Diamondbacks | 2016 MLB Predictions | FiveThirtyEight

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Starting Pitcher Adjustments

Matt Koch

53.3

+26.4

Zack Greinke

52.9

+24.9

Robbie Ray

49.3

+7.9

Archie Bradley

47.9

+1.3

Shelby Miller

46.4

-5.7

Braden Shipley

44.8

-13.3

Completed games

W 3-2 Oct 2

56%

vs.

44%

Koch

Clemens

W 9-5 Oct 1

52%

vs.

48%

Bradley

Richard

W 5-3 Sep 30

53%

vs.

47%

Shipley

Jackson

L 3-5 Sep 29

39%

@

61%

Ray

Ross

W 3-0 Sep 28

36%

@

64%

Miller

Gonzalez

L 2-4 Sep 27

30%

@

70%

Koch

Scherzer

W 14-4 Sep 26

33%

@

67%

Bradley

Roark

L 1-2 Sep 25

35%

@

65%

Shipley

Bundy

L 1-6 Sep 24

42%

@

57%

Ray

Miley

L 2-3 Sep 23

38%

@

62%

Miller

Gallardo

W 3-2 Sep 21

47%

@

53%

Greinke

Perdomo

L 2-5 Sep 20

47%

@

53%

Bradley

Clemens

L 2-3 Sep 19

44%

@

56%

Shipley

Richard

W 10-9 Sep 18

49%

vs.

51%

Ray

De Leon

L 2-6 Sep 17

44%

vs.

56%

Miller

Stewart

L 2-3 Sep 16

44%

vs.

56%

Greinke

Maeda

W 7-3 Sep 15

36%

vs.

64%

Bradley

Hill

W 11-6 Sep 14

58%

vs.

42%

De La Rosa

Hoffman

W 11-4 Sep 13

52%

vs.

48%

Ray

De La Rosa

W 12-9 Sep 12

42%

vs.

58%

Miller

Anderson

L 3-5 Sep 11

48%

vs.

52%

Greinke

Moore

L 3-11 Sep 10

42%

vs.

58%

Bradley

Cueto

L 6-7 Sep 9

41%

vs.

59%

De La Rosa

Bumgarner

L 1-3 Sep 7

41%

@

59%

Ray

Stewart

L 2-5 Sep 6

36%

@

64%

Miller

Stripling

L 2-10 Sep 5

38%

@

62%

Greinke

Maeda

W 8-5 Sep 4

38%

@

62%

Bradley

Gray

W 9-4 Sep 3

38%

@

62%

Shipley

Chatwood

L 7-14 Sep 2

44%

@

56%

Ray

De La Rosa

L 2-4 Aug 31

36%

@

64%

Miller

Moore

W 4-3 Aug 30

39%

@

61%

Greinke

Cueto

W 11-2 Aug 28

48%

vs.

52%

Bradley

Bailey

L 0-13 Aug 27

48%

vs.

52%

Godley

DeSclafani

W 4-3 Aug 26

47%

vs.

53%

Shipley

Finnegan

L 1-3 Aug 25

61%

vs.

39%

Ray

Wisler

W 10-9 Aug 24

56%

vs.

44%

Greinke

Teheran

L 4-7 Aug 23

55%

vs.

45%

Bradley

Whalen

W 9-8 Aug 22

57%

vs.

43%

Godley

Foltynewicz

L 1-9 Aug 21

45%

@

55%

Shipley

Perdomo

W 2-1 Aug 20

49%

@

51%

Ray

Richard

L 4-7 Aug 19

51%

@

49%

Greinke

Cosart

L 8-9 Aug 18

47%

@

53%

Bradley

Clemens

W 13-5 Aug 17

52%

vs.

48%

Godley

Niese

L 5-7 Aug 16

48%

vs.

52%

Shipley

Syndergaard

W 10-6 Aug 15

49%

vs.

51%

Ray

Colon

L 2-16 Aug 14

40%

@

60%

Greinke

Porcello

L 3-6 Aug 13

38%

@

62%

Bradley

Buchholz

L 4-9 Aug 12

32%

@

68%

Corbin

Price

W 9-0 Aug 11

35%

@

65%

Shipley

Syndergaard

W 3-2 Aug 10

41%

@

59%

Ray

Colon

W 5-3 Aug 9

45%

@

55%

Greinke

Matz

W 9-3 Aug 7

51%

vs.

