2018 MLB Predictions

The Brewers have an 80% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1535, the same as last week.

NL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Cubs Cubs42-31	2.0	87%	55%
Brewers Brewers45-30	—	80%	40%
Cardinals Cardinals38-36	6.5	20%	4%
Pirates Pirates36-39	9.0	5%	<1%
Reds Reds30-45	15.0	<1%	<1%

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1505	+18	+0	=1523	45%
6/23Saturday, June 234:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Anderson	1535	+0	+24	=1559	55%
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1505	–11	+0	=1494	40%
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1535	+7	+24	=1566	60%
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1418	+0	–2	=1416	30%
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1535	–2	+26	=1559	70%
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1418	+8	+0	=1426	32%
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1535	–3	+24	=1556	68%
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1535	+4	–2	=1537	54%
6/28Thursday, June 287:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1463	+24	+22	=1509	46%
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1535	+0	+0	=1535	56%
6/29Friday, June 297:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1463	+4	+24	=1491	44%
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1535	+7	+0	=1542	56%
6/30Saturday, June 304:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1463	+11	+24	=1498	44%
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1535	–2	+0	=1533	58%
7/1Sunday, July 11:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1463	–11	+24	=1476	42%
7/2Monday, July 28:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1502	+11	–1	=1512	44%
7/2Monday, July 28:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1535	–3	+22	=1554	56%
7/3Tuesday, July 34:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1502	–14	+0	=1488	39%
7/3Tuesday, July 34:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1535	+4	+24	=1563	61%
7/4Wednesday, July 44:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1502	–8	+0	=1494	41%
7/4Wednesday, July 44:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1535	+0	+24	=1559	59%
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	McCarthy	1512	–16	–3	=1493	40%
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1535	+7	+24	=1566	60%
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1512	+14	+0	=1526	46%
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1535	–2	+24	=1557	54%
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1512	–9	+0	=1503	42%
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1535	–3	+24	=1556	58%
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1512	+10	+0	=1522	44%
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1535	+4	+24	=1563	56%
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	–3	=1533	61%
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	—	1433	+2	+21	=1456	39%
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	61%
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	—	1433	+2	+24	=1459	39%
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	61%
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	—	1433	+2	+24	=1459	39%
7/12Thursday, July 127:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	–3	=1533	54%
7/12Thursday, July 127:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+24	=1506	46%
7/13Friday, July 137:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	54%
7/13Friday, July 137:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+24	=1506	46%
7/14Saturday, July 1412:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	54%
7/14Saturday, July 1412:35 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+24	=1506	46%
7/14Saturday, July 144:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	54%
7/14Saturday, July 144:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+24	=1506	46%
7/15Sunday, July 151:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	54%
7/15Sunday, July 151:35 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+24	=1506	46%
7/20Friday, July 208:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1557	+2	+3	=1562	50%
7/20Friday, July 208:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+29	=1565	50%
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1557	+2	+0	=1559	50%
7/21Saturday, July 217:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	50%
7/22Sunday, July 222:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1557	+2	+0	=1559	50%
7/22Sunday, July 222:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	50%
7/23Monday, July 238:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1536	–6	–3	=1527	45%
7/23Monday, July 238:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	55%
7/24Tuesday, July 248:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1536	–6	+0	=1530	46%
7/24Tuesday, July 248:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	54%
7/25Wednesday, July 252:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1536	–6	+0	=1530	46%
7/25Wednesday, July 252:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	54%
7/26Thursday, July 2610:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	–4	=1532	51%
7/26Thursday, July 2610:15 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1501	+1	+21	=1523	49%
7/27Friday, July 2710:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	51%
7/27Friday, July 2710:15 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1501	+1	+24	=1526	49%
7/28Saturday, July 289:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	51%
7/28Saturday, July 289:05 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1501	+1	+24	=1526	49%
7/29Sunday, July 294:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	51%
7/29Sunday, July 294:05 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1501	+1	+24	=1526	49%
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	–2	=1534	43%
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1557	+2	+20	=1579	57%
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	43%
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1557	+2	+24	=1583	57%
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 110:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	43%
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 110:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1557	+2	+24	=1583	57%
8/2Thursday, Aug. 29 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	43%
8/2Thursday, Aug. 29 p.m.	LADDodgers	—	1557	+2	+24	=1583	57%
8/3Friday, Aug. 38:10 p.m.	COLRockies	—	1487	+1	–2	=1486	40%
8/3Friday, Aug. 38:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+20	=1556	60%
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m.	COLRockies	—	1487	+1	+0	=1488	40%
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	60%
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:10 p.m.	COLRockies	—	1487	+1	+0	=1488	40%
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	60%
