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More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||||
Kemba Walker | K. Walker | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | SAME | +4.3 | -1.5 | |||||||
Nicolas Batum | N. Batum | 0 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 34 | SAME | +0.1 | +0.2 | |||||||
Jeremy Lamb | J. Lamb | 0 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 | SAME | +1.0 | -0.1 | |||||||
Marvin Williams | M. Williams | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | 30 | SAME | 0.0 | +0.4 | |||||||
Cody Zeller | C. Zeller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 28 | SAME | -0.7 | +1.6 | |||||||
Malik Monk | M. Monk | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | SAME | -0.5 | -2.6 | |||||||
Miles Bridges | M. Bridges | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 22 | SAME | -1.0 | -0.6 | |||||||
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | M. Kidd-Gilchrist | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 19 | SAME | -1.6 | +0.8 | |||||||
Shelvin Mack | S. Mack | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | SAME | -1.4 | -1.7 | |||||||
Tony Parker | T. Parker | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | SAME | -1.5 | -2.0 | |||||||
Willy Hernangomez | W. Hernangomez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | SAME | -0.6 | -0.6 | |||||||
Dwayne Bacon | D. Bacon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.6 | -1.3 | |||||||
Bismack Biyombo | B. Biyombo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -3.1 | +0.9 | |||||||
Frank Kaminsky | F. Kaminsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | +0.3 | -0.5 | |||||||
Devonte' Graham | D. Graham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.4 | -2.0 | |||||||
J.P. Macura | J. Macura | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.8 | -1.2 | |||||||
Joe Chealey | J. Chealey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SAME | -1.4 | -1.7 | |||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +2.0 | -1.5 | |||||||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 42 | ||||||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1517 |
Expected minutes per game | PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | TOTAL | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | |||||
Kemba Walker | K. Walker | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | +4.3 | -1.5 | ||||
Nicolas Batum | N. Batum | 0 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 34 | +0.1 | +0.2 | ||||
Jeremy Lamb | J. Lamb | 0 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 | +1.0 | -0.1 | ||||
Marvin Williams | M. Williams | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | 30 | 0.0 | +0.4 | ||||
Cody Zeller | C. Zeller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 28 | -0.7 | +1.6 | ||||
Malik Monk | M. Monk | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | -0.5 | -2.6 | ||||
Miles Bridges | M. Bridges | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 22 | -1.0 | -0.6 | ||||
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | M. Kidd-Gilchrist | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 19 | -1.6 | +0.8 | ||||
Shelvin Mack | S. Mack | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -1.4 | -1.7 | ||||
Tony Parker | T. Parker | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.5 | -2.0 | ||||
Willy Hernangomez | W. Hernangomez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -0.6 | -0.6 | ||||
Dwayne Bacon | D. Bacon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 | -1.3 | ||||
Bismack Biyombo | B. Biyombo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 | +0.9 | ||||
Frank Kaminsky | F. Kaminsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 | -0.5 | ||||
Devonte' Graham | D. Graham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | -2.0 | ||||
J.P. Macura | J. Macura | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 | -1.2 | ||||
Joe Chealey | J. Chealey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | -1.7 | ||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +2.0 | -1.5 | |||||||||
Expected wins | We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Expected wins We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 42 | ||||||||||
CARMELO rating | Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | CARMELO rating Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1517 |
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