49%

Bradley

Nelson

L 6-15 Aug 6

54%

vs.

46%

Corbin

Garza

W 3-2 Aug 5

52%

vs.

48%

Shipley

Anderson

L 3-8 Aug 3

34%

vs.

66%

Godley

Scherzer

L 4-10 Aug 2

42%

vs.

58%

Ray

Roark

L 1-14 Aug 1

38%

vs.

62%

Bradley

Strasburg

L 3-14 Jul 31

36%

@

64%

Corbin

Norris

W 4-2 Jul 30

32%

@

68%

Shipley

Kazmir

L 7-9 Jul 29

32%

@

68%

Godley

Maeda

L 4-6 Jul 28

45%

@

55%

Ray

Davies

W 8-1 Jul 27

44%

@

56%

Bradley

Nelson

L 4-9 Jul 26

49%

@

51%

Corbin

Garza

L 2-7 Jul 25

48%

@

52%

Shipley

Anderson

W 9-8 Jul 24

49%

@

51%

Godley

Finnegan

L 1-6 Jul 23

53%

@

47%

Ray

Sampson

L 2-6 Jul 22

47%

@

53%

Bradley

Straily

L 4-10 Jul 20

43%

vs.

57%

Corbin

Stroman

L 1-5 Jul 19

40%

vs.

60%

Godley

Sanchez

W 6-5 Jul 17

42%

vs.

58%

Ray

Maeda

W 2-1 Jul 16

44%

vs.

56%

Bradley

McCarthy

L 7-13 Jul 15

45%

vs.

55%

Corbin

Norris

L 0-4 Jul 10

31%

@

69%

Bradley

Bumgarner

L 2-4 Jul 9

39%

@

61%

Ray

Peavy

L 2-6 Jul 8

39%

@

61%

Corbin

Samardzija

L 6-13 Jul 6

53%

vs.

47%

Miller

Rea

W 7-5 Jul 5

57%

vs.

43%

Godley

Friedrich

L 4-8 Jul 4

59%

vs.

41%

Bradley

Perdomo

L 4-5 Jul 3

47%

vs.

53%

Ray

Suarez

W 6-5 Jul 2

46%

vs.

54%

Corbin

Samardzija

L 4-6 Jul 1

39%

vs.

61%

Miller

Cueto

L 8-9 Jun 29

62%

vs.

38%

Bradley

Eflin

L 3-4 Jun 28

65%

vs.

35%

Greinke

Eickhoff

L 0-8 Jun 27

60%

vs.

40%

Ray

Velasquez

L 7-9 Jun 26

49%

@

51%

Corbin

Bettis

L 6-11 Jun 25

47%

@

53%

Miller

De La Rosa

W 10-9 Jun 24

44%

@

56%

Bradley

Anderson

W 7-6 Jun 23

59%

@

41%

Greinke

Butler

L 2-5 Jun 22

40%

@

60%

Ray

Happ

W 4-2 Jun 21

36%

@

64%

Corbin

Estrada

W 3-1 Jun 20

53%

@

47%

Miller

Hellickson

W 5-1 Jun 19

61%

@

39%

Bradley

Eflin

W 4-1 Jun 18

58%

@

42%

Greinke

Eickhoff

W 10-2 Jun 17

55%

@

45%

Ray

Morgan

L 2-3 Jun 15

36%

vs.

64%

Corbin

Kershaw

L 4-7 Jun 14

44%

vs.

56%

Bradley

Maeda

W 3-2 Jun 13

58%

vs.

42%

Greinke

Bolsinger

W 6-0 Jun 12

51%

vs.

49%

Ray

Conley

W 5-3 Jun 11

44%

vs.

56%

Godley

Fernandez

L 6-8 Jun 10

56%

vs.

44%

Corbin

Nicolino

L 3-6 Jun 8

48%

vs.

52%

Bradley

Odorizzi

W 5-0 Jun 7

60%

vs.

40%

Greinke

Moore

L 4-6 Jun 6

50%

vs.

