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UPDATED Jun. 13, 2019, at 11:52 PM

2018-19 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works

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The Miami Heat have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALvs. full strengthvs. full strengthOff. +/-Def. +/-
Josh RichardsonJ. Richardson018200038SAME
+0.7
+0.2
Goran DragicG. Dragic28000028SAME
+0.9
-0.9
Justise WinslowJ. Winslow40325032SAME
-0.6
+1.4
Hassan WhitesideH. Whiteside00002626SAME
-2.1
+3.2
Rodney McGruderR. McGruder01490023SAME
-1.4
-0.6
Dwyane WadeD. Wade16550026SAME
-0.7
-1.1
Dion WaitersD. Waiters011110022SAME
-0.5
-1.1
Ryan AndersonR. Anderson0008917SAME
-0.4
-0.9
James JohnsonJ. Johnson00015015SAME
-1.4
+1.1
Kelly OlynykK. Olynyk000099SAME
+0.7
+1.2
Bam AdebayoB. Adebayo000044SAME
-1.0
+2.6
Derrick JonesD. Jones000000SAME
-1.1
0.0
Duncan RobinsonD. Robinson000000SAME
-2.1
-0.5
Udonis HaslemU. Haslem000000SAME
-3.0
-0.1
Yante MatenY. Maten000000SAME
-2.7
-0.3
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
-2.3
+1.4
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
39
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1482
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALOff. +/-Def. +/-
Josh RichardsonJ. Richardson018200038
+0.7
+0.2
Goran DragicG. Dragic28000028
+0.9
-0.9
Justise WinslowJ. Winslow40325032
-0.6
+1.4
Hassan WhitesideH. Whiteside00002626
-2.1
+3.2
Rodney McGruderR. McGruder01490023
-1.4
-0.6
Dwyane WadeD. Wade16550026
-0.7
-1.1
Dion WaitersD. Waiters011110022
-0.5
-1.1
Ryan AndersonR. Anderson0008917
-0.4
-0.9
James JohnsonJ. Johnson00015015
-1.4
+1.1
Kelly OlynykK. Olynyk000099
+0.7
+1.2
Bam AdebayoB. Adebayo000044
-1.0
+2.6
Derrick JonesD. Jones000000
-1.1
0.0
Duncan RobinsonD. Robinson000000
-2.1
-0.5
Udonis HaslemU. Haslem000000
-3.0
-0.1
Yante MatenY. Maten000000
-2.7
-0.3
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
-2.3
+1.4
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
39
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1482
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

CARMELO rating of the team at full strength vs. the team with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation
Current rotationCurrent

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