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More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Josh Richardson | J. Richardson | 0 | 18 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 38 | SAME | +0.7 | +0.2 | |||||||
Goran Dragic | G. Dragic | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | SAME | +0.9 | -0.9 | |||||||
Justise Winslow | J. Winslow | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 32 | SAME | -0.6 | +1.4 | |||||||
Hassan Whiteside | H. Whiteside | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 26 | SAME | -2.1 | +3.2 | |||||||
Rodney McGruder | R. McGruder | 0 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 23 | SAME | -1.4 | -0.6 | |||||||
Dwyane Wade | D. Wade | 16 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | SAME | -0.7 | -1.1 | |||||||
Dion Waiters | D. Waiters | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 22 | SAME | -0.5 | -1.1 | |||||||
Ryan Anderson | R. Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 17 | SAME | -0.4 | -0.9 | |||||||
James Johnson | J. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15 | SAME | -1.4 | +1.1 | |||||||
Kelly Olynyk | K. Olynyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | SAME | +0.7 | +1.2 | |||||||
Bam Adebayo | B. Adebayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | SAME | -1.0 | +2.6 | |||||||
Derrick Jones | D. Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.1 | 0.0 | |||||||
Duncan Robinson | D. Robinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.1 | -0.5 | |||||||
Udonis Haslem | U. Haslem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -3.0 | -0.1 | |||||||
Yante Maten | Y. Maten | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -2.7 | -0.3 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -2.3 | +1.4 | |||||||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 39 | ||||||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1482 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
Josh Richardson | J. Richardson | 0 | 18 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 38 | +0.7 | +0.2 | ||||
Goran Dragic | G. Dragic | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | +0.9 | -0.9 | ||||
Justise Winslow | J. Winslow | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 32 | -0.6 | +1.4 | ||||
Hassan Whiteside | H. Whiteside | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 26 | -2.1 | +3.2 | ||||
Rodney McGruder | R. McGruder | 0 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 23 | -1.4 | -0.6 | ||||
Dwyane Wade | D. Wade | 16 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | -0.7 | -1.1 | ||||
Dion Waiters | D. Waiters | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 22 | -0.5 | -1.1 | ||||
Ryan Anderson | R. Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -0.4 | -0.9 | ||||
James Johnson | J. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15 | -1.4 | +1.1 | ||||
Kelly Olynyk | K. Olynyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +0.7 | +1.2 | ||||
Bam Adebayo | B. Adebayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1.0 | +2.6 | ||||
Derrick Jones | D. Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 | 0.0 | ||||
Duncan Robinson | D. Robinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 | -0.5 | ||||
Udonis Haslem | U. Haslem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 | -0.1 | ||||
Yante Maten | Y. Maten | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 | -0.3 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -2.3 | +1.4 | |||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 39 | ||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1482 |
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