Yankees | 2016 MLB Predictions | FiveThirtyEight

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The Yankees are done for the season.

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Starting Pitcher Adjustments

Masahiro Tanaka

58.1

+26.3

CC Sabathia

53.6

+5.0

Michael Pineda

53.3

+3.7

Luis Cessa

52.4

-0.9

Bryan Mitchell

50.1

-11.6

Luis Severino

45.7

-32.0

Completed games

L 2-5 Oct 2

51%

vs.

49%

Cessa

Gausman

W 7-3 Oct 1

50%

vs.

50%

Severino

Miley

L 1-8 Sep 30

58%

vs.

42%

Pineda

Gallardo

W 5-1 Sep 29

52%

vs.

48%

Sabathia

Owens

W 5-3 Sep 28

44%

vs.

56%

Mitchell

Buchholz

W 6-4 Sep 27

41%

vs.

59%

Cessa

Price

W 7-5 Sep 26

37%

@

63%

Severino

Happ

L 3-4 Sep 25

43%

@

57%

Pineda

Estrada

L 0-3 Sep 24

44%

@

56%

Sabathia

Stroman

L 0-9 Sep 23

44%

@

56%

Mitchell

Liriano

L 0-2 Sep 22

50%

@

50%

Cessa

Snell

W 11-5 Sep 21

51%

@

49%

Tanaka

Cobb

W 5-3 Sep 20

51%

@

49%

Pineda

Smyly

L 4-5 Sep 18

41%

@

59%

Sabathia

Pomeranz

L 5-6 Sep 17

33%

@

67%

Mitchell

Price

L 4-7 Sep 16

42%

@

58%

Cessa

Buchholz

L 5-7 Sep 15

48%

@

52%

Tanaka

Rodriguez

L 0-2 Sep 14

41%

vs.

59%

Pineda

Kershaw

W 3-0 Sep 13

49%

vs.

51%

Sabathia

Urias

L 2-8 Sep 12

56%

vs.

44%

Mitchell

De Leon

L 2-4 Sep 11

60%

vs.

40%

Cessa

Andriese

W 5-1 Sep 10

59%

vs.

41%

Tanaka

Archer

W 7-5 Sep 9

59%

vs.

41%

Pineda

Snell

W 5-4 Sep 8

54%

vs.

46%

Sabathia

Cobb

W 2-0 Sep 7

47%

vs.

53%

Mitchell

Stroman

W 7-6 Sep 6

46%

vs.

54%

Cessa

Sanchez

W 5-3 Sep 5

56%

vs.

44%

Tanaka

Dickey

W 5-2 Sep 4

49%

@

51%

Pineda

Miley

L 0-2 Sep 3

44%

@

56%

Sabathia

Gausman

L 0-8 Sep 2

44%

@

56%

Green

Bundy

W 5-4 Aug 31

45%

@

55%

Cessa

Kennedy

W 5-4 Aug 30

53%

@

47%

Tanaka

Volquez

L 5-8 Aug 29

52%

@

48%

Pineda

Gee

L 0-5 Aug 28

53%

vs.

47%

Sabathia

Gausman

W 13-5 Aug 27

50%

vs.

50%

Green

Bundy

W 14-4 Aug 26

54%

vs.

46%

Cessa

Gallardo

W 5-0 Aug 24

46%

@

54%

Tanaka

Iwakuma

W 5-1 Aug 23

43%

@

57%

Sabathia

Walker

L 5-7 Aug 22

49%

@

51%

Pineda

Martin

L 0-2 Aug 21

51%

@

49%

Green

Chacin

W 5-1 Aug 20

47%

@

53%

Cessa

Nolasco

W 7-0 Aug 19

54%

@

46%

Tanaka

Weaver

L 4-7 Aug 17

44%

vs.

56%

Sabathia

Happ

L 6-12 Aug 16

47%

vs.

53%

Pineda

Estrada

W 1-0 Aug 15

44%

vs.

56%

Green

Dickey

L 3-12 Aug 14

55%

vs.

45%

Severino

Odorizzi

W 8-4 Aug 13

61%

vs.

39%

Tanaka

Andriese

W 6-3 Aug 12

55%

vs.

45%

Sabathia

Archer

W 4-2 Aug 11

47%

@

53%

Pineda

Rodriguez

W 9-4 Aug 10

41%

@

59%

Eovaldi

Pomeranz

L 3-5 Aug 9

38%

@

62%

Severino

Porcello

W 3-2 Aug 7

51%

vs.