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.	SDPadres	—	1461	+0	+1	=1462	36%
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+26	=1562	64%
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.	SDPadres	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	36%
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	64%
8/9Thursday, Aug. 92:10 p.m.	SDPadres	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	36%
8/9Thursday, Aug. 92:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	64%
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	–3	=1533	50%
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	—	1512	+0	+21	=1533	50%
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	50%
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	—	1512	+0	+24	=1536	50%
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	50%
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	—	1512	+0	+24	=1536	50%
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 142:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	–1	=1535	42%
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 142:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1560	+0	+29	=1589	58%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 152:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	43%
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 152:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	57%
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	51%
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	49%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	51%
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	49%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	51%
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	49%
8/20Monday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1463	+4	–2	=1465	37%
8/20Monday, Aug. 208:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+22	=1558	63%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1463	+4	+0	=1467	37%
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	63%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1463	+4	+0	=1467	37%
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	63%
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+0	=1482	39%
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+26	=1562	61%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+0	=1482	39%
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	61%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+0	=1482	39%
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	61%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	56%
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1463	+4	+24	=1491	44%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	56%
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.	CINReds	—	1463	+4	+24	=1491	44%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3012:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	56%
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3012:35 p.m.	CINReds	—	1463	+4	+24	=1491	44%
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	–2	=1534	47%
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1536	–6	+24	=1554	53%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	47%
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1536	–6	+24	=1554	53%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	47%
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	—	1536	–6	+24	=1554	53%
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1560	+0	–3	=1557	50%
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+21	=1557	50%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1560	+0	+0	=1560	50%
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	50%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1560	+0	+0	=1560	50%
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	50%
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1501	+1	–1	=1501	41%
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+26	=1562	59%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1501	+1	+0	=1502	42%
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	58%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.	SFGiants	—	1501	+1	+0	=1502	42%
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	58%
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	–1	=1535	43%
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1560	+0	+21	=1581	57%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	43%
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	57%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	43%
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	57%
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+0	=1482	39%
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+25	=1561	61%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+0	=1482	39%
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	61%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:10 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+0	=1482	39%
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	61%
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.	CINReds	—	1463	+4	–1	=1466	37%
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	63%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.	CINReds	—	1463	+4	+0	=1467	37%
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	63%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m.	CINReds	—	1463	+4	+0	=1467	37%
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	63%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	54%
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+26	=1508	46%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	54%
9/22Saturday, Sept. 227:05 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+24	=1506	46%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	54%
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	PITPirates	—	1482	+0	+24	=1506	46%
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	–3	=1533	50%
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	50%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	51%
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	49%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+0	=1536	51%
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 267:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	49%
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	DETTigers	—	1457	+0	–2	=1455	35%
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	65%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	DETTigers	—	1457	+0	+0	=1457	36%
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	64%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.	DETTigers	—	1457	+0	+0	=1457	36%
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	—	1535	+1	+24	=1560	64%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1506	+4	+0	=1510	43%	1
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Guerra	1533	+3	+24	=1560	57%	2
