Dodgers | 2016 MLB Predictions | FiveThirtyEight

Elo history ESPN coverage

The Dodgers are done for the season.

See our 2018 MLB predictions »

Starting Pitcher Adjustments

Clayton Kershaw

65.1

+64.8

Rich Hill

58.2

+32.0

Julio Urias

51.9

+2.4

Kenta Maeda

51.6

+1.1

Completed games

L 0-5 Oct 22

46%

@

54%

Kershaw

Hendricks

L 4-8 Oct 20

41%

vs.

59%

Maeda

Lester

L 2-10 Oct 19

49%

vs.

51%

Urias

Lackey

W 6-0 Oct 18

50%

vs.

50%

Hill

Arrieta

W 1-0 Oct 16

46%

@

54%

Kershaw

Hendricks

L 4-8 Oct 15

32%

@

68%

Maeda

Lester

W 4-3 Oct 13

42%

@

58%

Hill

Scherzer

W 6-5 Oct 11

67%

vs.

33%

Kershaw

Ross

L 3-8 Oct 10

58%

vs.

42%

Maeda

Gonzalez

L 2-5 Oct 9

51%

@

49%

Hill

Roark

W 4-3 Oct 7

52%

@

48%

Kershaw

Scherzer

L 1-7 Oct 2

52%

@

48%

Maeda

Moore

L 0-3 Oct 1

65%

@

35%

Kershaw

Blach

L 3-9 Sep 30

52%

@

48%

Hill

Bumgarner

W 9-4 Sep 29

56%

@

43%

Urias

Friedrich

L 5-6 Sep 28

50%

@

50%

De Leon

Perdomo

L 1-7 Sep 27

62%

@

38%

Maeda

Clemens

W 4-3 Sep 25

58%

vs.

42%

McCarthy

Anderson

W 14-1 Sep 24

71%

vs.

29%

Kershaw

Bettis

W 5-2 Sep 23

57%

vs.

43%

Kazmir

Gray

W 7-4 Sep 22

56%

vs.

43%

Anderson

Chatwood

W 9-3 Sep 21

59%

vs.

41%

Maeda

Moore

L 0-2 Sep 20

59%

vs.

41%

Hill

Cueto

W 2-1 Sep 19

64%

vs.

36%

Kershaw

Bumgarner

L 9-10 Sep 18

51%

@

49%

De Leon

Ray

W 6-2 Sep 17

56%

@

44%

Stewart

Miller

W 3-2 Sep 16

56%

@

44%

Maeda

Greinke

L 3-7 Sep 15

64%

@

36%

Hill

Bradley

W 2-0 Sep 14

59%

@

41%

Kershaw

Pineda

L 0-3 Sep 13

51%

@

49%

Urias

Sabathia

W 8-2 Sep 12

44%

@

56%

De Leon

Mitchell

L 0-3 Sep 11

58%

@

42%

Maeda

Urena

W 5-0 Sep 10

59%

@

41%

Hill

Koehler

L 1-4 Sep 9

60%

@

40%

Kershaw

Fernandez

W 3-1 Sep 7

59%

vs.

41%

Stewart

Ray

W 5-2 Sep 6

64%

vs.

36%

Stripling

Miller

W 10-2 Sep 5

62%

vs.

38%

Maeda

Greinke

W 7-4 Sep 4

59%

vs.

41%

De Leon

Friedrich

W 5-1 Sep 3

66%

vs.

34%

Hill

Perdomo

L 2-4 Sep 2

66%

vs.

34%

Urias

Richard

W 10-8 Aug 31

55%

@

45%

Norris

Hoffman

L 0-7 Aug 31

47%

@

53%

Stripling

Anderson

L 1-8 Aug 29

55%

@

45%

Maeda

Gray

W 1-0 Aug 28

39%

vs.

61%

Stewart

Lester

W 3-2 Aug 27

51%

vs.

49%

Urias

Hammel

L 4-6 Aug 26

53%

vs.

47%

Norris

Montgomery

L 0-4 Aug 25

56%

vs.

44%

Stripling

Moore

W 1-0 Aug 24

59%

vs.

41%

Hill

Cueto

W 9-5 Aug 23

53%

vs.

47%

Maeda

Bumgarner

W 18-9 Aug 22

52%

@

48%

Kazmir

Bailey

W 4-0 Aug 21

52%

@

48%

Urias

DeSclafani

L 1-11 Aug 20

54%

@

46%

Anderson

Finnegan

L 2-9 Aug 19

56%

@

44%

Norris

Adleman

L 4-5 Aug 18

56%

@

44%

Stripling

Eickhoff

W 7-2 Aug 17

61%

@

39%

Kazmir

Thompson

W 15-5 Aug 16

58%

@

42%

Maeda

Velasquez

L 3-11 Aug 14

53%

vs.

