North Carolina 5th

Solid R

1 in 20

Chance the Democrat wins (4.5%)

19 in 20

Chance the Republican wins (95.5%)

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# What goes into the
icon_classic_2
classic forecast in the North Carolina 5th

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals). It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings.

  • Adjusted polls

  • R+17.2

    CANTOR

  • R+13.7

    Fundamentals

  • R+21.3

    Experts

  • R+17.2

    icon_lite_2

    Lite

  • R+14.1

    icon_classic_2

    Classic

  • R+16.5

    icon_deluxe_2

    Deluxe

  • <0.1

  • <0.1

Historical adjustment

Key

More weight

Less

#Latest polls in the North Carolina 5th

We haven’t been able to find any polls for this district. Know of one? Send us an email.

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