49%

Tanaka

Carrasco

L 2-5 Aug 6

44%

vs.

56%

Sabathia

Kluber

W 13-7 Aug 5

52%

vs.

48%

Pineda

Tomlin

L 1-4 Aug 4

54%

vs.

46%

Eovaldi

Colon

W 9-5 Aug 3

46%

vs.

54%

Green

Matz

L 1-7 Aug 2

46%

@

54%

Tanaka

deGrom

W 6-5 Aug 1

48%

@

52%

Sabathia

Verrett

L 3-5 Jul 31

50%

@

50%

Pineda

Snell

L 3-6 Jul 30

51%

@

49%

Eovaldi

Smyly

L 1-5 Jul 29

50%

@

50%

Nova

Odorizzi

L 1-4 Jul 27

45%

@

55%

Tanaka

McCullers

W 6-3 Jul 26

41%

@

59%

Sabathia

Fister

W 2-1 Jul 25

40%

@

60%

Pineda

Keuchel

W 5-2 Jul 24

50%

vs.

50%

Eovaldi

Samardzija

L 1-2 Jul 23

45%

vs.

55%

Nova

Cueto

W 3-2 Jul 22

47%

vs.

53%

Tanaka

Bumgarner

L 1-4 Jul 21

48%

vs.

52%

Sabathia

Tillman

W 5-0 Jul 20

52%

vs.

48%

Pineda

Gallardo

W 7-1 Jul 19

49%

vs.

51%

Eovaldi

Worley

W 2-1 Jul 18

46%

vs.

54%

Nova

Gausman

W 3-1 Jul 17

47%

vs.

53%

Tanaka

Price

L 2-5 Jul 16

53%

vs.

47%

Sabathia

Rodriguez

L 3-5 Jul 15

49%

vs.

51%

Pineda

Wright

W 11-7 Jul 10

42%

@

58%

Tanaka

Carrasco

W 7-6 Jul 9

38%

@

62%

Sabathia

Salazar

L 2-10 Jul 8

35%

@

65%

Green

Kluber

W 5-4 Jul 7

38%

@

62%

Nova

Bauer

L 0-5 Jul 6

49%

@

51%

Pineda

Gonzalez

W 9-0 Jul 5

50%

@

50%

Tanaka

Rodon

L 2-8 Jul 4

52%

@

48%

Sabathia

Shields

W 6-3 Jul 3

47%

@

53%

Green

Cashner

L 1-2 Jul 2

45%

@

55%

Nova

Pomeranz

L 6-7 Jul 1

50%

@

50%

Eovaldi

Rea

W 2-1 Jun 30

47%

vs.

53%

Pineda

Griffin

W 9-7 Jun 29

56%

vs.

44%

Tanaka

Martinez

L 1-7 Jun 28

45%

vs.

55%

Sabathia

Hamels

L 6-9 Jun 27

49%

vs.

51%

Nova

Gonzalez

L 1-7 Jun 26

62%

vs.

38%

Eovaldi

Duffey

W 2-1 Jun 25

60%

vs.

40%

Pineda

Santana

W 5-3 Jun 24

67%

vs.

33%

Tanaka

Milone

W 9-8 Jun 22

57%

vs.

43%

Sabathia

Gray

L 4-8 Jun 21

56%

vs.

43%

Nova

Bettis

L 4-7 Jun 19

55%

@

45%

Eovaldi

Santana

W 7-6 Jun 18

55%

@

45%

Pineda

Nolasco

W 8-2 Jun 17

57%

@

43%

Tanaka

Dean

W 4-1 Jun 16

55%

@

45%

Sabathia

Gibson

L 3-6 Jun 15

49%

@

51%

Nova

Bettis

L 10-13 Jun 14

51%

@

49%

Eovaldi

De La Rosa

L 1-4 Jun 12

47%

vs.

53%

Pineda

Fulmer

L 1-6 Jun 11

55%

vs.

45%

Tanaka

Verlander

W 4-0 Jun 10

59%

vs.

41%

Sabathia

Pelfrey

W 6-3 Jun 9

52%

vs.

48%

Nova

Chacin

W 12-6 Jun 8

57%

vs.

43%

Eovaldi

Weaver

W 6-3 Jun 7

58%

vs.

