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UPDATED Jan. 15, 2019, at 9:26 PM

2018-19 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:What’s new in our forecastCARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo history

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The Charlotte Hornets have a 46% chance of making the playoffs and a <1% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALvs. full strength (today)vs. full strength (today)Off. +/-Def. +/-
Kemba WalkerK. Walker35000035SAME
+4.2
-1.5
Nicolas BatumN. Batum01300031SAME
+0.1
-0.2
Jeremy LambJ. Lamb02360029SAME
+1.0
-0.6
Cody ZellerC. Zeller000000-25
-0.5
+1.8
Marvin WilliamsM. Williams000101727+5
+0.4
+0.5
Malik MonkM. Monk01900019SAME
-0.1
-2.6
Miles BridgesM. Bridges00020020SAME
-1.6
-0.5
Michael Kidd-GilchristM. Kidd-Gilchrist00318021+4
-1.3
+0.7
Tony ParkerT. Parker12400016+1
-1.5
-1.9
Willy HernangomezW. Hernangomez00001414+4
-0.5
+0.3
Dwayne BaconD. Bacon0190010+2
-2.2
-0.7
Bismack BiyomboB. Biyombo00001010+5
-3.1
+1.1
Frank KaminskyF. Kaminsky000077+4
+0.3
-0.4
Devonte' GrahamD. Graham100001SAME
-0.6
-1.6
J.P. MacuraJ. Macura000000SAME
-1.8
-1.3
Joe ChealeyJ. Chealey000000SAME
-1.3
-1.5
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+1.0
-2.8
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
36
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1459
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGPLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALExp. min. per gameOff. +/-Def. +/-
Kemba WalkerK. Walker35000035
+4.2
-1.5
Nicolas BatumN. Batum01300031
+0.1
-0.2
Jeremy LambJ. Lamb02450029
+1.0
-0.6
Cody ZellerC. Zeller00012425
-0.5
+1.8
Marvin WilliamsM. Williams00016622
+0.4
+0.5
Malik MonkM. Monk01900019
-0.1
-2.6
Miles BridgesM. Bridges00119020
-1.6
-0.5
Michael Kidd-GilchristM. Kidd-Gilchrist00512017
-1.3
+0.7
Tony ParkerT. Parker12300015
-1.5
-1.9
Willy HernangomezW. Hernangomez00001010
-0.5
+0.3
Dwayne BaconD. Bacon017008
-2.2
-0.7
Bismack BiyomboB. Biyombo000055
-3.1
+1.1
Frank KaminskyF. Kaminsky000033
+0.3
-0.4
Devonte' GrahamD. Graham100001
-0.6
-1.6
J.P. MacuraJ. Macura000000
-1.8
-1.3
Joe ChealeyJ. Chealey000000
-1.3
-1.5
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+1.2
-2.0
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
39
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1485
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALvs. full strength (today)vs. full strength (today)Off. +/-Def. +/-
Kemba WalkerK. Walker38000038+3
+4.2
-1.5
Nicolas BatumN. Batum04290033+2
+0.1
-0.2
Jeremy LambJ. Lamb02380031+2
+1.0
-0.6
Cody ZellerC. Zeller00012627+2
-0.5
+1.8
Marvin WilliamsM. Williams000171229+7
+0.4
+0.5
Malik MonkM. Monk21700019SAME
-0.1
-2.6
Miles BridgesM. Bridges00020020SAME
-1.6
-0.5
Michael Kidd-GilchristM. Kidd-Gilchrist001010020+3
-1.3
+0.7
Tony ParkerT. Parker8400012-3
-1.5
-1.9
Willy HernangomezW. Hernangomez00001010SAME
-0.5
+0.3
Dwayne BaconD. Bacon001001-7
-2.2
-0.7
Bismack BiyomboB. Biyombo000000-5
-3.1
+1.1
Frank KaminskyF. Kaminsky000000-3
+0.3
-0.4
Devonte' GrahamD. Graham000000-1
-0.6
-1.6
J.P. MacuraJ. Macura000000SAME
-1.8
-1.3
Joe ChealeyJ. Chealey000000SAME
-1.3
-1.5
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+2.2
-1.8
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
42
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1516
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

CARMELO rating of the team at full strength vs. the team with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation
Current rotationCurrent

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