50%

Ray

Archer

W 3-2 Jun 5

27%

@

73%

Corbin

Arrieta

L 3-5 Jun 4

31%

@

69%

Escobar

Hammel

L 0-6 Jun 3

30%

@

70%

Bradley

Lackey

W 3-0 Jun 2

45%

@

55%

Greinke

Keuchel

L 4-5 Jun 1

42%

@

58%

Ray

Fiers

L 5-8 May 31

50%

vs.

50%

Corbin

McCullers

L 3-8 May 30

49%

vs.

51%

Escobar

McHugh

W 6-3 May 29

50%

vs.

50%

Bradley

Pomeranz

W 8-7 May 28

62%

vs.

38%

Greinke

Vargas

L 3-10 May 27

60%

vs.

40%

Ray

Friedrich

L 3-8 May 26

38%

@

62%

Corbin

Cole

L 4-5 May 25

44%

@

56%

De La Rosa

Locke

L 1-12 May 24

39%

@

61%

Miller

Liriano

W 7-2 May 22

44%

@

56%

Greinke

Garcia

L 2-6 May 21

42%

@

58%

Ray

Leake

W 11-7 May 20

40%

@

60%

Corbin

Martinez

L 2-4 May 18

50%

vs.

50%

Miller

Eovaldi

W 5-3 May 17

57%

vs.

42%

Greinke

Pineda

W 12-2 May 16

53%

vs.

47%

Ray

Green

L 1-2 May 15

54%

vs.

46%

De La Rosa

Cain

L 3-5 May 14

53%

vs.

47%

Corbin

Peavy

L 1-3 May 13

48%

vs.

52%

Miller

Samardzija

L 2-4 May 12

54%

vs.

46%

Greinke

Cueto

L 7-8 May 11

48%

@

52%

Ray

Bettis

W 5-1 May 10

52%

@

48%

De La Rosa

Rusin

W 10-5 May 9

41%

@

59%

Bradley

Chatwood

W 5-3 May 8

59%

@

41%

Corbin

Foltynewicz

W 4-2 May 7

50%

@

50%

Miller

Teheran

W 7-2 May 6

57%

@

42%

Greinke

Blair

L 0-4 May 5

45%

@

55%

Ray

Conley

L 3-4 May 4

40%

@

60%

De La Rosa

Fernandez

L 4-7 May 3

48%

@

52%

Corbin

Nicolino

L 3-6 May 1

53%

vs.

47%

Miller

Bettis

L 2-5 Apr 30

66%

vs.

34%

Greinke

Rusin

L 0-9 Apr 29

57%

vs.

43%

Ray

Chatwood

W 3-0 Apr 28

48%

vs.

52%

De La Rosa

Wacha

L 4-11 Apr 27

50%

vs.

50%

Corbin

Wainwright

L 2-8 Apr 26

48%

vs.

52%

Miller

Martinez

W 12-7 Apr 25

54%

vs.

46%

Greinke

Garcia

L 10-12 Apr 24

51%

vs.

49%

Ray

Liriano

W 7-1 Apr 23

50%

vs.

50%

De La Rosa

Nicasio

L 7-8 Apr 22

54%

vs.

46%

Corbin

Niese

W 6-2 Apr 21

40%

@

60%

Miller

Cueto

W 2-1 Apr 20

45%

@

55%

Greinke

Bumgarner

W 3-0 Apr 19

46%

@

54%

Ray

Cain

W 9-7 Apr 18

40%

@

60%

Bradley

Peavy

W 7-3 Apr 17

52%

@

48%

Corbin

Erlin

L 3-5 Apr 16

52%

@

48%

Miller

Cashner

W 3-2 Apr 15

57%

@

43%

Greinke

Shields

L 2-5 Apr 14

39%

@

61%

Ray

Stripling

L 1-3 Apr 13

38%

@

62%

De La Rosa

Wood

W 4-2 Apr 12

41%

@

59%

Corbin

Maeda

L 3-7 Apr 10

34%

vs.

66%

Miller

Arrieta

L 2-4 Apr 9

51%

vs.

49%

Greinke

Hendricks

W 3-2 Apr 8

47%

vs.

53%

Ray

Hammel

L 6-14 Apr 7

41%

vs.

59%

De La Rosa

Lackey

L 3-4 Apr 6

57%

vs.

42%

Corbin

Chatwood

W 11-6 Apr 5

56%

vs.

44%

Miller

Bettis

L 5-10 Apr 4

63%

vs.

37%

Greinke

De La Rosa

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