42%

Pineda

Huff

W 5-2 Jun 6

57%

vs.

43%

Tanaka

Shoemaker

L 1-3 Jun 5

44%

@

56%

Sabathia

Gausman

W 8-6 Jun 4

43%

@

56%

Nova

Wilson

L 5-6 Jun 3

44%

@

56%

Eovaldi

Tillman

W 5-4 Jun 2

50%

@

50%

Pineda

Boyd

L 0-7 Jun 1

48%

@

52%

Tanaka

Sanchez

L 1-4 May 31

43%

@

56%

Sabathia

Happ

L 2-4 May 30

40%

@

60%

Nova

Estrada

W 2-1 May 29

47%

@

53%

Eovaldi

Odorizzi

L 5-9 May 28

49%

@

51%

Pineda

Moore

W 4-1 May 27

50%

@

50%

Tanaka

Archer

L 1-3 May 26

51%

vs.

49%

Sabathia

Happ

L 4-8 May 25

48%

vs.

52%

Nova

Estrada

W 6-0 May 24

53%

vs.

47%

Eovaldi

Dickey

W 5-4 May 22

49%

@

51%

Pineda

Hahn

W 5-1 May 21

57%

@

43%

Tanaka

Manaea

W 8-3 May 20

48%

@

52%

Sabathia

Gray

W 4-1 May 19

49%

@

51%

Nova

Graveman

W 4-2 May 18

50%

@

50%

Eovaldi

Miller

L 3-5 May 17

42%

@

57%

Pineda

Greinke

L 2-12 May 16

47%

@

53%

Green

Ray

W 7-5 May 15

58%

vs.

42%

Tanaka

Gonzalez

W 2-1 May 14

43%

vs.

57%

Nova

Quintana

L 1-7 May 13

43%

vs.

57%

Severino

Sale

W 7-3 May 12

53%

vs.

47%

Eovaldi

Kennedy

L 3-7 May 11

53%

vs.

47%

Pineda

Ventura

W 10-7 May 10

60%

vs.

40%

Tanaka

Medlen

W 6-3 May 9

52%

vs.

48%

Nova

Young

L 1-5 May 8

47%

vs.

53%

Severino

Wright

W 8-2 May 7

44%

vs.

56%

Eovaldi

Price

W 3-2 May 6

47%

vs.

53%

Pineda

Porcello

L 0-1 May 5

48%

@

52%

Tanaka

Gausman

W 7-0 May 4

44%

@

56%

Sabathia

Wilson

L 1-4 May 3

42%

@

58%

Severino

Tillman

L 7-8 May 1

38%

@

62%

Eovaldi

Price

L 0-8 Apr 30

42%

@

58%

Pineda

Porcello

L 2-4 Apr 29

49%

@

51%

Tanaka

Owens

L 2-3 Apr 27

45%

@

55%

Sabathia

Perez

L 1-10 Apr 26

46%

@

54%

Severino

Griffin

W 3-1 Apr 25

51%

@

49%

Eovaldi

Ramos

L 1-8 Apr 24

52%

vs.

48%

Pineda

Smyly

W 3-2 Apr 23

61%

vs.

39%

Tanaka

Snell

W 6-3 Apr 22

53%

vs.

47%

Sabathia

Moore

L 3-7 Apr 21

54%

vs.

46%

Severino

Hill

L 2-5 Apr 20

57%

vs.

42%

Eovaldi

Graveman

L 2-3 Apr 19

62%

vs.

38%

Pineda

Surkamp

W 4-3 Apr 17

55%

vs.

45%

Tanaka

Iwakuma

L 2-3 Apr 16

50%

vs.

50%

Sabathia

Hernandez

L 1-7 Apr 15

57%

vs.

43%

Severino

Karns

L 2-4 Apr 14

44%

@

56%

Eovaldi

Stroman

L 2-7 Apr 13

45%

@

55%

Pineda

Happ

W 3-2 Apr 12

50%

@

50%

Tanaka

Sanchez

W 8-4 Apr 9

49%

@

51%

Sabathia

Pelfrey

L 0-4 Apr 8

47%

@

53%

Severino

Zimmermann

W 8-5 Apr 7

52%

vs.

48%

Eovaldi

Fiers

W 16-6 Apr 6

51%

vs.

49%

Pineda

McHugh

L 3-5 Apr 5

50%

vs.

50%

Tanaka

Keuchel

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