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UPDATED May 19, 2019, at 7:20 AM

2018-19 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works

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The Los Angeles Clippers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALvs. full strengthvs. full strengthOff. +/-Def. +/-
Danilo GallinariD. Gallinari00249033SAME
+2.5
-0.3
Patrick BeverleyP. Beverley161200028SAME
+1.0
+1.1
Landry ShametL. Shamet111200023SAME
+1.2
-1.8
Montrezl HarrellM. Harrell00012728SAME
+1.1
+0.2
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderS. Gilgeous-Alexander91500024SAME
-0.6
-0.6
Lou WilliamsL. Williams12900021SAME
+3.1
-3.1
JaMychal GreenJ. Green00024024SAME
-1.6
-0.8
Wilson ChandlerW. Chandler001114025SAME
-1.2
-0.5
Ivica ZubacI. Zubac00002020SAME
-2.1
+1.8
Garrett TempleG. Temple00130013SAME
-1.6
+0.5
Jerome RobinsonJ. Robinson000000SAME
-1.6
-1.5
Tyrone WallaceT. Wallace000000SAME
-2.8
-0.2
Sindarius ThornwellS. Thornwell000000SAME
-2.5
+0.6
Rodney McGruderR. McGruder000000SAME
-1.4
-0.6
Johnathan MotleyJ. Motley000000SAME
-1.6
-0.1
Angel DelgadoA. Delgado000011SAME
-2.3
-0.1
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+1.8
-1.7
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
41
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1506
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALOff. +/-Def. +/-
Danilo GallinariD. Gallinari00249033
+2.5
-0.3
Patrick BeverleyP. Beverley161200028
+1.0
+1.1
Landry ShametL. Shamet111200023
+1.2
-1.8
Montrezl HarrellM. Harrell00012728
+1.1
+0.2
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderS. Gilgeous-Alexander91500024
-0.6
-0.6
Lou WilliamsL. Williams12900021
+3.1
-3.1
JaMychal GreenJ. Green00024024
-1.6
-0.8
Wilson ChandlerW. Chandler001114025
-1.2
-0.5
Ivica ZubacI. Zubac00002020
-2.1
+1.8
Garrett TempleG. Temple00130013
-1.6
+0.5
Jerome RobinsonJ. Robinson000000
-1.6
-1.5
Tyrone WallaceT. Wallace000000
-2.8
-0.2
Sindarius ThornwellS. Thornwell000000
-2.5
+0.6
Rodney McGruderR. McGruder000000
-1.4
-0.6
Johnathan MotleyJ. Motley000000
-1.6
-0.1
Angel DelgadoA. Delgado000011
-2.3
-0.1
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+1.8
-1.7
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
41
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1506
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

CARMELO rating of the team at full strength vs. the team with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation
Current rotationCurrent

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