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UPDATED Jan. 15, 2019, at 9:26 PM

2018-19 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:What’s new in our forecastCARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo history

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The Los Angeles Clippers have a 47% chance of making the playoffs and a <1% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALvs. full strength (today)vs. full strength (today)Off. +/-Def. +/-
Tobias HarrisT. Harris00531036+2
+1.5
-0.5
Danilo GallinariD. Gallinari00330033+2
+2.6
-0.5
Montrezl HarrellM. Harrell00022325SAME
+1.1
+0.6
Patrick BeverleyP. Beverley19600025SAME
+0.4
-0.1
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderS. Gilgeous-Alexander71500022SAME
-1.0
-0.3
Lou WilliamsL. Williams14700021SAME
+2.9
-3.0
Avery BradleyA. Bradley02000020SAME
-2.1
-1.1
Marcin GortatM. Gortat00001717+1
-2.1
+1.7
Luc Mbah a MouteL. Mbah a Moute000000-17
-1.9
+1.3
Mike ScottM. Scott00015015+3
-1.4
-0.3
Boban MarjanovicB. Marjanovic000088+1
-1.1
+1.6
Milos TeodosicM. Teodosic500005SAME
-0.4
-1.3
Tyrone WallaceT. Wallace300003SAME
-1.8
-0.3
Sindarius ThornwellS. Thornwell00100010+8
-2.2
+0.4
Jerome RobinsonJ. Robinson000000SAME
-1.1
-1.9
Johnathan MotleyJ. Motley000000SAME
-1.5
-0.4
Angel DelgadoA. Delgado000000SAME
-2.2
-0.1
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+1.7
-1.7
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
41
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1504
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGPLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALExp. min. per gameOff. +/-Def. +/-
Tobias HarrisT. Harris00034034
+1.5
-0.5
Danilo GallinariD. Gallinari00310031
+2.6
-0.5
Montrezl HarrellM. Harrell00002525
+1.1
+0.6
Patrick BeverleyP. Beverley19600025
+0.4
-0.1
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderS. Gilgeous-Alexander71500022
-1.0
-0.3
Lou WilliamsL. Williams14700021
+2.9
-3.0
Avery BradleyA. Bradley02000020
-2.1
-1.1
Marcin GortatM. Gortat00001616
-2.1
+1.7
Luc Mbah a MouteL. Mbah a Moute00152017
-1.9
+1.3
Mike ScottM. Scott00012012
-1.4
-0.3
Boban MarjanovicB. Marjanovic000077
-1.1
+1.6
Milos TeodosicM. Teodosic500005
-0.4
-1.3
Tyrone WallaceT. Wallace300003
-1.8
-0.3
Sindarius ThornwellS. Thornwell002002
-2.2
+0.4
Jerome RobinsonJ. Robinson000000
-1.1
-1.9
Johnathan MotleyJ. Motley000000
-1.5
-0.4
Angel DelgadoA. Delgado000000
-2.2
-0.1
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+1.3
-1.3
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
41
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1506
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALvs. full strength (today)vs. full strength (today)Off. +/-Def. +/-
Tobias HarrisT. Harris00830038+4
+1.5
-0.5
Danilo GallinariD. Gallinari00313034+3
+2.6
-0.5
Montrezl HarrellM. Harrell00002727+2
+1.1
+0.6
Patrick BeverleyP. Beverley131300026+1
+0.4
-0.1
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderS. Gilgeous-Alexander141100025+3
-1.0
-0.3
Lou WilliamsL. Williams21400025+4
+2.9
-3.0
Avery BradleyA. Bradley02000020SAME
-2.1
-1.1
Marcin GortatM. Gortat00001919+3
-2.1
+1.7
Luc Mbah a MouteL. Mbah a Moute0097016-1
-1.9
+1.3
Mike ScottM. Scott000808-4
-1.4
-0.3
Boban MarjanovicB. Marjanovic000022-5
-1.1
+1.6
Milos TeodosicM. Teodosic000000-5
-0.4
-1.3
Tyrone WallaceT. Wallace000000-3
-1.8
-0.3
Sindarius ThornwellS. Thornwell000000-2
-2.2
+0.4
Jerome RobinsonJ. Robinson000000SAME
-1.1
-1.9
Johnathan MotleyJ. Motley000000SAME
-1.5
-0.4
Angel DelgadoA. Delgado000000SAME
-2.2
-0.1
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+2.2
-1.5
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
43
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1522
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

CARMELO rating of the team at full strength vs. the team with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation
Current rotationCurrent

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