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UPDATED Mar. 26, 2019, at 1:16 AM

2018-19 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

More NBA:CARMELO player projectionsEvery team’s Elo historyHow this works

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The Charlotte Hornets have an 11% chance of making the playoffs and a <1% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALvs. full strength (today)vs. full strength (today)Off. +/-Def. +/-
Kemba WalkerK. Walker35000035SAME
+4.2
-1.3
Nicolas BatumN. Batum000000-32
+0.1
+0.1
Jeremy LambJ. Lamb013180031+2
+0.7
-0.4
Marvin WilliamsM. Williams00025631+5
+0.3
+0.5
Cody ZellerC. Zeller000000-23
-0.5
+1.6
Malik MonkM. Monk01800018SAME
-0.5
-3.1
Miles BridgesM. Bridges001212024+4
-1.5
-0.4
Michael Kidd-GilchristM. Kidd-Gilchrist000000-18
-1.5
+0.6
Shelvin MackS. Mack81400022+9
-1.3
-1.7
Tony ParkerT. Parker000000-8
-1.4
-2.0
Willy HernangomezW. Hernangomez00001717+8
-0.5
-0.3
Dwayne BaconD. Bacon00180018+14
-2.1
-0.8
Bismack BiyomboB. Biyombo00001717+13
-2.9
+1.0
Frank KaminskyF. Kaminsky00011819+18
+0.2
-0.5
Devonte' GrahamD. Graham500005+5
-1.2
-1.9
J.P. MacuraJ. Macura030003+3
-1.8
-1.3
Joe ChealeyJ. Chealey000000SAME
-1.4
-1.7
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
0.0
-3.6
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
32
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1417
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGPLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALExp. min. per gameOff. +/-Def. +/-
Kemba WalkerK. Walker35000035
+4.2
-1.3
Nicolas BatumN. Batum01310032
+0.1
+0.1
Jeremy LambJ. Lamb02090029
+0.7
-0.4
Marvin WilliamsM. Williams000151126
+0.3
+0.5
Cody ZellerC. Zeller00002323
-0.5
+1.6
Malik MonkM. Monk01800018
-0.5
-3.1
Miles BridgesM. Bridges00020020
-1.5
-0.4
Michael Kidd-GilchristM. Kidd-Gilchrist00513018
-1.5
+0.6
Shelvin MackS. Mack8500013
-1.3
-1.7
Tony ParkerT. Parker530008
-1.4
-2.0
Willy HernangomezW. Hernangomez000099
-0.5
-0.3
Dwayne BaconD. Bacon013004
-2.1
-0.8
Bismack BiyomboB. Biyombo000044
-2.9
+1.0
Frank KaminskyF. Kaminsky000011
+0.2
-0.5
Devonte' GrahamD. Graham000000
-1.2
-1.9
J.P. MacuraJ. Macura000000
-1.8
-1.3
Joe ChealeyJ. Chealey000000
-1.4
-1.7
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+1.0
-2.0
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
38
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1479
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
Expected minutes per gamePLAYER RATINGExp. min. per gamePLAYER RATING
PlayerPGSGSFPFCTOTALvs. full strength (today)vs. full strength (today)Off. +/-Def. +/-
Kemba WalkerK. Walker39000039+4
+4.2
-1.3
Nicolas BatumN. Batum03320035+3
+0.1
+0.1
Jeremy LambJ. Lamb02370030+1
+0.7
-0.4
Marvin WilliamsM. Williams000181331+5
+0.3
+0.5
Cody ZellerC. Zeller00002828+5
-0.5
+1.6
Malik MonkM. Monk21600018SAME
-0.5
-3.1
Miles BridgesM. Bridges00713020SAME
-1.5
-0.4
Michael Kidd-GilchristM. Kidd-Gilchrist00217019+1
-1.5
+0.6
Shelvin MackS. Mack7300010-3
-1.3
-1.7
Tony ParkerT. Parker030003-5
-1.4
-2.0
Willy HernangomezW. Hernangomez000077-2
-0.5
-0.3
Dwayne BaconD. Bacon000000-4
-2.1
-0.8
Bismack BiyomboB. Biyombo000000-4
-2.9
+1.0
Frank KaminskyF. Kaminsky000000-1
+0.2
-0.5
Devonte' GrahamD. Graham000000SAME
-1.2
-1.9
J.P. MacuraJ. Macura000000SAME
-1.8
-1.3
Joe ChealeyJ. Chealey000000SAME
-1.4
-1.7
Rotation ratingsFirst, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
Rotation ratings
First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.
+2.0
-1.6
Expected winsWe use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
Expected wins
We use the ratings to estimate the team’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.
42
CARMELO ratingThen we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
CARMELO rating
Then we convert the team’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.
1514
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

CARMELO rating of the team at full strength vs. the team with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation
Current rotationCurrent

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