47%

Anderson

Kuhl

W 8-4 Aug 13

52%

vs.

48%

McCarthy

Cole

L 1-5 Aug 12

57%

vs.

43%

Stripling

Nova

L 2-6 Aug 10

65%

vs.

35%

Kazmir

Hellickson

W 9-3 Aug 9

66%

vs.

34%

Maeda

Velasquez

W 9-4 Aug 8

65%

vs.

35%

Urias

Eflin

W 8-5 Aug 7

50%

vs.

50%

McCarthy

Price

W 3-0 Aug 6

52%

vs.

48%

Stripling

Rodriguez

L 0-9 Aug 5

53%

vs.

47%

Kazmir

Wright

W 4-2 Aug 4

54%

@

46%

Maeda

Chatwood

L 2-12 Aug 3

46%

@

54%

Stewart

Anderson

L 3-7 Aug 2

52%

@

48%

McCarthy

Gray

W 14-3 Jul 31

64%

vs.

36%

Norris

Corbin

L 2-4 Jul 30

68%

vs.

32%

Kazmir

Shipley

W 9-7 Jul 29

68%

vs.

32%

Maeda

Godley

L 1-3 Jul 27

64%

vs.

36%

McCarthy

Moore

W 3-2 Jul 26

60%

vs.

40%

Norris

Archer

W 9-6 Jul 24

49%

@

51%

Kazmir

Mayers

W 7-2 Jul 23

48%

@

52%

Maeda

Leake

L 3-4 Jul 22

48%

@

52%

McCarthy

Wacha

W 6-3 Jul 21

39%

@

61%

Urias

Strasburg

L 1-8 Jul 20

48%

@

52%

Norris

Gonzalez

W 8-4 Jul 19

48%

@

52%

Kazmir

Lopez

L 5-6 Jul 17

58%

@

42%

Maeda

Ray

L 1-2 Jul 16

56%

@

44%

McCarthy

Bradley

W 13-7 Jul 15

55%

@

45%

Norris

Corbin

W 3-1 Jul 10

65%

vs.

35%

Maeda

Friedrich

W 4-3 Jul 9

64%

vs.

36%

McCarthy

Perdomo

W 10-6 Jul 8

62%

vs.

38%

Kazmir

Cashner

L 0-6 Jul 7

60%

vs.

40%

Ryu

Pomeranz

L 4-6 Jul 6

52%

vs.

48%

Norris

Gausman

L 1-4 Jul 5

56%

vs.

44%

Maeda

Tillman

W 7-5 Jul 4

55%

vs.

45%

Urias

Gallardo

W 4-1 Jul 3

59%

vs.

41%

McCarthy

Gray

W 6-1 Jul 2

61%

vs.

39%

Kazmir

Bettis

W 5-0 Jul 1

58%

vs.

42%

Norris

De La Rosa

W 8-1 Jun 30

55%

@

45%

Maeda

Davies

L 0-7 Jun 29

51%

@

49%

Stewart

Guerra

W 6-5 Jun 28

56%

@

44%

Urias

Anderson

W 5-4 Jun 27

48%

@

52%

Kazmir

Liriano

L 3-4 Jun 26

63%

@

37%

Kershaw

Kuhl

L 1-6 Jun 25

55%

@

45%

Maeda

Locke

L 6-8 Jun 24

49%

@

51%

Tepesch

Taillon

W 4-3 Jun 22

53%

vs.

47%

Urias

Ross

W 3-2 Jun 21

53%

vs.

47%

Kazmir

Roark

W 4-1 Jun 20

68%

vs.

32%

Kershaw

Petit

W 2-1 Jun 19

68%

vs.

32%

Maeda

Garza

W 10-6 Jun 18

58%

vs.

42%

Bolsinger

Anderson

W 3-2 Jun 17

58%

vs.

42%

Urias

Davies

L 6-8 Jun 16

58%

vs.

42%

Kazmir

Guerra

W 3-2 Jun 15

64%

@

36%

Kershaw

Corbin

W 7-4 Jun 14

56%

@

44%

Maeda

Bradley

L 2-3 Jun 13

42%

@

58%

Bolsinger

Greinke

L 1-2 Jun 12

45%

@

55%

Urias

Peavy

L 4-5 Jun 11

47%

@

53%

Kazmir

Samardzija

W 3-2 Jun 10

55%

@

45%

Kershaw

Cueto

L 0-1 Jun 8

66%

vs.

34%

Maeda

Rusin

W 4-3 Jun 7

59%

vs.

