%	8
4/5Thursday, April 58:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1510	–5	+24	=1529	47%	0
4/4Wednesday, April 47:40 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1521	+15	+0	=1536	51%	6
4/4Wednesday, April 47:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1514	–5	+24	=1533	49%	0
4/3Tuesday, April 37:40 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1522	–16	+0	=1506	42%	4
4/3Tuesday, April 37:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1512	+25	+24	=1561	58%	5
4/2Monday, April 22:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1519	–6	–3	=1510	46%	8
4/2Monday, April 22:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1515	+3	+22	=1540	54%	4
3/31Saturday, March 318:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1513	–5	+0	=1508	56%	7
3/31Saturday, March 318:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1453	–12	+24	=1465	44%	3
3/30Friday, March 3010:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1511	–1	+0	=1510	55%	8
3/30Friday, March 3010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1454	+0	+24	=1478	45%	6
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1510	+20	–4	=1526	58%	2
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1455	–10	+24	=1469	42%	1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

By Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL Central standings

Upcoming games

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL Central standings

Upcoming games

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments