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UPDATED May 19, 2019, at 7:20 AM

2018-19 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works

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The Charlotte Hornets have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALvs. full strengthvs. full strengthOff. +/-Def. +/-
Kemba WalkerK. Walker39000039SAME
+4.3
-1.5
Nicolas BatumN. Batum03310034SAME
+0.1
+0.2
Jeremy LambJ. Lamb02350028SAME
+1.0
-0.1
Marvin WilliamsM. Williams000191130SAME
0.0
+0.4
Cody ZellerC. Zeller00002828SAME
-0.7
+1.6
Malik MonkM. Monk21600018SAME
-0.5
-2.6
Miles BridgesM. Bridges00319022SAME
-1.0
-0.6
Michael Kidd-GilchristM. Kidd-Gilchrist00910019SAME
-1.6
+0.8
Shelvin MackS. Mack7300010SAME
-1.4
-1.7
Tony ParkerT. Parker030003SAME
-1.5
-2.0
Willy HernangomezW. Hernangomez000099SAME
-0.6
-0.6
Dwayne BaconD. Bacon000000SAME
-1.6
-1.3
Bismack BiyomboB. Biyombo000000SAME
-3.1
+0.9
Frank KaminskyF. Kaminsky000000SAME
+0.3
-0.5
Devonte' GrahamD. Graham000000SAME
-1.4
-2.0
J.P. MacuraJ. Macura000000SAME
-1.8
-1.2
Joe ChealeyJ. Chealey000000SAME
-1.4
-1.7
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+2.0
-1.5
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
42
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1517
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALOff. +/-Def. +/-
Kemba WalkerK. Walker39000039
+4.3
-1.5
Nicolas BatumN. Batum03310034
+0.1
+0.2
Jeremy LambJ. Lamb02350028
+1.0
-0.1
Marvin WilliamsM. Williams000191130
0.0
+0.4
Cody ZellerC. Zeller00002828
-0.7
+1.6
Malik MonkM. Monk21600018
-0.5
-2.6
Miles BridgesM. Bridges00319022
-1.0
-0.6
Michael Kidd-GilchristM. Kidd-Gilchrist00910019
-1.6
+0.8
Shelvin MackS. Mack7300010
-1.4
-1.7
Tony ParkerT. Parker030003
-1.5
-2.0
Willy HernangomezW. Hernangomez000099
-0.6
-0.6
Dwayne BaconD. Bacon000000
-1.6
-1.3
Bismack BiyomboB. Biyombo000000
-3.1
+0.9
Frank KaminskyF. Kaminsky000000
+0.3
-0.5
Devonte' GrahamD. Graham000000
-1.4
-2.0
J.P. MacuraJ. Macura000000
-1.8
-1.2
Joe ChealeyJ. Chealey000000
-1.4
-1.7
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+2.0
-1.5
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
42
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1517
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

CARMELO rating of the team at full strength vs. the team with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation
Current rotationCurrent

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