6/21Thursday, June 218:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1510	+11	–3	=1518	46%	3
6/21Thursday, June 218:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1530	–6	+24	=1548	54%	11
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1528	–10	+0	=1518	49%	3
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1487	+12	+24	=1523	51%	2
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1530	+8	–2	=1536	54%	0
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1486	+0	+24	=1510	46%	1
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1496	+37	+0	=1533	46%	10
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1532	+6	+24	=1562	54%	9
6/16Saturday, June 164:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1493	–23	+0	=1470	37%	4
6/16Saturday, June 164:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1535	+6	+24	=1565	63%	1
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1497	+8	–3	=1502	43%	2
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1531	–8	+26	=1549	57%	13
6/13Wednesday, June 132:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1564	–3	+0	=1561	50%	0
6/13Wednesday, June 132:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1529	+5	+24	=1558	50%	1
6/12Tuesday, June 128:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1567	–18	+0	=1549	49%	0
6/12Tuesday, June 128:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1527	+2	+24	=1553	51%	4
6/11Monday, June 118:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1564	+3	–1	=1566	51%	7
6/11Monday, June 118:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1529	+7	+21	=1557	49%	2
6/10Sunday, June 101:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1531	–22	+0	=1509	53%	3
6/10Sunday, June 101:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1495	–28	+24	=1491	47%	4
6/9Saturday, June 91:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1526	–6	+0	=1520	48%	12
6/9Saturday, June 91:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1499	+13	+24	=1536	52%	3
6/8Friday, June 87:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1523	+7	+0	=1530	52%	12
6/8Friday, June 87:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1503	–6	+21	=1518	48%	4
6/6Wednesday, June 61:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1524	+3	+0	=1527	42%	1
6/6Wednesday, June 61:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1555	+1	+24	=1580	58%	3
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1525	+8	+0	=1533	38%	2
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1554	+42	+23	=1619	62%	3
6/3Sunday, June 32:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1529	–7	+0	=1522	61%	1
6/3Sunday, June 32:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1433	–16	+24	=1441	39%	6
6/2Saturday, June 22:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1527	+4	+0	=1531	59%	5
6/2Saturday, June 22:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1436	+11	+24	=1471	41%	0
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1530	+5	+1	=1536	63%	3
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1432	–10	+24	=1446	37%	8
5/30Wednesday, May 301:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Reyes	1523	–5	+0	=1518	44%	2
5/30Wednesday, May 301:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1529	+4	+24	=1557	56%	3
5/29Tuesday, May 297:40 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1520	–1	+0	=1519	45%	6
5/29Tuesday, May 297:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1533	–2	+24	=1555	55%	1
5/28Monday, May 282:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1523	–5	–2	=1516	45%	3
5/28Monday, May 282:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1530	–6	+24	=1548	55%	8
5/27Sunday, May 272:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1487	–21	+0	=1466	37%	7
5/27Sunday, May 272:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1529	+6	+24	=1559	63%	8
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1491	–21	+0	=1470	37%	6
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1526	+10	+24	=1560	63%	17
5/25Friday, May 258:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1492	+31	+0	=1523	46%	3
5/25Friday, May 258:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1524	+2	+24	=1550	54%	4
5/24Thursday, May 248:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1488	–15	–3	=1470	38%	5
5/24Thursday, May 248:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1528	–1	+24	=1551	62%	0
5/23Wednesday, May 231:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1524	–3	+0	=1521	47%	2
5/23Wednesday, May 231:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1525	–9	+24	=1540	53%	9
5/22Tuesday, May 227:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Koch	1525	–19	+0	=1506	44%	0
5/22Tuesday, May 227:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1524	+2	+24	=1550	56%	1
5/21Monday, May 217:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1527	+21	–3	=1545	49%	2
5/21Monday, May 217:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1522	+10	+22	=1554	51%	4
5/20Sunday, May 202:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1524	+1	+0	=1525	49%	1
5/20Sunday, May 202:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1500	+4	+24	=1528	51%	3
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1522	–3	+0	=1519	48%	5
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1502	+5	+24	=1531	52%	4
5/18Friday, May 188:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1519	–12	–1	=1506	45%	8
5/18Friday, May 188:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1505	+7	+26	=1538	55%	3
5/16Wednesday, May 163:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1515	–25	+0	=1490	40%	8
5/16Wednesday, May 163:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Koch	1537	–3	+24	=1558	60%	2
5/15Tuesday, May 159:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1516	–2	+0	=1514	41%	1
5/15Tuesday, May 159:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1536	+17	+24	=1577	59%	2
5/14Monday, May 149:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1512	+1	–3	=1510	41%	7
5/14Monday, May 149:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1539	+12	+24	=1575	59%	2
5/13Sunday, May 133:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1510	–14	+0	=1496	43%	7
5/13Sunday, May 133:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1502	+17	+24	=1543	57%	3
5/12Saturday, May 128:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1512	–8	+0	=1504	48%	0
5/12Saturday, May 128:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1500	–4	+24	=1520	52%	4
5/11Friday, May 118:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1510	–14	+0	=1496	45%	11
5/11Friday, May 118:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Bettis	1501	+7	+24	=1532	55%	10
5/10Thursday, May 108:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1508	–4	–3	=1501	47%	5
5/10Thursday, May 108:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1503	–9	+24	=1518	53%	2
5/9Wednesday, May 91:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1556	+9	+0	=1565	54%	6