41%

Urias

Butler

L 1-6 Jun 6

56%

vs.

44%

Bolsinger

Chatwood

W 12-6 Jun 5

66%

vs.

34%

Kazmir

Wisler

W 4-0 Jun 4

79%

vs.

21%

Kershaw

Norris

W 4-2 Jun 3

65%

vs.

35%

Maeda

Teheran

L 2-7 Jun 2

36%

@

64%

Urias

Hendricks

L 1-2 Jun 1

35%

@

65%

Bolsinger

Lester

W 5-0 May 31

31%

@

69%

Kazmir

Arrieta

L 0-2 May 30

41%

@

59%

Wood

Hammel

W 4-2 May 29

61%

@

39%

Kershaw

Colon

W 9-1 May 28

43%

@

57%

Maeda

Syndergaard

L 5-6 May 27

40%

@

60%

Urias

deGrom

W 3-1 May 25

61%

vs.

39%

Kazmir

Straily

W 8-2 May 24

62%

vs.

38%

Bolsinger

Wright

W 1-0 May 23

76%

vs.

24%

Kershaw

Finnegan

W 9-5 May 22

56%

@

44%

Maeda

Rea

L 2-3 May 21

56%

@

44%

Wood

Vargas

L 6-7 May 20

56%

@

43%

Kazmir

Friedrich

L 4-7 May 19

47%

@

53%

Stripling

Chacin

L 1-8 May 18

47%

@

53%

Bolsinger

Tropeano

W 5-1 May 17

70%

vs.

30%

Kershaw

Weaver

L 6-7 May 16

62%

vs.

38%

Maeda

Shoemaker

L 2-5 May 15

54%

vs.

46%

Wood

Leake

W 5-3 May 14

50%

vs.

50%

Kazmir

Martinez

W 8-4 May 13

54%

vs.

46%

Stripling

Wacha

W 5-0 May 12

63%

vs.

37%

Kershaw

Colon

L 3-4 May 11

55%

vs.

45%

Maeda

Syndergaard

W 3-2 May 10

47%

vs.

53%

Wood

deGrom

L 2-4 May 9

50%

vs.

50%

Kazmir

Matz

W 4-2 May 8

40%

@

60%

Stripling

Estrada

W 6-2 May 7

57%

@

43%

Kershaw

Dickey

L 2-5 May 6

49%

@

51%

Maeda

Stroman

L 5-8 May 4

46%

@

54%

Wood

Smyly

W 10-5 May 3

49%

@

51%

Kazmir

Moore

W 1-0 May 1

71%

vs.

29%

Kershaw

Pomeranz

L 2-5 Apr 30

62%

vs.

38%

Stripling

Rea

L 1-5 Apr 29

64%

vs.

36%

Wood

Vargas

L 3-5 Apr 28

62%

vs.

38%

Maeda

Fernandez

L 0-2 Apr 27

61%

vs.

39%

Kazmir

Nicolino

L 3-6 Apr 26

73%

vs.

27%

Kershaw

Koehler

L 2-3 Apr 25

60%

vs.

40%

Stripling

Chen

W 12-10 Apr 24

56%

@

44%

Wood

Lyles

W 4-1 Apr 23

57%

@

43%

Maeda

Chatwood

L 5-7 Apr 22

56%

@

44%

Kazmir

Gray

W 2-1 Apr 21

70%

@

30%

Kershaw

Wisler

W 5-3 Apr 20

61%

@

39%

Stripling

Teheran

L 1-8 Apr 19

63%

@

37%

Wood

Perez

W 3-1 Apr 17

58%

vs.

42%

Maeda

Samardzija

L 3-4 Apr 16

53%

vs.

47%

Kazmir

Cueto

W 7-3 Apr 15

61%

vs.

39%

Kershaw

Bumgarner

W 5-2 Apr 14

61%

vs.

39%

Stripling

Ray

W 3-1 Apr 13

62%

vs.

38%

Wood

De La Rosa

L 2-4 Apr 12

59%

vs.

41%

Maeda

Corbin

L 6-9 Apr 10

46%

@

54%

Kazmir

Cueto

W 3-2 Apr 9

53%

@

47%

Kershaw

Bumgarner

L 2-3 Apr 8

51%

@

49%

Stripling

Cain

L 6-12 Apr 7

50%

@

50%

Wood

Peavy

W 7-0 Apr 6

57%

@

43%

Maeda

Cashner

W 3-0 Apr 5

56%

@

44%

Kazmir

Shields

W 15-0 Apr 4

63%

@

37%

Kershaw

Ross

Show more games ▾

CommentsAdd Comment