5/9Wednesday, May 91:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1511	+2	+24	=1537	46%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:40 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1558	+39	–1	=1596	63%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1509	–28	+26	=1507	37%	3
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1489	–4	+0	=1485	40%	9
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1514	+16	+24	=1554	60%	0
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1490	+7	+0	=1497	46%	3
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1512	–8	+24	=1528	54%	5
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1488	+10	–3	=1495	43%	6
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1515	+6	+24	=1545	57%	4
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1513	–33	+0	=1480	49%	3
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1449	+17	+24	=1490	51%	1
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1512	+19	+0	=1531	58%	7
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1450	+0	+24	=1474	42%	6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1510	–7	–2	=1501	54%	6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	CINReds	Finnegan	1451	–1	+21	=1471	46%	5
4/29Sunday, April 292:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1512	–1	+0	=1511	40%	0
4/29Sunday, April 292:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1562	–8	+24	=1578	60%	2
4/28Saturday, April 282:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1513	+3	+0	=1516	40%	0
4/28Saturday, April 282:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1561	+0	+24	=1585	60%	3
4/27Friday, April 272:20 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1514	–11	+0	=1503	39%	2
4/27Friday, April 272:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1560	–2	+24	=1582	61%	3
4/26Thursday, April 268:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1516	+19	–2	=1533	41%	0
4/26Thursday, April 268:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1559	+14	+22	=1595	59%	1
4/25Wednesday, April 258:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1513	–6	+0	=1507	57%	6
4/25Wednesday, April 258:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1440	–4	+24	=1460	43%	2
4/24Tuesday, April 248:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1512	+1	+0	=1513	58%	5
4/24Tuesday, April 248:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1442	–10	+23	=1455	42%	2
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1431	–6	+0	=1425	34%	2
4/22Sunday, April 222:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1511	+2	+24	=1537	66%	4
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1432	+4	+0	=1436	37%	5
4/21Saturday, April 217:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1510	–7	+24	=1527	63%	6
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1435	+5	+0	=1440	39%	0
4/20Friday, April 208:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1507	–10	+24	=1521	61%	8
4/19Thursday, April 198:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Peters	1437	–13	–1	=1423	33%	3
4/19Thursday, April 198:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1504	+21	+24	=1549	67%	12
4/18Wednesday, April 181:40 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1447	–3	+0	=1444	39%	0
4/18Wednesday, April 181:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1503	–2	+24	=1525	61%	2
4/17Tuesday, April 177:40 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1448	–5	+0	=1443	39%	0
4/17Tuesday, April 177:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1502	–1	+24	=1525	61%	2
4/16Monday, April 167:40 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1444	+26	–2	=1468	42%	10
4/16Monday, April 167:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1506	–5	+21	=1522	58%	4
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1507	–9	+0	=1498	41%	2
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1508	+30	+24	=1562	59%	3
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1504	+21	+0	=1525	53%	5
4/14Saturday, April 147:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Harvey	1511	–30	+24	=1505	47%	1
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1506	+4	–1	=1509	48%	5
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1509	–12	+23	=1520	52%	6
4/11Wednesday, April 111:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1504	–4	+0	=1500	45%	3
4/11Wednesday, April 111:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1522	–11	+24	=1535	55%	2
4/10Tuesday, April 108:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1506	–7	+0	=1499	41%	3
4/10Tuesday, April 108:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1520	+20	+24	=1564	59%	5
4/9Monday, April 97 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1504	–7	–2	=1495	44%	5
4/9Monday, April 97 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1522	–12	+24	=1534	56%	4
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1558	+7	+0	=1565	52%	3
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1506	+20	+24	=1550	48%	0
4/7Saturday, April 74:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Darvish	1556	+0	+0	=1556	53%	5
4/7Saturday, April 74:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1508	+3	+24	=1535	47%	2
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1557	+18	+0	=1575	58%	4
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1507	–12	+24	=1519	42%	5
4/5Thursday, April 58:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1554	–9	+3	=1548	53%	8
4/5Thursday, April 58:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1510	–5	+24	=1529	47%	0
4/4Wednesday, April 47:40 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1521	+15	+0	=1536	51%	6
4/4Wednesday, April 47:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1514	–5	+24	=1533	49%	0
4/3Tuesday, April 37:40 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1522	–16	+0	=1506	42%	4
4/3Tuesday, April 37:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1512	+25	+24	=1561	58%	5
4/2Monday, April 22:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1519	–6	–3	=1510	46%	8
4/2Monday, April 22:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1515	+3	+22	=1540	54%	4
3/31Saturday, March 318:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1513	–5	+0	=1508	56%	7
3/31Saturday, March 318:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1453	–12	+24	=1465	44%	3
3/30Friday, March 3010:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1511	–1	+0	=1510	55%	8
3/30Friday, March 3010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1454	+0	+24	=1478	45%	6
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1510	+20	–4	=1526	58%	2
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1455	–10	+24	=1469	42%	1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL Central standings

Upcoming games

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL Central standings

Upcoming games

Team rating

Completed games

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Comments